Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France
Glide number: TC-2022-000160-MDG
Exposed countries Madagascar
Exposed population 910 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 222 km/h (1-min*)
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (05 Feb 05:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)
Landfall between
05 Feb 2022 00:00 - 05 Feb 2022 12:00

in Madagascar
* GDACS: 1-min sustained winds; WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France: 10-min average

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind (1-min*) Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 211 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 2.5
Overall 222 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: latest forecast, Overall: entire TC track) based on WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France impact

Joint Pilot Activity: EC-JRC,WMO/RSMC La Réunion-Meteo France

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h)
(1-min*)
Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 26 Jan 2022 12:00 63 No people No people
Green 2 26 Jan 2022 18:00 137 40 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 3 27 Jan 2022 00:00 137 20 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 4 27 Jan 2022 06:00 106 No people No people
Green 5 27 Jan 2022 12:00 190 40 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 6 27 Jan 2022 18:00 158 40 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 7 28 Jan 2022 00:00 116 40 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 8 28 Jan 2022 06:00 127 1.3 million No people Mauritius
Orange 9 28 Jan 2022 12:00 148 1.3 million 1.1 million Mauritius
Green 10 28 Jan 2022 18:00 148 1.9 million 30 thousand Mauritius
Green 11 29 Jan 2022 00:00 148 1.1 million No people Mauritius
Green 12 29 Jan 2022 06:00 148 1.7 million No people Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
Green 13 29 Jan 2022 12:00 211 140 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 14 29 Jan 2022 18:00 190 440 thousand No people Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
Green 15 30 Jan 2022 00:00 190 80 thousand No people Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
Green 16 30 Jan 2022 06:00 201 No people No people
Green 17 30 Jan 2022 12:00 201 No people No people
Green 18 30 Jan 2022 18:00 232 2.3 million No people Mauritius, Madagascar
Green 19 31 Jan 2022 00:00 243 11.6 million No people Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Madagascar
Green 20 31 Jan 2022 06:00 232 11.4 million No people Mauritius, Madagascar
Green 21 31 Jan 2022 12:00 232 9 million No people Mauritius, Madagascar
Orange 22 31 Jan 2022 18:00 201 12.1 million 90 thousand Madagascar
Orange 23 01 Feb 2022 00:00 190 13.4 million 710 thousand Madagascar
Orange 24 01 Feb 2022 06:00 211 15.3 million 1.5 million Madagascar
Orange 25 01 Feb 2022 12:00 201 15.4 million 830 thousand Madagascar
Orange 26 01 Feb 2022 18:00 211 17.6 million 840 thousand Madagascar
Red 27 02 Feb 2022 00:00 211 18.3 million 2 million Madagascar
Red 28 02 Feb 2022 06:00 211 17.3 million 1.9 million Madagascar
Red 29 02 Feb 2022 12:00 211 17.7 million 910 thousand Madagascar

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
(1-min*)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 26 Jan 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 63 no people no people -14.9, 86.6
GREEN
2 26 Jan 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 63 no people no people -15.7, 85.3
GREEN
3 27 Jan 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 84 no people no people -16.4, 83.6
GREEN
4 27 Jan 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 106 no people no people -16.9, 81.8
GREEN
5 27 Jan 2022 12:00 Category 3 190 no people no people -17.9, 79.6
GREEN
6 27 Jan 2022 18:00 Category 2 158 no people no people -18, 77.5
GREEN
7 28 Jan 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 95 no people no people -18, 76
GREEN
8 28 Jan 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 84 no people no people -18.2, 74.6
GREEN
9 28 Jan 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -18.3, 73.6
GREEN
10 28 Jan 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -18.4, 72.6
GREEN
11 29 Jan 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 84 no people no people -18.4, 71.8
GREEN
12 29 Jan 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 106 no people no people -18.1, 70.6
GREEN
13 29 Jan 2022 12:00 Category 1 127 no people no people -17.9, 69.9
GREEN
14 29 Jan 2022 18:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -17.7, 69.1
GREEN
15 30 Jan 2022 00:00 Category 2 169 no people no people -17.5, 68.1
GREEN
16 30 Jan 2022 06:00 Category 2 169 no people no people -17.1, 67
GREEN
17 30 Jan 2022 12:00 Category 2 169 no people no people -16.8, 66.1
GREEN
18 30 Jan 2022 18:00 Category 2 169 no people no people -16.6, 65.1
GREEN
19 31 Jan 2022 00:00 Category 2 169 no people no people -16.4, 64.5
GREEN
20 31 Jan 2022 06:00 Category 2 169 no people no people -15.8, 63.9
GREEN
21 31 Jan 2022 12:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -15.9, 63.2
GREEN
22 31 Jan 2022 18:00 Category 1 137 no people no people -16, 63
GREEN
23 01 Feb 2022 00:00 Category 1 137 no people no people -16.5, 62.3
GREEN
24 01 Feb 2022 06:00 Category 2 158 no people no people -16.8, 61.2
GREEN
25 01 Feb 2022 12:00 Category 2 169 no people no people -17.2, 60.2
GREEN
26 01 Feb 2022 18:00 Category 3 190 no people 1.1 million people -17.7, 59.1
GREEN
27 02 Feb 2022 00:00 Category 4 211 no people 1.3 million people -18, 58.3
GREEN
28 02 Feb 2022 06:00 Category 4 211 no people 1.6 million people -18.5, 57.6
GREEN
29 02 Feb 2022 12:00 Category 4 222 no people 1.9 million people -18.9, 56.7
GREEN
29 03 Feb 2022 00:00 Category 3 201 no people 840000 people -19.4, 55.4
GREEN
29 03 Feb 2022 12:00 Category 3 190 no people 840000 people -19.5, 54.2
GREEN
29 04 Feb 2022 00:00 Category 3 190 no people no people -19.5, 53
GREEN
29 04 Feb 2022 12:00 Category 3 201 no people 10.1 million people -19.7, 51.4
RED
29 05 Feb 2022 00:00 Category 4 211 910000 people 14.4 million people -19.8, 49.7
ORANGE
29 05 Feb 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 84 no people 14.7 million people -20.1, 47.6 Madagascar
GREEN
29 06 Feb 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 880000 people -21.1, 44 Madagascar
GREEN
29 06 Feb 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 84 no people 95000 people -21.4, 41.4
GREEN
29 07 Feb 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 95 no people 160000 people -21.8, 39.6
GREEN
29 07 Feb 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 106 no people no people -22.4, 38.2
**
Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Madagascar

Provinces

Region Province Country
Toamasina Madagascar
Fianarantsoa Madagascar
Antananarivo Madagascar

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Vatomandry VAT 12 Civ. Unpaved No 3800
Atsinanana ILK 10 Civ. Unpaved No 3200
Mahanoro VVB 5 Civ. Unpaved No 4400

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Vatomandry MGVAT Madagascar
Mahanoro MGVVB Madagascar

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Mahanoro, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 05 Feb 2022 05:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

The storm surge calculations have been performed using 1 min atmospheric wind forcing

Locations affected by Storm surge (199 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 29 of 02 Feb 2022 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
05 Feb 2022 05:00 Mahanoro Madagascar  0.7
05 Feb 2022 05:00 Ambodiharina Madagascar  0.7
05 Feb 2022 05:00 Androrangambo Madagascar  0.5
05 Feb 2022 05:00 Andranotsara Madagascar  0.5
05 Feb 2022 06:00 Masomeloka Madagascar  0.4
05 Feb 2022 16:00 Andanivato Madagascar  0.4
05 Feb 2022 16:00 Ambatojoby Madagascar  0.4
05 Feb 2022 16:00 Andramy Madagascar  0.4
05 Feb 2022 16:00 Marotaola Madagascar  0.4
05 Feb 2022 18:00 Manampatra Madagascar  0.4
05 Feb 2022 16:00 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2022 16:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2022 16:00 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2022 16:00 Bevatry Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2022 15:00 Majunga Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2022 16:00 Voalavo Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2022 18:00 Andranovoribe Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 03:00 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 03:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 03:00 Marofototra Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2022 23:00 Baly Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Ananalava Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 09:00 Manampea Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.3
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Amado Mozambique  0.3
05 Feb 2022 20:00 Boanamary Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Kivalo Est Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2022 13:00 Manehoko Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2022 07:00 Ambinanivolo Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2022 13:00 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Ampanihy Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2022 04:00 Ambohidara Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2022 03:00 Marosiky Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2022 10:00 Tamotamo Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Manometimay Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Morondava Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 09:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 09:00 Antsafy Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 10:00 Antohgo Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Andemba Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 09:00 Onara Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Maintirano Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Antserananbondro Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Ankatrafay Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Antandrokomby Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Belailay Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.3
05 Feb 2022 12:00 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2022 05:00 Ambalavontaka Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Reharaka Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 12:00 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 09:00 Ankazobe Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Analalava Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 06:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 07:00 Marovazha Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 20:00 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Manomba Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 16:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Antsamaka Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 12:00 Bevoay Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 12:00 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 12:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 12:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 12:00 Anjabe Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 12:00 Andranomena Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 12:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 08:00 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 12:00 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 10:00 Tambohorano Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 10:00 Ambozaka Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 23:00 Antanambao Samaka Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 07:00 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 01:00 Belo-sur-Mer Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 15:00 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 17:00 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 10:00 Soahanina Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 12:00 Bobasakoa Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Ampasibe Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 03:00 Ambohibe Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 03:00 Andranopasy Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 13:00 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 23:00 Andopitaly Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 21:00 Ampapamena Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 20:00 Katsepy Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 13:00 Ampasitsilavitra Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 14:00 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 01:00 Manakambahiny Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 01:00 Vohitramposina Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 06:00 Nosy-Varika Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 10:00 Ankoadavo Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 10:00 Soahazo Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 22:00 Moravano Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 12:00 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 12:00 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Ankiliabo Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Ocone Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Quelimane do Sal Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Mendozo Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Magromane Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Mulia Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 04:00 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 02:00 Marofihitsa Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 02:00 Ambararata Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 02:00 Ankevo Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 02:00 Manahy Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 02:00 Ankelifolo Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 16:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 16:00 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 16:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 18:00 Matahibory Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 03:00 Maintinandry Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 10:00 Appontement Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 22:00 Andramasay Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 12:00 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 12:00 Anjiamalandy Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 12:00 Maromanjo Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 12:00 Andamoty Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 12:00 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 12:00 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 12:00 Maromandia Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 13:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 12:00 Fadrina Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 11:00 Barra Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Nhamatamanga Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Tama Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Nhangau Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Damiao Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Chamba Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Beira Mozambique  0.2
05 Feb 2022 14:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 18:00 Amboaboaka Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 02:00 Seranandavitra Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 12:00 Mandrony Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 11:00 Mutiba Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 03:00 Mite Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 03:00 Ankoba Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 03:00 Antseranandaka Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 17:00 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 17:00 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 03:00 Vatomandry Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 06:00 Anasindrano Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 16:00 Antaribao Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 13:00 Andriana Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 11:00 Tomodo Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 11:00 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.2
05 Feb 2022 12:00 Mailakapasy Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Anjajavy Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 18:00 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 08:00 Morombe Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 10:00 Chululu Mozambique  0.2
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 12:00 Marovato Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 12:00 Ambanisanjo Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 12:00 Ambatobe Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Bingue Mozambique  0.1
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.1
06 Feb 2022 11:00 Caliua Mozambique  0.1
06 Feb 2022 11:00 Raraga Mozambique  0.1
05 Feb 2022 14:00 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 14:00 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 14:00 Andrafia Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Rupia Mozambique  0.1
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Machesse Mozambique  0.1
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Panaca Mozambique  0.1
05 Feb 2022 16:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 07:00 Loharano Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 07:00 Itenina Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 07:00 Namorre Mozambique  0.1
05 Feb 2022 12:00 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 13:00 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Jonja Mozambique  0.1
05 Feb 2022 09:00 Ankarimbary Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 09:00 Savana Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 10:00 Moebase Mozambique  0.1
06 Feb 2022 10:00 Morrua Mozambique  0.1
05 Feb 2022 01:00 Ampitabe Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 08:00 Ambahy Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 16:00 Antetikireja Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 10:00 Metapa Mozambique  0.1
05 Feb 2022 06:00 Mahela Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 06:00 Andranomahitsy Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 06:00 Ambohitsara Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 03:00 Loharano Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 01:00 Amboditafara Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 12:00 Antananabe Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 12:00 Ankazomalemy Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 12:00 Ampitily Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 12:00 Singalana Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 12:00 Ambodiadabo Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 12:00 Androlavy Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 12:00 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Marovoha Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 15:00 Marosakoa Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 13:00 Andranira Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 07:00 Napito Mozambique  0.1