Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for MAHA-19 in India from 30 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC to 06 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19

in India

05 Nov 2019 12 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	104 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (06 Nov 13:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	104 km/h	0.2 m	237 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	169 km/h	0.4 m	850 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

169 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 05 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	29 Oct 2019 12:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	30 Oct 2019 00:00	126	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	30 Oct 2019 12:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	31 Oct 2019 00:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
5	31 Oct 2019 12:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	01 Nov 2019 00:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	01 Nov 2019 12:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	02 Nov 2019 00:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	02 Nov 2019 12:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	03 Nov 2019 00:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	03 Nov 2019 12:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	04 Nov 2019 00:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	04 Nov 2019 12:00	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	05 Nov 2019 00:00	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	05 Nov 2019 12:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 05 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	India	1,123,159
50-100 mm	India	2,066,867

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	29 Oct 2019 12:00	666	430 thousand			-	-	-	-	India
2	30 Oct 2019 00:00	231	2 thousand			-	-	-	-	India, Maldives
3	30 Oct 2019 12:00	333	8 thousand			-	-	-	-	India
4	31 Oct 2019 00:00	591	150 thousand				-	-	-	India
5	31 Oct 2019 12:00	251	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	01 Nov 2019 00:00	231	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	01 Nov 2019 12:00	348	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	02 Nov 2019 00:00	427	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	02 Nov 2019 12:00	179	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	03 Nov 2019 00:00	246	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
11	03 Nov 2019 12:00	215	-		-	-	-	-	-	Sri Lanka
12	04 Nov 2019 00:00	308	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	04 Nov 2019 12:00	312	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	05 Nov 2019 00:00	387	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	05 Nov 2019 12:00	317	1.1 million			-	-	-	-	India

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Bada, Pakistan. This height is estimated for 06 Nov 2019 13:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 05 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	06 Nov 2019 13:00	Bada	Pakistan	0.2
	06 Nov 2019 13:00	Sonmiani	Pakistan	0.1
	07 Nov 2019 15:00	Kambhat	India	0.1
	07 Nov 2019 15:00	Kavi	India	0.1
	07 Nov 2019 15:00	Sarod	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 12:45	Cheru	Pakistan	0.1
	07 Nov 2019 14:45	Wadgam	India	0.1
	05 Nov 2019 20:00	Naka Kharari	Pakistan	0.1
	05 Nov 2019 20:00	Gadani	Pakistan	0.1
	05 Nov 2019 12:15	Bambu Khan	Pakistan	0.1
	05 Nov 2019 12:15	Goth Jumo	Pakistan	0.1
	05 Nov 2019 12:45	Pentakota	India	0.1
	05 Nov 2019 20:15	Isa	Pakistan	0.1
	05 Nov 2019 19:30	Ras Muari	Pakistan	0.1
	05 Nov 2019 19:30	Goth Haji Muhammad	Pakistan	0.1
	05 Nov 2019 19:30	Goth Lashkari	Pakistan	0.1
	07 Nov 2019 02:15	Dahej	India	0.1
	07 Nov 2019 02:15	Harinagar	India	0.1
	05 Nov 2019 21:30	Brar	Pakistan	0.1
	07 Nov 2019 02:30	Ghogha	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 13:00	Kattumavadi	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 13:00	Manamelkudi	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 13:00	Ammapatam	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 12:30	Al Khaluf	Oman	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 12:30	Filim	Oman	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 08:30	Periathullay	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 08:30	Kulasekharapatnam	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 08:30	Tiruchendur	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.