Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for LUPIT-21 in Japan, Russian Federation, China from 03 Aug 2021 00:00 UTC to 09 Aug 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for LUPIT-21

in Japan, Russian Federation, China

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUPIT-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Japan, Russian Federation, China
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	102 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.6 m (10 Aug 02:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (China)
Landfall	between 08 Aug 2021 06:00 - 08 Aug 2021 12:00 in Japan

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	83 km/h	1.6 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	102 km/h	1.6 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

83 km/h Current Max.

Up to 209.3 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	02 Aug 2021 18:00	83	84.2 million	No people	China
2	03 Aug 2021 00:00	74	84.7 million	No people	China
3	03 Aug 2021 06:00	74	117.3 million	No people	China
4	03 Aug 2021 12:00	74	104.3 million	No people	China
5	03 Aug 2021 18:00	74	20.6 million	No people	China
6	04 Aug 2021 00:00	83	35 million	No people	China
7	04 Aug 2021 06:00	65	31.1 million	No people	China
8	04 Aug 2021 12:00	65	42.5 million	No people	China
9	04 Aug 2021 18:00	74	55.7 million	No people	China
10	05 Aug 2021 00:00	83	55.4 million	No people	China
11	05 Aug 2021 06:00	83	93.7 million	No people	China, Japan
12	05 Aug 2021 12:00	93	145.3 million	No people	China, Japan
13	05 Aug 2021 18:00	83	203.5 million	No people	China, Japan
14	06 Aug 2021 00:00	83	194.1 million	No people	China, Japan
15	06 Aug 2021 06:00	74	203.2 million	No people	China, Japan
16	06 Aug 2021 12:00	74	207.8 million	No people	China, Japan
17	06 Aug 2021 18:00	93	213.1 million	No people	China, Japan, Republic of Korea
18	07 Aug 2021 00:00	93	225.2 million	No people	China, Japan, Republic of Korea, Russian Federation
19	07 Aug 2021 06:00	83	225.2 million	No people	China, Japan, Republic of Korea, Russian Federation
20	07 Aug 2021 12:00	83	222.7 million	No people	Japan, China, Republic of Korea, Russian Federation
21	07 Aug 2021 18:00	93	234.4 million	No people	Japan, China, Republic of Korea, Russian Federation
22	08 Aug 2021 00:00	93	230.1 million	No people	Japan, Republic of Korea, China, Russian Federation
23	08 Aug 2021 06:00	93	223.7 million	No people	Japan, Republic of Korea, China, Russian Federation
24	08 Aug 2021 12:00	83	209.9 million	No people	Japan, Republic of Korea, China, Russian Federation
25	08 Aug 2021 18:00	102	209.2 million	No people	Japan, China, Russian Federation
26	09 Aug 2021 00:00	102	209.2 million	No people	Japan, China, Russian Federation
27	09 Aug 2021 06:00	93	209.3 million	No people	Japan, Russian Federation, China
28	09 Aug 2021 12:00	83	207.7 million	No people	Japan, Russian Federation, China
29	09 Aug 2021 18:00	83	209.3 million	No people	Japan, Russian Federation, China

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	02 Aug 2021 18:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	13 million people	21.1, 113
2	03 Aug 2021 00:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	21.3, 113.4
3	03 Aug 2021 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	18 million people	21.5, 113.8
4	03 Aug 2021 12:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	16000 people	21.1, 114.3
5	03 Aug 2021 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	21, 114.8
6	04 Aug 2021 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	21.3, 115.6
7	04 Aug 2021 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	14.7 million people	21.4, 115.9
8	04 Aug 2021 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	26.9 million people	21.7, 116.3
9	04 Aug 2021 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	33.7 million people	22.4, 116.8
10	05 Aug 2021 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	42.8 million people	23.1, 116.9	China
11	05 Aug 2021 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	22.5 million people	23.4, 116.9	China
12	05 Aug 2021 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	43.6 million people	23.7, 117.2	China
13	05 Aug 2021 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	44.6 million people	24, 117.3	China
14	06 Aug 2021 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	57.2 million people	24.5, 118.1	China
15	06 Aug 2021 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	70.3 million people	24.7, 118.9	China
16	06 Aug 2021 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	63 million people	25.1, 119.6
17	06 Aug 2021 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	33.6 million people	25, 120
18	07 Aug 2021 00:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	18 million people	24.7, 120.7	China
19	07 Aug 2021 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	16.4 million people	25.6, 122.8
20	07 Aug 2021 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	1.4 million people	26.8, 124.3
21	07 Aug 2021 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	19.1 million people	28.4, 126
22	08 Aug 2021 00:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	39 million people	29.3, 126.9
23	08 Aug 2021 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	55.1 million people	30.4, 128.4
24	08 Aug 2021 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	63.6 million people	31.5, 130.8	Japan
25	08 Aug 2021 18:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	68 million people	33.4, 132.5	Japan
26	09 Aug 2021 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	109.5 million people	35.3, 133.8	Japan
27	09 Aug 2021 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	98.4 million people	36.4, 135.1
28	09 Aug 2021 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	78.6 million people	37.5, 136.1
29	09 Aug 2021 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	101.2 million people	38.7, 138
29	10 Aug 2021 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	16.8 million people	40.6, 142.7
29	10 Aug 2021 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	41.7, 147.5

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Source: GADM and GHSL

Provinces

Source: GADM and GHSL

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Disclaimer - Copyright
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
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The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.