Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for FOUR-18
in India

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FOUR-18 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 52 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (22 Sep 20:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 52 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 65 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

65 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2018 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 20 Sep 2018 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 20 Sep 2018 18:00 57 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 21 Sep 2018 00:00 59 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 21 Sep 2018 06:00 52 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2018 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 20 Sep 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 20 Sep 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 21 Sep 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 21 Sep 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 22 Sep 2018 20:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2018 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
22 Sep 2018 20:00 Kambhat India  0.5
22 Sep 2018 20:00 Kavi India  0.5
22 Sep 2018 20:00 Sarod India  0.5
22 Sep 2018 19:45 Wadgam India  0.5
22 Sep 2018 18:45 Asarsa India  0.4
22 Sep 2018 18:45 Dahej India  0.4
22 Sep 2018 18:45 Harinagar India  0.4
22 Sep 2018 18:45 Tankari India  0.4
22 Sep 2018 18:45 Muler India  0.4
22 Sep 2018 18:45 Ghogha India  0.4
22 Sep 2018 16:30 Hansot India  0.4
21 Sep 2018 15:15 Shwe-o Myanmar  0.4
21 Sep 2018 15:15 Alanbya Myanmar  0.4
21 Sep 2018 15:15 Suppanu Myanmar  0.4
21 Sep 2018 15:15 Mokkamu Myanmar  0.4
21 Sep 2018 15:15 Boyagyi Myanmar  0.4
21 Sep 2018 15:15 Kyaikto Myanmar  0.4
21 Sep 2018 15:15 Kyaikpi Myanmar  0.4
21 Sep 2018 15:15 Kawbein Myanmar  0.4
21 Sep 2018 15:15 Pauktaw Myanmar  0.4
21 Sep 2018 15:15 Zokali Myanmar  0.4
21 Sep 2018 15:15 Taungxun Myanmar  0.4
21 Sep 2018 08:30 Rasalpur India  0.4
21 Sep 2018 08:30 Chandipur India  0.4
22 Sep 2018 16:15 Bhagva India  0.4
21 Sep 2018 06:00 Char Hare Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 06:00 Neta Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 06:00 Chhota Baisdia Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 06:00 Andar Char Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 06:00 Burirchar Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 06:00 Char Lakshmi Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 06:00 Char Manika Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 06:00 Char Kukuri Mukuri Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 07:30 Char Kajal Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 07:30 Sibar Char Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 07:30 Char Kalmi Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 07:30 Char Maya Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 07:30 Ar Kalmi Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 07:30 Char Aicha Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 07:30 Char Paila Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 13:30 Bamnia Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 13:30 Munshir Hat Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 13:30 Tulatali Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 13:30 Char Fakura Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 13:30 Char Chandia Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 13:30 Banskhali Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 13:30 Bariakhali Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 13:30 Jafarnagar Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 13:30 Sandwip Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 13:30 Akbar Hat Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 13:30 Dhalapara Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 13:30 Barabkunda Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 13:30 Bansbaria Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Char Chandra Prasad Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Chandpur Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Char Kali Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Pangasia Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Harni Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Char Medua Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 South Dighaldi Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Kalupura Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Char Munsi Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Hazari Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Hazipur Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Jagannathpur Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Char Lawrence Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Char Falcon Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 13:15 Maitbhanga Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Chiladi Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Char Kadira Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:45 Sakusia Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:45 Baga Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:45 Char Madhyam Lamchhidhali Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:45 Rabipur Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 13:15 Kumira Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 13:15 Sitalpur Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 15:15 Damathat Myanmar  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:00 Char Algi Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:00 Char Gazi Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:00 Miar Hat Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:00 Char Ramiz Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:00 Char Bedama Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 10:45 Chandpur Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 10:45 Chandhuri Hat Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 10:45 Bara Pata Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 10:30 Kanchanpur Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 08:45 Bideipur India  0.3
21 Sep 2018 13:00 Dasher Hat Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 13:00 Hatia Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 13:00 Khaser Hat Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 13:00 Nalchira Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 13:00 Char Manpura Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 13:00 Char Ishwar Ray Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 13:45 Char Krishnaprasad Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 13:45 Maijchara Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 13:45 Char Ishwar Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 12:45 Char Lakshmi Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 10:15 Char Annadaprasad Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 12:00 Char Pyarimohan Bangladesh  0.3
22 Sep 2018 17:15 Damka India  0.3
22 Sep 2018 17:15 Surat India  0.3
22 Sep 2018 17:15 Jalalpur India  0.3
21 Sep 2018 12:00 Dakshin Char Fasson Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 12:00 Char Faizuddin Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 06:00 Ewazbalia Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 06:00 Ghoshbagh Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Bhatiari Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Dakhin Kattali Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Dakhin Patenga Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Chittagong Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Char Lakshia Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Janali Hat Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Kalapul Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Anowara Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 14:45 Taunggyi Myanmar  0.3
21 Sep 2018 14:45 Budin Myanmar  0.3
21 Sep 2018 14:45 Kadaik Myanmar  0.3
21 Sep 2018 14:45 Donwun Myanmar  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:00 Gahira Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:00 Khankhanabad Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 14:45 Kangyisu Myanmar  0.3
21 Sep 2018 14:30 Mahameik Myanmar  0.2
21 Sep 2018 14:30 Thamaseikta Myanmar  0.2
21 Sep 2018 14:45 Tanbingyaung Myanmar  0.2
22 Sep 2018 19:00 Kotada India  0.2
21 Sep 2018 09:15 Andin Myanmar  0.2
21 Sep 2018 06:15 Satabhaya India  0.2
21 Sep 2018 06:15 Hukitala India  0.2
21 Sep 2018 07:00 Kuakata Bangladesh  0.2
22 Sep 2018 18:30 Mahuva India  0.2
21 Sep 2018 09:45 Ali Akbardeil Bangladesh  0.2
21 Sep 2018 09:45 Dhurung Bangladesh  0.2
21 Sep 2018 09:45 Lemsikhali Bangladesh  0.2
21 Sep 2018 09:45 Magnama Bangladesh  0.2
22 Sep 2018 17:15 Daman India  0.2
22 Sep 2018 17:15 Udvada India  0.2
21 Sep 2018 10:45 Apaung Myanmar  0.2
21 Sep 2018 10:45 Akechaungwa Myanmar  0.2
21 Sep 2018 10:45 Ase Myanmar  0.2
21 Sep 2018 10:45 Tawgyaik Myanmar  0.2
21 Sep 2018 14:30 Khindan Myanmar  0.2
21 Sep 2018 14:30 Darein Myanmar  0.2
21 Sep 2018 09:30 Uttar Nalbila Bangladesh  0.2
21 Sep 2018 09:15 Dhalghata Bangladesh  0.2
21 Sep 2018 09:00 Kalarmarchara Bangladesh  0.2
21 Sep 2018 10:45 Ale-ywa Myanmar  0.2
21 Sep 2018 09:00 Amavasyakhali Bangladesh  0.2
22 Sep 2018 18:15 Maroli India  0.2
21 Sep 2018 09:15 Duya Myanmar  0.2
22 Sep 2018 18:00 Umbargam India  0.2
21 Sep 2018 09:00 Ghatibhanga Bangladesh  0.2
22 Sep 2018 18:30 Gholvad India  0.2
22 Sep 2018 18:30 Bordi India  0.2
21 Sep 2018 07:15 Nizampatam India  0.2
21 Sep 2018 09:00 Peddapatnam India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 13:15 Purnankuppam India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 13:15 Pondicherry India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 13:15 Kalapettai India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 06:00 Paung Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 09:30 Puri India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 09:30 Balighai India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 08:45 Gollapalem India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 10:00 Dawnvein Myanmar  0.1
22 Sep 2018 18:30 Malyan India  0.1
22 Sep 2018 18:30 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 13:15 Munaing Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 13:15 Tagukana Myanmar  0.1
23 Sep 2018 12:30 Shangyaung Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 10:00 Alandaing Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 10:00 Hseikma Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 08:15 Coxs Bazar Bangladesh  0.1
21 Sep 2018 08:15 Dineshpur Bangladesh  0.1
21 Sep 2018 08:15 Kelatali Bangladesh  0.1
21 Sep 2018 08:15 Khurushkul Bangladesh  0.1
22 Sep 2018 18:15 Tarapur India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 10:30 Wegalaung Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 10:30 Anin Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 10:45 Kayindaung Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 10:45 Wagaru Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 10:45 Karokpi Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 11:00 Kadonkani Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 11:00 Yegyawgyi Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 11:00 Ama Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 11:00 Tawbaing Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 06:15 Nuralrevu India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 06:15 Gopalpur India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 06:00 Nuliasahi India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 06:00 Nuagan India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 11:15 Kyaikkami Myanmar  0.1
22 Sep 2018 18:15 Boisar India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 09:45 Konarak India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 09:30 Panasapada India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 06:00 Dakhinpara Bangladesh  0.1
21 Sep 2018 06:00 Jaliapara Bangladesh  0.1
21 Sep 2018 06:00 Zawmadat Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 06:00 Anauk Myinhlut Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 06:00 Kyaukpandu Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 06:00 Hparabyin Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 12:00 Kwanhla Myanmar  0.1
22 Sep 2018 19:00 Shirgaon India  0.1
22 Sep 2018 18:00 Jafarabad India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 06:00 Durgarajupatnam India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 07:15 Lankavanidibba India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 13:15 Vatturupallepalem India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 13:15 Govundlapalem India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 09:00 Bandamurlanka India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 06:30 Chatrapur India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 06:30 Canjam India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 08:45 Antarvedi India  0.1
22 Sep 2018 18:45 Palghar India  0.1
22 Sep 2018 18:45 Mahim India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 13:30 Bardeil Bangladesh  0.1
21 Sep 2018 13:30 Atikhalipara Bangladesh  0.1
21 Sep 2018 13:30 Teknaf Bangladesh  0.1
21 Sep 2018 13:30 Ale Kalaywa Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 13:30 Kanyinchaung Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 13:30 Nyaunggyaung Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 08:00 Pechardwip Bangladesh  0.1
21 Sep 2018 08:00 Jaliapalong Bangladesh  0.1
21 Sep 2018 08:00 Dhoapalong Bangladesh  0.1
21 Sep 2018 08:00 Inani Bangladesh  0.1
21 Sep 2018 07:45 Monakhali Bangladesh  0.1