Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for EMILIA-18 Off-shore from 27 Jun 2018 21:00 UTC to 02 Jul 2018 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for EMILIA-18

Off-shore

30 Jun 2018 00 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone EMILIA-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	90 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.7 m (02 Jul 18:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	90 km/h	0.7 m	n.a.	0.5
GFS Overall	168 km/h	0.7 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

168 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 30 Jun 2018 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	28 Jun 2018 00:00	98	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	28 Jun 2018 06:00	121	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	28 Jun 2018 12:00	123	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	28 Jun 2018 18:00	120	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	29 Jun 2018 00:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	29 Jun 2018 06:00	102	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	29 Jun 2018 12:00	63	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	29 Jun 2018 18:00	63	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	30 Jun 2018 00:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 30 Jun 2018 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	28 Jun 2018 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	28 Jun 2018 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	28 Jun 2018 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	28 Jun 2018 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	29 Jun 2018 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	29 Jun 2018 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	29 Jun 2018 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	29 Jun 2018 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	30 Jun 2018 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.7m in Puertecitos, Mexico. This height is estimated for 02 Jul 2018 18:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Jun 2018 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	02 Jul 2018 18:45	Puertecitos	Mexico	0.7
	02 Jul 2018 18:30	Rancho Bahia	Mexico	0.7
	02 Jul 2018 18:45	Molino	Mexico	0.6
	02 Jul 2018 18:45	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.6
	02 Jul 2018 18:45	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.6
	02 Jul 2018 18:30	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.5
	02 Jul 2018 05:30	Tecomate	Mexico	0.5
	02 Jul 2018 05:30	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.5
	02 Jul 2018 19:00	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.4
	02 Jul 2018 07:45	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.3
	02 Jul 2018 07:15	El Barril	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2018 19:45	San Rafael	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2018 19:45	Guasimas	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2018 19:45	Empalme	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2018 20:00	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2018 20:00	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2018 19:45	Mulege	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2018 19:45	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2018 19:45	Guaymas	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2018 19:30	Tastiota	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2018 19:45	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2018 19:45	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2018 19:30	San Ignacio	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2018 19:30	San Carlos	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 01:15	San Jose	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 01:15	Atanacio	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2018 19:45	Liliba	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2018 19:30	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2018 19:30	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 01:15	Loreto	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 01:15	Ligui	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 01:15	Tripui	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2018 19:45	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2018 19:45	Borabampo	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2018 19:45	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2018 12:00	San Blas	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2018 12:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2018 06:00	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2018 06:00	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 01:30	San Cosme	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 23:15	Barrio Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 23:15	Zihuatanejo	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 01:30	Datilito	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 01:30	La Paz	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 01:30	Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 23:00	Nuxco	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 23:00	Coyuquillas	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 23:15	Calvario	Mexico	0.1
	01 Jul 2018 19:45	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 01:30	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 21:30	Los Burros	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 22:45	Calla de Campos	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 22:45	Chula	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 22:45	Las Pinas	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 23:15	Lagunillas	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 22:45	Playa Azul	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 22:45	Melchor Ocampo	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 23:15	Joluta	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 15:45	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 15:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 15:45	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 22:15	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 13:15	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 02:15	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 13:00	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 23:15	Las Trojitas	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 02:15	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 05:15	Cedros	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 12:45	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 12:45	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 12:45	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 01:30	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 23:00	Maruata	Mexico	0.1
	01 Jul 2018 06:15	Rancho San Francisco	Mexico	0.1
	01 Jul 2018 06:15	Colonia Camalu	Mexico	0.1
	01 Jul 2018 06:45	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.1
	01 Jul 2018 06:45	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 23:00	Bucerias	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 15:15	El Castillo	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 15:15	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.1
	01 Jul 2018 06:30	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 22:45	San Telmo	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 22:45	Cayaca	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 22:45	Apisa	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 02:30	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 22:45	El Real	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 22:45	Chupadero	Mexico	0.1
	01 Jul 2018 14:00	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 15:30	Cuantla	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 01:15	San Francisco	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 01:15	Monteon	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 01:15	La Lima	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 22:45	Cuyutlan	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 23:30	Santiago	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 23:30	Manzanillo	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 23:00	La Manzanilla	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 23:00	Barra de Navidad	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 12:45	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 02:45	Cachoana	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 22:45	El Ciruelo	Mexico	0.1
	01 Jul 2018 20:00	La Ventana	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 15:30	Novillero	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 13:00	La Florida	Mexico	0.1
	01 Jul 2018 14:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 23:30	Estrecho	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 12:45	Queretaro	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 04:45	Isla Natividad	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 15:30	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 23:15	Corrales	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 23:15	Aquiles Serdan	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 23:15	Ipala	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 12:30	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2018 23:00	Cuitzmala	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.