Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19
in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,
01 Nov 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 173 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (27 Oct 07:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 173 km/h 0.6 m 923 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 173 km/h 0.6 m 923 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia887,599 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 24 Oct 2019 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 24 Oct 2019 12:00 83 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 25 Oct 2019 00:00 86 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 4 25 Oct 2019 12:00 108 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 5 26 Oct 2019 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 26 Oct 2019 12:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 27 Oct 2019 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 27 Oct 2019 12:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 28 Oct 2019 00:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 28 Oct 2019 12:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 29 Oct 2019 00:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 29 Oct 2019 12:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 30 Oct 2019 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 30 Oct 2019 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 31 Oct 2019 00:00 86 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 16 31 Oct 2019 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 01 Nov 2019 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 01 Nov 2019 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

923 mm

Up to 20.6 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndia4,238,212 
100-250 mmIndia, Somalia, Ethiopia, Maldives16,324,082
+
India16,293,879 
Somalia21,602 
Ethiopia5,695 
Maldives2,906 
50-100 mmIndia, Somalia, Ethiopia73,406,225
+
India73,266,909 
Somalia106,639 
Ethiopia32,677 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 24 Oct 2019 00:00 229 -
- - - - - India
Blue 2 24 Oct 2019 12:00 234 -
- - - - - India
Blue 3 25 Oct 2019 00:00 307 -
- - - - - India
Blue 4 25 Oct 2019 12:00 402 -
- - - - - India
Blue 5 26 Oct 2019 00:00 305 -
- - - - - India, Somalia, Ethiopia
Blue 6 26 Oct 2019 12:00 260 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 27 Oct 2019 00:00 256 -
- - - - - Somalia, Ethiopia
Blue 8 27 Oct 2019 12:00 224 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 28 Oct 2019 00:00 410 Few people
- - - - Somalia
Blue 10 28 Oct 2019 12:00 687 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 29 Oct 2019 00:00 590 Few people
- - - - Somalia
Blue 12 29 Oct 2019 12:00 665 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 30 Oct 2019 00:00 232 1 thousand
- - - - India, Ethiopia, Somalia
Blue 14 30 Oct 2019 12:00 332 8 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 15 31 Oct 2019 00:00 592 1 thousand
-
- - - India, Ethiopia
Blue 16 31 Oct 2019 12:00 251 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 01 Nov 2019 00:00 232 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 01 Nov 2019 12:00 588 -
- - - - - India, Somalia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 27 Oct 2019 07:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
27 Oct 2019 07:45 Wadgam India  0.6
27 Oct 2019 07:45 Kambhat India  0.6
27 Oct 2019 07:45 Kavi India  0.6
24 Oct 2019 23:00 Vengurla India  0.5
24 Oct 2019 23:00 Terekhol India  0.5
27 Oct 2019 05:45 Asarsa India  0.5
27 Oct 2019 05:30 Harinagar India  0.5
27 Oct 2019 05:30 Dahej India  0.5
27 Oct 2019 05:30 Tankari India  0.5
27 Oct 2019 05:30 Muler India  0.5
27 Oct 2019 05:30 Ghogha India  0.5
26 Oct 2019 14:00 Mahuva India  0.5
26 Oct 2019 14:15 Kotada India  0.5
24 Oct 2019 23:15 Chopdem India  0.5
26 Oct 2019 09:30 Jafarabad India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 09:30 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 13:00 Nalasopara India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 13:00 Agashi India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 13:00 Dongri India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 13:00 Vasai India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 13:00 Shirgaon India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 13:00 Palghar India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 13:00 Mahim India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 03:30 Hansot India  0.4
24 Oct 2019 23:15 Anjuna India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 12:45 Damka India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 12:45 Surat India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 12:45 Jalalpur India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 12:45 Mahuver India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 13:30 Tarapur India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 13:30 Boisar India  0.4
24 Oct 2019 23:00 Marmagao India  0.4
24 Oct 2019 23:00 Vasco Da Gama India  0.4
24 Oct 2019 23:00 Panaji India  0.4
24 Oct 2019 23:00 Agacaim India  0.4
24 Oct 2019 23:00 Madgaon India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 03:45 Bhagva India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 12:45 Malad India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 12:30 Mumbai India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 12:45 Asumumbay India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 13:30 Uran India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 13:30 Trombay India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 13:30 Diva India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 13:30 Taloje India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 13:15 Rohisa India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 13:15 Malyan India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 01:15 Boria India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 01:15 Guhagar India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 01:15 Anjanwel India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 06:30 Murud India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 06:30 Agar Panchaitan India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 12:30 Mandve India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 13:00 Dharabandar India  0.4
24 Oct 2019 23:00 Malvan India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 13:00 Gholvad India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 01:30 Jaigarh India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 14:30 Bordi India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 14:30 Umbargam India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 14:30 Maroli India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 11:00 Daman India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 11:00 Udvada India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 12:45 Alibag India  0.4
24 Oct 2019 23:15 Devgarh India  0.4
24 Oct 2019 23:15 Achra India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 01:30 Mirya India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 01:00 Bankot India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 01:00 Kelshi India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 01:00 Delvada India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 01:00 Nawabandar India  0.4
24 Oct 2019 23:15 Pural India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 16:30 Ratnagiri India  0.4
24 Oct 2019 22:45 Advota India  0.4
24 Oct 2019 22:45 Chaudi India  0.4
24 Oct 2019 22:45 Majali India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Revadanda India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 23:45 Dangarvadi India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 16:00 Vijayadurg India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 01:30 Srivardhan India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 08:30 Kotra Nes India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 07:45 Veraval India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 07:45 Somnath India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 07:45 Sutrapada India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 07:45 Lodhwa India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 16:00 Purangad India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 16:00 Purnagad India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 16:00 Adiura India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 08:30 Kodinar India  0.4
24 Oct 2019 22:30 Sadashivgarh India  0.4
24 Oct 2019 22:30 Karwar India  0.4
24 Oct 2019 22:30 Belekeri India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 07:45 Shil India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 07:45 Mangrol India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 07:45 Chorwad India  0.3
24 Oct 2019 22:15 Ankola India  0.3
24 Oct 2019 22:15 Gokarn India  0.3
24 Oct 2019 21:30 Kumta India  0.3
24 Oct 2019 21:30 Honavar India  0.3
24 Oct 2019 21:30 Manki India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 07:30 Ratia India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 07:30 Gorser India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 07:45 Adodar India  0.3
24 Oct 2019 05:30 Khalil Oman  0.3
24 Oct 2019 05:30 Tawi Bedi Guish Oman  0.3
24 Oct 2019 05:30 Khadra' Oman  0.3
24 Oct 2019 05:30 As Suwayq Oman  0.3
24 Oct 2019 05:30 Al Mudayq Oman  0.3
27 Oct 2019 14:15 Porbandar India  0.3
28 Oct 2019 09:30 Suthri India  0.3
24 Oct 2019 17:00 Bhatkal India  0.3
24 Oct 2019 17:00 Bainduru India  0.3
24 Oct 2019 17:00 Chittadi India  0.3
28 Oct 2019 06:30 Jambura India  0.3
29 Oct 2019 02:45 Dwarka India  0.3
29 Oct 2019 02:45 Madhi India  0.3
28 Oct 2019 06:15 Tuna India  0.3
28 Oct 2019 08:45 Okha India  0.3
28 Oct 2019 08:45 Aramda India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 14:30 Gadechi India  0.3
24 Oct 2019 21:15 Mavalli India  0.3
24 Oct 2019 21:15 Shirali India  0.3
28 Oct 2019 06:00 Sika India  0.3
24 Oct 2019 17:00 Kundapura India  0.3
28 Oct 2019 05:45 Mundra India  0.3
28 Oct 2019 05:45 Jhankhar India  0.3
24 Oct 2019 05:30 Qasabiyat az Za'ab Oman  0.3
27 Oct 2019 14:30 Lamba India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 14:30 Miyani India  0.3
28 Oct 2019 08:45 Mandvi India  0.3
24 Oct 2019 16:15 Udipi India  0.3
28 Oct 2019 08:45 Bhadia India  0.3
28 Oct 2019 09:30 Bhogat India  0.3
28 Oct 2019 05:30 Navinal India  0.3
28 Oct 2019 12:00 Ghuar Mota India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 16:15 Mulki India  0.2
29 Oct 2019 01:30 Al Jumaylah Oman  0.2
29 Oct 2019 01:30 Ra's ar Ru'ays Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:45 Dafiyat Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:45 Dhuwwah Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:45 Shiinzi Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 04:30 Duqm Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 04:30 Nafun Oman  0.2
29 Oct 2019 01:30 Qalhat Oman  0.2
29 Oct 2019 01:30 Bi'r Bira' Oman  0.2
29 Oct 2019 01:30 Bilad as Sur Oman  0.2
29 Oct 2019 01:30 Sur Oman  0.2
24 Oct 2019 12:30 Manjeshwaram India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 12:30 Kumbla India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 12:15 Mangaluru India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 01:15 Dawwah Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 13:30 Shuwayr Oman  0.2
24 Oct 2019 08:15 Edakkad India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 08:15 Dharmadam India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 08:15 Tellicherry India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 08:15 Mahe India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 08:15 Badagara India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 08:15 Payyoli India  0.2
29 Oct 2019 14:45 As Sirab Oman  0.2
24 Oct 2019 08:45 Cannanore India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:45 Al Kalban Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:45 'Urf Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:45 Hiql Oman  0.2
29 Oct 2019 02:00 Masqat Oman  0.2
29 Oct 2019 02:00 Al Bustan Oman  0.2
29 Oct 2019 02:00 Yiti Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 23:45 Sawqirah Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 23:45 Lakabi Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 23:45 Qaysad Oman  0.2
24 Oct 2019 12:15 Kasaragod India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 01:15 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.2
24 Oct 2019 08:30 Chirakkal India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 08:30 Valapattanam India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 08:30 Azhikkal India  0.2
29 Oct 2019 03:00 As Sifah Oman  0.2
24 Oct 2019 08:15 Quilandi India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 01:00 Sharkh Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 23:15 Lakba Oman  0.2
24 Oct 2019 12:30 Bekal India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 01:30 Ghalat Oman  0.2
24 Oct 2019 08:45 Nileshwar India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 08:45 Chervattur India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 08:45 Trikkaripur India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 08:45 Madayipara India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 08:45 Madayi India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 00:30 Ascira Somalia  0.2
25 Oct 2019 00:30 Sala Gon Somalia  0.2
25 Oct 2019 00:30 Hurdiyo Somalia  0.2
24 Oct 2019 08:30 Kannapuram India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 04:30 Talakkolattur India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 04:30 Kozhikode India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 04:30 Beypore India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 04:15 Chaliyam India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 04:15 Tirurangadi India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 04:15 Tanur India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 04:15 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.2
29 Oct 2019 03:45 Mina' al Fahl Oman  0.2
29 Oct 2019 03:45 Matrah Oman  0.2
25 Oct 2019 03:00 Barka Oman  0.2
25 Oct 2019 03:00 Manumah Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 15:00 Aiesloho Somalia  0.2
31 Oct 2019 15:00 Mach Somalia  0.2
31 Oct 2019 15:00 Tooxin Somalia  0.2
29 Oct 2019 01:00 Sur Masirah Oman  0.2
29 Oct 2019 01:00 Mursays Oman  0.2
29 Oct 2019 01:00 Maghilah Oman  0.2
29 Oct 2019 02:15 Had Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 10:00 Quwayrah Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 03:30 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.1
30 Oct 2019 03:30 Bereeda Somalia  0.1
25 Oct 2019 08:00 Masnaah Oman  0.1
25 Oct 2019 08:00 Bu 'Abali Oman  0.1
25 Oct 2019 08:00 Abu 'Abali Oman  0.1
24 Oct 2019 04:45 Ponnani India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 03:45 Veliyangod India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 03:45 Kadikkad India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 19:45 Xaafuun Somalia  0.1
02 Nov 2019 04:15 Bargaal Somalia  0.1
31 Oct 2019 16:15 Tabut Yemen  0.1
31 Oct 2019 16:15 Hayrut Yemen  0.1
31 Oct 2019 16:15 Nishtun Yemen  0.1
30 Oct 2019 06:15 Dibab Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 06:15 Bimmah Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 06:15 Fins Oman  0.1
29 Oct 2019 15:00 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
25 Oct 2019 16:15 Filim Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 15:45 Boosaaso Somalia  0.1
31 Oct 2019 15:45 Marero Somalia  0.1
29 Oct 2019 17:15 Bacaad Somalia  0.1
29 Oct 2019 17:15 Aantaara Somalia  0.1
29 Oct 2019 16:15 Ankhor Somalia  0.1
31 Oct 2019 15:45 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.1
25 Oct 2019 08:15 Suwadi al Batsa' Oman  0.1
25 Oct 2019 08:15 Billa Oman  0.1
29 Oct 2019 01:45 Daghmar Oman  0.1
29 Oct 2019 16:15 Araft Oman  0.1
29 Oct 2019 16:15 Salalah Oman  0.1
29 Oct 2019 16:15 Al Kathir Oman  0.1
29 Oct 2019 16:15 Sudh Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 12:45 Baarbacadle Somalia  0.1
31 Oct 2019 12:45 Eyl Somalia  0.1
31 Oct 2019 12:45 Daga Laha Uein Somalia  0.1
25 Oct 2019 08:00 Murayjat Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 03:30 Ceelaayo Somalia  0.1
31 Oct 2019 16:15 Denouda Digdiglei Somalia  0.1
29 Oct 2019 09:00 Sib Oman  0.1
29 Oct 2019 09:00 Mawalis Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 15:30 Hundegal Somalia  0.1
29 Oct 2019 04:00 Ramlah Oman  0.1
29 Oct 2019 04:00 Quryat Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 03:30 'Ain Ba Ma'bad Yemen  0.1
30 Oct 2019 03:30 'Ain al-Juwairi Yemen  0.1
30 Oct 2019 03:30 Jilah Yemen  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:15 Shaqra Yemen  0.1
25 Oct 2019 22:45 Boho Somalia  0.1
29 Oct 2019 15:45 Cal Marthal Somalia  0.1
30 Oct 2019 02:30 Al 'Aws Yemen  0.1
30 Oct 2019 02:30 Shaikh Ahmad Yemen  0.1
30 Oct 2019 02:30 Al Hanad Yemen  0.1
31 Oct 2019 15:30 Gaalacoodday Somalia  0.1
30 Oct 2019 01:45 Azaiba Oman  0.1
28 Oct 2019 14:30 Hais Somalia  0.1
28 Oct 2019 14:30 Maydh Somalia  0.1
30 Oct 2019 13:45 Abd Allah Gharib Yemen  0.1
30 Oct 2019 13:45 Jarub Yemen  0.1
28 Oct 2019 14:45 Khormaksar Yemen  0.1
28 Oct 2019 14:45 Kraytar Yemen  0.1
28 Oct 2019 14:45 'Adan Yemen  0.1
31 Oct 2019 15:45 Cadayo Somalia  0.1
31 Oct 2019 15:45 'Ag Somalia  0.1
29 Oct 2019 17:45 Itab Yemen  0.1
28 Oct 2019 14:15 Anteral Somalia  0.1
30 Oct 2019 15:00 Bola Cohuan Somalia  0.1
30 Oct 2019 10:45 Eddi Gellei Somalia  0.1
31 Oct 2019 16:00 Abo Somalia  0.1
31 Oct 2019 16:00 Caluula Somalia  0.1
28 Oct 2019 05:00 Bender Siyaada Somalia  0.1
28 Oct 2019 14:00 Seyara Somalia  0.1
28 Oct 2019 15:15 Dagah Gudud Somalia  0.1
30 Oct 2019 13:00 Al Haibala Yemen  0.1
29 Oct 2019 01:45 Tiwi Oman  0.1
28 Oct 2019 14:45 Bandar Jedid Somalia  0.1
28 Oct 2019 14:00 Laasqoray Somalia  0.1
29 Oct 2019 15:30 Qashlu Yemen  0.1
29 Oct 2019 15:30 Qadub Yemen  0.1
29 Oct 2019 15:30 Hadiboh Yemen  0.1
28 Oct 2019 14:30 Al Irqah Yemen  0.1
28 Oct 2019 15:00 Berbera Somalia  0.1
28 Oct 2019 15:00 Batalaale Somalia  0.1
29 Oct 2019 16:30 Mulaax Beyle Somalia  0.1
31 Oct 2019 15:45 Saqr Yemen  0.1
31 Oct 2019 15:45 Qandala Somalia  0.1
31 Oct 2019 15:45 Botiala Somalia  0.1
30 Oct 2019 15:15 Miji Oman  0.1