Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for NESTOR-19 in United States from 17 Oct 2019 15:00 UTC to 19 Oct 2019 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for NESTOR-19

in United States

18 Oct 2019 00 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NESTOR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	United States
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	65 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (18 Oct 01:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (United States)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	65 km/h	0.2 m	166 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	90 km/h	0.8 m	357 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

90 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	United States	34

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	17 Oct 2019 12:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	17 Oct 2019 18:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	18 Oct 2019 00:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	United States

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	United States, Mexico	57,459	+
	United States	23,548
	Mexico	33,911
50-100 mm	United States, Mexico	7,697,141	+
	United States	5,602,501
	Mexico	2,094,640

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	17 Oct 2019 12:00	220	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	17 Oct 2019 18:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	18 Oct 2019 00:00	298	60 thousand			-	-	-	-	United States, Mexico

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Tropic, United States. This height is estimated for 18 Oct 2019 01:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	18 Oct 2019 01:00	Tropic	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 01:00	Melbourne Beach	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 01:00	South Patrick Shores	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 01:00	Satellite Beach	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 01:00	Indian Harbour Beach	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 01:00	Canova Beach	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 01:00	Indialantic	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 01:00	Valkaria	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 01:00	Grant	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 01:00	Melbourne Shores	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 01:00	Evans Pines	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 01:00	Ballard Pines	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 01:15	Cummings	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 01:15	Wabasso	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 01:15	Orchid	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 01:15	Indian River Shores	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 01:15	Riomar	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 01:30	Daytona Beach	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 01:30	Holly Hill	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 01:30	Ellinor Village	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 01:30	Ortona	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 01:30	Seabreeze	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 01:30	South Daytona	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 01:30	Daytona Beach Shores	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 01:30	Allandale	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 01:30	Halifax Estates	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 01:30	Wilbur-by-the-Sea	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 01:30	Isleboro	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 01:30	New Smyrna Beach	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 01:30	Ponce Inlet	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 01:30	Ponce Park	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 01:00	Cocoa Beach	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 02:00	Mound Grove	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 02:00	Ormond-by-the-Sea	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 01:00	Cape Canaveral	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 02:00	Raya	Honduras	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 02:00	Clubki	Honduras	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 02:00	Irlaya	Honduras	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 02:45	Beverly Beach	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 02:45	Flagler Beach	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 02:30	Summer Haven	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 02:30	Palm Coast	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 02:30	Marineland	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 02:30	Bon Terra	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 02:45	Casa Cola	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 02:45	Araquey	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 02:45	South Ponte Vedra Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 02:45	Saint Augustine	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 02:45	Villano Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 02:45	Anastasia	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 02:45	Saint Augustine Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 02:45	Butler Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 00:15	Anton Lizardo	Mexico	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 00:15	Salinas	Mexico	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 00:15	Buen Pais	Mexico	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 04:30	Black Hammock	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 04:30	Amelia City	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 04:30	Fernandina Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 04:30	Franklintown	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 04:30	American Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 04:30	Mayport	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 04:30	East Mayport	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 04:45	Dungeness	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 04:45	Stafford	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 04:45	Greyfield	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 05:30	Holly Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 05:30	Laguna Vista	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 05:30	Laguna Heights	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 05:30	Port Isabel	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 05:30	Kopernik Shores	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 05:30	South Padre Island	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 05:30	Boca Chica	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 06:00	Port Mansfield	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 01:45	Bethune Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 01:45	Eldora	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 05:15	Buena Vista	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 05:45	Guerrero	Mexico	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 05:45	Real de Salinas	Mexico	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 04:45	High Point	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 05:00	Chinquapin	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 05:45	Hoskins	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 05:45	Port Morris	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 05:45	Red Fish Cove	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 05:45	Bay Harbor	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 05:45	Sea Isle	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 05:45	Jamaica Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 02:45	Hagley Estates	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 02:45	True Blue	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 02:45	Birds Nest	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 02:45	Chapel Creek	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 02:45	Pawleys Island	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 02:45	Parkersville	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 02:45	Annieville	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 02:45	North Litchfield Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 02:45	Huntington Marsh	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 02:45	Oak Hill	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 02:45	Murrells Inlet	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 02:45	Inlet Harbor	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 02:45	Caines	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 02:45	Quarantine	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 02:45	Clambank	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 02:45	De Bordieu Colony	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 05:00	Fraccionamiento Nuevo Leon	Mexico	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 05:15	Bryan Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 05:00	Matagorda	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 05:30	Surfside	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 05:30	Mims	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 05:30	Surfside Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 05:15	Freeport	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 05:15	Quintana	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 04:45	Corozo	Guatemala	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 04:45	Cabeza de Vaca	Guatemala	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 04:45	Baranca	Belize	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 04:45	San Juan	Guatemala	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 04:45	Cocoli	Guatemala	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 04:45	Buena Vista	Guatemala	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 04:45	Livingston	Guatemala	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.