Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for ELIDA-20 in Mexico from 09 Aug 2020 03:00 UTC to 13 Aug 2020 03:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELIDA-20

in Mexico

09 Aug 2020 00 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELIDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	65 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.7 m (09 Aug 00:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	65 km/h	0.7 m	688 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	83 km/h	0.7 m	1042 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

83 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 09 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	08 Aug 2020 12:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	09 Aug 2020 00:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Mexico	370,473
50-100 mm	Mexico	5,233,649

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	08 Aug 2020 12:00	301	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
	2	09 Aug 2020 00:00	834	370 thousand			-	-	-	-	Mexico

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.7m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 09 Aug 2020 00:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	09 Aug 2020 00:45	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.7
	09 Aug 2020 00:45	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.4
	09 Aug 2020 02:15	Aguaje	Mexico	0.3
	09 Aug 2020 00:30	Cedros	Mexico	0.3
	09 Aug 2020 00:30	Isla Natividad	Mexico	0.3
	09 Aug 2020 06:30	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 10:45	Molino	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 10:45	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 05:15	Tecomate	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 08:00	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 08:00	Cachoana	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 05:00	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 05:00	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 07:30	Altata	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 07:30	El Castillo	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 02:15	Novillero	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 02:15	Cuantla	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 00:00	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 00:00	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 05:45	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 00:00	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 08:30	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 11:45	Maudlowe	United States	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 11:45	Tivoli	United States	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 11:45	Spanish Village	United States	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 11:45	Austwell	United States	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 11:45	North Seadrift	United States	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 11:45	Long Mott	United States	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 11:45	Seadrift	United States	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 08:00	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 07:45	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 00:15	Santa Catarina	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 07:45	Caimanero	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 07:45	Jarilla	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 07:45	La Puerta	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 08:45	Guasimas	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 07:30	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 07:30	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 07:30	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 07:15	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 07:15	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 07:00	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 05:30	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 08:45	Empalme	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 09:00	San Rafael	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 08:15	San Jose	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 08:15	Atanacio	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 08:15	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 08:45	La Boca	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 05:00	El Barril	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 07:00	Queretaro	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 03:15	La Gloria	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 03:15	Chaparral	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 02:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 07:45	Borabampo	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 07:30	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 08:00	San Cosme	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 08:00	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 08:45	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 07:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 07:45	La Ventana	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 07:45	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 01:45	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 08:30	Guaymas	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 06:45	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 08:00	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 08:00	San Carlos	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 08:00	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 08:00	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 07:00	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 08:15	San Bruno	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 08:15	Mulege	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 07:00	La Paz	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 07:00	Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 08:15	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 08:15	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 07:45	San Bruno	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 07:45	Loreto	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 07:00	La Florida	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 08:30	Tastiota	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 07:00	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 07:00	Los Burros	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 07:30	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 07:00	Datilito	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 07:45	Ligui	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 07:45	Tripui	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 08:30	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 07:30	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.