Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone for ZETA-20 in United States, Mexico, Cuba from 24 Oct 2020 21:00 UTC to 29 Oct 2020 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone for ZETA-20

in United States, Mexico, Cuba

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ZETA-20 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	United States, Mexico, Cuba
Exposed population	3.2 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	176 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.5 m (29 Oct 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)
Landfall	between 29 Oct 2020 15:00 - 29 Oct 2020 21:00 in United States

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	93 km/h	0.6 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	176 km/h	1.5 m	n.a.	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

93 km/h Current Max.

Up to 118.5 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	24 Oct 2020 21:00	120	12.3 million	No people	Cuba, Mexico, United States
2	25 Oct 2020 03:00	120	5.9 million	No people	Cuba, Mexico, United States
3	25 Oct 2020 09:00	130	7.3 million	330 thousand	Mexico, United States
4	25 Oct 2020 15:00	120	11.3 million	860 thousand	United States
5	25 Oct 2020 21:00	120	16.4 million	440 thousand	Mexico, United States
6	26 Oct 2020 03:00	139	28.5 million	1.8 million	Mexico, United States
7	26 Oct 2020 09:00	139	48.6 million	830 thousand	Mexico, United States
8	26 Oct 2020 15:00	139	26.9 million	1.6 million	Mexico, United States
9	26 Oct 2020 21:00	139	19.4 million	700 thousand	Mexico, United States
10	27 Oct 2020 03:00	130	59.3 million	2 million	Mexico, United States
11	27 Oct 2020 09:00	139	89.8 million	1.4 million	Mexico, United States
12	27 Oct 2020 15:00	139	27.2 million	2 million	Mexico, United States
13	27 Oct 2020 21:00	130	86.5 million	1.4 million	Mexico, United States
14	28 Oct 2020 03:00	139	87.1 million	3.7 million	Mexico, United States
15	28 Oct 2020 09:00	157	80.9 million	2.3 million	United States, Mexico
16	28 Oct 2020 15:00	148	91.8 million	4.3 million	United States, Mexico
17	28 Oct 2020 21:00	176	95.4 million	2.6 million	United States, Mexico
18	29 Oct 2020 03:00	130	96.6 million	3.6 million	United States, Mexico
19	29 Oct 2020 09:00	93	104.6 million	3.2 million	United States, Mexico
20	29 Oct 2020 15:00	93	125.9 million	3.2 million	United States, Mexico
21	29 Oct 2020 21:00	93	118.5 million	3.2 million	United States, Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	24 Oct 2020 21:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	18.7, -83
2	25 Oct 2020 03:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	18.9, -83.1
3	25 Oct 2020 09:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	17.7, -83.5
4	25 Oct 2020 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	17.8, -83.8
5	25 Oct 2020 21:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	17.7, -83.4
6	26 Oct 2020 03:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	18.1, -83.8
7	26 Oct 2020 09:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	18.7, -84.3
8	26 Oct 2020 15:00	Tropical storm	111	<1000 people	1.4 million people	19.1, -85.3
9	26 Oct 2020 21:00	Category 1	130	86000 people	2 million people	19.5, -86
10	27 Oct 2020 03:00	Category 1	130	860000 people	3.7 million people	20.2, -87.1	Mexico
11	27 Oct 2020 09:00	Tropical storm	111	470000 people	3.6 million people	21, -88.4	Mexico
12	27 Oct 2020 15:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	2.5 million people	21.6, -89.5
13	27 Oct 2020 21:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	1.4 million people	22.7, -90.3
14	28 Oct 2020 03:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	23.8, -91.2
15	28 Oct 2020 09:00	Category 1	139	no people	1.5 million people	25.1, -91.8
16	28 Oct 2020 15:00	Category 1	148	1.5 million people	5.7 million people	26.9, -91.7
17	28 Oct 2020 21:00	Category 2	176	1.9 million people	8.3 million people	29.2, -90.6	United States
18	29 Oct 2020 03:00	Category 1	130	1.1 million people	20.7 million people	31.5, -88.7	United States
19	29 Oct 2020 09:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	45.1 million people	34, -85.5	United States
20	29 Oct 2020 15:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	96.2 million people	36.5, -81.5	United States
21	29 Oct 2020 21:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	76.2 million people	38.8, -75.3	United States
21	30 Oct 2020 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	41, -66.1

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Source: GADM and GHSL

Provinces

Source: GADM and GHSL

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Disclaimer - Copyright
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.