Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for SAUDEL-20 in Viet Nam, China, Philippines, Laos, Thailand from 19 Oct 2020 00:00 UTC to 25 Oct 2020 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for SAUDEL-20

in Viet Nam, China, Philippines, Laos, Thailand

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SAUDEL-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Viet Nam, China, Philippines, Laos, Thailand
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	157 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.2 m (25 Oct 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Vietnam)
Landfall	between 25 Oct 2020 18:00 - 26 Oct 2020 06:00 in Laos

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	46 km/h	0.7 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	157 km/h	1.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

46 km/h Current Max.

Up to 57.1 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	19 Oct 2020 00:00	111	47.6 million	No people	Philippines, China, Viet Nam
2	19 Oct 2020 06:00	111	69.6 million	No people	Philippines, China, Viet Nam
3	19 Oct 2020 12:00	102	65.2 million	No people	Philippines, China, Viet Nam
4	19 Oct 2020 18:00	111	78.9 million	No people	Philippines, China, Viet Nam, Laos
5	20 Oct 2020 00:00	111	61.1 million	No people	Philippines, China, Viet Nam
6	20 Oct 2020 06:00	111	94.1 million	No people	Philippines, China, Viet Nam, Laos
7	20 Oct 2020 12:00	111	56.2 million	No people	Philippines, China, Viet Nam
8	20 Oct 2020 18:00	102	113.9 million	No people	Philippines, China, Viet Nam, Laos, Thailand
9	21 Oct 2020 00:00	111	167.2 million	No people	Philippines, China, Viet Nam, Laos, Thailand
10	21 Oct 2020 06:00	111	103.1 million	No people	Philippines, China, Viet Nam, Laos, Thailand
11	21 Oct 2020 12:00	111	61.4 million	No people	Philippines, China, Viet Nam, Laos, Thailand
12	21 Oct 2020 18:00	130	63.1 million	No people	Philippines, China, Viet Nam, Laos, Thailand
13	22 Oct 2020 00:00	111	159.6 million	No people	Philippines, China, Viet Nam, Laos, Thailand
14	22 Oct 2020 06:00	130	61.2 million	No people	Philippines, China, Viet Nam, Laos
15	22 Oct 2020 12:00	139	65.5 million	No people	Philippines, China, Viet Nam, Laos
16	22 Oct 2020 18:00	148	93.8 million	No people	Philippines, China, Viet Nam, Laos
17	23 Oct 2020 00:00	130	64.5 million	No people	China, Philippines, Viet Nam, Laos
18	23 Oct 2020 06:00	139	64 million	No people	China, Philippines, Viet Nam, Laos, Thailand
19	23 Oct 2020 12:00	139	60.4 million	No people	China, Philippines, Viet Nam, Laos, Thailand
20	23 Oct 2020 18:00	120	65 million	No people	China, Philippines, Viet Nam, Laos, Thailand
21	24 Oct 2020 00:00	102	57.7 million	No people	China, Viet Nam, Philippines, Laos
22	24 Oct 2020 06:00	93	55.4 million	No people	China, Viet Nam, Laos, Philippines
23	24 Oct 2020 12:00	93	55.5 million	No people	China, Viet Nam, Laos, Philippines
24	24 Oct 2020 18:00	93	61.4 million	No people	China, Viet Nam, Laos, Thailand, Philippines
25	25 Oct 2020 00:00	83	59.7 million	No people	China, Viet Nam, Laos, Thailand, Philippines
26	25 Oct 2020 06:00	74	58.3 million	No people	Viet Nam, China, Laos, Philippines
27	25 Oct 2020 12:00	65	58.5 million	No people	Viet Nam, China, Laos, Philippines
28	25 Oct 2020 18:00	46	57.1 million	No people	Viet Nam, China, Philippines

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	19 Oct 2020 00:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	13.8, 129.4
2	19 Oct 2020 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	310000 people	13.9, 128.3
3	19 Oct 2020 12:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	4.9 million people	14.1, 127.1
4	19 Oct 2020 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	57.4 million people	15, 126.1
5	20 Oct 2020 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	48.3 million people	15.6, 124.9
6	20 Oct 2020 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	50.4 million people	15.9, 123.2
7	20 Oct 2020 12:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	50.1 million people	15.8, 122.3
8	20 Oct 2020 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	46.8 million people	16.4, 120	Philippines
9	21 Oct 2020 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	5 million people	16.7, 118.4
10	21 Oct 2020 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	35.3 million people	16.2, 118.5
11	21 Oct 2020 12:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	680000 people	15.9, 117.5
12	21 Oct 2020 18:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	16.2, 116.9
13	22 Oct 2020 00:00	Category 1	120	no people	2200 people	17, 116.1
14	22 Oct 2020 06:00	Category 1	120	no people	1.4 million people	17.1, 116.4
15	22 Oct 2020 12:00	Category 1	130	no people	14.5 million people	17.4, 116.2
16	22 Oct 2020 18:00	Category 1	139	no people	39.3 million people	17.7, 115.6
17	23 Oct 2020 00:00	Category 2	157	no people	3 million people	17.8, 115.3
18	23 Oct 2020 06:00	Category 1	139	no people	1.2 million people	18, 115.2
19	23 Oct 2020 12:00	Category 1	139	no people	14000 people	18, 115.1
20	23 Oct 2020 18:00	Category 1	120	no people	2.9 million people	17.8, 114.3
21	24 Oct 2020 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	6.9 million people	17.7, 113.6
22	24 Oct 2020 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	4.7 million people	17.7, 112.5
23	24 Oct 2020 12:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	1.8 million people	17.6, 111.5
24	24 Oct 2020 18:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	5.8 million people	17.6, 110.2
25	25 Oct 2020 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	5.1 million people	17.6, 109.2
26	25 Oct 2020 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	3.5 million people	17.5, 108.2
27	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	3.2 million people	17.5, 107.9
28	25 Oct 2020 18:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	17.7, 107.3
28	26 Oct 2020 06:00	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	17.5, 105.3	Laos
28	26 Oct 2020 18:00	Tropical depression	28	no people	no people	16.7, 103.2	Thailand

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Source: GADM and GHSL

Provinces

Source: GADM and GHSL

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Disclaimer - Copyright
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.