Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BAVI-20
in China, Democratic Republic of Korea, Republic of Korea

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BAVI-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries South Korea, Japan
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 101 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (23 Aug 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (North Korea)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 101 km/h 0.3 m 119 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 194 km/h 2.4 m 774 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

194 km/h

Up to 2 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Aug 2020 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormSouth Korea, Japan2,020,468
+
South Korea536,351 
Japan1,484,117 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 21 Aug 2020 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 21 Aug 2020 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 22 Aug 2020 00:00 83 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 4 22 Aug 2020 06:00 94 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 5 22 Aug 2020 12:00 90 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 6 22 Aug 2020 18:00 191 -
- - - - - South Korea, Japan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Aug 2020 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmChina, Japan, Taiwan2,495,852
+
China449,971 
Japan33,420 
Taiwan2,012,461 
50-100 mmChina, Russia, North Korea, South Korea, Japan, Taiwan42,563,033
+
China31,434,699 
Russia7,361 
North Korea6,698,026 
South Korea2,642 
Japan1,338,057 
Taiwan3,082,248 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 21 Aug 2020 12:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 21 Aug 2020 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 22 Aug 2020 00:00 129 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 4 22 Aug 2020 06:00 126 1 thousand
- - - - Japan
Blue 5 22 Aug 2020 12:00 220 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 22 Aug 2020 18:00 680 2.5 million
- - - - China, Russia, North Korea, South Korea, Japan, Taiwan




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Erjiegou, China. This height is estimated for 23 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Aug 2020 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Erjiegou China  0.3
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Liaobin China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Wangjiawopu China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Chengguanzhen China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Guleitou China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Gangkou China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Hsia-mei China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Liu'ao China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Shentu China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Koroto China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Tien-chiao-chang China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Qiandong China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Jingzhou China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Huanglong China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Huanggang China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Houzhai China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Raoping China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Zhelin China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Shenao China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Nanao China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Chelim China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Gongkou China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 18:15 Shih-ma-chuang China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 18:15 Baisha China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 18:15 P'u-ch'i China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 18:15 Touyan China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 18:15 Chenyu China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 18:15 Huanshan China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 18:15 Kanmen China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 18:15 Chumen China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Hsing-ch'en China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Chendai China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Hsi-pu China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Huqiu China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Wutian China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:45 Chihu China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:45 Fotan China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:45 Gangwei China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:45 Chen-hai China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:45 Daomei China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 23:45 Ma-chang-fang China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 23:00 Shantou China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 23:00 Dahao China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 23:00 Aotou China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 23:00 Daitou China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 23:00 Guangao China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 23:00 Siwei China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:30 Sidu China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:30 Dongshan China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:30 Ssu-tu China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:30 Gongqiancun China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:30 Chencheng China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 23:45 Sizhoutou China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 23:45 Xianxiang China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 23:45 Sanshan China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 23:45 Daxu China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 23:45 Zhuxi China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 23:45 Qiancang China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 23:45 Ch'ien-tung-hsu China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Wangzhai China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Fengting China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Dongsha China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Lingchuan China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Fengwei China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Zhongmen China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Hushi China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 P'u-hsi China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 P'u-hsi-ch'eng China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Meizhou China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 18:00 Hsia-chia-fou China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 18:00 Ch'eng-ao China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 18:00 Dituan China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 18:00 Hsu-ch'ien-ts'un China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 18:00 Qingjiang China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Daitou China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 18:30 Pinghai China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 21:30 Shacheng China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 21:30 Xiaguan China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 21:30 Pucheng China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:45 Jiuzhen China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 18:00 Xiaodoumen China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 18:00 Baixiang China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 18:00 Shan-ch'ien China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 18:00 Jiangtan China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 18:00 Hsia-fou-t'ou China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 18:00 Ling-hsia China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 18:00 Longwan China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 18:00 Gao'ao China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 18:00 Siqianjie China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:30 Haicang China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:30 Songyu China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:30 Xucuo China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:30 Gulangyu China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:30 Xiamen China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:30 Dianqian China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:30 Jiangtou China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:30 Zhenhai China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:30 Hecuo China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:30 Aotou China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:30 An-ting Taiwan  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:45 Liuwudian China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:45 Xindian China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:45 Chin-men Taiwan  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:45 Lianhe China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 23:45 Panyuchwan China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 23:45 Lu-chia-t'un China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 23:30 Ma-chiang China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 23:30 Ch'ing-hsu Taiwan  0.2
22 Aug 2020 23:30 Shijing China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 23:30 Chin-men Tao Taiwan  0.2
22 Aug 2020 23:30 Yang-chai Taiwan  0.2
22 Aug 2020 23:30 Tung-shih China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:00 Changchun China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:00 Wuqu China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:00 Luxia China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:00 Sansha China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:45 Ch'ao-yang-hsien China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:45 Haimen China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 21:45 Yacheng China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 19:15 Dawu China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 19:15 Hsiao-tso China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:30 Shenquan China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 23:15 Xiaowu China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:00 Shih-t'ang China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:00 Songmen China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:30 Donghong China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:30 Jinghai China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:45 Yongning China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:45 Shihu China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:45 Dongyuan China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:45 Hsiang-chih China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:45 Zhangban China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:45 Qian'an China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:45 Chongwu China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 18:00 Banping China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 18:00 Bei'ao China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:45 Guizhou China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Sha-fan-chieh China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 I-shan China  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Jinxiang China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 22:45 Huatong China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 23:30 Nanri China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 23:30 Fuye China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 23:30 Ta-ch'iu China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 23:30 Cao Yu China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 21:45 Huang-ch'i China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 23:45 Gaoshan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 23:45 Beicuo China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 21:45 Xiahu China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 21:45 Da'ao China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 18:00 Shicheng China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 23:45 Pingtan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 23:45 Houtian China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 22:15 Weitou China  0.1
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Jiankangtang China  0.1
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Chien-t'iao China  0.1
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Dahu China  0.1
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Ch'ang-chieh China  0.1
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Dingtang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 23:15 Chin-ching China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 23:15 Yakou China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 20:30 Wangchuan China  0.1
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Guhuai China  0.1
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Chiang-t'ien China  0.1
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Chang-chiang China  0.1
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Wuhang China  0.1
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Qingfeng China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 22:45 Changmen China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 22:45 Fengwo China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 22:45 Tung-tai China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 22:45 Baisheng China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 22:45 Mabi China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 22:45 Guanban China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 22:45 Ting-hai China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 22:45 Anhai China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 22:30 Anhai China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 21:15 Shih-shih China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 23:45 Chin-feng China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 21:30 Hanjiang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 22:30 Guantou China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 21:30 Donggang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 21:30 Ma-chia-tun China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 18:00 Guanjing China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 23:45 Langqi China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 23:45 Tantou China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 23:45 Yunlong China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 22:45 Gexiang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 22:30 Chin-ch'ing China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 21:45 Hanjiang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 21:45 Chiang-k'ou China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 21:45 Yuxi China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 21:45 Tangbian China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 22:30 Shahousuo China  0.1
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Tung-ch'ung China  0.1
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Xinan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 21:45 Lingmen China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 21:45 Danmen China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 21:45 Shihphu China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 22:30 Ch'ang-t'an-wo Taiwan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 18:00 Baiyan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 18:00 Fu-jung China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 18:00 Dajing China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 18:00 Baixi China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 18:00 Ch'ing-chiang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 18:00 Wenqiao China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 21:00 Chien-chiang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 19:00 Abulug Philippines  0.1
22 Aug 2020 19:00 Cabuluan Philippines  0.1
22 Aug 2020 19:00 Catuguran Philippines  0.1
22 Aug 2020 19:00 Linao Philippines  0.1
22 Aug 2020 19:00 Bisagu Philippines  0.1
22 Aug 2020 19:00 Aparri Philippines  0.1
22 Aug 2020 19:00 Alilinu Philippines  0.1
22 Aug 2020 19:00 Punta Philippines  0.1
22 Aug 2020 22:45 Jiazi China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 22:45 Changqingwei China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 21:30 Beilong China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 19:00 Dongtaihezha China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 21:15 Wang-chia-tun China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 21:15 Ch'ang-ling-tzu China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 21:15 Santang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 23:45 Ch'ai-ch'iao China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 23:45 Guoju China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 23:45 Chung-tse China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 18:00 Honai Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 18:00 Toyohara Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 18:00 Kobama Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 18:00 Agarisuji Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 22:30 Aohuan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 22:30 Dalu China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 22:30 Guan'ao China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 19:30 San Shah China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 21:00 Sanguanmiao China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 23:30 San-chiao-t'ang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 23:45 Nancaoji China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 23:45 Liu-tsan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 23:45 Dazhuanghe China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 20:45 Fu-chou-wan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 20:45 Baishuijing China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 22:30 Haikou China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 22:30 Longtian China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 22:30 Gangtou China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 23:30 Shangpan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 23:30 Sichalu China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 23:30 Lipu China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 21:45 Litang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 20:00 Wudao China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 18:30 Balza Philippines  0.1
22 Aug 2020 18:30 Buguey Philippines  0.1
22 Aug 2020 22:00 San-chia-shih China  0.1
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Dinghai China  0.1
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Da'ao China  0.1
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Luomen China  0.1
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Ta-chan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 20:00 Xinzhaizi China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 20:00 Yingchengzi China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 20:00 Gezhenpu China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 20:00 Dalian China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 20:00 Nanguanling China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 20:00 Dayandao China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 20:00 Houyantun China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 20:00 Dal'niy China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 20:00 Dingguanzhai China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 20:30 Jiaoliudao China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 20:30 Wu-tao China  0.1
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Shuangqiaozi China  0.1
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Bijiaquan China  0.1
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Heiyanzi China  0.1
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Zhangzhuangzi China  0.1
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Beipu China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 23:00 Wan-chia-t'un China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 23:00 Qiangzili China  0.1
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Caijiapu China  0.1
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Daqinghe China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 23:45 Hei-yang-ho-pao China  0.1
23 Aug 2020 00:00 P'u-t'o China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 23:00 Nanhai China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 22:00 Ganlan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 22:00 Dongsha China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 22:00 Gaoting China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 22:00 Nanfeng China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 22:00 Changtu China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 19:15 Chiao-t'ou China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 23:00 Shanhaiguan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 18:15 Kitsuki Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 18:15 Oita Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 18:15 Aki Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 18:15 Tsurusaki Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 18:15 Sakanoichi Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 18:15 Usuki Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 18:15 Sashioi Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 18:15 Uwaura Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 18:15 Saganoseki Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 19:45 Xihuzui China  0.1