Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for EPSILON-20 in Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Iceland, Bermuda, Ireland, United Kingdom, from 19 Oct 2020 12:00 UTC to 26 Oct 2020 03:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for EPSILON-20

in Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Iceland, Bermuda, Ireland, United Kingdom,

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone EPSILON-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Iceland, Bermuda, Ireland, United Kingdom,
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	185 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (25 Oct 08:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Bermuda)

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	111 km/h	0.3 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	185 km/h	0.3 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

111 km/h Current Max.

Up to 690000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	19 Oct 2020 12:00	139	70 thousand	No people	Bermuda
2	19 Oct 2020 15:00	148	70 thousand	No people	Bermuda
3	19 Oct 2020 21:00	148	70 thousand	No people	Bermuda
4	20 Oct 2020 03:00	139	70 thousand	No people	Bermuda
5	20 Oct 2020 09:00	139	70 thousand	No people	Bermuda
6	20 Oct 2020 15:00	130	No people	No people
7	20 Oct 2020 21:00	139	70 thousand	No people	Bermuda
8	21 Oct 2020 03:00	139	70 thousand	No people	Bermuda
9	21 Oct 2020 09:00	148	70 thousand	No people	Bermuda
10	21 Oct 2020 15:00	157	70 thousand	No people	Bermuda
11	21 Oct 2020 18:00	176	70 thousand	No people	Bermuda
12	21 Oct 2020 21:00	185	70 thousand	No people	Bermuda
13	22 Oct 2020 03:00	185	70 thousand	No people	Bermuda
14	22 Oct 2020 09:00	176	280 thousand	No people	Bermuda, Canada
15	22 Oct 2020 15:00	148	360 thousand	No people	Bermuda, Canada
16	22 Oct 2020 21:00	148	420 thousand	No people	Bermuda, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Canada
17	23 Oct 2020 03:00	148	410 thousand	No people	Bermuda, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Canada
18	23 Oct 2020 09:00	139	370 thousand	No people	Bermuda, Canada
19	23 Oct 2020 15:00	139	420 thousand	No people	Bermuda, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Canada
20	23 Oct 2020 21:00	148	1.1 million	No people	Bermuda, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Canada, Ireland
21	24 Oct 2020 03:00	130	380 thousand	No people	Bermuda, Canada
22	24 Oct 2020 09:00	120	350 thousand	No people	Bermuda, Canada
23	24 Oct 2020 15:00	130	1.2 million	No people	Bermuda, Canada, Ireland, United Kingdom
24	24 Oct 2020 21:00	130	740 thousand	No people	Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Canada, Bermuda, Iceland, Ireland, United Kingdom
25	25 Oct 2020 03:00	120	470 thousand	No people	Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Bermuda, Iceland, Ireland
26	25 Oct 2020 09:00	120	440 thousand	No people	Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Bermuda
27	25 Oct 2020 15:00	120	420 thousand	No people	Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Bermuda
28	25 Oct 2020 21:00	111	420 thousand	No people	Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Bermuda
29	26 Oct 2020 03:00	111	690 thousand	No people	Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Iceland, Bermuda

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)
1	19 Oct 2020 12:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	25.8, -55.5
2	19 Oct 2020 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	25.6, -55.3
3	19 Oct 2020 21:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	25.5, -55.5
4	20 Oct 2020 03:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	25.3, -55.3
5	20 Oct 2020 09:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	25.6, -54.7
6	20 Oct 2020 15:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	26.5, -55
7	20 Oct 2020 21:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	27.9, -55.8
8	21 Oct 2020 03:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	28.5, -56.8
9	21 Oct 2020 09:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	28.9, -58.3
10	21 Oct 2020 15:00	Category 1	148	no people	71000 people	29.1, -59.1
11	21 Oct 2020 18:00	Category 2	176	no people	71000 people	29.4, -59.7
12	21 Oct 2020 21:00	Category 3	185	no people	71000 people	29.6, -60
13	22 Oct 2020 03:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	29.6, -60.6
14	22 Oct 2020 09:00	Category 2	176	no people	71000 people	30.6, -60.9
15	22 Oct 2020 15:00	Category 1	148	no people	71000 people	30.9, -61.2
16	22 Oct 2020 21:00	Category 1	139	no people	71000 people	31.9, -61.4
17	23 Oct 2020 03:00	Category 1	139	no people	71000 people	32.6, -61.6
18	23 Oct 2020 09:00	Category 1	139	no people	71000 people	33.1, -61.6
19	23 Oct 2020 15:00	Category 1	139	no people	71000 people	34.1, -61.6
20	23 Oct 2020 21:00	Category 1	139	no people	10000 people	35.5, -61.7
21	24 Oct 2020 03:00	Category 1	130	no people	71000 people	36.5, -62.1
22	24 Oct 2020 09:00	Category 1	120	no people	66000 people	36.9, -62
23	24 Oct 2020 15:00	Category 1	130	no people	<1000 people	37.9, -60.3
24	24 Oct 2020 21:00	Category 1	130	no people	13000 people	39.4, -58.2
25	25 Oct 2020 03:00	Category 1	120	no people	370000 people	41.3, -56.1
26	25 Oct 2020 09:00	Category 1	120	no people	370000 people	42.8, -53.7
27	25 Oct 2020 15:00	Category 1	120	no people	340000 people	44.3, -49.4
28	25 Oct 2020 21:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	46.2, -44.3
29	26 Oct 2020 03:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	48.6, -38.8
29	26 Oct 2020 12:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	270000 people	52.1, -30.3
29	27 Oct 2020 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	57, -24

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Source: GADM and GHSL

Provinces

Source: GADM and GHSL

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Disclaimer - Copyright
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.