Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for EMILIA-18 Off-shore from 27 Jun 2018 21:00 UTC to 02 Jul 2018 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for EMILIA-18

Off-shore

28 Jun 2018 00 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone EMILIA-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	84 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (29 Jun 04:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	84 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	0.5
HWRF Overall	103 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

103 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 28 Jun 2018 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	27 Jun 2018 18:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	28 Jun 2018 00:00	84	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 28 Jun 2018 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	27 Jun 2018 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	28 Jun 2018 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Puertecitos, Mexico. This height is estimated for 29 Jun 2018 04:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 28 Jun 2018 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	29 Jun 2018 04:15	Puertecitos	Mexico	0.4
	29 Jun 2018 04:45	Rancho Bahia	Mexico	0.3
	28 Jun 2018 05:00	Tecomate	Mexico	0.3
	28 Jun 2018 05:00	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.3
	29 Jun 2018 04:45	Molino	Mexico	0.3
	29 Jun 2018 04:45	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.3
	28 Jun 2018 04:00	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.3
	29 Jun 2018 04:45	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.3
	29 Jun 2018 05:00	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 07:30	Guasimas	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 05:15	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 07:15	Empalme	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 01:45	Novillero	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 01:45	Cuantla	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 07:30	San Rafael	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 07:00	Tastiota	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 07:15	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 07:15	Mulege	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 00:15	San Blas	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 00:15	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 07:30	Guaymas	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 07:15	El Barril	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 01:45	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 07:15	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 01:30	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 01:30	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 01:30	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 07:45	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 07:00	San Jose	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 07:00	Atanacio	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 07:15	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 07:15	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 07:30	San Carlos	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 07:15	San Ignacio	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 16:00	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 07:15	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 07:15	Borabampo	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 01:45	La Puerta	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 16:15	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 10:15	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 10:15	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 07:15	Loreto	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 07:15	Ligui	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 01:45	Jarilla	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 07:00	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 07:00	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 17:30	Tripui	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 07:15	San Bruno	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 07:15	Liliba	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 00:45	El Castillo	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 00:45	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 17:45	Datilito	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 17:45	La Paz	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 17:45	Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 17:45	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 07:30	San Cosme	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 01:45	Caimanero	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 07:15	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 17:30	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 17:30	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 07:00	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 00:00	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 00:00	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 00:00	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 00:30	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 17:00	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 17:00	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 07:15	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 08:00	La Ventana	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 03:00	Rancho San Francisco	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 03:00	Colonia Camalu	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 07:15	Los Burros	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 07:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 01:30	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 00:00	La Boca	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 15:30	El Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 03:45	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 16:45	Cedros	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.