Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for HAIMA-16
in China, Philippines

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HAIMA-16 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries China, Philippines
Exposed population 3.6 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 269 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.7 m (21 Oct 02:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (China)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 250 km/h 1.7 m n.a. 2.5
GDACS Overall 269 km/h 1.7 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

250 km/h Current Max.

Up to 25 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 14 Oct 2016 18:00 250 No people No people Philippines
Red 2 15 Oct 2016 00:00 250 390 thousand 390 thousand Philippines
Red 3 15 Oct 2016 06:00 259 1.4 million 1.4 million Philippines
Red 4 15 Oct 2016 12:00 259 2.3 million 2.3 million Philippines
Red 5 15 Oct 2016 18:00 259 3 million 3 million Philippines
Red 6 16 Oct 2016 00:00 259 5.3 million 5.3 million Philippines
Red 7 16 Oct 2016 06:00 259 4.3 million 4.3 million Philippines
Red 8 16 Oct 2016 12:00 231 2.6 million 2.6 million Philippines, China
Red 9 16 Oct 2016 18:00 269 11.1 million 11.1 million Philippines, China
Red 10 17 Oct 2016 00:00 269 12 million 12 million Philippines, China
Red 11 17 Oct 2016 06:00 269 5.8 million 5.8 million Philippines, China
Red 12 17 Oct 2016 12:00 241 14.1 million 14.1 million Philippines, China
Red 13 17 Oct 2016 18:00 250 29.3 million 29.3 million Philippines, China
Red 14 18 Oct 2016 00:00 231 23.6 million 23.6 million Philippines, China
Red 15 18 Oct 2016 06:00 241 25.7 million 25.7 million Philippines, China
Red 16 18 Oct 2016 12:00 259 15.9 million 15.9 million Philippines, China
Red 17 18 Oct 2016 18:00 269 11.7 million 11.7 million Philippines, China
Red 18 19 Oct 2016 00:00 241 14.4 million 14.4 million Philippines, China
Red 19 19 Oct 2016 06:00 250 25 million 25 million Philippines, China

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 14 Oct 2016 18:00 Tropical depression 56 <1000 people no people 7.9, 144.4
GREEN
2 15 Oct 2016 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 8.3, 143.8
GREEN
3 15 Oct 2016 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 9, 142.3
GREEN
4 15 Oct 2016 12:00 Tropical storm 83 1000 people no people 9.5, 141.3
GREEN
5 15 Oct 2016 18:00 Tropical storm 93 10000 people no people 9.9, 140.3
GREEN
6 16 Oct 2016 00:00 Category 1 120 10000 people no people 10.1, 139.5
GREEN
7 16 Oct 2016 06:00 Category 1 130 10000 people no people 10.5, 138.9
GREEN
8 16 Oct 2016 12:00 Category 1 139 10000 people no people 11, 138.8
GREEN
9 16 Oct 2016 18:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 12.2, 137.8
GREEN
10 17 Oct 2016 00:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 12.9, 136.5
GREEN
11 17 Oct 2016 06:00 Category 3 194 no people no people 13.3, 135.5
GREEN
12 17 Oct 2016 12:00 Category 4 213 no people no people 13.8, 134.5
GREEN
13 17 Oct 2016 18:00 Category 4 222 no people no people 14.4, 133.3
GREEN
14 18 Oct 2016 00:00 Category 4 222 no people no people 14.9, 132.1
GREEN
15 18 Oct 2016 06:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 15.4, 130.6
GREEN
16 18 Oct 2016 12:00 Category 5 259 no people no people 15.7, 129.1
GREEN
17 18 Oct 2016 18:00 Category 5 269 8.4 million people no people 16, 127.5 Philippines
ORANGE
18 19 Oct 2016 00:00 Category 5 259 54.4 million people 67000 people 16, 126 Philippines
RED
19 19 Oct 2016 06:00 Category 4 250 51.4 million people 3.5 million people 16.7, 124.7 Philippines
RED
19 19 Oct 2016 18:00 Category 4 213 52.8 million people 5.3 million people 17.6, 121.9 Philippines
GREEN
19 20 Oct 2016 06:00 Category 2 167 45.7 million people no people 18.6, 119.3 China
ORANGE
19 20 Oct 2016 18:00 Category 2 157 88.8 million people 2.8 million people 20, 117.3 China
ORANGE
19 21 Oct 2016 06:00 Category 1 148 108.3 million people 19.7 million people 22.2, 115.5 China
GREEN
19 22 Oct 2016 06:00 Tropical storm 74 60.6 million people no people 26.4, 116 China
GREEN
19 23 Oct 2016 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 29.6, 122.4 China
GREEN
19 24 Oct 2016 06:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 30.4, 132.4
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Philippines
China

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Cagayan Valley Philippines 2.3 million people
Southern Tagalog Philippines 8.2 million people
Cordillera Administrative Region Philippines 1.1 million people
Ilocos Philippines 3.5 million people
Fujian China 33.2 million people
Guangdong China 69.6 million people
Jiangxi China 41.7 million people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Cabagan Cagayan Valley Philippines City 24000 people
Tuguegarao Cagayan Valley Philippines City 110000 people
Santiago Cagayan Valley Philippines City 100000 people
San Nicolas Ilocos Philippines City 19000 people
Laoag Ilocos Philippines City 100000 people
Bacarra Ilocos Philippines City 9600 people
Huilai Guangdong China City -
Jiazi Guangdong China City 120000 people
Jieshi Guangdong China City 130000 people
Liusha Guangdong China City 110000 people
Jieyang Guangdong China City -
Ni Kou Guangdong China City -
Hongyang Guangdong China City -
Mianhu Guangdong China City -
Lufeng Guangdong China City -
Fengshun Guangdong China City -
Shanwei Guangdong China City 160000 people
Hepo Guangdong China City 120000 people
Haifeng Guangdong China City -
Pinghai Guangdong China City -
Songkou Guangdong China City -
Meixian Guangdong China City -
Xinbu Guangdong China City -
Xingcheng Guangdong China City 100000 people
Huacheng Guangdong China City -
Jiaocheng Guangdong China City -
Zijin Guangdong China City -
Qiling Guangdong China City -
Dazhe Guangdong China City -
Shizheng Guangdong China City -
Lantang Guangdong China City -
Laolong Guangdong China City -
Renju Guangdong China City -
Qianjia Fujian China City -
Tuocheng Guangdong China City -
Pingchuan Fujian China City -
Changning Jiangxi China City -
Hetian Fujian China City -
Tingzhou Fujian China City -
Zhantang Jiangxi China City -
Xinshan Jiangxi China City -
Xianghu Jiangxi China City -
Qinjiang Jiangxi China City -
Luokou Jiangxi China City -
Pangushan Jiangxi China City -
Meijiang Jiangxi China City -

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Palanan 50 Civ. Unpaved No 3200
Cauayan CYZ 61 Civ. Paved No 5700
Tuguegarao TUG 21 Civ. Paved No 5900
Mrmp 117 0
Taggat 5 0
Vigan 4 Civ. Paved No 3400
Laoag International LAO 6 Civ. Paved Yes 7900
Pratas Island 3 0
Meixian Af P 101 0
Meixian MXZ 93 0
108 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Palanan Philippines
Port San Vicente Philippines
Aparri PHAPR Philippines
Abulog Philippines
Claveria Philippines
Port San Esteban Philippines
Gan Bay Philippines
Pandan Philippines
Salomague Philippines
Laoag PHLAO Philippines
Dirique Inlet Philippines
Pratas Island China
Lufeng Terminal China
Lan Shui Terminal China
Huizhou Terminal CNHUI China
Shanwei CNSWE China

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Magat Magat 1983
Wusongling Bwiling He 1958
Shiliutan Longjiang He 1959
Tangkeng Lian Jiang 1960
Longtan Long Jiang 1960
Xinxihe Trib. Rong Jiang 1958
Longjing Trib. Rong Jiang -99
Longjing Trib. Rong Jiang 1960
Hengjiang Liantian He 1971
Nangao Lu He 1985
Baipenzhu Xizhi Jiang 1987
Yitang Wuhua He 1984
Meixi -99
Changtan Trib. Mei Jiang -99
Heshui Trib. Mei Jiang -99
Wengong Huangpi Shui 1959
Fushi -99
Huangtian -99
Fengshuba Dong Jiang 1975
Shibikeng Gong Jiang 1973
Ridong 1973
Longshan 1961
Zhukeng -99

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

1.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.7m in Jiesheng, China. This height is estimated for 21 Oct 2016 02:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (475 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 27 of 21 Oct 2016 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

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