Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DEBBIE-17
in Australia
24 Mar 2017 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
  • GFS
  • HWRF
  • ECMWF
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone DEBBIE-17 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Australia
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 213 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 1.6 m (28 Mar 02:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Low (Australia)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 176 km/h 1.6 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 213 km/h 1.6 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      176 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 220000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 24 Mar 2017 18:00 176 380 thousand 220 thousand Australia

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 24 Mar 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -17.2, 152
          GREEN
          		 1 25 Mar 2017 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -17.9, 151.9
          GREEN
          		 1 25 Mar 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 120000 people -18.5, 151.3 Australia
          GREEN
          		 1 26 Mar 2017 06:00 Category 1 130 no people 160000 people -18.9, 150.4 Australia
          GREEN
          		 1 26 Mar 2017 18:00 Category 2 176 210000 people 380000 people -19.1, 149.6 Australia
          GREEN
          		 1 27 Mar 2017 18:00 Category 2 176 210000 people 260000 people -19.6, 147.1 Australia
          GREEN
          		 1 28 Mar 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 4600 people -20.1, 145 Australia
          GREEN
          		 1 29 Mar 2017 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -21.3, 143 Australia
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Australia

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Queensland Australia

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Bowen Queensland Australia City 11000 people
          Ayr Queensland Australia City 9000 people
          Home Hill Queensland Australia City -
          Townsville Queensland Australia Major city 140000 people
          Charters Towners Queensland Australia City -

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Bowen ZBO 8 Civ. Unpaved Yes 4400
          Daydream Island DDI unknown 0
          Ayr AYR 12 Civ. Paved No 3000
          Townsville TSV 5 Civ. Paved Yes 7900
          Charters Towers CXT 291 Civ. Paved No 3000
          Miners Lake MRL unknown 0
          Mt. Full Stop MFL unknown 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Bowen AUZBO Coral Sea Islands
          Abbot Point AUABP Coral Sea Islands
          Townsville AUTSV Coral Sea Islands

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          Ross River Ross 1987
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          1.6 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  1.6m in Lethebrook, Australia. This height is estimated for 28 Mar 2017 02:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (57 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 8 of 28 Mar 2017 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          28 Mar 2017 02:00 Lethebrook Australia  1.6
          28 Mar 2017 01:00 Cannonvale Australia  1.6
          28 Mar 2017 01:00 Airlie Australia  1.6
          28 Mar 2017 02:00 Banana Pocket Australia  1.6
          28 Mar 2017 02:00 Midgeton Australia  1.5
          27 Mar 2017 20:00 Te Kowai Australia  1.0
          27 Mar 2017 20:00 Etowri Australia  1.0
          27 Mar 2017 20:00 Nindaroo Australia  1.0
          27 Mar 2017 20:00 Bucasia Australia  1.0
          27 Mar 2017 20:00 Eimeo Australia  1.0
          27 Mar 2017 20:00 Andergrove Australia  1.0
          27 Mar 2017 20:00 Blacks Beach Australia  1.0
          28 Mar 2017 01:00 Seaforth Australia  1.0
          27 Mar 2017 18:00 Glenella Australia  0.8
          27 Mar 2017 20:00 Slade Point Australia  0.8
          27 Mar 2017 20:00 Amhurst Australia  0.8
          27 Mar 2017 18:00 Bakers Creek Australia  0.8
          27 Mar 2017 18:00 North Mackay Australia  0.8
          27 Mar 2017 18:00 Mackay Australia  0.8
          27 Mar 2017 18:00 Cremorne Australia  0.8
          27 Mar 2017 18:00 Rosella Australia  0.8
          27 Mar 2017 18:00 Chelona Australia  0.8
          27 Mar 2017 19:00 Taffy Islet Australia  0.8
          27 Mar 2017 20:00 Carmila Australia  0.8
          27 Mar 2017 20:00 Hay Point Australia  0.7
          27 Mar 2017 19:00 Flaggy Rock Australia  0.7
          27 Mar 2017 18:00 Alligator Creek Australia  0.7
          27 Mar 2017 19:00 Elalie Australia  0.7
          27 Mar 2017 19:00 Clairview Australia  0.6
          27 Mar 2017 19:00 Kalarka Australia  0.6
          27 Mar 2017 19:00 Saint Lawrence Australia  0.6
          27 Mar 2017 18:00 Queens Beach Australia  0.4
          27 Mar 2017 03:00 Keppel Sands Australia  0.4
          27 Mar 2017 18:00 Inveroona Australia  0.4
          27 Mar 2017 18:00 Bowen Australia  0.4
          27 Mar 2017 18:00 Yumbabullo Australia  0.4
          27 Mar 2017 05:00 Farnborough Australia  0.4
          27 Mar 2017 05:00 Yeppoon Australia  0.4
          27 Mar 2017 05:00 Emu Park Australia  0.4
          27 Mar 2017 06:00 Parsons Point Australia  0.4
          27 Mar 2017 07:00 Port Alma Australia  0.4
          27 Mar 2017 06:00 Southend Australia  0.3
          27 Mar 2017 16:00 Merinda Australia  0.3
          27 Mar 2017 16:00 Delta Australia  0.3
          27 Mar 2017 16:00 Bootooloo Australia  0.3
          27 Mar 2017 18:00 Alva Australia  0.3
          27 Mar 2017 17:00 Carstairs Australia  0.2
          27 Mar 2017 17:00 Jarvisfield Australia  0.2
          27 Mar 2017 17:00 Rita Island Australia  0.2
          27 Mar 2017 05:00 Targinie Australia  0.2
          27 Mar 2017 05:00 Beecher Australia  0.2
          27 Mar 2017 05:00 Gladstone Australia  0.2
          27 Mar 2017 05:00 Toolooa Australia  0.2
          27 Mar 2017 05:00 Boyne Island Australia  0.2
          27 Mar 2017 05:00 Benaraby Australia  0.2
          27 Mar 2017 05:00 Bustard Head Australia  0.1
          27 Mar 2017 06:00 Seventeen Seventy Australia  0.1