Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for NESTOR-19
in United States
17 Oct 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NESTOR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (17 Oct 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (United States)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 72 km/h 0.2 m 220 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 90 km/h 0.8 m 357 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

90 km/h

Up to 60 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States59,825 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Oct 2019 12:00 79 -
- - - - - United States
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmUnited States, Mexico412,699
+
United States385,367 
Mexico27,332 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico, Guatemala7,286,509
+
United States4,593,657 
Mexico2,692,849 
Guatemala03 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Oct 2019 12:00 341 410 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico, Guatemala




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Isle of Palms, United States. This height is estimated for 17 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
17 Oct 2019 18:00 Isle of Palms United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 18:00 Palm Valley Landing United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 18:00 Jacksonville Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 18:00 Palm Valley United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 18:00 Ponte Vedra Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 18:00 Sawgrass United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 18:00 Mickler Landing United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 18:00 Casa Cola United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 18:00 South Ponte Vedra Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:15 Cummings United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:15 Wabasso United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:15 Orchid United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:15 Nevins United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:15 Indian River Shores United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:15 Riomar United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:15 Indrio United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:15 South Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:15 Queens Cove United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 16:45 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.2
17 Oct 2019 16:45 Salinas Mexico  0.2
17 Oct 2019 16:45 Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:15 Valkaria United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:15 Grant United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:15 Melbourne Shores United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:15 Evans Pines United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:15 Ballard Pines United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:15 Melbourne Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:15 Indialantic United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:30 Mound Grove United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:30 Ormond-by-the-Sea United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:30 Daytona Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:30 Holly Hill United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:30 Ellinor Village United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:30 Ortona United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:30 Seabreeze United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:30 South Daytona United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:30 Daytona Beach Shores United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:30 Allandale United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:30 Halifax Estates United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:30 Wilbur-by-the-Sea United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:15 Tropic United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:15 South Patrick Shores United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:15 Satellite Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:15 Indian Harbour Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:15 Canova Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:45 Summer Haven United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:45 Palm Coast United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:45 Marineland United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:45 Bon Terra United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:45 Beverly Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:45 Flagler Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:30 Cape Canaveral United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 17:30 Cocoa Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Forked River United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Brookside Heights United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Bayville United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Oak Glen United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Cedar Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Island Heights United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Sunrise Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Ocean Gate United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Beachwood United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Barnegat Bay Estates United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Bay Shore United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Island Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Seaside Park United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Seaside Heights United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Lavallette United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Barnegat United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:15 South Toms River United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Pebble Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Waretown United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Toms River United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Pine Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Pineward United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Harvey Cedars United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Barnegat Light United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 14:45 Little Kinnakeet United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 14:45 Salvo United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 14:45 Steeple United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 14:45 Rodanthe United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:15 California United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Mother Vineyard United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Kill Devil Hills United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Croatan Shores United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Manteo United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Wanchese United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Nags Head United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Whalebone United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 14:30 Alvarado Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:00 Manns Harbor United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:00 Hargraves Bench United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:00 Southern Shores United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:00 Colington United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:00 Fort Raleigh City United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:00 Kitty Hawk United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 17:15 Isleboro United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 17:15 New Smyrna Beach United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 17:15 Ponce Inlet United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 17:15 Ponce Park United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 14:45 Avon United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:45 Poplar Branch United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:45 Grandy United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:45 Jarvisburg United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:45 Corolla United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:45 Caffys Inlet Hamlet United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:45 Bayberry Bluffs United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 17:45 Crescent Beach United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 18:00 Araquey United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 18:00 Saint Augustine United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 18:00 Villano Beach United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 18:00 Anastasia United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 18:00 Saint Augustine Beach United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 17:30 Surf City United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 17:30 Ocean City Beach United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 17:30 Thomas Landing United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 17:30 North Topsail Beach United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 17:30 Sneads Ferry United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 17:30 Chadwick Acres United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 17:30 Duck Creek United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:00 Belize City Belize  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:15 False Cape Landing United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 17:45 Butler Beach United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 17:15 Bethune Beach United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 17:15 Eldora United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 18:00 Oak Harbor United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 18:00 Atlantic Beach United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:30 Stacy United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:30 Masontown United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:30 Sealevel United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:30 Atlantic United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:30 Roe United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:30 Lola United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 14:45 Buxton United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:00 Los Ebanos Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:45 Harbinger United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:45 Point Harbor United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:00 Corys United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:00 Waterlilly United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:00 Knotts Island United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:30 Portsmouth United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 17:15 Port Mansfield United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:00 Las Barrillas Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:00 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:15 Coinjock United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:15 Aydlett United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:30 Limera Honduras  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:30 Balfate Honduras  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:30 Rio Esteban Honduras  0.1
17 Oct 2019 17:30 Willis Landing United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 17:30 Bear Creek United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 17:30 Swansboro United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 17:30 Cedar Point United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 17:30 Cape Carteret United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 17:30 Bogue United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 14:30 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 14:30 Primero de Mayo Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Ship Bottom United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Surf City United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Long Beach United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 17:45 Topsail Beach United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 17:45 Sloop Point United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 17:45 Barlowes United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 17:45 Kings Landing United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:00 Frisco United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 17:30 Bucks Corner United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 17:30 Emerald Isle United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 17:30 Ocean United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 17:30 Indian Beach United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 13:45 Tecolutla Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 13:45 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 13:45 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:15 Sandbridge Beach United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 18:00 Mayport United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 18:00 East Mayport United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:00 El Tular Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:00 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:45 Saint Lucie United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:45 Ankona United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:45 Walton United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:45 Eden United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:45 Jensen Beach United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:45 Hutchinson Island South United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:45 Sewall's Point United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:45 Port Sewall United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 13:45 San Juan Honduras  0.1
17 Oct 2019 13:45 Tela Honduras  0.1
17 Oct 2019 13:45 Colorado Honduras  0.1
17 Oct 2019 17:00 Barque Haiti  0.1
17 Oct 2019 17:00 Lombard Haiti  0.1
17 Oct 2019 17:00 Cap-Haitien Haiti  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Ocracoke United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Widgen Woods United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:30 Davis United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 14:15 El Laurel Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 14:15 Vega de Alatorre Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 14:15 Emilio Carranza Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:00 Munden United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:00 Back Bay United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:00 Creeds United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:00 Linkhorn United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:00 Alanton United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:00 Pungo United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:00 Atlantic Park United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:00 Dawley Corners United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:00 Dam Neck Corner United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:00 Public Landing United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:00 Campbells Landing United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:00 Sigma United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:00 Cavalier Park United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:00 Hill Landing United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:00 Virginia Beach United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:30 Holgate United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:30 Beach Haven United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:30 Beach Haven West United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:30 Spray Beach United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:30 North Beach Haven United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:30 Brant Beach United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:45 El Martillo United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:45 Yarborough United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Chiltepec Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Hidalgo Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 14:30 La Presita Mexico  0.1