Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KELVIN-18
in Australia
15 Feb 2018 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KELVIN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 82 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (18 Feb 06:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 82 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 0.5
ECMWF Overall 68 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

68 km/h

Up to 2 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Feb 2018 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAustralia1,681 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 15 Feb 2018 12:00 82 -
- - - - - Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 15 Feb 2018 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 15 Feb 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Thangoo, Australia. This height is estimated for 18 Feb 2018 06:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Feb 2018 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
18 Feb 2018 06:30 Thangoo Australia  0.7
18 Feb 2018 06:30 Broome Australia  0.7
18 Feb 2018 06:15 Waterbank Australia  0.6
18 Feb 2018 05:30 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.5
18 Feb 2018 12:00 Derby Australia  0.5
17 Feb 2018 18:30 Pender Australia  0.4
16 Feb 2018 08:15 Dampier Australia  0.3
16 Feb 2018 08:15 Karratha Australia  0.3
17 Feb 2018 15:00 Kollan I Australia  0.3
17 Feb 2018 07:00 Condon Australia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 19:15 Pagatan Indonesia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 17:30 Kualalupak Indonesia  0.2
17 Feb 2018 17:30 Port Hedland Australia  0.2
17 Feb 2018 16:45 Wickham Australia  0.2
17 Feb 2018 16:45 Point Samson Australia  0.2
17 Feb 2018 16:45 Cossack Australia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 18:00 Pagetan Indonesia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 18:00 Tambakkarangan Indonesia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 18:00 Tabanio Indonesia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 18:00 Bawahalajung Indonesia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 17:45 Setiroek Indonesia  0.2
17 Feb 2018 07:15 Pardoo Australia  0.2
17 Feb 2018 17:00 Mardie Australia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 17:30 Batakam Indonesia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 17:30 Kandangan Indonesia  0.2
18 Feb 2018 10:00 East Lewis I Australia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 21:15 Dalyellup Australia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 21:15 Bunbury Australia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 21:15 Binningup Australia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 21:15 Myalup Australia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 21:15 Picton Australia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 21:15 Eaton Australia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 21:15 Burragenup Australia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 21:15 Australind Australia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 19:00 Segintong Indonesia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 20:45 Vasse Australia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 20:45 Broadwater Australia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 20:45 Busselton Australia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 20:45 Wonnerup Australia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 20:45 Ludlow Australia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 08:15 The Palms Australia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 08:15 Larrakeyah Australia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 08:15 Fannie Bay Australia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 08:15 Parap Australia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 08:15 Darwin Australia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 08:15 Nightcliff Australia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 08:15 Ludmilla Australia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 08:15 Bagot Australia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 08:15 Leanyer Australia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 08:15 Knuckeys Lagoon Australia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 08:15 Berrimah Australia  0.2
18 Feb 2018 09:45 Ah Chong I Australia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 16:45 Kalipang Indonesia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 16:45 Lemanbang Indonesia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 16:45 Tambakbaja Indonesia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 16:45 Remen Indonesia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 16:45 Plosokere Indonesia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 16:45 Djenu Indonesia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 16:45 Tuban Indonesia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 16:45 Semanding Indonesia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 16:45 Podang Indonesia  0.2
15 Feb 2018 17:15 Mullalloo Beach Australia  0.2
15 Feb 2018 17:15 Fremantle Australia  0.2
15 Feb 2018 17:15 North Beach Australia  0.2
15 Feb 2018 17:15 North Fremantle Australia  0.2
15 Feb 2018 17:15 Scarborough Australia  0.2
15 Feb 2018 17:15 Mosman Park Australia  0.2
15 Feb 2018 17:15 Cottesloe Australia  0.2
15 Feb 2018 17:15 East Fremantle Australia  0.2
15 Feb 2018 17:15 Peppermint Grove Australia  0.2
15 Feb 2018 17:15 Swanbourne Australia  0.2
15 Feb 2018 17:15 Claremont Australia  0.2
15 Feb 2018 17:15 Spearwood Australia  0.2
15 Feb 2018 17:15 Bicton Australia  0.2
15 Feb 2018 15:00 Gregory Australia  0.2
15 Feb 2018 15:00 Lynton Australia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 16:30 Brondong Indonesia  0.2
15 Feb 2018 15:15 Horrocks Australia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 17:00 Padangan-wetan Indonesia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 17:15 Aermata Indonesia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 17:15 Klampis Indonesia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 17:15 Sapulu Indonesia  0.2
15 Feb 2018 15:00 Drummond Cove Australia  0.2
15 Feb 2018 15:00 Popes Landing Australia  0.2
15 Feb 2018 15:00 Kalbarri Australia  0.2
16 Feb 2018 17:30 Tlagabiru Indonesia  0.1
16 Feb 2018 17:30 Tambak Indonesia  0.1
16 Feb 2018 17:30 Sangkapura Indonesia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 17:30 Safety Bay Australia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 17:30 Rockingham Australia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 17:30 Warnbro Australia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 17:30 Coogee Australia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 17:30 Wattleup Australia  0.1
16 Feb 2018 17:30 Banjoeates Indonesia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 15:00 Waggrakine Australia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 14:45 Geraldton Australia  0.1
17 Feb 2018 05:45 Dunsborough Australia  0.1
17 Feb 2018 05:45 Quindalup Australia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 14:30 Denison Australia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 14:30 Port Denison Australia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 14:30 Dongara Australia  0.1
16 Feb 2018 17:30 Ketapang Indonesia  0.1
16 Feb 2018 17:30 Kelapang Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 09:00 Onslow Australia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 14:45 Dirk Hartog Australia  0.1
16 Feb 2018 17:15 Sokabana Indonesia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 14:15 Greenough Australia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 16:45 Two Rocks Australia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 16:45 Yanchep Australia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 16:45 Quinns Rock Australia  0.1
16 Feb 2018 20:45 Gunyulgup Australia  0.1
16 Feb 2018 20:45 Yallingup Australia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 15:15 Augusta Australia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 15:15 Milyeannup Australia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 13:45 Lancelin Australia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 18:15 Blimbing Indonesia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 18:15 Dadapan Indonesia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 18:15 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 18:15 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 18:15 Soega Indonesia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 18:15 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 18:15 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 18:15 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 18:15 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 18:15 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 01:00 Puteran Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 01:00 Lombang Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 01:00 Banraas Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 01:00 Sokaramme Indonesia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 14:45 Tamala Australia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 17:00 Cervantes Australia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 04:00 Sawarangan Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 02:30 Ambunten-timu Indonesia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 17:00 Green Head Australia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 17:00 Leeman Australia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 02:30 Belukares Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 02:45 Semisir Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 02:45 Semaras Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 04:15 Boenati Indonesia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 14:30 Illawong Australia  0.1
17 Feb 2018 07:45 Jerdacuttup Australia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 02:15 Batuputihkenek Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 03:00 Tapianbalai Indonesia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 14:45 Carrarang Australia  0.1
17 Feb 2018 07:45 Hopetoun Australia  0.1
17 Feb 2018 05:15 Falcon Australia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 13:45 Coolimba Australia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 13:45 Seabird Australia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 14:00 Peelhurst Australia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 14:00 Karnup Australia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 16:30 Jurien Australia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 16:15 Guilderton Australia  0.1
17 Feb 2018 08:15 Esperance Australia  0.1
17 Feb 2018 08:15 Doombup Australia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 17:45 Mandurah Australia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 17:45 Singleton Australia  0.1
16 Feb 2018 16:30 Langadai Indonesia  0.1
16 Feb 2018 16:30 Sembelimbingan Indonesia  0.1
16 Feb 2018 16:30 Berangas Indonesia  0.1
16 Feb 2018 16:30 Soengaibali Indonesia  0.1
15 Feb 2018 16:15 Carnarvon Australia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 03:30 Sidoardjo Indonesia  0.1
16 Feb 2018 08:45 Gribble Settlement Australia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 02:45 Pasuruan Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 03:00 Bayeman Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 08:45 Glenroy Australia  0.1
16 Feb 2018 06:00 Masara Indonesia  0.1
16 Feb 2018 06:00 Tioro Indonesia  0.1
16 Feb 2018 06:00 Kembano Indonesia  0.1
16 Feb 2018 06:00 Tampo Indonesia  0.1
16 Feb 2018 06:00 Napabalana Indonesia  0.1
16 Feb 2018 06:00 Bonea Indonesia  0.1
16 Feb 2018 06:00 Koroni Indonesia  0.1
16 Feb 2018 06:00 Lebo Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 01:15 Sonok Indonesia  0.1