Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for FOUR-18 in India from 20 Sep 2018 12:00 UTC to 18:00

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for FOUR-18

in India

21 Sep 2018 12 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FOUR-18 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	54 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.6 m (23 Sep 17:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	54 km/h	0.6 m	n.a.	0.5
GFS Overall	65 km/h	0.7 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

65 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2018 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	20 Sep 2018 12:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	20 Sep 2018 18:00	57	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	21 Sep 2018 00:00	59	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	21 Sep 2018 06:00	52	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	21 Sep 2018 12:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2018 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	20 Sep 2018 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	20 Sep 2018 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	21 Sep 2018 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	21 Sep 2018 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	21 Sep 2018 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.6m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 23 Sep 2018 17:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2018 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	23 Sep 2018 17:45	Kambhat	India	0.6
	23 Sep 2018 17:45	Kavi	India	0.6
	23 Sep 2018 17:45	Sarod	India	0.6
	23 Sep 2018 17:45	Wadgam	India	0.5
	22 Sep 2018 16:30	Dahej	India	0.4
	22 Sep 2018 16:30	Harinagar	India	0.4
	22 Sep 2018 16:30	Hansot	India	0.4
	22 Sep 2018 18:00	Asarsa	India	0.4
	22 Sep 2018 18:00	Tankari	India	0.4
	22 Sep 2018 18:00	Muler	India	0.4
	21 Sep 2018 15:15	Shwe-o	Myanmar	0.4
	21 Sep 2018 15:15	Alanbya	Myanmar	0.4
	21 Sep 2018 15:15	Suppanu	Myanmar	0.4
	21 Sep 2018 15:15	Mokkamu	Myanmar	0.4
	21 Sep 2018 15:15	Boyagyi	Myanmar	0.4
	21 Sep 2018 15:15	Kyaikto	Myanmar	0.4
	21 Sep 2018 15:15	Kyaikpi	Myanmar	0.4
	21 Sep 2018 15:15	Kawbein	Myanmar	0.4
	21 Sep 2018 15:15	Pauktaw	Myanmar	0.4
	21 Sep 2018 15:15	Zokali	Myanmar	0.4
	21 Sep 2018 15:15	Taungxun	Myanmar	0.4
	22 Sep 2018 17:00	Bhagva	India	0.4
	22 Sep 2018 18:30	Ghogha	India	0.4
	21 Sep 2018 13:30	Bamnia	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 13:30	Munshir Hat	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 13:30	Tulatali	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 13:30	Char Fakura	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 13:30	Char Chandia	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 13:30	Banskhali	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 13:30	Bariakhali	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 13:30	Jafarnagar	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 13:30	Sandwip	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 13:30	Akbar Hat	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 13:30	Dhalapara	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 13:30	Barabkunda	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 13:30	Bansbaria	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 13:15	Maitbhanga	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 13:15	Kumira	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 13:15	Sitalpur	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:15	Char Chandra Prasad	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:15	Chandpur	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:15	Char Kali	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:15	Pangasia	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:15	Harni	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:15	Char Medua	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:15	South Dighaldi	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:15	Kalupura	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:15	Char Munsi	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:15	Hazari	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:15	Hazipur	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:15	Jagannathpur	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:15	Char Lawrence	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:15	Char Falcon	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:00	Chiladi	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:00	Char Kadira	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:00	Sakusia	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:00	Baga	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:00	Char Madhyam Lamchhidhali	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:00	Rabipur	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 13:00	Bara Pata	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 13:00	Chandpur	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:00	Char Algi	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:00	Char Gazi	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:00	Miar Hat	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:00	Char Ramiz	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:00	Char Bedama	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:30	Kanchanpur	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 15:15	Damathat	Myanmar	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 13:00	Chandhuri Hat	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 13:00	Dasher Hat	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 13:00	Hatia	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 13:00	Khaser Hat	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 13:00	Nalchira	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 14:00	Char Manpura	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 14:00	Char Ishwar Ray	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 13:45	Char Krishnaprasad	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 13:45	Maijchara	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 13:45	Char Ishwar	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 13:45	Char Annadaprasad	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 13:45	Char Lakshmi	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:15	Rasalpur	India	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:15	Chandipur	India	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:00	Char Pyarimohan	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 14:15	Ewazbalia	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 14:15	Ghoshbagh	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:00	Dakshin Char Fasson	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:00	Char Faizuddin	Bangladesh	0.3
	22 Sep 2018 14:45	Damka	India	0.3
	22 Sep 2018 14:45	Surat	India	0.3
	22 Sep 2018 14:45	Jalalpur	India	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:00	Bhatiari	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:00	Dakhin Kattali	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:00	Dakhin Patenga	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:00	Chittagong	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:00	Char Lakshia	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:00	Janali Hat	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:00	Kalapul	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:00	Anowara	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 12:00	Bideipur	India	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 14:45	Taunggyi	Myanmar	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 14:45	Budin	Myanmar	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 14:45	Kadaik	Myanmar	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 14:45	Donwun	Myanmar	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 14:45	Kangyisu	Myanmar	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 14:30	Mahameik	Myanmar	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 14:30	Thamaseikta	Myanmar	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 14:45	Tanbingyaung	Myanmar	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 12:00	Gahira	Bangladesh	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 12:00	Khankhanabad	Bangladesh	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 17:30	Kotada	India	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 14:00	Char Hare	Bangladesh	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 14:00	Neta	Bangladesh	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 14:00	Chhota Baisdia	Bangladesh	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 14:00	Andar Char	Bangladesh	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 14:00	Burirchar	Bangladesh	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 14:00	Char Lakshmi	Bangladesh	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 14:00	Char Manika	Bangladesh	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 14:00	Char Kukuri Mukuri	Bangladesh	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 14:30	Khindan	Myanmar	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 14:30	Darein	Myanmar	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 18:15	Char Kajal	Bangladesh	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 18:15	Sibar Char	Bangladesh	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 18:15	Char Kalmi	Bangladesh	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 18:15	Char Maya	Bangladesh	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 18:15	Ar Kalmi	Bangladesh	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 18:15	Char Aicha	Bangladesh	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 18:15	Char Paila	Bangladesh	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 13:15	Purnankuppam	India	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 13:15	Pondicherry	India	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 13:15	Kalapettai	India	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 18:15	Mahuva	India	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 15:45	Daman	India	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 15:45	Udvada	India	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 14:30	Ali Akbardeil	Bangladesh	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 14:30	Dhurung	Bangladesh	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 14:30	Lemsikhali	Bangladesh	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 14:30	Magnama	Bangladesh	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 17:15	Maroli	India	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 14:00	Dhalghata	Bangladesh	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 14:00	Uttar Nalbila	Bangladesh	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 14:00	Kalarmarchara	Bangladesh	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 13:30	Paung	Myanmar	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 13:15	Amavasyakhali	Bangladesh	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 17:15	Umbargam	India	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 13:15	Munaing	Myanmar	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 13:15	Tagukana	Myanmar	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 13:30	Ghatibhanga	Bangladesh	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 17:15	Gholvad	India	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 17:15	Bordi	India	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 14:30	Shangyaung	Myanmar	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 17:15	Peddapatnam	India	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 18:30	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 15:00	Nizampatam	India	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 17:15	Gollapalem	India	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 17:45	Malyan	India	0.1
	24 Sep 2018 11:45	Kwanhla	Myanmar	0.1
	24 Sep 2018 11:45	Kyaikkami	Myanmar	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 13:15	Vatturupallepalem	India	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 13:15	Govundlapalem	India	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 13:15	Kuakata	Bangladesh	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 13:15	Coxs Bazar	Bangladesh	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 13:15	Dineshpur	Bangladesh	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 13:15	Kelatali	Bangladesh	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 13:15	Khurushkul	Bangladesh	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 13:15	Porto Novo	India	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 13:15	Cuddalore	India	0.1
	24 Sep 2018 10:30	Kayindaung	Myanmar	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 13:45	Puri	India	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 13:45	Balighai	India	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 12:30	Dakhinpara	Bangladesh	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 12:30	Jaliapara	Bangladesh	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 12:30	Zawmadat	Myanmar	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 12:30	Anauk Myinhlut	Myanmar	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 12:30	Kyaukpandu	Myanmar	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 12:30	Hparabyin	Myanmar	0.1
	24 Sep 2018 10:15	Wagaru	Myanmar	0.1
	24 Sep 2018 10:15	Wegalaung	Myanmar	0.1
	24 Sep 2018 10:15	Karokpi	Myanmar	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 13:30	Bardeil	Bangladesh	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 13:30	Atikhalipara	Bangladesh	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 13:30	Teknaf	Bangladesh	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 13:30	Ale Kalaywa	Myanmar	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 13:30	Kanyinchaung	Myanmar	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 13:30	Nyaunggyaung	Myanmar	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 13:15	Kakinada	India	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 16:45	Kattumavadi	India	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 16:45	Manamelkudi	India	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 16:45	Ammapatam	India	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 17:30	Tarapur	India	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 13:45	Point Pedro	Sri Lanka	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 13:45	Ampan	Sri Lanka	0.1
	24 Sep 2018 10:30	Anin	Myanmar	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.