Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for SOULIK-18 in Japan from 15 Aug 2018 12:00 UTC to 18:00

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for SOULIK-18

in Japan

15 Aug 2018 18 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SOULIK-18 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Japan
Exposed population	60 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	213 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (18 Aug 08:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	157 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	213 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

157 km/h Current Max.

Up to <1000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
	1	15 Aug 2018 12:00	176	3 thousand	2 thousand
	2	15 Aug 2018 18:00	157	2.7 million	Few people	Japan

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	15 Aug 2018 12:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	120000 people	12.5, 144.4	Guam
2	15 Aug 2018 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	13.7, 143.9	Guam
2	16 Aug 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	16, 143.1
2	16 Aug 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	18.8, 142.4
2	17 Aug 2018 06:00	Category 1	120	no people	<1000 people	21.4, 141.5
2	17 Aug 2018 18:00	Category 1	139	<1000 people	2800 people	23.8, 141.3
2	18 Aug 2018 18:00	Category 2	157	<1000 people	2800 people	25.6, 141.4
2	19 Aug 2018 18:00	Category 1	148	no people	2.7 million people	28.5, 138	Japan
2	20 Aug 2018 18:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	31.7, 134.9

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Iwo To (Iwo Jima)	IWO	113	Mil.	Paved	Yes	8700

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Minami Lo		Japan
Iwo Jima		Japan

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in Higashi, Japan. This height is estimated for 18 Aug 2018 08:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (2 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 2 of 15 Aug 2018 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	18 Aug 2018 08:00	Higashi	Japan	0.5
	18 Aug 2018 17:00	Ishinomura	Japan	0.5

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.