Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for ELIDA-20 in Mexico from 09 Aug 2020 03:00 UTC to 13 Aug 2020 03:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELIDA-20

in Mexico

11 Aug 2020 12 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELIDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	83 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (11 Aug 23:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	83 km/h	0.5 m	329 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	83 km/h	0.7 m	1042 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

83 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 11 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	08 Aug 2020 12:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	09 Aug 2020 00:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	09 Aug 2020 12:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	10 Aug 2020 00:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	10 Aug 2020 12:00	72	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
6	11 Aug 2020 00:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	11 Aug 2020 12:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Mexico	15,349
50-100 mm	Mexico	1,082,800

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	08 Aug 2020 12:00	301	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
2	09 Aug 2020 00:00	688	60 thousand			-	-	-	-	Mexico
3	09 Aug 2020 12:00	301	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
4	10 Aug 2020 00:00	579	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	10 Aug 2020 12:00	339	Few people			-	-	-	-	Mexico
6	11 Aug 2020 00:00	436	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	11 Aug 2020 12:00	639	20 thousand			-	-	-	-	Mexico

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 11 Aug 2020 23:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	11 Aug 2020 23:15	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.5
	13 Aug 2020 23:45	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.4
	14 Aug 2020 09:30	Molino	Mexico	0.4
	14 Aug 2020 09:30	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.4
	13 Aug 2020 22:45	Tecomate	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 22:30	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 22:30	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 22:45	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 23:30	Guasimas	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 22:15	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 23:15	Empalme	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	San Bruno	Mexico	0.3
	11 Aug 2020 22:30	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 23:00	El Barril	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 23:15	San Jose	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 23:15	Atanacio	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 23:15	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	San Rafael	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 23:30	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 23:30	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 23:30	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 00:15	La Paz	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 00:15	Rosario	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 00:00	Mulege	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 23:30	Borabampo	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 00:30	Cuantla	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 00:30	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 00:15	Datilito	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 23:15	Guaymas	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 23:30	San Bruno	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 23:30	Loreto	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 00:45	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 00:45	Cachoana	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 00:00	San Carlos	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 00:15	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	San Cosme	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 00:00	Tastiota	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 23:30	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	Liliba	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:30	Ligui	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:30	Tripui	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:30	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 00:15	El Castillo	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	San Ignacio	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:30	Novillero	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 22:00	Tierra Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:30	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:30	La Ventana	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:30	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 00:00	Los Burros	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 00:00	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 00:15	La Boca	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 00:00	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 22:00	Pie Cerro	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 21:45	Bajos de Chila	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 09:15	La Tuza	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 22:30	Marquelia	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 09:30	Puerto Escondido	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 09:30	Paso Hondo	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 09:30	Chagues	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 09:15	Tlachicon	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 09:15	Coyote	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 09:15	La Redonda	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 22:00	Copala	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:30	Altata	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:45	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:15	Perihuete	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 22:15	Mauricio Gutierrez	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 07:30	Austwell	United States	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 07:30	North Seadrift	United States	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 07:30	Long Mott	United States	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 07:30	Seadrift	United States	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 08:00	Maudlowe	United States	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 08:00	Tivoli	United States	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 08:00	Spanish Village	United States	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:45	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:45	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 21:45	El Marques	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 21:30	Acapulco	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 10:00	Calvario	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 10:00	Coyuquillas	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 11:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:00	Jarilla	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:00	La Puerta	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:15	Barron	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 10:00	El Papayo	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 17:15	Cedros	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 09:30	Nuxco	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:15	La Trinadad	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:15	Las Palmas	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:15	La Ribera	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:15	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 01:00	Caimanero	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:30	Dimas	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 01:30	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:15	San Blas	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 22:45	La Palmita	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 10:15	Calla de Campos	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 10:15	Chula	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 17:00	Isla Natividad	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 09:15	Melchor Ocampo	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 09:15	Joluta	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 01:30	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 01:30	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 01:30	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 09:30	Las Pinas	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 09:30	Playa Azul	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 22:30	San Francisco	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 22:30	Monteon	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:15	Mazatlan	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 11:30	La Lima	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 09:45	Lagunillas	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 09:45	Barrio Nuevo	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 09:45	Zihuatanejo	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 16:00	La Playa	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:30	Marmol	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:30	Florida	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 05:00	Aguaje	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 01:30	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 11:15	Chamela	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 11:15	Cuitzmala	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:15	Punta Mita	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:15	Cruz de Juanacaxtle	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	La Fortuna	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	El Cardoncito	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 04:45	Santa Catarina	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 09:30	Las Trojitas	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 10:00	Estrecho	Mexico	0.1
	14 Aug 2020 10:00	Santiago	Mexico	0.1
	14 Aug 2020 10:00	Manzanillo	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 00:00	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 00:00	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 00:15	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 05:15	Corpus Christi	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 05:15	North Beach	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 05:15	Gardendale	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 05:15	Doyle	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 05:15	Orange Grove	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 05:15	Peary Place	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 05:15	Portland	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 05:15	Gregory	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 05:15	Flour Bluff	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 05:15	Caruthers Cove Colonia	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 05:15	Ingleside	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 05:15	Kenney Lane West Colonia	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 05:15	Port Ingleside	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 05:15	Indian Trails Lane Colonia	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 05:15	Country Acres Colonia	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 05:15	Country Estates Colonia	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 05:15	Aransas Pass	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 05:15	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 11:15	Chola	Mexico	0.1
	14 Aug 2020 10:00	El Real	Mexico	0.1
	14 Aug 2020 10:00	Chupadero	Mexico	0.1
	14 Aug 2020 10:00	Apisa	Mexico	0.1
	14 Aug 2020 10:00	Maruata	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 06:30	Estes	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 06:30	Mustang Beach	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 06:30	Port Aransas	United States	0.1
	14 Aug 2020 10:00	Cuyutlan	Mexico	0.1
	14 Aug 2020 09:15	El Ciruelo	Mexico	0.1
	14 Aug 2020 10:00	Cayaca	Mexico	0.1
	14 Aug 2020 10:00	San Telmo	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 23:15	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 23:15	San Carlos	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 23:15	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 23:30	Corrales	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 23:30	Aquiles Serdan	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 23:30	Ipala	Mexico	0.1
	14 Aug 2020 09:15	La Manzanilla	Mexico	0.1
	14 Aug 2020 09:15	Barra de Navidad	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	Puerto Vallarta	Mexico	0.1
	14 Aug 2020 09:45	Bucerias	Mexico	0.1
	14 Aug 2020 01:30	Queretaro	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 04:45	La Florida	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 04:45	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 00:15	Los Inocentes	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 23:00	Pizota	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 23:30	San Jose del Cabo	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 23:30	El Tomale	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 23:30	Agua Fresca	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 23:30	Cunano	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 04:30	Rockport	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 04:30	Shell Ridge	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 16:45	Bahia Asuncion	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 23:15	El Tule	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 23:15	San Lucas	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 00:00	Quinones	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	Rancho Datilari	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	Rancho Conejo	Mexico	0.1
	14 Aug 2020 02:30	Estero la Bocana	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 23:15	Pozo de Cota	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.