Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for FOUR-18
in India

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FOUR-18 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (20 Sep 19:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 65 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 65 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

65 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2018 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 20 Sep 2018 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 20 Sep 2018 18:00 57 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 21 Sep 2018 00:00 59 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 21 Sep 2018 06:00 52 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 21 Sep 2018 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 21 Sep 2018 18:00 56 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 22 Sep 2018 00:00 49 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2018 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 20 Sep 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 20 Sep 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 21 Sep 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 21 Sep 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 21 Sep 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 21 Sep 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 22 Sep 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Char Kajal, Bangladesh. This height is estimated for 20 Sep 2018 19:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2018 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
20 Sep 2018 19:30 Char Kajal Bangladesh  0.7
20 Sep 2018 19:30 Andar Char Bangladesh  0.7
20 Sep 2018 19:30 Burirchar Bangladesh  0.7
20 Sep 2018 19:30 Sibar Char Bangladesh  0.7
20 Sep 2018 19:30 Char Lakshmi Bangladesh  0.7
20 Sep 2018 19:30 Char Kalmi Bangladesh  0.7
20 Sep 2018 19:30 Char Maya Bangladesh  0.7
20 Sep 2018 19:30 Char Manika Bangladesh  0.7
20 Sep 2018 19:30 Char Kukuri Mukuri Bangladesh  0.7
20 Sep 2018 19:30 Ar Kalmi Bangladesh  0.7
20 Sep 2018 19:30 Char Aicha Bangladesh  0.7
20 Sep 2018 19:30 Char Paila Bangladesh  0.7
20 Sep 2018 22:30 Bamnia Bangladesh  0.7
20 Sep 2018 22:30 Munshir Hat Bangladesh  0.7
20 Sep 2018 22:30 Tulatali Bangladesh  0.7
20 Sep 2018 22:30 Char Fakura Bangladesh  0.7
20 Sep 2018 22:30 Char Chandia Bangladesh  0.7
20 Sep 2018 22:30 Banskhali Bangladesh  0.7
20 Sep 2018 22:30 Bariakhali Bangladesh  0.7
20 Sep 2018 22:30 Jafarnagar Bangladesh  0.7
20 Sep 2018 22:15 Sandwip Bangladesh  0.7
20 Sep 2018 22:15 Akbar Hat Bangladesh  0.7
20 Sep 2018 22:15 Dhalapara Bangladesh  0.7
20 Sep 2018 22:15 Barabkunda Bangladesh  0.7
20 Sep 2018 22:15 Bansbaria Bangladesh  0.7
20 Sep 2018 22:00 Maitbhanga Bangladesh  0.6
20 Sep 2018 22:00 Kumira Bangladesh  0.6
20 Sep 2018 22:00 Sitalpur Bangladesh  0.6
20 Sep 2018 16:45 Rasalpur India  0.6
20 Sep 2018 16:45 Chandipur India  0.6
20 Sep 2018 18:00 Char Hare Bangladesh  0.6
20 Sep 2018 18:00 Neta Bangladesh  0.6
20 Sep 2018 18:00 Chhota Baisdia Bangladesh  0.6
20 Sep 2018 16:45 Bideipur India  0.6
20 Sep 2018 23:00 Hatia Bangladesh  0.6
20 Sep 2018 23:00 Khaser Hat Bangladesh  0.6
20 Sep 2018 23:00 Nalchira Bangladesh  0.6
20 Sep 2018 23:00 Ewazbalia Bangladesh  0.6
20 Sep 2018 23:15 Ghoshbagh Bangladesh  0.6
20 Sep 2018 20:30 Bhatiari Bangladesh  0.6
20 Sep 2018 20:30 Dakhin Kattali Bangladesh  0.6
20 Sep 2018 20:30 Dakhin Patenga Bangladesh  0.6
20 Sep 2018 20:30 Chittagong Bangladesh  0.6
20 Sep 2018 20:30 Char Lakshia Bangladesh  0.6
20 Sep 2018 20:30 Janali Hat Bangladesh  0.6
20 Sep 2018 20:30 Kalapul Bangladesh  0.6
20 Sep 2018 20:30 Anowara Bangladesh  0.6
20 Sep 2018 19:45 Gahira Bangladesh  0.5
20 Sep 2018 19:45 Khankhanabad Bangladesh  0.5
23 Sep 2018 18:00 Kambhat India  0.5
23 Sep 2018 18:00 Kavi India  0.5
23 Sep 2018 18:00 Sarod India  0.5
23 Sep 2018 17:45 Wadgam India  0.4
20 Sep 2018 18:45 Ali Akbardeil Bangladesh  0.4
20 Sep 2018 18:45 Dhurung Bangladesh  0.4
20 Sep 2018 18:45 Lemsikhali Bangladesh  0.4
20 Sep 2018 18:45 Magnama Bangladesh  0.4
20 Sep 2018 18:30 Uttar Nalbila Bangladesh  0.4
21 Sep 2018 15:15 Shwe-o Myanmar  0.4
21 Sep 2018 15:15 Alanbya Myanmar  0.4
21 Sep 2018 15:15 Suppanu Myanmar  0.4
21 Sep 2018 15:15 Mokkamu Myanmar  0.4
21 Sep 2018 15:15 Boyagyi Myanmar  0.4
21 Sep 2018 15:15 Kyaikto Myanmar  0.4
21 Sep 2018 15:15 Kyaikpi Myanmar  0.4
21 Sep 2018 15:15 Kawbein Myanmar  0.4
21 Sep 2018 15:15 Pauktaw Myanmar  0.4
21 Sep 2018 15:15 Zokali Myanmar  0.4
21 Sep 2018 15:15 Taungxun Myanmar  0.4
20 Sep 2018 18:15 Dhalghata Bangladesh  0.4
20 Sep 2018 18:15 Kalarmarchara Bangladesh  0.4
22 Sep 2018 15:45 Dahej India  0.4
22 Sep 2018 15:45 Harinagar India  0.4
22 Sep 2018 15:45 Hansot India  0.4
22 Sep 2018 17:30 Asarsa India  0.3
22 Sep 2018 17:30 Tankari India  0.3
22 Sep 2018 17:30 Muler India  0.3
20 Sep 2018 18:00 Amavasyakhali Bangladesh  0.3
22 Sep 2018 17:30 Ghogha India  0.3
20 Sep 2018 17:45 Ghatibhanga Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Char Chandra Prasad Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Chandpur Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Char Kali Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Pangasia Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Harni Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Char Medua Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 South Dighaldi Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Kalupura Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Char Munsi Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Hazari Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Hazipur Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Jagannathpur Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Char Lawrence Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Char Falcon Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Chiladi Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Char Kadira Bangladesh  0.3
22 Sep 2018 15:30 Bhagva India  0.3
20 Sep 2018 14:30 Satabhaya India  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:45 Sakusia Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:45 Baga Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:45 Char Madhyam Lamchhidhali Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:45 Rabipur Bangladesh  0.3
20 Sep 2018 14:30 Hukitala India  0.3
20 Sep 2018 13:45 Nuralrevu India  0.3
20 Sep 2018 13:45 Gopalpur India  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:00 Char Algi Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:00 Char Gazi Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:00 Miar Hat Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:00 Char Ramiz Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:00 Char Bedama Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 10:45 Chandpur Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 10:45 Chandhuri Hat Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 13:00 Bara Pata Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 10:30 Kanchanpur Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 15:15 Damathat Myanmar  0.3
21 Sep 2018 13:00 Dasher Hat Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 14:00 Char Manpura Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 14:00 Char Ishwar Ray Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 13:45 Char Krishnaprasad Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 13:45 Maijchara Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 13:45 Char Ishwar Bangladesh  0.3
20 Sep 2018 13:45 Balighai India  0.3
20 Sep 2018 13:45 Konarak India  0.3
21 Sep 2018 13:45 Char Annadaprasad Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 13:45 Char Lakshmi Bangladesh  0.3
20 Sep 2018 14:00 Puri India  0.3
21 Sep 2018 12:00 Char Pyarimohan Bangladesh  0.3
20 Sep 2018 13:45 Nuliasahi India  0.3
20 Sep 2018 13:45 Nuagan India  0.3
20 Sep 2018 16:00 Kuakata Bangladesh  0.3
20 Sep 2018 13:30 Paluru India  0.3
20 Sep 2018 13:30 Malud India  0.3
21 Sep 2018 12:00 Dakshin Char Fasson Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 12:00 Char Faizuddin Bangladesh  0.3
20 Sep 2018 13:45 Chatrapur India  0.3
20 Sep 2018 13:45 Canjam India  0.3
20 Sep 2018 13:30 Panasapada India  0.3
20 Sep 2018 17:30 Coxs Bazar Bangladesh  0.3
20 Sep 2018 17:30 Dineshpur Bangladesh  0.3
20 Sep 2018 17:30 Kelatali Bangladesh  0.3
20 Sep 2018 17:30 Khurushkul Bangladesh  0.3
22 Sep 2018 14:45 Damka India  0.3
22 Sep 2018 14:45 Surat India  0.3
22 Sep 2018 14:45 Jalalpur India  0.3
20 Sep 2018 13:45 Baruva India  0.3
21 Sep 2018 14:45 Taunggyi Myanmar  0.3
21 Sep 2018 14:45 Budin Myanmar  0.3
21 Sep 2018 14:45 Kadaik Myanmar  0.3
21 Sep 2018 14:45 Donwun Myanmar  0.3
21 Sep 2018 14:45 Kangyisu Myanmar  0.2
21 Sep 2018 14:30 Mahameik Myanmar  0.2
21 Sep 2018 14:30 Thamaseikta Myanmar  0.2
21 Sep 2018 14:45 Tanbingyaung Myanmar  0.2
20 Sep 2018 18:00 Peddapatnam India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 18:00 Gollapalem India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 13:15 Ammalapadu India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 14:00 Koyyam India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 14:00 Dharmavaram India  0.2
21 Sep 2018 09:15 Andin Myanmar  0.2
20 Sep 2018 13:15 Naupada India  0.2
21 Sep 2018 03:15 Nizampatam India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 14:15 Chittivalasa India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 14:15 Bhimunipatnam India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 14:15 Konada India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 17:15 Dakhinpara Bangladesh  0.2
20 Sep 2018 17:15 Jaliapara Bangladesh  0.2
20 Sep 2018 17:15 Zawmadat Myanmar  0.2
20 Sep 2018 17:15 Anauk Myinhlut Myanmar  0.2
20 Sep 2018 17:15 Kyaukpandu Myanmar  0.2
20 Sep 2018 17:15 Hparabyin Myanmar  0.2
20 Sep 2018 17:00 Pechardwip Bangladesh  0.2
20 Sep 2018 17:00 Jaliapalong Bangladesh  0.2
20 Sep 2018 17:00 Dhoapalong Bangladesh  0.2
20 Sep 2018 17:00 Inani Bangladesh  0.2
20 Sep 2018 14:15 Srikurman India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 14:15 Kalingapatnam India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 17:00 Monakhali Bangladesh  0.2
21 Sep 2018 05:30 Khindan Myanmar  0.2
21 Sep 2018 05:30 Darein Myanmar  0.2
21 Sep 2018 02:15 Point Pedro Sri Lanka  0.2
21 Sep 2018 02:15 Ampan Sri Lanka  0.2
21 Sep 2018 10:45 Apaung Myanmar  0.2
21 Sep 2018 10:45 Akechaungwa Myanmar  0.2
21 Sep 2018 10:45 Ase Myanmar  0.2
21 Sep 2018 10:45 Tawgyaik Myanmar  0.2
20 Sep 2018 16:45 Silkhali Bangladesh  0.2
20 Sep 2018 16:45 Tumbru Myanmar  0.2
20 Sep 2018 16:45 Bardeil Bangladesh  0.2
20 Sep 2018 16:45 Whaikhyang Bangladesh  0.2
20 Sep 2018 16:45 Dakshim Nhila Bangladesh  0.2
20 Sep 2018 16:45 Atikhalipara Bangladesh  0.2
20 Sep 2018 16:45 Kyunbouk Myanmar  0.2
21 Sep 2018 05:30 Paung Myanmar  0.2
22 Sep 2018 17:00 Kotada India  0.2
21 Sep 2018 10:45 Ale-ywa Myanmar  0.2
20 Sep 2018 17:15 Pentakota India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 14:00 Vishakhapatnam India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 16:30 Teknaf Bangladesh  0.2
20 Sep 2018 18:15 Ullapalem India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 18:15 Pakala India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 18:15 Kottapatnam India  0.2
21 Sep 2018 09:15 Duya Myanmar  0.2
21 Sep 2018 13:15 Purnankuppam India  0.2
21 Sep 2018 13:15 Pondicherry India  0.2
21 Sep 2018 13:15 Kalapettai India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 17:15 Venkatapuram India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 17:15 Pata Polvaram India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 17:15 Pudimadaka India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 17:15 Chipurupalle India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 16:30 Sabaigon Myanmar  0.2
20 Sep 2018 16:30 Ale Kalaywa Myanmar  0.2
20 Sep 2018 16:30 Kanyinchaung Myanmar  0.2
20 Sep 2018 17:15 Kakinada India  0.2
21 Sep 2018 05:30 Munaing Myanmar  0.2
21 Sep 2018 05:30 Tagukana Myanmar  0.2
20 Sep 2018 17:45 Antarvedi India  0.1
20 Sep 2018 16:30 Thawinchaung Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 16:30 Donbaik Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 16:30 Rathedaung Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 16:30 Kudaung Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 17:15 Amaw Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 17:15 Hpanchaung Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 17:15 Gyibyin Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 17:15 Temauk Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 17:45 Vatturupallepalem India  0.1
20 Sep 2018 17:45 Govundlapalem India  0.1
22 Sep 2018 18:00 Mahuva India  0.1
20 Sep 2018 18:00 Chakicherla India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 10:00 Dawnvein Myanmar  0.1
22 Sep 2018 15:45 Daman India  0.1
22 Sep 2018 15:45 Udvada India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 01:30 Durgarajupatnam India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 03:00 Lankavanidibba India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 10:00 Alandaing Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 10:00 Hseikma Myanmar  0.1
22 Sep 2018 15:30 Maroli India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 14:30 Shangyaung Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 23:30 Kadonkani Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 23:30 Yegyawgyi Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 23:30 Ama Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 23:30 Tawbaing Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 10:30 Wegalaung Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 10:30 Anin Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 18:00 Bandamurlanka India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 10:45 Kayindaung Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 10:45 Wagaru Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 10:45 Karokpi Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 17:30 Kyaukmaung Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 17:30 Ponnagyi Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 17:30 Gwedaukchaung Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 17:30 Chaunggya Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 17:30 Peikseik Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 15:30 Mawyen Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 15:30 Kyeintali Myanmar  0.1
22 Sep 2018 15:30 Umbargam India  0.1
20 Sep 2018 16:00 Shwehle Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 11:15 Kyaikkami Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 21:30 Karaikal India  0.1
20 Sep 2018 21:30 Accarapatam India  0.1
20 Sep 2018 21:30 Nagappattinam India  0.1
20 Sep 2018 21:30 Tranquebar India  0.1
20 Sep 2018 21:30 Tarangambadi India  0.1
22 Sep 2018 17:45 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.1
22 Sep 2018 16:45 Gholvad India  0.1
22 Sep 2018 16:45 Bordi India  0.1
20 Sep 2018 17:30 Tandin Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 17:30 Khamaungdwe Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 12:00 Kwanhla Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 17:30 Koyanbyin Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 17:15 Myaukpyin Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 17:15 Pauktaw Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 02:30 Aliavalai Sri Lanka  0.1
21 Sep 2018 02:30 Chundikkulam Sri Lanka  0.1
20 Sep 2018 18:00 Nyaunggyaung Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 16:00 Gyeiktaw Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 16:00 Magyi-ywa Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 05:15 Porto Novo India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 05:15 Cuddalore India  0.1
20 Sep 2018 16:00 Kattumavadi India  0.1
20 Sep 2018 16:00 Manamelkudi India  0.1
20 Sep 2018 16:00 Ammapatam India  0.1
20 Sep 2018 19:15 Chaung-wa Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 19:15 Kyaukpyu Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 19:15 Kalaba Myanmar  0.1
22 Sep 2018 16:15 Malyan India  0.1
20 Sep 2018 16:45 Taung-ywa Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 16:45 Taikkyua Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 16:45 Thabyichaung Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 16:45 Nga Thamok Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 01:15 Madhavaram India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 01:15 Chennai India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 01:15 Tiruvottiyur India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 01:15 Ennore India  0.1
20 Sep 2018 20:00 Kyunthaya Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 20:00 Auktarngdshe Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 20:00 Chauklangwe Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 20:00 Dodan Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 20:00 Chindaung Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 19:30 Byichaung Myanmar  0.1