Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for NIVAR-20
in India

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NIVAR-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Glide number: TC-2020-000233-IND
Exposed countries India
Exposed population 6.1 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 130 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (26 Nov 21:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)
Landfall between
25 Nov 2020 12:00 - 26 Nov 2020 00:00

in India

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 130 km/h 0.8 m n.a. 1.5
Overall 130 km/h 0.8 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

130 km/h Current Max.

Up to 1 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Red 1 23 Nov 2020 12:00 130 53.5 million 2.1 million India
Red 2 23 Nov 2020 18:00 130 52.6 million 1.1 million India
Orange 3 24 Nov 2020 00:00 139 47.9 million 550 thousand India
Red 4 24 Nov 2020 06:00 139 75.6 million 2.2 million India
Red 5 24 Nov 2020 12:00 148 36.2 million 4.8 million India
Orange 6 24 Nov 2020 18:00 130 61 million 770 thousand India
Red 7 25 Nov 2020 00:00 130 65.9 million 11.3 million India
Red 8 25 Nov 2020 06:00 130 64.2 million 2.7 million India
Orange 9 25 Nov 2020 12:00 130 49.9 million 1 million India

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 23 Nov 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 10, 83.9
GREEN
2 23 Nov 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 74 <1000 people no people 9.8, 83.2
GREEN
3 24 Nov 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 9.5, 83.3
GREEN
4 24 Nov 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 83 260000 people no people 9.5, 82.8
GREEN
5 24 Nov 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 93 63000 people no people 9.8, 82.8
GREEN
6 24 Nov 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 10.1, 82.6
GREEN
7 25 Nov 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 111 8.1 million people no people 10.8, 82.6
ORANGE
8 25 Nov 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 111 32.3 million people no people 11.2, 81.8
ORANGE
9 25 Nov 2020 12:00 Category 1 130 37.5 million people 330000 people 11.6, 81
ORANGE
9 26 Nov 2020 00:00 Category 1 120 43 million people no people 12.5, 79.9 India
ORANGE
9 26 Nov 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 83 36.5 million people no people 13.2, 79.2 India
ORANGE
9 27 Nov 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 65 10.7 million people no people 14, 78.7 India
GREEN
9 27 Nov 2020 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 14.7, 77.6 India
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
India

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Tamil Nadu India 58.9 million people
Andhra Pradesh India 70.3 million people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.8m in Kiranchi, Sri Lanka. This height is estimated for 26 Nov 2020 21:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (228 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 9 of 25 Nov 2020 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
26 Nov 2020 21:00 Kiranchi Sri Lanka  0.8
26 Nov 2020 21:00 Idaikkadu Sri Lanka  0.8
26 Nov 2020 21:00 Pooneryn Sri Lanka  0.8
26 Nov 2020 21:00 Kayts Sri Lanka  0.8
23 Nov 2020 16:00 Chiruttoppu Sri Lanka  0.6
23 Nov 2020 16:00 Mannar Sri Lanka  0.6
25 Nov 2020 22:00 Kuvattur India  0.5
26 Nov 2020 14:00 Talaimannar Sri Lanka  0.5
26 Nov 2020 14:00 Silavatturai Sri Lanka  0.4
23 Nov 2020 15:00 Anaippapan Sri Lanka  0.4
23 Nov 2020 15:00 Pomparippu Sri Lanka  0.4
23 Nov 2020 14:00 Kurichchikadu Sri Lanka  0.4
25 Nov 2020 22:00 Mahabalipuram India  0.3
26 Nov 2020 13:00 Kakinada India  0.3
23 Nov 2020 15:00 Rameswaram India  0.3
27 Nov 2020 00:00 Kodigeri India  0.3
27 Nov 2020 00:00 Vedaranyam India  0.3
27 Nov 2020 00:00 Vedaranniyam India  0.3
23 Nov 2020 14:00 Kankesanturai Sri Lanka  0.3
23 Nov 2020 14:00 Point Pedro Sri Lanka  0.3
26 Nov 2020 17:00 Kottapatnam India  0.3
26 Nov 2020 13:00 Karunagapalli India  0.3
24 Nov 2020 01:00 Pamban India  0.3
26 Nov 2020 16:00 Pakala India  0.3
26 Nov 2020 15:00 Peddapatnam India  0.3
23 Nov 2020 16:00 Kalpitiya Sri Lanka  0.3
26 Nov 2020 13:00 Kayankulam India  0.2
24 Nov 2020 01:00 Chundikkulam Sri Lanka  0.2
24 Nov 2020 01:00 Ampan Sri Lanka  0.2
23 Nov 2020 14:00 Therunattam India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 17:00 Ullapalem India  0.2
27 Nov 2020 02:00 Andharmanik Bangladesh  0.2
24 Nov 2020 01:00 Chalai Sri Lanka  0.2
24 Nov 2020 00:00 Irumeni India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 02:00 Saint Thomas Mount India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 21:00 Alleppey India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 15:00 Chakicherla India  0.2
27 Nov 2020 02:00 Bisarikati Charkhanda Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 02:00 Mehdigunj Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 02:00 Mahisha Gagaria Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 02:00 Char Nandanpur Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 02:00 Char Chandra Prasad Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 02:00 Char Kali Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 02:00 Pangasia Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 02:00 Jagannathpur Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Mahishkhola Bangladesh  0.2
23 Nov 2020 14:00 Delft Centre Sri Lanka  0.2
23 Nov 2020 19:00 Durgarajupatnam India  0.2
25 Nov 2020 22:00 Kelambakkam India  0.2
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Bausia Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Char Hijla Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Chandpur Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Harni Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Goal Bhaor Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Char Medua Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Kalupura Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Char Bansi Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Char Lakshmi Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Majanadi Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 02:00 Chiladi Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Nilkamal Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Fatehjangpur Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Char Haim Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Chandpur Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 02:00 Adam Manirabad Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 02:00 Char Tarabania Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 02:00 Boro Char Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 02:00 Mugadi Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 02:00 Bara Char Kalia Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 02:00 Amanullapur Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 21:00 Haripad India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 15:00 Bideipur India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 15:00 Rasalpur India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 15:00 Chandipur India  0.2
27 Nov 2020 03:00 Bageswari Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 03:00 Chandkati Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 03:00 Bazemahal Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 03:00 South Dighaldi Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 03:00 Sakusia Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 03:00 Baga Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 03:00 Bara Pata Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Char Munsi Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Hazari Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Char Madhyam Lamchhidhali Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Hazipur Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Char Lawrence Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Char Falcon Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Char Kadira Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Hatia Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Khaser Hat Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 21:00 Nalchira Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Aswadia Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Ewazbalia Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 21:00 Ghoshbagh Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Lamchhi Prasad Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Bamnia Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Tulatali Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Bara Ahmadpur Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Banskhali Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 20:00 Char Pyarimohan Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 20:00 Char Faizuddin Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Miar Hat Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Chandhuri Hat Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Chandpur Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Rabipur Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Char Algi Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Char Gazi Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 21:00 Munshir Hat Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 21:00 Char Fakura Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 21:00 Sandwip Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 21:00 Akbar Hat Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Nayamasti Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Maitbhanga Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 00:00 Char Annadaprasad Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Char Lakshmi Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Kanchanpur Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 02:00 Char Manpura Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Char Ramiz Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Char Bedama Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Dasher Hat Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Char Ishwar Ray Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 10:00 Bhatkul Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 10:00 Banari Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 10:00 Naria Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 06:00 Atpara Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 06:00 Hogla Char Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 10:00 Baghia Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 10:00 Adhara Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 09:00 Anantasar Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 10:00 Ahadi Bayatir Kandi Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 09:00 Baniagaon Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 10:00 Aldi Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Nizampatam India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 17:00 Gollapalem India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 16:00 Antarvedi India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 21:00 Char Chandia Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 21:00 Dhalapara Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 21:00 Bariakhali Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Kamla Char Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 21:00 Jafarnagar Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Barabkunda Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Bansbaria Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Kumira Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 00:00 Char Krishnaprasad Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 20:00 Maijchara Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 23:00 Sagaria Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 23:00 Char Ishwar Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 03:00 Turavur India  0.2
23 Nov 2020 19:00 Aliavalai Sri Lanka  0.2
23 Nov 2020 20:00 Vatturupallepalem India  0.2
25 Nov 2020 22:00 Madhavaram India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 21:00 Pappinivatti India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 14:00 Bandamurlanka India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 06:00 Tiruvottiyur India  0.2
24 Nov 2020 01:00 Porto Novo India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 14:00 Amaikuli Sri Lanka  0.2
25 Nov 2020 20:00 Marakkanam India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 16:00 Kodur India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 19:00 Pentakota India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 17:00 Kottapalem India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 17:00 Lankavanidibba India  0.2
23 Nov 2020 19:00 Velangann India  0.2
24 Nov 2020 01:00 Nagappattinam India  0.2
24 Nov 2020 02:00 Govundlapalem India  0.2
24 Nov 2020 07:00 Chennai India  0.2
23 Nov 2020 19:00 Ennore India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 12:00 Ambalapulai India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 13:00 Cochin India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 13:00 Mattancheri India  0.2
24 Nov 2020 01:00 Kalapettai India  0.2
24 Nov 2020 07:00 Quilon India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 21:00 Talikkulam India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 21:00 Veliyangod India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 21:00 Kadikkad India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 21:00 Manattala India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 21:00 Chavakkad India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 21:00 Guruvayur India  0.2
23 Nov 2020 19:00 Karaikal India  0.1
23 Nov 2020 19:00 Accarapatam India  0.1
26 Nov 2020 17:00 Bijavbati India  0.1
24 Nov 2020 01:00 Karuvaddukkeni Sri Lanka  0.1
24 Nov 2020 01:00 Pulmoddai Sri Lanka  0.1
24 Nov 2020 03:00 Kaveripattanam India  0.1
24 Nov 2020 03:00 Tranquebar India  0.1
24 Nov 2020 03:00 Tarangambadi India  0.1
26 Nov 2020 21:00 Chaughat India  0.1
26 Nov 2020 13:00 Ponnani India  0.1
23 Nov 2020 18:00 Tirumullaivasal India  0.1
26 Nov 2020 17:00 Purnankuppam India  0.1
26 Nov 2020 13:00 Chilaw Sri Lanka  0.1
26 Nov 2020 13:00 Negombo Sri Lanka  0.1
26 Nov 2020 13:00 Wattala Sri Lanka  0.1
26 Nov 2020 13:00 Ja-Ela Sri Lanka  0.1
26 Nov 2020 19:00 Pata Polvaram India  0.1
23 Nov 2020 15:00 Mudalaipalai Sri Lanka  0.1
26 Nov 2020 18:00 Venkatapuram India  0.1
26 Nov 2020 18:00 Periathullay India  0.1
26 Nov 2020 18:00 Kulasekharapatnam India  0.1
26 Nov 2020 18:00 Tiruchendur India  0.1
26 Nov 2020 19:00 Lemsikhali Bangladesh  0.1
26 Nov 2020 19:00 Dhurung Bangladesh  0.1
26 Nov 2020 19:00 Napura Bangladesh  0.1
23 Nov 2020 21:00 Wadduwa Sri Lanka  0.1
23 Nov 2020 21:00 Kalutara Sri Lanka  0.1
26 Nov 2020 18:00 Pudimadaka India  0.1
26 Nov 2020 17:00 Konada India  0.1
26 Nov 2020 18:00 Vijayapati India  0.1
24 Nov 2020 01:00 Muttupettai India  0.1
26 Nov 2020 16:00 Hukitala India  0.1
26 Nov 2020 16:00 Satabhaya India  0.1
25 Nov 2020 13:00 Cuddalore India  0.1
23 Nov 2020 18:00 Pondicherry India  0.1
26 Nov 2020 19:00 Ali Akbardeil Bangladesh  0.1
26 Nov 2020 19:00 Magnama Bangladesh  0.1
26 Nov 2020 15:00 Puttalam Sri Lanka  0.1
26 Nov 2020 15:00 Alankuda Sri Lanka  0.1
26 Nov 2020 15:00 Karadipuval Sri Lanka  0.1
26 Nov 2020 18:00 Chipurupalle India  0.1
26 Nov 2020 17:00 Chittivalasa India  0.1
26 Nov 2020 17:00 Bhimunipatnam India  0.1
26 Nov 2020 17:00 Koyyam India  0.1
23 Nov 2020 19:00 Ghatibhanga Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 19:00 Madayi India  0.1
24 Nov 2020 19:00 Kannapuram India  0.1
24 Nov 2020 19:00 Chirakkal India  0.1
24 Nov 2020 19:00 Valapattanam India  0.1
24 Nov 2020 19:00 Azhikkal India  0.1
26 Nov 2020 16:00 Anjengo India  0.1