Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for DEBBIE-17 in Australia from 24 Mar 2017 18:00 UTC to 26 Mar 2017 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DEBBIE-17

in Australia

26 Mar 2017 06 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DEBBIE-17 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Australia
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	213 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.6 m (28 Mar 02:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	185 km/h	1.6 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	213 km/h	1.6 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

185 km/h Current Max.

Up to 39000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	24 Mar 2017 18:00	176	380 thousand	220 thousand	Australia
2	25 Mar 2017 06:00	204	400 thousand	220 thousand	Australia
3	25 Mar 2017 18:00	213	380 thousand	210 thousand	Australia
4	26 Mar 2017 06:00	185	380 thousand	40 thousand	Australia

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	24 Mar 2017 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	-17.2, 152
2	25 Mar 2017 06:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	-17.7, 152.1
3	25 Mar 2017 18:00	Category 1	120	no people	1700 people	-17.9, 151.7	Australia
4	26 Mar 2017 06:00	Category 1	130	no people	54000 people	-18.3, 151.2	Australia
4	26 Mar 2017 18:00	Category 2	157	no people	170000 people	-18.6, 150.5	Australia
4	27 Mar 2017 06:00	Category 2	176	7400 people	370000 people	-19, 149.5	Australia
4	27 Mar 2017 18:00	Category 3	185	31000 people	380000 people	-19.5, 148.2	Australia
4	28 Mar 2017 06:00	Category 1	130	13000 people	250000 people	-20, 146.8	Australia
4	29 Mar 2017 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	2000 people	-20.9, 145.3	Australia
4	30 Mar 2017 06:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	-21.6, 144.8	Australia

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Australia

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Queensland	Australia

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Bowen	Queensland	Australia	City	11000 people
Ayr	Queensland	Australia	City	9000 people
Home Hill	Queensland	Australia	City	-
Charters Towners	Queensland	Australia	City	-

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Bowen	ZBO	8	Civ.	Unpaved	Yes	4400
Daydream Island	DDI	unknown				0
Ayr	AYR	12	Civ.	Paved	No	3000
Charters Towers	CXT	291	Civ.	Paved	No	3000

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Bowen	AUZBO	Coral Sea Islands
Abbot Point	AUABP	Coral Sea Islands

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

1.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 1.6m in Lethebrook, Australia. This height is estimated for 28 Mar 2017 02:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (57 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 8 of 28 Mar 2017 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	28 Mar 2017 02:00	Lethebrook	Australia	1.6
	28 Mar 2017 01:00	Cannonvale	Australia	1.6
	28 Mar 2017 01:00	Airlie	Australia	1.6
	28 Mar 2017 02:00	Banana Pocket	Australia	1.6
	28 Mar 2017 02:00	Midgeton	Australia	1.5
	27 Mar 2017 20:00	Te Kowai	Australia	1.0
	27 Mar 2017 20:00	Etowri	Australia	1.0
	27 Mar 2017 20:00	Nindaroo	Australia	1.0
	27 Mar 2017 20:00	Bucasia	Australia	1.0
	27 Mar 2017 20:00	Eimeo	Australia	1.0
	27 Mar 2017 20:00	Andergrove	Australia	1.0
	27 Mar 2017 20:00	Blacks Beach	Australia	1.0
	28 Mar 2017 01:00	Seaforth	Australia	1.0
	27 Mar 2017 18:00	Glenella	Australia	0.8
	27 Mar 2017 20:00	Slade Point	Australia	0.8
	27 Mar 2017 20:00	Amhurst	Australia	0.8
	27 Mar 2017 18:00	Bakers Creek	Australia	0.8
	27 Mar 2017 18:00	North Mackay	Australia	0.8
	27 Mar 2017 18:00	Mackay	Australia	0.8
	27 Mar 2017 18:00	Cremorne	Australia	0.8
	27 Mar 2017 18:00	Rosella	Australia	0.8
	27 Mar 2017 18:00	Chelona	Australia	0.8
	27 Mar 2017 19:00	Taffy Islet	Australia	0.8
	27 Mar 2017 20:00	Carmila	Australia	0.8
	27 Mar 2017 20:00	Hay Point	Australia	0.7
	27 Mar 2017 19:00	Flaggy Rock	Australia	0.7
	27 Mar 2017 18:00	Alligator Creek	Australia	0.7
	27 Mar 2017 19:00	Elalie	Australia	0.7
	27 Mar 2017 19:00	Clairview	Australia	0.6
	27 Mar 2017 19:00	Kalarka	Australia	0.6
	27 Mar 2017 19:00	Saint Lawrence	Australia	0.6
	27 Mar 2017 18:00	Queens Beach	Australia	0.4
	27 Mar 2017 03:00	Keppel Sands	Australia	0.4
	27 Mar 2017 18:00	Inveroona	Australia	0.4
	27 Mar 2017 18:00	Bowen	Australia	0.4
	27 Mar 2017 18:00	Yumbabullo	Australia	0.4
	27 Mar 2017 05:00	Farnborough	Australia	0.4
	27 Mar 2017 05:00	Yeppoon	Australia	0.4
	27 Mar 2017 05:00	Emu Park	Australia	0.4
	27 Mar 2017 06:00	Parsons Point	Australia	0.4
	27 Mar 2017 07:00	Port Alma	Australia	0.4
	27 Mar 2017 06:00	Southend	Australia	0.3
	27 Mar 2017 16:00	Merinda	Australia	0.3
	27 Mar 2017 16:00	Delta	Australia	0.3
	27 Mar 2017 16:00	Bootooloo	Australia	0.3
	27 Mar 2017 18:00	Alva	Australia	0.3
	27 Mar 2017 17:00	Carstairs	Australia	0.2
	27 Mar 2017 17:00	Jarvisfield	Australia	0.2
	27 Mar 2017 17:00	Rita Island	Australia	0.2
	27 Mar 2017 05:00	Targinie	Australia	0.2
	27 Mar 2017 05:00	Beecher	Australia	0.2
	27 Mar 2017 05:00	Gladstone	Australia	0.2
	27 Mar 2017 05:00	Toolooa	Australia	0.2
	27 Mar 2017 05:00	Boyne Island	Australia	0.2
	27 Mar 2017 05:00	Benaraby	Australia	0.2
	27 Mar 2017 05:00	Bustard Head	Australia	0.1
	27 Mar 2017 06:00	Seventeen Seventy	Australia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.