Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19
in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,
30 Oct 2019 12 UTC
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  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 250 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (02 Nov 23:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability High (India)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 120 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 250 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      120 km/h Current Max.

      Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 24 Oct 2019 18:00 185 No people No people
        Green 2 25 Oct 2019 00:00 185 No people No people
        Green 3 25 Oct 2019 06:00 185 1.2 million No people India
        Green 4 25 Oct 2019 12:00 204 4.1 million No people India
        Green 5 25 Oct 2019 18:00 204 4.1 million No people India
        Green 6 26 Oct 2019 00:00 204 4.1 million No people India
        Green 7 26 Oct 2019 06:00 213 4.1 million No people India
        Green 8 26 Oct 2019 12:00 222 4.1 million No people India
        Green 9 26 Oct 2019 18:00 231 4.1 million No people India
        Green 10 27 Oct 2019 00:00 250 4.1 million No people India
        Green 11 27 Oct 2019 06:00 250 4.1 million No people India
        Green 12 27 Oct 2019 12:00 250 4.1 million No people India
        Green 13 27 Oct 2019 18:00 241 4.1 million No people India
        Green 14 28 Oct 2019 00:00 241 4.1 million No people India
        Green 15 28 Oct 2019 06:00 241 4.1 million No people India
        Green 16 28 Oct 2019 12:00 241 4.1 million No people India
        Green 17 28 Oct 2019 18:00 241 4.1 million No people India
        Green 18 29 Oct 2019 00:00 231 4.1 million No people India, Yemen
        Green 19 29 Oct 2019 06:00 213 4.1 million No people India, Yemen
        Green 20 29 Oct 2019 12:00 194 4.3 million No people India, Yemen, Somalia
        Green 21 29 Oct 2019 18:00 194 4.5 million No people India, Yemen, Somalia
        Green 22 30 Oct 2019 00:00 185 4.6 million No people India, Yemen, Somalia
        Green 23 30 Oct 2019 06:00 167 4.3 million No people Yemen, India, Somalia
        Green 24 30 Oct 2019 12:00 120 4.5 million No people Yemen, India, Somalia

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 24 Oct 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 15.8, 71.3
          GREEN
          		 2 25 Oct 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 15.7, 71.3
          GREEN
          		 3 25 Oct 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 1.2 million people 15.9, 71.7 India
          GREEN
          		 4 25 Oct 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 4.1 million people 16.3, 71.9 India
          GREEN
          		 5 25 Oct 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 160000 people 16.4, 71.5 India
          GREEN
          		 6 26 Oct 2019 00:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 16.7, 70.8
          GREEN
          		 7 26 Oct 2019 06:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 16.7, 69.9
          GREEN
          		 8 26 Oct 2019 12:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 16.7, 69.4
          GREEN
          		 9 26 Oct 2019 18:00 Category 4 213 no people no people 16.8, 68.9
          GREEN
          		 10 27 Oct 2019 00:00 Category 4 231 no people no people 17, 68.3
          GREEN
          		 11 27 Oct 2019 06:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 17.3, 67.4
          GREEN
          		 12 27 Oct 2019 12:00 Category 4 250 no people no people 17.5, 66.8
          GREEN
          		 13 27 Oct 2019 18:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 17.9, 66.2
          GREEN
          		 14 28 Oct 2019 00:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 18.2, 65.5
          GREEN
          		 15 28 Oct 2019 06:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 18.3, 64.8
          GREEN
          		 16 28 Oct 2019 12:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 18.5, 64.4
          GREEN
          		 17 28 Oct 2019 18:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 18.8, 64
          GREEN
          		 18 29 Oct 2019 00:00 Category 4 231 no people no people 19.1, 63.5
          GREEN
          		 19 29 Oct 2019 06:00 Category 4 213 no people no people 19.3, 63.2
          GREEN
          		 20 29 Oct 2019 12:00 Category 3 194 no people no people 19.5, 63
          GREEN
          		 21 29 Oct 2019 18:00 Category 3 194 no people no people 19.6, 62.7
          GREEN
          		 22 30 Oct 2019 00:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 19.6, 62.2
          GREEN
          		 23 30 Oct 2019 06:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 19.2, 61.8
          GREEN
          		 24 30 Oct 2019 12:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 18.9, 61.3
          GREEN
          		 24 31 Oct 2019 00:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 18.3, 60.5
          GREEN
          		 24 31 Oct 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 17.6, 59.6
          GREEN
          		 24 01 Nov 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 16.8, 58.6
          GREEN
          		 24 01 Nov 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 62000 people 15.5, 57.1 Yemen
          GREEN
          		 24 02 Nov 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 450000 people 12.6, 53.4 Somalia
          GREEN
          		 24 03 Nov 2019 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 10.3, 48.9 Somalia
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.2 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Mach, Somalia. This height is estimated for 02 Nov 2019 23:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (24 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 24 of 30 Oct 2019 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          02 Nov 2019 23:00 Mach Somalia  0.2
          02 Nov 2019 09:00 Qadub Yemen  0.1
          02 Nov 2019 23:00 Aiesloho Somalia  0.1
          02 Nov 2019 08:00 Hadiboh Yemen  0.1
          02 Nov 2019 11:00 Qulansiyah Yemen  0.1
          02 Nov 2019 17:00 Kinshia Yemen  0.1
          02 Nov 2019 22:00 Tooxin Somalia  0.1
          03 Nov 2019 00:00 Bargaal Somalia  0.1
          30 Oct 2019 08:00 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
          30 Oct 2019 10:00 Asarsa India  0.1
          30 Oct 2019 10:00 Tankari India  0.1
          30 Oct 2019 10:00 Muler India  0.1
          29 Oct 2019 18:00 Ghogha India  0.1
          29 Oct 2019 18:00 Dahej India  0.1
          29 Oct 2019 18:00 Harinagar India  0.1
          02 Nov 2019 09:00 Ghubbah Yemen  0.1
          02 Nov 2019 09:00 Qashlu Yemen  0.1
          02 Nov 2019 11:00 Nait Yemen  0.1
          02 Nov 2019 17:00 Kilmia Yemen  0.1
          29 Oct 2019 20:00 Wadgam India  0.1
          29 Oct 2019 20:00 Kambhat India  0.1
          29 Oct 2019 21:00 Kavi India  0.1
          29 Oct 2019 20:00 Sarod India  0.1
          30 Oct 2019 08:00 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1