Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19
in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 205 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (26 Oct 15:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 205 km/h 0.5 m 970 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 205 km/h 0.5 m 970 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Nov 2019 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia52,063 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 24 Oct 2019 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 25 Oct 2019 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 25 Oct 2019 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 25 Oct 2019 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 25 Oct 2019 18:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 26 Oct 2019 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 26 Oct 2019 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 26 Oct 2019 12:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 26 Oct 2019 18:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 27 Oct 2019 00:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 27 Oct 2019 06:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 27 Oct 2019 12:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 27 Oct 2019 18:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 28 Oct 2019 00:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 28 Oct 2019 06:00 187 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 28 Oct 2019 12:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 28 Oct 2019 18:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 29 Oct 2019 00:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 29 Oct 2019 06:00 187 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 29 Oct 2019 12:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 29 Oct 2019 18:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 30 Oct 2019 00:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 30 Oct 2019 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 30 Oct 2019 12:00 104 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 25 30 Oct 2019 18:00 94 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 26 31 Oct 2019 00:00 112 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 27 31 Oct 2019 06:00 97 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 28 31 Oct 2019 12:00 108 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 29 31 Oct 2019 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 30 01 Nov 2019 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 31 01 Nov 2019 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

970 mm

Up to 22.7 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Nov 2019 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndia18,181 
100-250 mmIndia, Maldives22,727,391
+
India22,704,616 
Maldives22,775 
50-100 mmIndia, Somalia, Maldives49,627,609
+
India49,586,835 
Somalia37,370 
Maldives3,404 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 24 Oct 2019 18:00 73 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 25 Oct 2019 00:00 180 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 25 Oct 2019 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 25 Oct 2019 12:00 176 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 25 Oct 2019 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 26 Oct 2019 00:00 116 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 26 Oct 2019 06:00 133 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 26 Oct 2019 12:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 26 Oct 2019 18:00 155 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 27 Oct 2019 00:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 27 Oct 2019 06:00 194 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 27 Oct 2019 12:00 171 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 27 Oct 2019 18:00 199 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 28 Oct 2019 00:00 225 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 28 Oct 2019 06:00 263 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 28 Oct 2019 12:00 263 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 28 Oct 2019 18:00 287 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 29 Oct 2019 00:00 313 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 29 Oct 2019 06:00 252 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 29 Oct 2019 12:00 290 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 29 Oct 2019 18:00 187 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 30 Oct 2019 00:00 236 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 30 Oct 2019 06:00 233 -
- - - - - India
Blue 24 30 Oct 2019 12:00 149 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 30 Oct 2019 18:00 97 -
- - - - - India
Blue 26 31 Oct 2019 00:00 220 30 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 27 31 Oct 2019 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 31 Oct 2019 12:00 66 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 31 Oct 2019 18:00 89 - - - - - - -
Blue 30 01 Nov 2019 00:00 170 - - - - - - -
Blue 31 01 Nov 2019 06:00 198 -
- - - - - Somalia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Mahuva, India. This height is estimated for 26 Oct 2019 15:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Nov 2019 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
26 Oct 2019 15:00 Mahuva India  0.5
26 Oct 2019 14:45 Jafarabad India  0.5
26 Oct 2019 14:45 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.5
02 Nov 2019 04:00 Wadgam India  0.5
02 Nov 2019 05:00 Kambhat India  0.5
02 Nov 2019 05:00 Kavi India  0.5
26 Oct 2019 15:00 Rohisa India  0.5
26 Oct 2019 15:00 Dharabandar India  0.5
26 Oct 2019 18:00 Damka India  0.5
26 Oct 2019 18:00 Surat India  0.5
26 Oct 2019 18:00 Jalalpur India  0.5
26 Oct 2019 18:00 Mahuver India  0.5
26 Oct 2019 00:30 Murud India  0.5
26 Oct 2019 00:30 Agar Panchaitan India  0.5
26 Oct 2019 15:15 Kotada India  0.5
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Vengurla India  0.5
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Terekhol India  0.5
26 Oct 2019 14:15 Ghogha India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 03:45 Asarsa India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Marmagao India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Vasco Da Gama India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Agacaim India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Madgaon India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 14:30 Harinagar India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 08:15 Asumumbay India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 08:15 Uran India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 08:15 Trombay India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 08:15 Diva India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 08:15 Taloje India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 11:15 Tarapur India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 11:15 Shirgaon India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 11:15 Palghar India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 11:15 Mahim India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 11:15 Boisar India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Panaji India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 21:15 Delvada India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 21:15 Nawabandar India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 06:15 Nalasopara India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 06:15 Agashi India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 06:15 Dongri India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 06:15 Vasai India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 06:15 Malad India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 12:45 Dahej India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 12:45 Hansot India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 14:15 Tankari India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 14:15 Muler India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Chopdem India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Anjuna India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 21:15 Dangarvadi India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 11:15 Gholvad India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 11:15 Malyan India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 11:15 Bordi India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Daman India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Udvada India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 11:15 Umbargam India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Maroli India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 17:15 Devgarh India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 17:15 Achra India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 12:45 Bhagva India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 16:45 Advota India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 16:45 Chaudi India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 16:45 Majali India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 23:45 Srivardhan India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Bankot India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Kelshi India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 17:15 Pural India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 21:30 Kotra Nes India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 06:30 Mumbai India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 06:45 Alibag India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 06:45 Revadanda India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 03:00 Veraval India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 03:00 Somnath India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 03:00 Sutrapada India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 03:00 Lodhwa India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 17:30 Vijayadurg India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 03:15 Kodinar India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Malvan India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 07:15 Mandve India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Mirya India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Ratnagiri India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Purangad India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Purnagad India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 16:45 Sadashivgarh India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 16:45 Karwar India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Adiura India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 06:15 Guhagar India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 06:15 Anjanwel India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 23:00 Boria India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 03:00 Chorwad India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 06:15 Jaigarh India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 07:30 Mangrol India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 07:30 Shil India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 16:30 Belekeri India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 11:00 Bhatkal India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 11:00 Bainduru India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 11:00 Chittadi India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 16:30 Ankola India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 16:30 Gokarn India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 10:15 Udipi India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 07:15 Gorser India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 07:30 Ratia India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 11:00 Kundapura India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 08:15 Adodar India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Kumta India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Honavar India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Manki India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 10:15 Mulki India  0.3
28 Oct 2019 06:15 Jambura India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 08:15 Porbandar India  0.3
28 Oct 2019 06:45 Tuna India  0.3
28 Oct 2019 08:45 Suthri India  0.3
28 Oct 2019 06:15 Sika India  0.3
28 Oct 2019 06:30 Mundra India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 11:15 Mavalli India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 11:15 Shirali India  0.3
28 Oct 2019 08:30 Gadechi India  0.3
28 Oct 2019 08:30 Okha India  0.3
28 Oct 2019 08:30 Aramda India  0.3
28 Oct 2019 06:15 Jhankhar India  0.3
28 Oct 2019 08:45 Mandvi India  0.3
28 Oct 2019 06:30 Navinal India  0.3
28 Oct 2019 08:45 Bhadia India  0.3
28 Oct 2019 11:45 Ghuar Mota India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 15:45 Lamba India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 15:45 Miyani India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 06:30 Mangaluru India  0.3
24 Oct 2019 23:30 Khalil Oman  0.3
24 Oct 2019 23:30 Tawi Bedi Guish Oman  0.3
24 Oct 2019 23:30 Khadra' Oman  0.3
24 Oct 2019 23:30 As Suwayq Oman  0.3
24 Oct 2019 23:30 Al Mudayq Oman  0.3
27 Oct 2019 16:15 Bhogat India  0.3
28 Oct 2019 07:45 Dwarka India  0.3
28 Oct 2019 07:45 Madhi India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 06:30 Manjeshwaram India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 23:30 Qasabiyat az Za'ab Oman  0.2
25 Oct 2019 10:00 Kumbla India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 10:00 Kasaragod India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 10:00 Bekal India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 10:00 Nileshwar India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 18:15 Ascira Somalia  0.2
25 Oct 2019 18:15 Sala Gon Somalia  0.2
25 Oct 2019 18:15 Hurdiyo Somalia  0.2
25 Oct 2019 10:00 Chervattur India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 12:45 Nafun Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 06:45 Duqm Oman  0.2
25 Oct 2019 10:15 Trikkaripur India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 10:15 Madayipara India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 10:15 Madayi India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 10:15 Kannapuram India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 10:15 Chirakkal India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 10:15 Valapattanam India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 10:15 Azhikkal India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 10:15 Cannanore India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 18:45 As Sirab Oman  0.2
25 Oct 2019 10:00 Edakkad India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 10:00 Dharmadam India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 10:00 Tellicherry India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 10:00 Mahe India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 10:00 Badagara India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 10:00 Payyoli India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 16:30 Dawwah Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 16:30 Dafiyat Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 16:30 Dhuwwah Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 16:30 Shiinzi Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 12:00 Shuwayr Oman  0.2
01 Nov 2019 03:45 Sawqirah Oman  0.2
01 Nov 2019 03:45 Lakabi Oman  0.2
01 Nov 2019 03:45 Qaysad Oman  0.2
24 Oct 2019 22:30 Quilandi India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 22:30 Talakkolattur India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 22:30 Kozhikode India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 22:30 Beypore India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 22:15 Chaliyam India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 22:15 Tirurangadi India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 22:15 Tanur India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 22:15 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.2
29 Oct 2019 23:00 Masnaah Oman  0.2
29 Oct 2019 23:00 Bu 'Abali Oman  0.2
29 Oct 2019 23:00 Abu 'Abali Oman  0.2
29 Oct 2019 23:00 Suwadi al Batsa' Oman  0.2
29 Oct 2019 23:00 Billa Oman  0.2
29 Oct 2019 23:00 Murayjat Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 18:30 Al Khaluf Oman  0.2
26 Oct 2019 16:00 Filim Oman  0.2
25 Oct 2019 18:30 Xaafuun Somalia  0.2
01 Nov 2019 09:00 Lakba Oman  0.2
25 Oct 2019 10:15 Ponnani India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 10:15 Veliyangod India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 10:15 Kadikkad India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 13:45 Aiesloho Somalia  0.2
27 Oct 2019 13:45 Mach Somalia  0.2
27 Oct 2019 13:45 Tooxin Somalia  0.2
29 Oct 2019 22:15 Yiti Oman  0.2
29 Oct 2019 22:15 As Sifah Oman  0.2
29 Oct 2019 22:45 Manumah Oman  0.2
29 Oct 2019 22:45 Sib Oman  0.2
29 Oct 2019 22:45 Mawalis Oman  0.2
29 Oct 2019 18:45 Hundegal Somalia  0.2
24 Oct 2019 22:15 Barka Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:30 Ghalat Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:30 Sharkh Oman  0.1
28 Oct 2019 13:45 Baarbacadle Somalia  0.1
28 Oct 2019 13:45 Bandarbeyla Somalia  0.1
28 Oct 2019 14:15 Eyl Somalia  0.1
28 Oct 2019 14:30 Bola Cohuan Somalia  0.1
28 Oct 2019 14:30 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.1
28 Oct 2019 14:30 Cadayo Somalia  0.1
25 Oct 2019 04:00 Anteral Somalia  0.1
27 Oct 2019 13:15 Bargaal Somalia  0.1
25 Oct 2019 04:00 Kraytar Yemen  0.1
25 Oct 2019 04:00 'Adan Yemen  0.1
25 Oct 2019 04:00 Ankhor Somalia  0.1
25 Oct 2019 04:00 Dagah Gudud Somalia  0.1
26 Oct 2019 15:45 Al Kalban Oman  0.1
26 Oct 2019 15:45 Sur Masirah Oman  0.1
26 Oct 2019 15:45 'Urf Oman  0.1
26 Oct 2019 15:45 Mursays Oman  0.1
26 Oct 2019 15:45 Hiql Oman  0.1
26 Oct 2019 15:45 Maghilah Oman  0.1
25 Oct 2019 03:45 Khormaksar Yemen  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:15 Qashlu Yemen  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:15 Qadub Yemen  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:15 Hadiboh Yemen  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:45 Daga Laha Uein Somalia  0.1
31 Oct 2019 02:45 Tabut Yemen  0.1
31 Oct 2019 02:45 Hayrut Yemen  0.1
31 Oct 2019 02:45 Nishtun Yemen  0.1
28 Oct 2019 04:45 Boho Somalia  0.1
28 Oct 2019 04:45 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.1
28 Oct 2019 04:45 Bereeda Somalia  0.1
01 Nov 2019 02:30 Quwayrah Oman  0.1
26 Oct 2019 16:15 Ceelaayo Somalia  0.1
26 Oct 2019 16:15 Bender Siyaada Somalia  0.1