Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KELVIN-18
in Australia
19 Feb 2018 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KELVIN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 77 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (19 Feb 17:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 77 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 77 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

77 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 19 Feb 2018 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 16 Feb 2018 06:00 73 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 16 Feb 2018 12:00 80 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 16 Feb 2018 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 17 Feb 2018 00:00 84 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 17 Feb 2018 06:00 69 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 17 Feb 2018 12:00 80 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 17 Feb 2018 18:00 81 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 18 Feb 2018 00:00 80 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 18 Feb 2018 06:00 80 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 18 Feb 2018 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 18 Feb 2018 18:00 62 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 19 Feb 2018 00:00 63 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 19 Feb 2018 06:00 71 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 19 Feb 2018 12:00 77 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 19 Feb 2018 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 16 Feb 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 16 Feb 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 16 Feb 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 17 Feb 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 17 Feb 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 17 Feb 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 17 Feb 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 18 Feb 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 18 Feb 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 18 Feb 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 18 Feb 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 19 Feb 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 19 Feb 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 19 Feb 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Thangoo, Australia. This height is estimated for 19 Feb 2018 17:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 19 Feb 2018 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
19 Feb 2018 17:00 Thangoo Australia  0.2
19 Feb 2018 17:15 Broome Australia  0.2
19 Feb 2018 16:45 Waterbank Australia  0.2
19 Feb 2018 16:30 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.2
21 Feb 2018 00:45 Fannie Bay Australia  0.2
21 Feb 2018 00:45 Parap Australia  0.2
21 Feb 2018 00:45 Darwin Australia  0.2
21 Feb 2018 00:45 Nightcliff Australia  0.2
21 Feb 2018 00:45 Ludmilla Australia  0.2
21 Feb 2018 00:45 Bagot Australia  0.2
21 Feb 2018 00:45 Leanyer Australia  0.2
21 Feb 2018 00:45 Berrimah Australia  0.2
20 Feb 2018 06:30 Setiroek Indonesia  0.2
21 Feb 2018 00:45 The Palms Australia  0.2
21 Feb 2018 00:45 Larrakeyah Australia  0.2
21 Feb 2018 00:45 Knuckeys Lagoon Australia  0.2
20 Feb 2018 07:30 Pagatan Indonesia  0.1
20 Feb 2018 08:00 Segintong Indonesia  0.1
19 Feb 2018 22:30 Derby Australia  0.1
19 Feb 2018 17:00 Pardoo Australia  0.1
21 Feb 2018 13:30 Boenati Indonesia  0.1
21 Feb 2018 15:45 Kualalupak Indonesia  0.1
21 Feb 2018 14:30 Sidoardjo Indonesia  0.1
21 Feb 2018 14:00 Semisir Indonesia  0.1
21 Feb 2018 14:00 Semaras Indonesia  0.1
21 Feb 2018 15:30 Pagetan Indonesia  0.1
21 Feb 2018 15:30 Tambakkarangan Indonesia  0.1
21 Feb 2018 15:30 Tabanio Indonesia  0.1
21 Feb 2018 15:30 Bawahalajung Indonesia  0.1
21 Feb 2018 13:45 Tapianbalai Indonesia  0.1
21 Feb 2018 13:45 Sawarangan Indonesia  0.1
21 Feb 2018 15:00 Batakam Indonesia  0.1
21 Feb 2018 15:00 Kandangan Indonesia  0.1
21 Feb 2018 14:15 Pasuruan Indonesia  0.1
21 Feb 2018 14:30 Bayeman Indonesia  0.1
21 Feb 2018 14:30 Laboean Indonesia  0.1
21 Feb 2018 17:15 Eucla Motel Australia  0.1