Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LIONROCK-16 Off-shore from 18 Aug 2016 00:00 UTC to 28 Aug 2016 06:00 UTC

28 Aug 2016 06 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LIONROCK-16 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	222 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (19 Aug 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	213 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	222 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

213 km/h Current Max.

Up to 2.5 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	18 Aug 2016 00:00	102	Few people	No people
2	18 Aug 2016 06:00	102	Few people	No people
3	18 Aug 2016 12:00	120	Few people	No people
4	18 Aug 2016 18:00	102	170 thousand	No people	Japan
5	19 Aug 2016 00:00	102	20 thousand	No people	Japan
6	19 Aug 2016 06:00	102	200 thousand	No people	Japan
7	19 Aug 2016 12:00	102	10 thousand	No people
8	19 Aug 2016 18:00	111	10 thousand	No people
9	20 Aug 2016 00:00	111	20 thousand	No people
10	20 Aug 2016 06:00	111	20 thousand	No people
11	20 Aug 2016 12:00	102	10 thousand	No people
13	21 Aug 2016 00:00	93	90 thousand	No people	Japan
14	21 Aug 2016 06:00	111	1.4 million	No people	Japan
15	21 Aug 2016 12:00	111	1.4 million	No people	Japan
16	21 Aug 2016 18:00	120	1.3 million	No people	Japan
17	22 Aug 2016 00:00	120	1.3 million	No people	Japan
18	22 Aug 2016 06:00	120	10 thousand	No people
19	22 Aug 2016 12:00	120	10 thousand	No people
20	22 Aug 2016 18:00	120	10 thousand	No people
21	23 Aug 2016 00:00	139	10 thousand	No people
22	23 Aug 2016 06:00	139	10 thousand	No people
23	23 Aug 2016 12:00	139	10 thousand	No people
24	23 Aug 2016 18:00	148	10 thousand	No people
25	24 Aug 2016 00:00	176	10 thousand	No people
26	24 Aug 2016 06:00	222	10 thousand	No people
27	24 Aug 2016 12:00	213	10 thousand	No people
28	24 Aug 2016 18:00	204	10 thousand	Few people
29	25 Aug 2016 00:00	194	10 thousand	Few people
30	25 Aug 2016 06:00	204	540 thousand	Few people	Japan
31	25 Aug 2016 12:00	204	11.8 million	2.4 million	Japan
32	25 Aug 2016 18:00	194	49.7 million	36.6 million	Japan
33	26 Aug 2016 00:00	204	51.9 million	35.5 million	Japan
34	26 Aug 2016 06:00	204	49 million	17.4 million	Japan
35	26 Aug 2016 12:00	185	52.8 million	15.7 million	Japan
36	26 Aug 2016 18:00	185	---	No people
37	27 Aug 2016 00:00	185	4.2 million	No people	Japan
38	27 Aug 2016 06:00	213	7.9 million	No people	Japan
39	27 Aug 2016 12:00	194	10.2 million	Few people	Japan
40	27 Aug 2016 18:00	194	19.4 million	2.1 million	Japan
41	28 Aug 2016 00:00	204	27.2 million	2.9 million	Japan
42	28 Aug 2016 06:00	213	38.2 million	2.5 million	Japan

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	18 Aug 2016 00:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	29, 151.9
2	18 Aug 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	30, 149.9
3	18 Aug 2016 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	30.8, 148.6
4	18 Aug 2016 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	32.3, 146.8
5	19 Aug 2016 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	32.8, 144.9
6	19 Aug 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	100000 people	33.1, 142.7	Japan
7	19 Aug 2016 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	11000 people	32.7, 141.2
8	19 Aug 2016 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	8800 people	32.4, 139.8
9	20 Aug 2016 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	<1000 people	32, 138.4
10	20 Aug 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	31.4, 137
11	20 Aug 2016 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	30.9, 136.3
13	21 Aug 2016 00:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	30, 134.3
14	21 Aug 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	29.5, 133.4
15	21 Aug 2016 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	29, 132.6
16	21 Aug 2016 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	28.6, 132.9
17	22 Aug 2016 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	28.5, 133.1
18	22 Aug 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	28.8, 133.6
19	22 Aug 2016 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	28.4, 133.9
20	22 Aug 2016 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	28.3, 134.5
21	23 Aug 2016 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	27.9, 134.4
22	23 Aug 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	27.4, 134.2
23	23 Aug 2016 12:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	26.8, 134
24	23 Aug 2016 18:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	26, 133.3
25	24 Aug 2016 00:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	25.3, 132.7
26	24 Aug 2016 06:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	24.8, 132.4
27	24 Aug 2016 12:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	24.4, 131.8
28	24 Aug 2016 18:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	23.9, 131.4
29	25 Aug 2016 00:00	Category 3	194	no people	no people	23.4, 131.1
30	25 Aug 2016 06:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	23.5, 130.9
31	25 Aug 2016 12:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	23.7, 131.1
32	25 Aug 2016 18:00	Category 3	194	no people	no people	23.2, 130.5
33	26 Aug 2016 00:00	Category 3	194	no people	no people	23.1, 130.9
34	26 Aug 2016 06:00	Category 3	194	no people	no people	23.1, 131.3
35	26 Aug 2016 12:00	Category 2	176	no people	no people	23.3, 132.2
36	26 Aug 2016 18:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	23.5, 132.7
37	27 Aug 2016 00:00	Category 2	176	no people	no people	23.8, 133.1
38	27 Aug 2016 06:00	Category 4	213	no people	no people	24, 133.9
39	27 Aug 2016 12:00	Category 3	194	no people	no people	24.5, 134.7
40	27 Aug 2016 18:00	Category 3	194	no people	no people	25.2, 135.7
41	28 Aug 2016 00:00	Category 3	204	no people	<1000 people	26, 136.6
42	28 Aug 2016 06:00	Category 4	213	no people	7300 people	27.7, 137.9
42	28 Aug 2016 18:00	Category 3	204	<1000 people	9700 people	29.8, 140.1
42	29 Aug 2016 06:00	Category 3	194	no people	1.3 million people	32, 141.9	Japan
42	29 Aug 2016 18:00	Category 2	167	no people	23.5 million people	34.4, 142.8	Japan
42	30 Aug 2016 06:00	Category 1	139	2.5 million people	21.9 million people	37.1, 142.1	Japan
42	31 Aug 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	9.5 million people	42.2, 137.4	China
42	01 Sep 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	46.4, 129.4	China

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Japan

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Tohoku	Japan

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Sendai	Miyagi	Japan	Major city	1 million people
Shiogama	Miyagi	Japan	City	59000 people
Ishinomaki	Miyagi	Japan	City	120000 people
Furukawa	Miyagi	Japan	City	76000 people
Wakuya	Miyagi	Japan	City	18000 people
Akita	Akita	Japan	Major city	310000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Sendai	SDJ	5	Civ.	Paved	Yes	9800
Kasuminome		5				0
Matsushima		2	Civ.	Paved	Yes	8800
Ojojibara		70				0
Akita	AXT	95	Civ.	Paved	Yes	8200
Akita Old		15				0

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Tori Island		Japan
Soma	JPSMA	Japan
Shiogama	JPSGM	Japan
Ishinomaki	JPISM	Japan
Akita	JPAXT	Japan
Funakawa	JPFNK	Japan

Dams

Reservoir	Dam Name	River	Year
Kamafusako	Kamafusa	Goishigawa	1970
Tarumizuko	Tarumizu	Masudagawa	1976
Okurako	Okura	Okuragawa	1961
Nanakita	Nanakita	Nanakitagawa	1984
Nanatsumoriko	Minamikawa	Minamikawa	1987
Meigenko	Urushizawa	Narusegawa	1980
Kejonuma	Kejonuma	Tajirigawa	1995
Araoko	Naruko	Eaigawa	1958
Masuzawa	Masuzawa	Izumitagawa	1963
Hanayamako	Hanayama	Hazamagawa	2004
Takasaka	Takasaka	Sakegawa	1967
Kurikoma	Kurikoma	Sanhazamagawa	1961
Oyasukyoko	Minase	Minasegawa	1963
Kuromorigawadaiichicosuichi	Kuromorigawadaiichi	Kuromorigawa	1976

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Aogashima, Japan. This height is estimated for 19 Aug 2016 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (27 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 26 of 24 Aug 2016 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	19 Aug 2016 18:00	Aogashima	Japan	0.2
	19 Aug 2016 18:00	Yasundogo	Japan	0.2
	19 Aug 2016 07:00	Kami-Shigeoka	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 07:00	Ide	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 07:00	Tomioka	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 07:00	Oragahama	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 07:00	Futaba	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Hokota	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Katsuori	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Taiyo	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Otake	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Dainigorisawa	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Muyokama	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Omi	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Kyochikama	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Hamatsuga	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Aotsuka	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Kyuchu	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Kashima	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Koya	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Asahi Yokaichiba	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Okunoya	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Yatabe	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2016 01:00	Buzen	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2016 01:00	Higashiyoshitomi	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2016 01:00	Nakatsu	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2016 01:00	Imazu	Japan	0.1