Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for FOUR-18 in India from 20 Sep 2018 12:00 UTC to 18:00

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for FOUR-18

in India

21 Sep 2018 18 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FOUR-18 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	56 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.6 m (23 Sep 17:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	56 km/h	0.6 m	n.a.	0.5
GFS Overall	65 km/h	0.7 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

65 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2018 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	20 Sep 2018 12:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	20 Sep 2018 18:00	57	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	21 Sep 2018 00:00	59	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	21 Sep 2018 06:00	52	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	21 Sep 2018 12:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	21 Sep 2018 18:00	56	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2018 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	20 Sep 2018 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	20 Sep 2018 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	21 Sep 2018 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	21 Sep 2018 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	21 Sep 2018 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	21 Sep 2018 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.6m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 23 Sep 2018 17:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2018 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	23 Sep 2018 17:45	Kambhat	India	0.6
	23 Sep 2018 17:45	Kavi	India	0.6
	23 Sep 2018 17:45	Sarod	India	0.6
	23 Sep 2018 17:45	Wadgam	India	0.5
	22 Sep 2018 15:45	Dahej	India	0.4
	22 Sep 2018 15:45	Harinagar	India	0.4
	22 Sep 2018 15:45	Hansot	India	0.4
	22 Sep 2018 17:45	Asarsa	India	0.4
	22 Sep 2018 17:45	Tankari	India	0.4
	22 Sep 2018 17:45	Muler	India	0.4
	22 Sep 2018 18:00	Ghogha	India	0.3
	22 Sep 2018 15:30	Bhagva	India	0.3
	22 Sep 2018 14:45	Damka	India	0.3
	22 Sep 2018 14:45	Surat	India	0.3
	22 Sep 2018 14:45	Jalalpur	India	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Bara Pata	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Dakshin Char Fasson	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Char Pyarimohan	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Char Annadaprasad	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Chandpur	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Char Lakshmi	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Kanchanpur	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Char Faizuddin	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Char Krishnaprasad	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Char Manpura	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Char Madhyam Lamchhidhali	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Rabipur	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Maijchara	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Dasher Hat	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Hazipur	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Char Algi	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Char Gazi	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Char Ramiz	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Hatia	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Nalchira	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Char Ishwar Ray	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Char Bedama	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Khaser Hat	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Char Ishwar	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	South Dighaldi	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Sakusia	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Baga	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Char Munsi	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Hazari	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Char Falcon	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Char Kadira	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Char Medua	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Kalupura	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Char Lawrence	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Miar Hat	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Chandhuri Hat	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Jagannathpur	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Chiladi	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Char Chandra Prasad	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Chandpur	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Char Kali	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Pangasia	Bangladesh	0.3
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Harni	Bangladesh	0.3
	24 Sep 2018 14:15	Shwe-o	Myanmar	0.2
	24 Sep 2018 14:15	Alanbya	Myanmar	0.2
	24 Sep 2018 14:15	Suppanu	Myanmar	0.2
	24 Sep 2018 14:15	Mokkamu	Myanmar	0.2
	24 Sep 2018 14:15	Boyagyi	Myanmar	0.2
	24 Sep 2018 14:15	Kyaikto	Myanmar	0.2
	24 Sep 2018 14:15	Kyaikpi	Myanmar	0.2
	24 Sep 2018 14:15	Kawbein	Myanmar	0.2
	24 Sep 2018 14:15	Pauktaw	Myanmar	0.2
	24 Sep 2018 14:15	Zokali	Myanmar	0.2
	24 Sep 2018 14:15	Taungxun	Myanmar	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Munshir Hat	Bangladesh	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Sandwip	Bangladesh	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Akbar Hat	Bangladesh	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Maitbhanga	Bangladesh	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Dhalapara	Bangladesh	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Ewazbalia	Bangladesh	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 18:00	Ghoshbagh	Bangladesh	0.2
	24 Sep 2018 14:30	Damathat	Myanmar	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 17:15	Kotada	India	0.2
	24 Sep 2018 14:30	Taunggyi	Myanmar	0.2
	24 Sep 2018 14:30	Budin	Myanmar	0.2
	24 Sep 2018 14:30	Kadaik	Myanmar	0.2
	24 Sep 2018 14:30	Donwun	Myanmar	0.2
	24 Sep 2018 14:30	Kangyisu	Myanmar	0.2
	24 Sep 2018 14:45	Mahameik	Myanmar	0.2
	24 Sep 2018 14:45	Thamaseikta	Myanmar	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 18:15	Char Kajal	Bangladesh	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 18:15	Andar Char	Bangladesh	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 18:15	Burirchar	Bangladesh	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 18:15	Sibar Char	Bangladesh	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 18:15	Char Lakshmi	Bangladesh	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 18:15	Char Kalmi	Bangladesh	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 18:15	Char Maya	Bangladesh	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 18:15	Char Manika	Bangladesh	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 18:15	Char Kukuri Mukuri	Bangladesh	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 18:15	Ar Kalmi	Bangladesh	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 18:15	Char Aicha	Bangladesh	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 18:15	Char Paila	Bangladesh	0.2
	24 Sep 2018 14:45	Tanbingyaung	Myanmar	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 18:00	Mahuva	India	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 17:00	Daman	India	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 17:00	Udvada	India	0.2
	24 Sep 2018 14:45	Khindan	Myanmar	0.1
	24 Sep 2018 14:45	Darein	Myanmar	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 10:30	Bamnia	Bangladesh	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 10:30	Tulatali	Bangladesh	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 10:30	Char Fakura	Bangladesh	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 10:30	Char Chandia	Bangladesh	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 10:30	Banskhali	Bangladesh	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 10:30	Bariakhali	Bangladesh	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 10:30	Jafarnagar	Bangladesh	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 08:15	Bansbaria	Bangladesh	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 08:15	Kumira	Bangladesh	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 08:15	Sitalpur	Bangladesh	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 08:15	Bhatiari	Bangladesh	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 08:15	Dakhin Kattali	Bangladesh	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 08:15	Dakhin Patenga	Bangladesh	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 08:15	Chittagong	Bangladesh	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 08:15	Char Lakshia	Bangladesh	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 08:15	Janali Hat	Bangladesh	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 08:15	Kalapul	Bangladesh	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 08:15	Anowara	Bangladesh	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 17:15	Maroli	India	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 10:30	Barabkunda	Bangladesh	0.1
	24 Sep 2018 15:00	Paung	Myanmar	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 17:15	Umbargam	India	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 20:00	Rasalpur	India	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 20:00	Chandipur	India	0.1
	24 Sep 2018 14:30	Munaing	Myanmar	0.1
	24 Sep 2018 14:30	Tagukana	Myanmar	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 16:45	Gholvad	India	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 16:45	Bordi	India	0.1
	24 Sep 2018 14:30	Shangyaung	Myanmar	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 08:30	Gahira	Bangladesh	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 08:30	Khankhanabad	Bangladesh	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 19:45	Bideipur	India	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 18:30	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 20:45	Peddapatnam	India	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 21:15	Char Hare	Bangladesh	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 21:15	Neta	Bangladesh	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 21:15	Chhota Baisdia	Bangladesh	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 20:30	Gollapalem	India	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 17:45	Malyan	India	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 18:30	Nizampatam	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.