Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19
in India

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 126 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (30 Oct 03:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 126 km/h 0.2 m 231 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 169 km/h 0.4 m 850 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia45,030 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Oct 2019 12:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Oct 2019 00:00 126 -
- - - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

850 mm

Up to 60 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndia176 
100-250 mmIndia, Maldives59,556
+
India56,214 
Maldives3,342 
50-100 mmOman, India, Sri Lanka, Maldives20,012,771
+
Oman41,160 
India19,865,998 
Sri Lanka7,106 
Maldives98,507 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Oct 2019 12:00 666 430 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 2 30 Oct 2019 00:00 607 60 thousand
- - - Oman, India, Sri Lanka, Maldives




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Dafiyat, Oman. This height is estimated for 30 Oct 2019 03:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
30 Oct 2019 03:15 Dafiyat Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 03:15 Dhuwwah Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 02:00 Ra's ar Ru'ays Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 02:30 Hasik Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 01:15 Ghalat Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 01:15 Sharkh Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 08:30 Periathullay India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 08:30 Kulasekharapatnam India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 08:30 Tiruchendur India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 03:00 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 03:00 Al Jumaylah Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 08:30 Vijayapati India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 11:15 As Sirab Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 06:15 Shuwayr Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 06:15 Kayalpatnam India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 04:15 Sur Masirah Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 04:15 Mursays Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 04:15 Hiql Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 04:15 Dawwah Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 04:15 Maghilah Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 04:15 Shiinzi Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 09:45 Lakba Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 09:45 Sawqirah Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 09:45 Lakabi Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 09:45 Qaysad Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 05:00 Kadiapattanam India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 05:00 Agastiswaram India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 05:00 Cape Comorin India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 02:45 Erukkandurai India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 06:00 Quwayrah Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 02:15 Trikkaripur India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 02:15 Madayipara India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 02:15 Madayi India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 02:15 Kannapuram India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 02:15 Chirakkal India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 02:15 Valapattanam India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 02:15 Azhikkal India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 09:30 Kundapura India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:45 Honavar India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:45 Manki India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:45 Mavalli India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:45 Shirali India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:45 Bhatkal India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 05:00 Kolachel India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 03:45 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.2
30 Oct 2019 03:45 Gadani Pakistan  0.2
30 Oct 2019 12:00 Duqm Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 05:45 Mulki India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 05:45 Mangaluru India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 05:15 Cannanore India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 04:15 'Urf Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 06:00 Kasaragod India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 06:00 Bekal India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 06:00 Nileshwar India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 10:00 Edakkad India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 10:00 Dharmadam India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 10:00 Tellicherry India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 10:00 Mahe India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 10:00 Badagara India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 10:00 Payyoli India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 01:45 Al Kalban Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 09:45 Taingapatam India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:15 Haripad India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:15 Kayankulam India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:15 Karunagapalli India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 11:45 Nafun Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 03:45 Tawi Bedi Guish Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 03:45 Khadra' Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 03:45 As Suwayq Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 03:45 Al Mudayq Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 09:15 Talakkolattur India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 09:15 Kozhikode India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 09:15 Beypore India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 11:30 Mirya India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 11:30 Ratnagiri India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 05:45 Bainduru India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 05:45 Chittadi India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 05:15 Suthri India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 09:15 Quilandi India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 05:30 Vengurla India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 05:30 Terekhol India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 09:45 Udipi India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 05:45 Tirurangadi India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 05:45 Tanur India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 05:45 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 05:45 Chervattur India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:30 Nalasopara India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:30 Agashi India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:30 Dongri India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:30 Vasai India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 10:00 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 02:15 Marmagao India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 02:15 Vasco Da Gama India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 02:15 Agacaim India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 02:15 Madgaon India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 03:30 Mina' al Fahl Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 03:30 Matrah Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 03:30 Masqat Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 03:30 Al Bustan Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 03:30 Yiti Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 01:45 Malan Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:00 Murud India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:00 Agar Panchaitan India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:00 Srivardhan India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 02:30 Al Fujayrah United Arab Emirates  0.1
30 Oct 2019 02:30 Al Qurayyah United Arab Emirates  0.1
30 Oct 2019 02:30 Kalba United Arab Emirates  0.1
30 Oct 2019 02:30 Khawr Fakkan United Arab Emirates  0.1
30 Oct 2019 08:15 Sib Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 08:15 Mawalis Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 08:15 Azaiba Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 07:30 Pappinivatti India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 07:15 Alleppey India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 07:15 Ambalapulai India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 09:15 Gwadar Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 09:15 Barambah Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 07:30 Vilinjam India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 07:30 Puvar India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 10:15 Chaughat India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 10:15 Talikkulam India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 03:15 Suwadi al Batsa' Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 03:15 Billa Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 03:15 Murayjat Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 03:15 Barka Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 03:15 Manumah Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 09:15 Chaliyam India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 05:15 Boria India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 05:15 Guhagar India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 05:15 Anjanwel India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 07:15 Bankot India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 07:15 Kelshi India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 04:15 Gokarn India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 04:15 Kumta India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 04:00 Suhar Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 04:00 Al 'Uwaynat Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 05:45 Chopdem India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 05:45 Anjuna India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 05:45 Panaji India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 07:45 Vijayadurg India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 07:45 Devgarh India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 07:45 Pural India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 06:00 Purangad India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 06:00 Adiura India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 08:30 Manjeshwaram India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 08:30 Kumbla India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 07:45 Quilon India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 07:15 Shirgaon India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 07:15 Palghar India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 07:15 Mahim India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 03:00 Ratia India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 03:00 Gorser India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 02:45 Hisn Diba United Arab Emirates  0.1
30 Oct 2019 02:45 Adgat United Arab Emirates  0.1
30 Oct 2019 05:00 Delvada India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 05:00 Nawabandar India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 09:45 Cochin India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 09:45 Mattancheri India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 03:30 Al Qasabiyat Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:15 Tarapur India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:15 Boisar India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 03:00 Khawr Kalba United Arab Emirates  0.1
30 Oct 2019 08:45 Belekeri India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 08:45 Ankola India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 00:30 Kotra Nes India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 00:30 Dangarvadi India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:30 Jaigarh India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:15 Berizak Iran  0.1
30 Oct 2019 03:30 Dayl Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 03:30 Al Khaburah Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 04:45 Thiruvananthapuram India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 03:30 Bu 'Abali Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 03:30 Abu 'Abali Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 03:15 Ponnani India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 03:15 Veliyangod India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 00:30 Kadikkad India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 02:00 Fararah Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 03:15 Miyani India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 03:15 Porbandar India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Jiwani Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 09:15 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 09:15 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 09:15 Isa Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 03:45 Dwarka India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 03:45 Madhi India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 02:00 Ormara Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 02:00 Balaru Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 05:00 Manattala India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 05:00 Chavakkad India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 05:00 Guruvayur India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 05:30 Achra India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 05:30 Malvan India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 03:45 As Sahm Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 09:30 Varkkallai India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 09:30 Anjengo India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 02:45 Pasni Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 03:15 Kereti Iran  0.1
30 Oct 2019 03:15 Khowr Rapch Iran  0.1
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Adodar India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 10:45 Umbargam India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 10:45 Maroli India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 10:45 Daman India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 10:45 Udvada India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 02:45 Bu Baqarah Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:45 Gadechi India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:45 Okha India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:45 Aramda India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 03:45 Masnaah Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 02:15 Pishukan Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 02:15 Akara Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 09:00 Miji Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 05:30 Advota India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:00 Pusht Iran  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:00 Pesabandar Iran  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:30 Sirik Iran  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:15 Bhogat India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:45 Jafarabad India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:45 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 02:00 Qasabiyat az Za'ab Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 02:00 Khalil Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 03:30 Shinas Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 03:30 Dawanij Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 03:30 Al Liwa Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 04:30 Dharabandar India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 04:30 Rohisa India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 01:00 Sam Iran  0.1
30 Oct 2019 01:00 Beris Iran  0.1
30 Oct 2019 08:00 Malad India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 08:00 Mumbai India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 08:00 Asumumbay India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:45 Filim Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 02:00 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 02:00 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 09:45 Chaudi India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 09:45 Majali India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 09:45 Sadashivgarh India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 09:45 Karwar India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 06:45 Turavur India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 07:00 Lamba India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 07:00 Shil India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 09:00 Kattumavadi India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 09:00 Manamelkudi India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 09:00 Ammapatam India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 01:45 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:00 Pozm Tiab Iran  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:00 Machan Iran  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:00 Konarak Iran  0.1