Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for MAHA-19 in India from 30 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC to 06 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19

in India

02 Nov 2019 00 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	76 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (02 Nov 07:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	76 km/h	0.3 m	427 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	169 km/h	0.4 m	850 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

169 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 02 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	29 Oct 2019 12:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	30 Oct 2019 00:00	126	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	30 Oct 2019 12:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	31 Oct 2019 00:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
5	31 Oct 2019 12:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	01 Nov 2019 00:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	01 Nov 2019 12:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	02 Nov 2019 00:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
50-100 mm	India, Sri Lanka	677,839	+
	India	311,002
	Sri Lanka	366,837

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	29 Oct 2019 12:00	666	430 thousand			-	-	-	-	India
2	30 Oct 2019 00:00	231	2 thousand			-	-	-	-	India, Maldives
3	30 Oct 2019 12:00	333	8 thousand			-	-	-	-	India
4	31 Oct 2019 00:00	591	150 thousand				-	-	-	India
5	31 Oct 2019 12:00	251	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	01 Nov 2019 00:00	231	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	01 Nov 2019 12:00	348	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	02 Nov 2019 00:00	488	-		-	-	-	-	-	India, Sri Lanka

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 02 Nov 2019 07:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 02 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	02 Nov 2019 07:00	Kambhat	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 07:00	Kavi	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 07:00	Sarod	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 07:00	Wadgam	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 03:00	Ghogha	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 03:15	Dahej	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 03:00	Harinagar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:30	Kotada	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 00:15	Daman	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 00:15	Udvada	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:45	Mahuva	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Tarapur	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Shirgaon	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Palghar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Boisar	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 01:45	Damka	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:30	Gholvad	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:30	Bordi	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:30	Umbargam	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:30	Maroli	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 15:00	Jafarabad	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 15:00	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 13:30	Nalasopara	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 13:30	Agashi	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 13:30	Dongri	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 13:30	Vasai	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 13:30	Mahim	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:45	Malyan	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 00:45	Dharabandar	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 00:45	Rohisa	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 13:15	Malad	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 13:15	Mumbai	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 13:15	Asumumbay	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 14:30	Tuna	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 14:30	Jodiya	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 00:45	Delvada	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 00:45	Nawabandar	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 14:30	Jambura	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 15:15	Mundra	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 20:15	Kotra Nes	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 20:15	Dangarvadi	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 20:45	Alibag	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 05:15	Shil	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 05:15	Mangrol	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 05:15	Chorwad	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 20:00	Lodhwa	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 20:00	Kodinar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:30	Sutrapada	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 14:45	Sika	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 15:00	Jhankhar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:00	Veraval	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:00	Somnath	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:00	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:00	Srivardhan	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:00	Bankot	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:00	Kelshi	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 15:00	Navinal	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 12:30	Ratia	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 12:30	Gorser	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 09:00	Adodar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 06:15	Revadanda	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 08:30	Porbandar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 06:30	Murud	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:45	Boria	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:45	Guhagar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:45	Anjanwel	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 15:00	Chudeswar	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 15:15	Bhadia	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 15:30	Mandvi	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 10:30	Suthri	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:45	Jaigarh	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 16:00	Aramda	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 11:45	Okha	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:00	Mirya	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:00	Ratnagiri	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 12:15	Miyani	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:15	Purangad	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:15	Purnagad	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:15	Adiura	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 11:15	Gadechi	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 12:00	Lamba	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 12:00	Bhogat	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 12:00	Madhi	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 11:45	Dwarka	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 03:30	Vijayadurg	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 00:15	Devgarh	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 00:15	Pural	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 00:15	Achra	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 00:00	Madgaon	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 00:15	Marmagao	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 00:15	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 00:15	Panaji	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 00:15	Agacaim	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 07:15	Malvan	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 08:30	Vengurla	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 08:30	Terekhol	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 00:00	Chopdem	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 00:00	Anjuna	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 00:00	Advota	India	0.1
	04 Nov 2019 13:00	Bada	Pakistan	0.1
	04 Nov 2019 13:00	Sonmiani	Pakistan	0.1
	04 Nov 2019 13:00	Cheru	Pakistan	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 00:00	Chaudi	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 00:00	Majali	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 09:45	Honavar	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 09:45	Manki	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 09:45	Mavalli	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 09:45	Shirali	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 09:45	Bhatkal	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 00:15	Sadashivgarh	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 00:15	Karwar	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 02:45	Lakba	Oman	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 02:45	Sawqirah	Oman	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 02:45	Lakabi	Oman	0.1
	04 Nov 2019 12:45	Bambu Khan	Pakistan	0.1
	04 Nov 2019 12:45	Goth Jumo	Pakistan	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 20:00	Al Khaluf	Oman	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 20:00	Filim	Oman	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 09:45	Bainduru	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 09:45	Chittadi	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 01:00	Belekeri	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 08:00	Edakkad	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 08:00	Dharmadam	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 08:00	Tellicherry	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 08:00	Mahe	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 08:00	Badagara	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 08:00	Payyoli	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.