Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LUBAN-18 in Yemen from 08 Oct 2018 00:00 UTC to 06:00

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUBAN-18

in Yemen

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUBAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Yemen
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	139 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (08 Oct 16:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Yemen)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	130 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	139 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

130 km/h Current Max.

Up to 16000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
	1	08 Oct 2018 00:00	120	350 thousand	No people	Oman, Yemen
	2	08 Oct 2018 06:00	130	90 thousand	20 thousand	Yemen

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	08 Oct 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	12.4, 62.3
2	08 Oct 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	12.3, 61.6
2	08 Oct 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	12.8, 60.6
2	09 Oct 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	13.2, 59.5
2	09 Oct 2018 18:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	13.5, 58.7
2	10 Oct 2018 06:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	13.9, 57.8
2	11 Oct 2018 06:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	14.4, 56.4
2	12 Oct 2018 06:00	Category 1	120	16000 people	92000 people	15, 54.5	Yemen
2	13 Oct 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	15.5, 52.1	Yemen

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Yemen

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Al Mahrah	Yemen

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Ras Fartak		Yemen
Nishtun	YENIS	Yemen

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Asarsa, India. This height is estimated for 08 Oct 2018 16:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (17 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 2 of 08 Oct 2018 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	08 Oct 2018 16:00	Asarsa	India	0.2
	08 Oct 2018 16:00	Tankari	India	0.2
	08 Oct 2018 16:00	Wadgam	India	0.2
	08 Oct 2018 16:00	Sarod	India	0.2
	08 Oct 2018 15:00	Muler	India	0.1
	08 Oct 2018 16:00	Kambhat	India	0.1
	08 Oct 2018 16:00	Kavi	India	0.1
	08 Oct 2018 14:00	Ghogha	India	0.1
	08 Oct 2018 14:00	Dahej	India	0.1
	10 Oct 2018 07:00	Qaysad	Oman	0.1
	08 Oct 2018 11:00	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.1
	08 Oct 2018 11:00	Mahuva	India	0.1
	08 Oct 2018 11:00	Kotada	India	0.1
	08 Oct 2018 14:00	Harinagar	India	0.1
	10 Oct 2018 07:00	Sawqirah	Oman	0.1
	10 Oct 2018 07:00	Lakabi	Oman	0.1
	08 Oct 2018 07:00	Duqm	Oman	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.