Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for SAUDEL-20 in Viet Nam, China, Philippines, Laos, Thailand from 19 Oct 2020 00:00 UTC to 25 Oct 2020 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for SAUDEL-20

in Viet Nam, China, Philippines, Laos, Thailand

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

Click on the messages list to visualize on the right the detailed text.

Measurements Levels

SOURCE	GAUGE LOCATION	LAT	LON	TIME (UTC)	HEIGHT (m)	PERIOD (min)

25/10 19:34 WTSS20VHHH251945

25/10 16:33 WTSS20VHHH251645

25/10 10:34 WTSS20VHHH251045

25/10 08:44 WTPN51PGTW250900

25/10 08:34 WTPN31PGTW250900

25/10 07:34 WTSS20VHHH250745

25/10 01:36 WTSS20VHHH250145

24/10 22:32 WTSS20VHHH242245

24/10 19:34 WTSS20VHHH241945

24/10 16:32 WTSS20VHHH241645

24/10 13:32 WTSS20VHHH241345

24/10 10:32 WTSS20VHHH241045

24/10 07:32 WTSS20VHHH240745

24/10 04:32 WTSS20VHHH240445

24/10 01:33 WTSS20VHHH240145

23/10 19:33 WTSS20VHHH231945

23/10 16:33 WTSS20VHHH231645

23/10 13:33 WTSS20VHHH231345

23/10 10:32 WTSS20VHHH231045

23/10 07:33 WTSS20VHHH230745

23/10 04:33 WTSS20VHHH230445

23/10 01:32 WTSS20VHHH230145

22/10 22:33 WTSS20VHHH222245

22/10 19:33 WTSS20VHHH221945

22/10 16:32 WTSS20VHHH221645

22/10 13:32 WTSS20VHHH221345

22/10 10:33 WTSS20VHHH221045

22/10 04:32 WTSS20VHHH220445

22/10 01:33 WTSS20VHHH220145

21/10 22:32 WTSS20VHHH212245

21/10 19:32 WTSS20VHHH211945

21/10 16:34 WTSS20VHHH211645

21/10 10:33 WTSS20VHHH211045

21/10 07:33 WTSS20VHHH210745

21/10 04:33 WTSS20VHHH210445

21/10 03:45 WTJP31RJTD210300

21/10 01:34 WTSS20VHHH210145

21/10 01:01 WTKO20RKSL210000

21/10 00:45 WTJP21RJTD210000

20/10 22:32 WTSS20VHHH202245

20/10 21:45 WTPQ50RJTD202100

20/10 21:45 WTPQ20RJTD202100

20/10 19:35 WTPQ30RJTD201800

20/10 19:33 WTSS20VHHH201945

20/10 19:03 WTKO20RKSL201800

20/10 18:50 WTPQ50RJTD201800

20/10 18:50 WTPQ20RJTD201800

20/10 18:50 WTJP21RJTD201800

20/10 16:33 WTPQ20VHHH201645

20/10 15:50 WTPQ50RJTD201500

20/10 15:50 WTPQ20RJTD201500

20/10 13:33 WTPQ20VHHH201345

20/10 13:20 WTPQ30RJTD201200

20/10 13:02 WTKO20RKSL201200

20/10 12:45 WTPQ50RJTD201200

20/10 12:45 WTPQ20RJTD201200

20/10 12:45 WTJP21RJTD201200

20/10 10:32 WTPQ20VHHH201045

20/10 09:45 WTPQ50RJTD200900

20/10 09:45 WTPQ20RJTD200900

20/10 08:53 WTPN31PGTW200900

20/10 08:53 WTPN51PGTW200900

20/10 07:45 WTPQ30RJTD200600

20/10 07:32 WTPQ20VHHH200745

20/10 07:02 WTKO20RKSL200600

20/10 06:50 WTPQ50RJTD200600

20/10 06:50 WTPQ20RJTD200600

20/10 06:50 WTJP21RJTD200600

20/10 04:32 WTPQ20VHHH200445

20/10 03:45 WTPQ50RJTD200300

20/10 03:45 WTPQ20RJTD200300

20/10 02:30 WTPQ30RJTD200000

20/10 02:01 WTPN51PGTW200300

20/10 02:00 WTPN31PGTW200300

20/10 01:43 WTKO20RKSL200000

20/10 01:30 WTPQ50RJTD200000

20/10 01:30 WTPQ20RJTD200000

20/10 01:30 WTJP21RJTD200000

19/10 20:23 WTPN51PGTW192100

19/10 20:19 WTPN31PGTW192100

19/10 14:44 WTPN51PGTW191500

19/10 14:23 WTPN31PGTW191500

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 251945

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 251800 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION SAUDEL (2017) HAS
WEAKENED INTO AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE.

NO FURTHER WARNINGS ON THIS AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BE
ISSUED BY THE HONG KONG OBSERVATORY UNLESS REGENERATION
TAKES PLACE.
0000012300
49622

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 251645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 251500 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION SAUDEL (2017) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (17.5
N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (107.4 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 60 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 251045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 250900 UTC, TROPICAL STORM SAUDEL (2017) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 995 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (17.5 N) ONE
ZERO SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (107.8 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.
0000012000
47055

>

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 250900
WARNING ATCG MIL 19W NWP 201025080248
2020102506 19W SAUDEL 026 02 265 10 SATL 035
T000 175N 1082E 040 R034 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD
T012 174N 1064E 030
T024 167N 1042E 020
AMP
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 19W (SAUDEL) WARNING NR 026
1. TROPICAL STORM 19W (SAUDEL) WARNING NR 026
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
250600Z --- NEAR 17.5N 108.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.5N 108.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 17.4N 106.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 16.7N 104.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
250900Z POSITION NEAR 17.5N 107.8E.
25OCT20. TROPICAL STORM 19W (SAUDEL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 90 NM NORTH OF DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS T
RACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z IS
15 FEET. NEXT
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
1920101600 48N1476E 15
1920101606 50N1460E 15
1920101612 54N1446E 15
1920101618 60N1425E 15
1920101700 75N1410E 15
1920101706 84N1400E 15
1920101712 95N1391E 15
1920101718 103N1379E 20
1920101800 108N1364E 20
1920101806 114N1349E 20
1920101812 122N1335E 20
1920101818 132N1317E 20
1920101900 138N1296E 25
1920101906 140N1283E 30
1920101912 144N1271E 30
1920101918 150N1261E 30
1920102000 156N1249E 35
1920102006 159N1232E 40
1920102012 161N1216E 45
1920102018 162N1197E 40
1920102100 162N1190E 45
1920102106 162N1185E 45
1920102112 159N1175E 50
1920102112 159N1175E 50
1920102118 162N1169E 60
1920102118 162N1169E 60
1920102200 167N1165E 65
1920102200 167N1165E 65
1920102200 167N1165E 65
1920102206 171N1164E 65
1920102206 171N1164E 65
1920102206 171N1164E 65
1920102212 174N1162E 70
1920102212 174N1162E 70
1920102212 174N1162E 70
1920102218 177N1159E 75
1920102218 177N1159E 75
1920102218 177N1159E 75
1920102300 179N1156E 80
1920102300 179N1156E 80
1920102300 179N1156E 80
1920102306 179N1153E 75
1920102306 179N1153E 75
1920102306 179N1153E 75
1920102312 178N1149E 75
1920102312 178N1149E 75
1920102312 178N1149E 75
1920102318 177N1143E 60
1920102318 177N1143E 60
1920102400 177N1136E 55
1920102400 177N1136E 55
1920102406 177N1125E 50
1920102406 177N1125E 50
1920102412 176N1115E 50
1920102412 176N1115E 50
1920102418 176N1102E 50
1920102418 176N1102E 50
1920102500 176N1092E 40
1920102506 175N1082E 40

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 250900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 19W (SAUDEL) WARNING NR 026//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 19W (SAUDEL) WARNING NR 026
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
250600Z --- NEAR 17.5N 108.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.5N 108.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 17.4N 106.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 16.7N 104.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
250900Z POSITION NEAR 17.5N 107.8E.
25OCT20. TROPICAL STORM 19W (SAUDEL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 90 NM
NORTH OF DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z IS 15
FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 251500Z, 252100Z AND 260300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM
21W (MOLAVE) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 250745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 250600 UTC, TROPICAL STORM SAUDEL (2017) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (17.5 N) ONE
ZERO EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (108.3 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.
0000175600
46417

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 250145

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 250000 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM SAUDEL (2017) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (17.5
N) ONE ZERO NINE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (109.2 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260000 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (17.4 N)
ONE ZERO FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (105.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 270000 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.
0000010800
44525

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 242245

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 242100 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM SAUDEL (2017) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (17.5
N) ONE ZERO NINE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (109.9 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 252100 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (17.5 N)
ONE ZERO FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (105.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 262100 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 241945

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 241800 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM SAUDEL (2017) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (17.5
N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (110.5 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251800 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (17.5 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (106.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261800 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.
0000009200
42620

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 241645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 241500 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM SAUDEL (2017) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (17.5
N) ONE ONE ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (111.0 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251500 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (17.2 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (107.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 241345

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 241200 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM SAUDEL (2017) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (17.5
N) ONE ONE ONE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (111.6 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251200 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (17.3 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (107.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261200 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 241045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 240900 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM SAUDEL (2017) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (17.6
N) ONE ONE TWO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (112.1 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 250900 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (17.4 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (108.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 240745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 240600 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM SAUDEL (2017) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (17.7
N) ONE ONE TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (112.7 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 250600 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (17.5 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (108.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 240445

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 240300 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM SAUDEL (2017) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (17.8
N) ONE ONE THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (113.0 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 250300 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (17.5 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (108.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260300 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 240145

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 240000 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM SAUDEL (2017) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (17.9
N) ONE ONE THREE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (113.3 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 240 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 250000 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (17.5 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (109.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260000 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 231945

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 231800 UTC, TYPHOON SAUDEL (2017) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
975 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (17.9 N) ONE ONE THREE
POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (113.7 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
WEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHEAST QUADRANT, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 330 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 270 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 241800 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (17.6 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (109.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251800 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (17.7 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (106.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261800 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 231645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 231500 UTC, TYPHOON SAUDEL (2017) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (17.9 N) ONE ONE THREE
POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (113.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
WEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 330 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 270 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 241500 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (17.8 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (109.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251500 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (17.7 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (106.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 231345

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 231200 UTC, TYPHOON SAUDEL (2017) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (17.9 N) ONE ONE FOUR
POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (114.2 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
WEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 75 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 330 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 270 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 241200 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (17.8 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (110.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251200 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (17.7 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (106.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261200 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 231045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 230900 UTC, TYPHOON SAUDEL (2017) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (17.9 N) ONE ONE FOUR
POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (114.6 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
WEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 75 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 330 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 270 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240900 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (17.8 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (110.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 250900 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (17.7 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (107.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 230745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 230600 UTC, TYPHOON SAUDEL (2017) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (17.9 N) ONE ONE FOUR
POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (114.7 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
WEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 75 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 330 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 270 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240600 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (17.8 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (111.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 250600 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (17.7 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (107.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 230445

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 230300 UTC, TYPHOON SAUDEL (2017) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (17.8 N) ONE ONE FIVE
POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (115.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
WEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 75 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 330 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 270 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240300 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (17.8 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (112.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 250300 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (17.7 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (107.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260300 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 230145

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 230000 UTC, TYPHOON SAUDEL (2017) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (17.7 N) ONE ONE FIVE
POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (115.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 75 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 330 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 270 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240000 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (17.8 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (112.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 250000 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (17.7 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (108.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260000 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 222245

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 222100 UTC, TYPHOON SAUDEL (2017) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (17.7 N) ONE ONE FIVE
POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (115.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 330 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 270 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 232100 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (17.8 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (112.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 242100 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (17.7 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (108.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 252100 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 221945

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 221800 UTC, TYPHOON SAUDEL (2017) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
975 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (17.6 N) ONE ONE FIVE
POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (115.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 330 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 270 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 231800 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (17.8 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (113.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 241800 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (17.7 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (109.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251800 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 221645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 221500 UTC, TYPHOON SAUDEL (2017) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
975 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (17.4 N) ONE ONE FIVE
POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (115.7 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 330 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 270 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 231500 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (17.9 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (113.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 241500 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (17.7 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (109.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251500 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (17.4 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (106.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 221345

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 221200 UTC, TYPHOON SAUDEL (2017) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
975 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (17.2 N) ONE ONE FIVE
POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (115.8 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 270 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 231200 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (17.9 N)
ONE ONE FOUR POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (114.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 241200 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (17.7 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (110.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251200 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (17.5 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (106.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261200 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 221045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 220900 UTC, TYPHOON SAUDEL (2017) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
975 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (17.2 N) ONE ONE SIX
POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (116.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 270 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 230900 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (17.9 N)
ONE ONE FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (114.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240900 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (17.7 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (110.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 250900 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (17.6 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (107.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 220445

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 220300 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM SAUDEL (2017) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (17.1
N) ONE ONE SIX POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (116.3 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 230300 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (17.9 N)
ONE ONE FIVE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (115.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240300 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (18.0 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (112.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 250300 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (18.0 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (108.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260300 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (17.6 N)
ONE ZERO FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (105.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 270300 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 220145

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 220000 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM SAUDEL (2017) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (16.8
N) ONE ONE SIX POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (116.6 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 230000 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (17.9 N)
ONE ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (115.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240000 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (18.0 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (112.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 250000 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (17.9 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (108.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260000 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (17.8 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (106.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 270000 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 212245

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 212100 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM SAUDEL (2017) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (16.6 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (116.8 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 222100 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (17.8 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (116.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 232100 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (18.0 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (112.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 242100 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (17.9 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (109.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 252100 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (17.9 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (106.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 262100 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 211945

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 211800 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM SAUDEL (2017) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (16.4 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (117.0 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 221800 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (17.7 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (116.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 231800 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (18.0 N)
ONE ONE FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (114.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 241800 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (17.9 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (109.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251800 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (17.6 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (106.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261800 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 211645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 211500 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM SAUDEL (2017) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (16.2 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (117.2 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 221500 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (17.6 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (116.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 231500 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (18.0 N)
ONE ONE FOUR POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (114.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 241500 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (18.0 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (110.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251500 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (17.7 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (106.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.
0000011500
20505

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 211045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 210900 UTC, TROPICAL STORM SAUDEL (2017) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE SIX POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (16.1 N) ONE ONE
SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (117.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 220900 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (17.4 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (116.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 230900 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (18.0 N)
ONE ONE FIVE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (115.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240900 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (18.0 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (111.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 250900 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (18.0 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (107.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 210745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 210600 UTC, TROPICAL STORM SAUDEL (2017) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE SIX POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (16.1 N) ONE ONE
EIGHT POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (118.1 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 220600 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (17.3 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (116.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 230600 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (18.0 N)
ONE ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (115.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240600 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (18.0 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (112.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 250600 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (18.0 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (108.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 210445

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 210300 UTC, TROPICAL STORM SAUDEL (2017) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE SIX POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (16.2 N) ONE ONE
EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (118.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 220300 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (17.0 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (117.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 230300 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (17.9 N)
ONE ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (115.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240300 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (18.0 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (112.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 250300 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (18.0 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (108.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260300 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 210300
WARNING 210300.
WARNING VALID 220300.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2017 SAUDEL (2017) 996 HPA
AT 16.0N 118.3E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 11 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 211500UTC AT 16.3N 117.6E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220300UTC AT 17.1N 116.8E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 210145

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 210000 UTC, TROPICAL STORM SAUDEL (2017) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE SIX POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (16.3 N) ONE ONE
NINE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (119.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 220000 UTC
ONE SIX POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (16.9 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (117.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 230000 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (18.0 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (116.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240000 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (18.1 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (113.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 250000 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (18.1 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (108.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260000 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (17.3 N)
ONE ZERO FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (105.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.
0000011600
15979

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 210000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 5
NAME 2017 SAUDEL
ANALYSIS
POSITION 210000UTC 16.6N 118.9E
MOVEMENT WNW 14KT
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 41KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 211200UTC 16.7N 117.8E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
24HR
POSITION 220000UTC 17.1N 117.0E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
36HR
POSITION 221200UTC 17.5N 116.5E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
48HR
POSITION 230000UTC 17.6N 115.4E WITHIN 95NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
72HR
POSITION 240000UTC 17.4N 112.0E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
96HR
POSITION 250000UTC 17.4N 108.2E WITHIN 190NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 45KT
120HR
POSITION 260000UTC 17.6N 104.7E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 1006HPA 29KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 210000
WARNING 210000.
WARNING VALID 220000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2017 SAUDEL (2017) 996 HPA
AT 16.0N 118.8E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 13 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 16.1N 117.7E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 16.9N 117.0E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 17.8N 115.8E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 17.5N 112.6E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 17.4N 108.2E WITH 230 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 16.9N 104.0E WITH 280 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1006 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 202245

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 202100 UTC, TROPICAL STORM SAUDEL (2017) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 995 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE SIX POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (16.3 N) ONE ONE
NINE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (119.6 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 212100 UTC
ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (16.7 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (117.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 222100 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (17.9 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (116.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 232100 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (17.8 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (113.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 242100 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (18.1 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (109.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 252100 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (18.2 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (106.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 202100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2017 SAUDEL (2017)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 202100UTC 16.8N 119.7E FAIR
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
12HF 210900UTC 16.2N 117.7E 45NM 70%
MOVE WSW 10KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
24HF 212100UTC 16.6N 116.8E 65NM 70%
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 221800UTC 17.4N 115.7E 120NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
69HF 231800UTC 17.5N 113.2E 180NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
93HF 241800UTC 17.4N 109.1E 230NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
117HF 251800UTC 17.3N 104.5E 280NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 202100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2017 SAUDEL (2017)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 202100UTC 16.8N 119.7E FAIR
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 212100UTC 16.6N 116.8E 65NM 70%
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 221800UTC 17.4N 115.7E 120NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
69HF 231800UTC 17.5N 113.2E 180NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT =

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 201800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 8 FOR TS 2017 SAUDEL (2017)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS SAUDEL IS LOCATED AT 16.3N, 119.7E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 35KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND WEAK VWS. HOWEVER, THE LIMITED FIRMNESS
OF ITS STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED IT TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE
LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON
DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF
A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS
GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS
OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW HAVE BECOME OBSCURE. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY
DECELERATE AND MOVE WESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL FT72.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE WESTWARD ALONG
THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE
TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER
NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP
MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND WEAK VWS. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT96 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, REDUCED TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT120 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL.
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT120. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 201945

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 201800 UTC, TROPICAL STORM SAUDEL (2017) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 995 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE SIX POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (16.1 N) ONE TWO
ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (120.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 211800 UTC
ONE SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (16.5 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (117.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 221800 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (17.8 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (116.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 231800 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (17.8 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (113.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 241800 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (18.1 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (109.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251800 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (18.2 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (106.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 201800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 4
NAME 2017 SAUDEL
ANALYSIS
POSITION 201800UTC 15.9N 120.3E
MOVEMENT W 21KT
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 210600UTC 16.0N 118.5E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
24HR
POSITION 211800UTC 16.5N 117.3E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
36HR
POSITION 220600UTC 16.9N 116.7E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
48HR
POSITION 221800UTC 17.1N 115.3E WITHIN 95NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
72HR
POSITION 231800UTC 17.3N 112.1E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
96HR
POSITION 241800UTC 17.4N 108.9E WITHIN 190NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
120HR
POSITION 251800UTC 17.6N 105.3E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 1004HPA 29KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 201800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2017 SAUDEL (2017)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 201800UTC 16.3N 119.7E FAIR
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
12HF 210600UTC 16.1N 118.0E 45NM 70%
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
24HF 211800UTC 16.4N 116.9E 65NM 70%
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 221800UTC 17.4N 115.7E 120NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
72HF 231800UTC 17.5N 113.2E 180NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
96HF 241800UTC 17.4N 109.1E 230NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
120HF 251800UTC 17.3N 104.5E 280NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 201800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2017 SAUDEL (2017)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 201800UTC 16.3N 119.7E FAIR
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 211800UTC 16.4N 116.9E 65NM 70%
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 221800UTC 17.4N 115.7E 120NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
72HF 231800UTC 17.5N 113.2E 180NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT =

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 201800
WARNING 201800.
WARNING VALID 211800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2017 SAUDEL (2017) 996 HPA
AT 16.3N 119.7E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 15 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 16.1N 118.0E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 16.4N 116.9E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 17.4N 115.7E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 17.5N 113.2E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 17.4N 109.1E WITH 230 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 17.3N 104.5E WITH 280 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 201645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 201500 UTC, TROPICAL STORM SAUDEL (2017) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 995 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE SIX POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (16.1 N) ONE TWO
ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (121.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 211500 UTC
ONE SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (16.4 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (117.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 221500 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (17.3 N)
ONE ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (115.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 231500 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (17.7 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (113.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 241500 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (18.1 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (109.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251500 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (18.3 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (106.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 201500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2017 SAUDEL (2017)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 201500UTC 15.8N 121.3E GOOD
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 200NM NORTHWEST 120NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
12HF 210300UTC 15.9N 118.3E 45NM 70%
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
24HF 211500UTC 16.4N 117.2E 65NM 70%
MOVE WNW 06KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 221200UTC 17.1N 115.9E 120NM 70%
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
69HF 231200UTC 17.3N 113.6E 160NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
93HF 241200UTC 17.4N 109.7E 200NM 70%
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
117HF 251200UTC 17.4N 105.5E 280NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 201500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2017 SAUDEL (2017)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 201500UTC 15.8N 121.3E GOOD
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 200NM NORTHWEST 120NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 211500UTC 16.4N 117.2E 65NM 70%
MOVE WNW 06KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 221200UTC 17.1N 115.9E 120NM 70%
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
69HF 231200UTC 17.3N 113.6E 160NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT =

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 201345

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 201200 UTC, TROPICAL STORM SAUDEL (2017) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 995 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (16.0 N) ONE TWO
TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (122.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 211200 UTC
ONE SIX POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (16.2 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (117.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 221200 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (17.3 N)
ONE ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (115.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 231200 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (17.6 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (113.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 241200 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (18.0 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (110.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251200 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (18.3 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (107.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 201200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 7 FOR TS 2017 SAUDEL (2017)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS SAUDEL IS LOCATED AT 15.8N, 122.0E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 35KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW.
HOWEVER, THE LIMITED FIRMNESS OF ITS STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED IT TO
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF
A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS
GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND STARTING TO FORM A CURVED BAND.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC
OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE
MOVEMENT. DMSP-F15/SSMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM
HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST ALONG THE
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM
WILL HIT THE PHILIPPINES BY FT03. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY
DECELERATE AND MOVE WESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL FT72.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE WESTWARD ALONG
THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE
TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER
NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP
MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND WEAK VWS. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT96 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, REDUCED TCHP AND WEAK VWS. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT120 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL.
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT120. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 201200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 3
NAME 2017 SAUDEL
ANALYSIS
POSITION 201200UTC 16.0N 122.1E
MOVEMENT W 11KT
PRES/VMAX 998HPA 37KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 210000UTC 16.2N 119.7E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 41KT
24HR
POSITION 211200UTC 16.4N 117.6E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
36HR
POSITION 220000UTC 16.5N 116.0E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
48HR
POSITION 221200UTC 16.7N 114.8E WITHIN 95NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
72HR
POSITION 231200UTC 17.2N 111.9E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
96HR
POSITION 241200UTC 17.6N 109.2E WITHIN 190NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
120HR
POSITION 251200UTC 18.1N 106.1E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 1000HPA 29KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 201200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2017 SAUDEL (2017)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 201200UTC 15.8N 122.0E GOOD
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 200NM NORTHWEST 120NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
12HF 210000UTC 15.7N 118.6E 45NM 70%
MOVE W 16KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
24HF 211200UTC 16.3N 117.4E 65NM 70%
MOVE WNW 07KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 221200UTC 17.1N 115.9E 120NM 70%
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
72HF 231200UTC 17.3N 113.6E 160NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
96HF 241200UTC 17.4N 109.7E 200NM 70%
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
120HF 251200UTC 17.4N 105.5E 280NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 201200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2017 SAUDEL (2017)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 201200UTC 15.8N 122.0E GOOD
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 200NM NORTHWEST 120NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 211200UTC 16.3N 117.4E 65NM 70%
MOVE WNW 07KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 221200UTC 17.1N 115.9E 120NM 70%
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
72HF 231200UTC 17.3N 113.6E 160NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT =

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 201200
WARNING 201200.
WARNING VALID 211200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2017 SAUDEL (2017) 996 HPA
AT 15.8N 122.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 210000UTC AT 15.7N 118.6E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 16.3N 117.4E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 17.1N 115.9E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 17.3N 113.6E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 17.4N 109.7E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 17.4N 105.5E WITH 280 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 201045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 200900 UTC, TROPICAL STORM SAUDEL (2017) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 995 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (15.9 N) ONE TWO
TWO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (122.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 210900 UTC
ONE SIX POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (16.1 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (117.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 220900 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (17.2 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (116.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 230900 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (17.6 N)
ONE ONE FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (114.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240900 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (17.9 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (110.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 250900 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (18.3 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (107.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 200900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2017 SAUDEL (2017)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 200900UTC 15.9N 122.6E FAIR
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM NORTHWEST 120NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
12HF 202100UTC 16.4N 119.4E 45NM 70%
MOVE W 16KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
24HF 210900UTC 16.0N 117.5E 65NM 70%
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 220600UTC 16.7N 115.6E 120NM 70%
MOVE WNW 06KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
69HF 230600UTC 16.8N 113.5E 160NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
93HF 240600UTC 17.2N 110.1E 200NM 70%
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
117HF 250600UTC 17.8N 106.5E 280NM 70%
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 200900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2017 SAUDEL (2017)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 200900UTC 15.9N 122.6E FAIR
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM NORTHWEST 120NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 210900UTC 16.0N 117.5E 65NM 70%
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 220600UTC 16.7N 115.6E 120NM 70%
MOVE WNW 06KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
69HF 230600UTC 16.8N 113.5E 160NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT =

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 200900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 19W (SAUDEL) WARNING NR 006
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 19W (SAUDEL) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
200600Z --- NEAR 15.9N 123.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N 123.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 16.3N 120.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 16.3N 118.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 16.8N 117.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 17.3N 115.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 17.7N 114.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 18.1N 111.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 17.9N 107.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
200900Z POSITION NEAR 16.0N 122.5E.
20OCT20. TROPICAL STORM 19W (SAUDEL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 149 NM
EAST-NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 17
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
200600Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z, 202100Z, 210300Z AND
210900Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 200900
WARNING ATCG MIL 19W NWP 201020075712
2020102006 19W SAUDEL 006 01 280 17 SATL 040
T000 159N 1232E 040 R034 105 NE QD 060 SE QD 065 SW QD 095 NW QD
T012 163N 1203E 040 R034 160 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 190 NW QD
T024 163N 1186E 045 R034 130 NE QD 070 SE QD 080 SW QD 170 NW QD
T036 168N 1170E 050 R050 010 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 090 SE QD 110 SW QD 160 NW QD
T048 173N 1158E 055 R050 010 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 100 SE QD 130 SW QD 190 NW QD
T072 177N 1141E 060 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 300 NE QD 080 SE QD 110 SW QD 180 NW QD
T096 181N 1111E 060 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 060 SE QD 080 SW QD 120 NW QD
T120 179N 1073E 050 R050 050 NE QD 025 SE QD 010 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 030 SW QD 080 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 19W (SAUDEL) WARNING NR 006
1. TROPICAL STORM 19W (SAUDEL) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
200600Z --- NEAR 15.9N 123.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N 123.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 16.3N 120.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 16.3N 118.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 16.8N 117.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 17.3N 115.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 17.7N 114.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 18.1N 111.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 17.9N 107.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
200900Z POSITION NEAR 16.0N 122.5E.
20OCT20. TROPICAL STORM 19W (SAUDEL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 149 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z, 202100Z, 210300Z AND 210900Z.//
1920101600 48N1476E 15
1920101606 50N1460E 15
1920101612 54N1446E 15
1920101618 60N1425E 15
1920101700 75N1410E 15
1920101706 84N1400E 15
1920101712 95N1391E 15
1920101718 103N1379E 20
1920101800 108N1364E 20
1920101806 114N1349E 20
1920101812 122N1335E 20
1920101818 132N1317E 20
1920101900 138N1296E 25
1920101906 140N1283E 30
1920101912 144N1271E 30
1920101918 150N1261E 30
1920102000 156N1249E 35
1920102006 159N1232E 40
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 200600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 6 FOR TS 2017 SAUDEL (2017)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS SAUDEL IS LOCATED AT 15.7N, 123.2E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR.
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
35KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW. HOWEVER, THE LIMITED FIRMNESS OF ITS STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED
IT TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION
ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS
GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE PHILIPPINES BY FT09.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE WESTWARD DUE TO
WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY
ACCELERATE AND MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS,
AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT96 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH
SSTS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF REDUCED TCHP. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 200745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 200600 UTC, TROPICAL STORM SAUDEL (2017) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 995 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (15.8 N) ONE
TWO THREE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (123.2 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 210600 UTC
ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (16.0 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (117.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 220600 UTC
ONE SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (16.8 N)
ONE ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (115.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 230600 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (17.4 N)
ONE ONE FOUR POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (114.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240600 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (17.7 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (110.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 250600 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (18.0 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (107.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 200600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 2
NAME 2017 SAUDEL
ANALYSIS
POSITION 200600UTC 16.0N 123.4E
MOVEMENT W 15KT
PRES/VMAX 998HPA 37KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 201800UTC 16.1N 120.9E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
24HR
POSITION 210600UTC 16.4N 118.6E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 41KT
36HR
POSITION 211800UTC 16.4N 116.7E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
48HR
POSITION 220600UTC 16.6N 115.3E WITHIN 95NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
72HR
POSITION 230600UTC 17.1N 112.6E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
96HR
POSITION 240600UTC 17.4N 109.9E WITHIN 190NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
120HR
POSITION 250600UTC 18.0N 107.5E WITHIN 255NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 200600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2017 SAUDEL (2017)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 200600UTC 15.7N 123.2E FAIR
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM NORTHWEST 120NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
12HF 201800UTC 16.6N 119.9E 45NM 70%
MOVE WNW 16KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
24HF 210600UTC 15.9N 117.8E 65NM 70%
MOVE WSW 11KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 220600UTC 16.7N 115.6E 120NM 70%
MOVE WNW 06KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
72HF 230600UTC 16.8N 113.5E 160NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
96HF 240600UTC 17.2N 110.1E 200NM 70%
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
120HF 250600UTC 17.8N 106.5E 280NM 70%
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 200600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2017 SAUDEL (2017)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 200600UTC 15.7N 123.2E FAIR
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM NORTHWEST 120NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 210600UTC 15.9N 117.8E 65NM 70%
MOVE WSW 11KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 220600UTC 16.7N 115.6E 120NM 70%
MOVE WNW 06KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
72HF 230600UTC 16.8N 113.5E 160NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT =

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 200600
WARNING 200600.
WARNING VALID 210600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2017 SAUDEL (2017) 996 HPA
AT 15.7N 123.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 201800UTC AT 16.6N 119.9E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 15.9N 117.8E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 16.7N 115.6E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 16.8N 113.5E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 17.2N 110.1E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 17.8N 106.5E WITH 280 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 200445

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 200300 UTC, TROPICAL STORM SAUDEL (2017) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 998 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE TWO
THREE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (123.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 15 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 210300 UTC
ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (16.0 N)
ONE ONE EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (118.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 220300 UTC
ONE SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (16.6 N)
ONE ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (115.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 230300 UTC
ONE SIX POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (16.9 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (113.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240300 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (17.2 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (110.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 250300 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (17.7 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (107.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 200300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2017 SAUDEL (2017)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 200300UTC 15.8N 124.0E FAIR
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM NORTHWEST 120NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
12HF 201500UTC 16.4N 121.6E 45NM 70%
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
24HF 210300UTC 15.9N 118.2E 65NM 70%
MOVE W 17KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 220000UTC 16.2N 115.9E 120NM 70%
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
69HF 230000UTC 16.6N 113.9E 180NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
93HF 240000UTC 16.9N 111.1E 260NM 70%
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
117HF 250000UTC 17.5N 107.1E 320NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT =

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 200300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2017 SAUDEL (2017)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 200300UTC 15.8N 124.0E FAIR
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM NORTHWEST 120NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 210300UTC 15.9N 118.2E 65NM 70%
MOVE W 17KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 220000UTC 16.2N 115.9E 120NM 70%
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
69HF 230000UTC 16.6N 113.9E 180NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT =

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 200000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 5 FOR TS 2017 SAUDEL (2017)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
A TD PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 15.0N, 126.0E HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TS
(SAUDEL) STATUS. TS SAUDEL IS LOCATED AT 15.6N, 124.7E.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 1000HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35KNOTS. THE
SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS HAVE GATHERED AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89
GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE PHILIPPINES
BY FT18. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE
WESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF
A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT96
DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN DUE
TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH INCREASED VWS AND DRY AIR.
THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 200300
WARNING ATCG MIL 19W NWP 201020015248
2020102000 19W SAUDEL 005 01 300 13 SATL 045
T000 156N 1249E 035 R034 085 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 085 NW QD
T012 163N 1223E 035 R034 160 NE QD 080 SE QD 040 SW QD 160 NW QD
T024 167N 1200E 040 R034 160 NE QD 070 SE QD 080 SW QD 180 NW QD
T036 168N 1181E 045 R034 150 NE QD 100 SE QD 110 SW QD 170 NW QD
T048 172N 1167E 050 R050 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 120 SE QD 110 SW Q
D 170 NW QD
T072 177N 1145E 055 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 260 NE QD 120 SE QD 110 SW Q
D 190 NW QD
T096 179N 1115E 060 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 140 NW QD
T120 182N 1077E 055 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW Q
D 080 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 19W (SAUDEL) WARNING NR 005
1. TROPICAL STORM 19W (SAUDEL) WARNING NR 005
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
200000Z --- NEAR 15.6N 124.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N 124.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 16.3N 122.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 16.7N 120.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 16.8N 118.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 17.2N 116.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 17.7N 114.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 17.9N 111.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 18.2N 107.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
200300Z POSITION NEAR 15.8N 124.3E.
20OCT20. TROPICAL STORM 19W (SAUDEL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 234
NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 200900Z, 201500Z, 202100Z AND 210300Z.//
1920101600 48N1476E 15
1920101606 50N1460E 15
1920101612 54N1446E 15
1920101618 60N1425E 15
1920101700 75N1410E 15
1920101706 84N1400E 15
1920101712 95N1391E 15
1920101718 103N1379E 20
1920101800 108N1364E 20
1920101806 114N1349E 20
1920101812 122N1335E 20
1920101818 132N1317E 20
1920101900 138N1296E 25
1920101906 140N1283E 30
1920101912 144N1271E 30
1920101918 150N1261E 30
1920102000 156N1249E 35

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 200300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 19W (SAUDEL) WARNING NR 005//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 19W (SAUDEL) WARNING NR 005
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
200000Z --- NEAR 15.6N 124.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N 124.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 16.3N 122.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 16.7N 120.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 16.8N 118.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 17.2N 116.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 17.7N 114.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 17.9N 111.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 18.2N 107.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
200300Z POSITION NEAR 15.8N 124.3E.
20OCT20. TROPICAL STORM 19W (SAUDEL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 234
NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 200900Z, 201500Z, 202100Z AND 210300Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 200000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 1
NAME 2017 SAUDEL
ANALYSIS
POSITION 200000UTC 15.6N 124.7E
MOVEMENT NW 14KT
PRES/VMAX 1000HPA 35KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 201200UTC 15.8N 122.0E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 998HPA 37KT
24HR
POSITION 210000UTC 16.3N 119.8E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
36HR
POSITION 211200UTC 16.4N 117.4E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 45KT
48HR
POSITION 220000UTC 16.5N 115.9E WITHIN 95NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
72HR
POSITION 230000UTC 17.0N 113.3E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
96HR
POSITION 240000UTC 17.3N 110.6E WITHIN 190NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
120HR
POSITION 250000UTC 17.9N 107.9E WITHIN 255NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 45KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 200000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2017 SAUDEL (2017) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 200000UTC 15.6N 124.7E FAIR
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM NORTHWEST 120NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
12HF 201200UTC 15.9N 122.3E 45NM 70%
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
24HF 210000UTC 16.0N 119.0E 65NM 70%
MOVE W 16KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 220000UTC 16.2N 115.9E 120NM 70%
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
72HF 230000UTC 16.6N 113.9E 180NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
96HF 240000UTC 16.9N 111.1E 260NM 70%
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
120HF 250000UTC 17.5N 107.1E 320NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT =

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 200000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2017 SAUDEL (2017) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 200000UTC 15.6N 124.7E FAIR
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM NORTHWEST 120NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 210000UTC 16.0N 119.0E 65NM 70%
MOVE W 16KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 220000UTC 16.2N 115.9E 120NM 70%
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
72HF 230000UTC 16.6N 113.9E 180NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT =

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 200000
WARNING 200000.
WARNING VALID 210000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2017 SAUDEL (2017) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION
1000 HPA
AT 15.6N 124.7E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 14
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 201200UTC AT 15.9N 122.3E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 210000UTC AT 16.0N 119.0E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 16.2N 115.9E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 16.6N 113.9E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 16.9N 111.1E WITH 260 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 17.5N 107.1E WITH 320 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 192100
WARNING ATCG MIL 19W NWP 201019194715
2020101918 19W NINETEEN 004 01 300 11 SATL 030
T000 150N 1261E 030
T012 158N 1235E 035 R034 230 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 210 NW QD
T024 164N 1209E 035 R034 160 NE QD 070 SE QD 080 SW QD 180 NW QD
T036 166N 1188E 040 R034 170 NE QD 120 SE QD 120 SW QD 170 NW QD
T048 169N 1171E 045 R034 160 NE QD 080 SE QD 100 SW QD 180 NW QD
T072 174N 1151E 055 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 140 SE QD 120 SW Q
D 190 NW QD
T096 176N 1124E 060 R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 090 SE QD 120 SW Q
D 180 NW QD
T120 179N 1085E 055 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 090 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (NINETEEN) WARNING NR 004
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (NINETEEN) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
191800Z --- NEAR 15.0N 126.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N 126.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 15.8N 123.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 16.4N 120.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 16.6N 118.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 16.9N 117.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 17.4N 115.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 17.6N 112.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 17.9N 108.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
192100Z POSITION NEAR 15.2N 125.5E.
19OCT20. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (NINETEEN), LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 297 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 200300Z, 200900Z, 201500Z AND 202100Z.//
1920101600 48N1476E 15
1920101606 50N1460E 15
1920101612 54N1446E 15
1920101618 60N1425E 15
1920101700 75N1410E 15
1920101706 84N1400E 15
1920101712 95N1391E 15
1920101718 103N1379E 20
1920101800 108N1364E 20
1920101806 114N1349E 20
1920101812 122N1335E 20
1920101818 132N1317E 20
1920101900 138N1296E 25
1920101906 140N1283E 30
1920101912 144N1271E 30
1920101918 150N1261E 30

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 192100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (NINETEEN) WARNING NR 004//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (NINETEEN) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
191800Z --- NEAR 15.0N 126.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N 126.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 15.8N 123.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 16.4N 120.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 16.6N 118.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 16.9N 117.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 17.4N 115.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 17.6N 112.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 17.9N 108.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
192100Z POSITION NEAR 15.2N 125.5E.
19OCT20. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (NINETEEN), LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 297 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 200300Z, 200900Z, 201500Z AND 202100Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 191500
WARNING ATCG MIL 19W NWP 201019140803
2020101912 19W NINETEEN 003 01 280 12 SATL 060
T000 141N 1271E 030
T012 148N 1246E 035 R034 110 NE QD 020 SE QD 050 SW QD 130 NW QD
T024 155N 1220E 045 R034 110 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 160 NW QD
T036 158N 1196E 045 R034 140 NE QD 040 SE QD 060 SW QD 160 NW QD
T048 161N 1179E 050 R050 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 070 SE QD 090 SW Q
D 150 NW QD
T072 167N 1158E 055 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 080 SE QD 120 SW Q
D 170 NW QD
T096 170N 1134E 055 R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 070 SE QD 100 SW Q
D 155 NW QD
T120 171N 1105E 050 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 165 NE QD 050 SE QD 075 SW Q
D 120 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (NINETEEN) WARNING NR 003
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (NINETEEN) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
191200Z --- NEAR 14.1N 127.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N 127.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 14.8N 124.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 15.5N 122.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 15.8N 119.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 16.1N 117.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 16.7N 115.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 17.0N 113.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 17.1N 110.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
191500Z POSITION NEAR 14.3N 126.5E.
19OCT20. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (NINETEEN), LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 356 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED
WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 192100Z, 200300Z, 200900Z AND 201500Z.
//
1920101600 48N1476E 15
1920101606 50N1460E 15
1920101612 54N1446E 15
1920101618 60N1425E 15
1920101700 75N1410E 15
1920101706 84N1400E 15
1920101712 95N1391E 15
1920101718 103N1379E 20
1920101800 108N1364E 20
1920101806 114N1349E 20
1920101812 122N1335E 20
1920101818 132N1317E 20
1920101900 138N1296E 25
1920101906 139N1283E 30
1920101912 141N1271E 30

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 191500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (NINETEEN) WARNING NR 003//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (NINETEEN) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
191200Z --- NEAR 14.1N 127.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N 127.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 14.8N 124.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 15.5N 122.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 15.8N 119.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 16.1N 117.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 16.7N 115.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 17.0N 113.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 17.1N 110.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
191500Z POSITION NEAR 14.3N 126.5E.
19OCT20. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (NINETEEN), LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 356 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED
WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 192100Z, 200300Z, 200900Z AND 201500Z.
//
NNNN

>

Disclaimer - Copyright
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.