Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUPIT-21
in Japan, Russian Federation, China

Global Telecommunication Service

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Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 092100
WARNING ATCG MIL 13W NWP 210809194050
2021080918 13W LUPIT 029 02 050 19 SATL RADR 040
T000 387N 1380E 040 R034 285 NE QD 260 SE QD 245 SW QD 300 NW QD
T012 406N 1427E 040 R034 240 NE QD 250 SE QD 260 SW QD 250 NW QD
T024 417N 1475E 045 R034 220 NE QD 220 SE QD 250 SW QD 210 NW QD
AMP 000HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
012HR EXTRATROPICAL
024HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 029
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 029
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
091800Z --- NEAR 38.7N 138.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 19 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 285 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
245 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
300 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 38.7N 138.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 40.6N 142.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 41.7N 147.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
092100Z POSITION NEAR 39.2N 139.2E.
09AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM
SOUTHWEST OF MISAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 19 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z
IS 15 FEET.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
1321080118 207N1087E 15
1321080200 207N1096E 15
1321080206 207N1104E 15
1321080212 210N1117E 20
1321080218 211N1130E 25
1321080300 213N1134E 25
1321080306 215N1138E 30
1321080312 211N1143E 30
1321080318 210N1148E 35
1321080400 213N1156E 35
1321080406 214N1159E 35
1321080412 218N1164E 35
1321080418 224N1168E 40
1321080500 231N1169E 45
1321080506 234N1170E 45
1321080512 237N1172E 40
1321080518 241N1176E 35
1321080600 245N1181E 35
1321080606 247N1189E 35
1321080612 249N1193E 35
1321080618 249N1198E 40
1321080700 247N1207E 40
1321080706 256N1228E 35
1321080712 272N1246E 35
1321080718 284N1260E 35
1321080800 293N1269E 40
1321080806 304N1284E 45
1321080812 314N1306E 40
1321080818 334N1325E 50
1321080818 334N1325E 50
1321080900 353N1338E 55
1321080900 353N1338E 55
1321080906 364N1351E 40
1321080912 375N1361E 40
1321080918 387N1380E 40
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 092100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 029//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 029
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
091800Z --- NEAR 38.7N 138.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 19 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 285 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
245 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
300 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 38.7N 138.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 40.6N 142.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 41.7N 147.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
092100Z POSITION NEAR 39.2N 139.2E.
09AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM
SOUTHWEST OF MISAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 19 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD, ASYMMETRIC CIRCULATION WITH WEAK CONVECTION
BEING SHEARED TO THE NORTH. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE BASED ON SURFACE RADAR AND A PGTW FIX. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY OF 40 KTS IS BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND A PGTW
DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T3.0. TS 13W IS CURRENTLY UNDERGOING
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT) AS IT ENTERS THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND
IS UNDER HIGH (>30KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM AN UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD OVER
NORTHERN HONSHU AND WILL COMPLETE ETT BY TAU 12. THIS IS THE FINAL
WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI.
THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO
TROPICAL STORM 14W (MIRINAE) FINAL WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW).//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 091500
WARNING ATCG MIL 13W NWP 210809124944
2021080912 13W LUPIT 028 02 035 14 SATL RADR SYNP 020
T000 375N 1361E 040 R034 155 NE QD 080 SE QD 155 SW QD 110 NW QD
T012 395N 1408E 040 R034 270 NE QD 260 SE QD 250 SW QD 250 NW QD
T024 410N 1451E 045 R034 260 NE QD 160 SE QD 270 SW QD 180 NW QD
T036 420N 1499E 045 R034 290 NE QD 210 SE QD 240 SW QD 140 NW QD
T048 428N 1551E 045 R034 340 NE QD 250 SE QD 250 SW QD 140 NW QD
AMP
024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
048HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 028
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 028
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
091200Z --- NEAR 37.5N 136.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 37.5N 136.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 39.5N 140.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 41.0N 145.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 42.0N 149.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 42.8N 155.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
091500Z POSITION NEAR 38.0N 137.3E.
09AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 192 NM
NORTHWEST OF YOKOTA AB, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z
IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z, 100300Z, 100900Z AND 101500Z.
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
1321080118 207N1087E 15
1321080200 207N1096E 15
1321080206 207N1104E 15
1321080212 210N1117E 20
1321080218 211N1130E 25
1321080300 213N1134E 25
1321080306 215N1138E 30
1321080312 211N1143E 30
1321080318 210N1148E 35
1321080400 213N1156E 35
1321080406 214N1159E 35
1321080412 218N1164E 35
1321080418 224N1168E 40
1321080500 231N1169E 45
1321080506 234N1170E 45
1321080512 237N1172E 40
1321080518 241N1176E 35
1321080600 245N1181E 35
1321080606 247N1189E 35
1321080612 249N1193E 35
1321080618 249N1198E 40
1321080700 247N1207E 40
1321080706 256N1228E 35
1321080712 272N1246E 35
1321080718 284N1260E 35
1321080800 293N1269E 40
1321080806 304N1284E 45
1321080812 314N1306E 40
1321080818 334N1325E 50
1321080818 334N1325E 50
1321080900 353N1338E 55
1321080900 353N1338E 55
1321080906 364N1351E 40
1321080912 375N1361E 40
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 091500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 028//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 028
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
091200Z --- NEAR 37.5N 136.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 37.5N 136.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 39.5N 140.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 41.0N 145.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 42.0N 149.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 42.8N 155.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
091500Z POSITION NEAR 38.0N 137.3E.
09AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 192 NM
NORTHWEST OF YOKOTA AB, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z
IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z, 100300Z, 100900Z AND 101500Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 14W (MIRINAE) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 090900
WARNING ATCG MIL 13W NWP 210809065930
2021080906 13W LUPIT 027 02 045 15 SATL RADR SYNP 020
T000 364N 1351E 040 R034 060 NE QD 095 SE QD 120 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 386N 1390E 050 R034 280 NE QD 290 SE QD 190 SW QD 280 NW QD
T024 403N 1433E 050 R050 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 260 NE QD 240 SE QD 260 SW QD 230 NW QD
T036 416N 1482E 050 R050 030 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 240 NE QD 210 SE QD 290 SW QD 200 NW QD
T048 425N 1540E 045 R034 290 NE QD 270 SE QD 290 SW QD 160 NW QD
AMP
036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
048HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 027
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 027
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
090600Z --- NEAR 36.4N 135.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 36.4N 135.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 38.6N 139.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
280 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 40.3N 143.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 41.6N 148.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 42.5N 154.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
090900Z POSITION NEAR 36.9N 136.1E.
09AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 193 NM
NORTHEAST OF IWAKUNI, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z
IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z, 092100Z, 100300Z AND 100900Z.
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
1321080118 207N1087E 15
1321080200 207N1096E 15
1321080206 207N1104E 15
1321080212 210N1117E 20
1321080218 211N1130E 25
1321080300 213N1134E 25
1321080306 215N1138E 30
1321080312 211N1143E 30
1321080318 210N1148E 35
1321080400 213N1156E 35
1321080406 214N1159E 35
1321080412 218N1164E 35
1321080418 224N1168E 40
1321080500 231N1169E 45
1321080506 234N1170E 45
1321080512 237N1172E 40
1321080518 241N1176E 35
1321080600 245N1181E 35
1321080606 247N1189E 35
1321080612 249N1193E 35
1321080618 249N1198E 40
1321080700 247N1207E 40
1321080706 256N1228E 35
1321080712 272N1246E 35
1321080718 284N1260E 35
1321080800 293N1269E 40
1321080806 304N1284E 45
1321080812 314N1306E 40
1321080818 334N1325E 50
1321080818 334N1325E 50
1321080900 353N1338E 55
1321080900 353N1338E 55
1321080906 364N1351E 40
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 090900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 027//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 027
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
090600Z --- NEAR 36.4N 135.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 36.4N 135.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 38.6N 139.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
280 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 40.3N 143.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 41.6N 148.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 42.5N 154.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
090900Z POSITION NEAR 36.9N 136.1E.
09AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 193 NM
NORTHEAST OF IWAKUNI, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z
IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z, 092100Z, 100300Z AND 100900Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 14W (MIRINAE) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 090300
WARNING ATCG MIL 13W NWP 210809015523
2021080900 13W LUPIT 026 02 030 22 SATL RADR 040
T000 353N 1338E 055 R050 000 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 190 SE QD 195 SW QD 150 NW QD
T012 378N 1370E 055 R050 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 230 SE QD 150 SW QD 215 NW QD
T024 399N 1413E 050 R050 000 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 100 NW QD R034 240 NE QD 230 SE QD 190 SW QD 230 NW QD
T036 413N 1458E 050 R050 030 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 240 NE QD 150 SE QD 170 SW QD 200 NW QD
T048 422N 1504E 045 R034 235 NE QD 210 SE QD 220 SW QD 160 NW QD
AMP
024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
048HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 026
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 026
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
090000Z --- NEAR 35.3N 133.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 22 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
195 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 35.3N 133.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 37.8N 137.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
215 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 39.9N 141.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 41.3N 145.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 42.2N 150.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 235 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
090300Z POSITION NEAR 35.9N 134.6E.
09AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 103 NM
NORTHEAST OF IWAKUNI, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT
22 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 090900Z, 091500Z, 092100Z AND 100300Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
1321080118 207N1087E 15
1321080200 207N1096E 15
1321080206 207N1104E 15
1321080212 210N1117E 20
1321080218 211N1130E 25
1321080300 213N1134E 25
1321080306 215N1138E 30
1321080312 211N1143E 30
1321080318 210N1148E 35
1321080400 213N1156E 35
1321080406 214N1159E 35
1321080412 218N1164E 35
1321080418 224N1168E 40
1321080500 231N1169E 45
1321080506 234N1170E 45
1321080512 237N1172E 40
1321080518 241N1176E 35
1321080600 245N1181E 35
1321080606 247N1189E 35
1321080612 249N1193E 35
1321080618 249N1198E 40
1321080700 247N1207E 40
1321080706 256N1228E 35
1321080712 272N1246E 35
1321080718 284N1260E 35
1321080800 293N1269E 40
1321080806 304N1284E 45
1321080812 314N1306E 40
1321080818 334N1325E 50
1321080818 334N1325E 50
1321080900 353N1338E 55
1321080900 353N1338E 55
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 090300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 026//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 026
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
090000Z --- NEAR 35.3N 133.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 22 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
195 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 35.3N 133.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 37.8N 137.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
215 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 39.9N 141.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 41.3N 145.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 42.2N 150.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 235 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
090300Z POSITION NEAR 35.9N 134.6E.
09AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 103 NM
NORTHEAST OF IWAKUNI, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT
22 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 090900Z, 091500Z, 092100Z AND 100300Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 14W (MIRINAE) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 090000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 21
NAME LOW FROM 2109 LUPIT
ANALYSIS
POSITION 090000UTC 35.3N 133.1E
MOVEMENT NNE 8KT
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 45KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 090000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME DEVELOPING LOW FORMER TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 090000UTC 35N 134E
MOVE NNE 20KT
PRES 982HPA
MXWD 055KT
30KT 600NM =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 090000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME DEVELOPING LOW FORMER TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 090000UTC 35N 134E
MOVE NNE 20KT
PRES 982HPA
MXWD 055KT
30KT 600NM =


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 082100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 082100UTC 34.8N 133.1E FAIR
MOVE NE 25KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 300NM SOUTHEAST 180NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 090900UTC 36.8N 135.8E 35NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW
24HF 092100UTC 38.7N 139.4E 50NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 082100
WARNING 082100.
WARNING VALID 092100.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2109 LUPIT (2109) 985 HPA
AT 34.8N 133.1E WESTERN JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090900UTC AT 36.8N 135.8E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 092100UTC AT 38.7N 139.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 082100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 082100UTC 34.8N 133.1E FAIR
MOVE NE 25KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 300NM SOUTHEAST 180NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 092100UTC 38.7N 139.4E 50NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 082100
WARNING ATCG MIL 13W NWP 210808195655
2021080818 13W LUPIT 025 02 040 26 SATL RADR SYNP 030
T000 334N 1325E 050 R050 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 155 SE QD 135 SW QD 060 NW QD
T012 363N 1354E 055 R050 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 185 SE QD 130 SW QD 170 NW QD
T024 385N 1390E 050 R050 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 205 NE QD 185 SE QD 170 SW QD 185 NW QD
T036 403N 1436E 045 R034 280 NE QD 220 SE QD 200 SW QD 250 NW QD
T048 413N 1480E 045 R034 210 NE QD 160 SE QD 200 SW QD 190 NW QD
AMP
024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
048HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 025
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 025
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
081800Z --- NEAR 33.4N 132.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 26 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 33.4N 132.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 36.3N 135.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
185 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 38.5N 139.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
185 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
185 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 40.3N 143.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 41.3N 148.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
082100Z POSITION NEAR 34.1N 133.2E.
08AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 58 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF IWAKUNI, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT
26 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 090300Z, 090900Z, 091500Z AND 092100Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
1321080118 207N1087E 15
1321080200 207N1096E 15
1321080206 207N1104E 15
1321080212 210N1117E 20
1321080218 211N1130E 25
1321080300 213N1134E 25
1321080306 215N1138E 30
1321080312 211N1143E 30
1321080318 210N1148E 35
1321080400 213N1156E 35
1321080406 214N1159E 35
1321080412 218N1164E 35
1321080418 224N1168E 40
1321080500 231N1169E 45
1321080506 234N1170E 45
1321080512 237N1172E 40
1321080518 241N1176E 35
1321080600 245N1181E 35
1321080606 247N1189E 35
1321080612 249N1193E 35
1321080618 249N1198E 40
1321080700 247N1207E 40
1321080706 256N1228E 35
1321080712 272N1246E 35
1321080718 284N1260E 35
1321080800 293N1269E 40
1321080806 304N1284E 45
1321080812 314N1306E 40
1321080818 334N1325E 50
1321080818 334N1325E 50
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 082100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 025//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 025
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
081800Z --- NEAR 33.4N 132.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 26 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 33.4N 132.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 36.3N 135.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
185 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 38.5N 139.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
185 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
185 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 40.3N 143.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 41.3N 148.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
082100Z POSITION NEAR 34.1N 133.2E.
08AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 58 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF IWAKUNI, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT
26 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 090300Z, 090900Z, 091500Z AND 092100Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 14W (MIRINAE) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 081800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.24 FOR TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS LUPIT IS LOCATED AT 33.9N, 132.6E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS AND
WEAK VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS AND SURFACE WINDS DATA ESTIMATED FROM SATELLITE
SCATTEROMETERS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO INTERACTION WITH A
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS ARE SCATTERED
AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF
ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE
SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT48. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 IN A STATE OF EXTRATROPICAL
TRANSITION. THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL
CYCLONE BY FT12. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF
GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 081800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 20
NAME 2109 LUPIT
ANALYSIS
POSITION 081800UTC 33.8N 132.0E
MOVEMENT NNE 25KT
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 45KT
FORECAST
06HR
POSITION 090000UTC 35.1N 133.1E WITHIN 15NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 45KT
12HR
POSITION 090600UTC 36.5N 134.4E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 47KT
18HR
POSITION 091200UTC 37.7N 136.3E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 47KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 081800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 081800UTC 33.9N 132.6E FAIR
MOVE NE 28KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 300NM SOUTHEAST 180NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 090600UTC 36.2N 134.8E 35NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW
24HF 091800UTC 38.1N 138.1E 50NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 081800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 081800UTC 33.9N 132.6E FAIR
MOVE NE 28KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 300NM SOUTHEAST 180NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 091800UTC 38.1N 138.1E 50NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 081800
WARNING 081800.
WARNING VALID 091800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2109 LUPIT (2109) 985 HPA
AT 33.9N 132.6E WESTERN JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 28 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090600UTC AT 36.2N 134.8E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091800UTC AT 38.1N 138.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 081500
WARNING 081500.
WARNING VALID 091500.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2109 LUPIT (2109) 988 HPA
AT 32.7N 131.7E KYUSYU MOVING NORTHEAST 26 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090300UTC AT 35.7N 134.0E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091500UTC AT 37.8N 136.7E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 081500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 081500UTC 32.7N 131.7E FAIR
MOVE NE 26KT
PRES 988HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 300NM SOUTHEAST 180NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 090300UTC 35.7N 134.0E 40NM 70%
MOVE NNE 18KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 091500UTC 37.8N 136.7E 57NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 081500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 081500UTC 32.7N 131.7E FAIR
MOVE NE 26KT
PRES 988HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 300NM SOUTHEAST 180NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 091500UTC 37.8N 136.7E 57NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 081500
WARNING ATCG MIL 13W NWP 210808132530
2021080812 13W LUPIT 024 02 060 23 SATL RADR SYNP 020
T000 315N 1308E 040 R034 000 NE QD 130 SE QD 145 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 347N 1339E 040 R034 190 NE QD 230 SE QD 110 SW QD 170 NW QD
T024 371N 1368E 045 R034 230 NE QD 220 SE QD 130 SW QD 280 NW QD
T036 391N 1405E 040 R034 270 NE QD 250 SE QD 170 SW QD 250 NW QD
T048 404N 1450E 035 R034 250 NE QD 150 SE QD 180 SW QD 190 NW QD
T072 426N 1554E 040 R034 280 NE QD 220 SE QD 220 SW QD 150 NW QD
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 024
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 024
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
081200Z --- NEAR 31.5N 130.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 23 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 31.5N 130.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 34.7N 133.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 37.1N 136.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
280 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 39.1N 140.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 40.4N 145.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 42.6N 155.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
081500Z POSITION NEAR 32.3N 131.6E.
08AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 111 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD
AT 23 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z,
090300Z, 090900Z AND 091500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 14W (MIRINAE)
1321080118 207N1087E 15
1321080200 207N1096E 15
1321080206 207N1104E 15
1321080212 210N1117E 20
1321080218 211N1130E 25
1321080300 213N1134E 25
1321080306 215N1138E 30
1321080312 211N1143E 30
1321080318 210N1148E 35
1321080400 213N1156E 35
1321080406 214N1159E 35
1321080412 218N1164E 35
1321080418 224N1168E 40
1321080500 231N1169E 45
1321080506 234N1170E 45
1321080512 237N1172E 40
1321080518 241N1176E 35
1321080600 245N1181E 35
1321080606 247N1189E 35
1321080612 249N1193E 35
1321080618 249N1198E 40
1321080700 247N1207E 40
1321080706 256N1228E 35
1321080712 272N1246E 35
1321080718 284N1260E 35
1321080800 293N1269E 40
1321080806 304N1284E 45
1321080812 315N1308E 40
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 081500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 024//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 024
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
081200Z --- NEAR 31.5N 130.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 23 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 31.5N 130.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 34.7N 133.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 37.1N 136.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
280 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 39.1N 140.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 40.4N 145.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 42.6N 155.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
081500Z POSITION NEAR 32.3N 131.6E.
08AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 111 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD
AT 23 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z,
090300Z, 090900Z AND 091500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 14W (MIRINAE)
WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 081200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.23 FOR TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS LUPIT IS LOCATED AT 31.5N, 130.9E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND RADAR IMAGERY.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF WEAK VWS, GOOD
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, DRY AIR AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM
TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON
THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO INTERACTION WITH A
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS ARE SCATTERED
AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF
ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE
SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTHEAST UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST
IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS.
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN
CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 IN A STATE OF EXTRATROPICAL
TRANSITION. THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL
CYCLONE BY FT24. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF
GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 081200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 19
NAME 2109 LUPIT
ANALYSIS
POSITION 081200UTC 31.9N 130.9E
MOVEMENT ENE 29KT
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 41KT
FORECAST
06HR
POSITION 081800UTC 33.3N 131.5E WITHIN 15NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 41KT
12HR
POSITION 090000UTC 35.1N 133.1E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 43KT
18HR
POSITION 090600UTC 36.5N 134.4E WITHIN 50NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 47KT
24HR
POSITION 091200UTC 37.7N 136.3E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 47KT
30HR
POSITION 091800UTC 38.6N 138.4E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 47KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 081200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 081200UTC 31.5N 130.9E FAIR
MOVE ENE 21KT
PRES 988HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 270NM SOUTHEAST 150NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 090000UTC 34.9N 133.2E 40NM 70%
MOVE NNE 20KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 091200UTC 37.3N 135.5E 57NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 081200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 081200UTC 31.5N 130.9E FAIR
MOVE ENE 21KT
PRES 988HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 270NM SOUTHEAST 150NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 091200UTC 37.3N 135.5E 57NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 081200
WARNING 081200.
WARNING VALID 091200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2109 LUPIT (2109) 988 HPA
AT 31.5N 130.9E KYUSYU MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 21 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090000UTC AT 34.9N 133.2E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 37.3N 135.5E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 080900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 080900UTC 30.9N 129.5E FAIR
MOVE NE 20KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 270NM SOUTHEAST 150NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 082100UTC 34.5N 132.4E 45NM 70%
MOVE NNE 22KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 090900UTC 36.9N 135.1E 65NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 080900
WARNING 080900.
WARNING VALID 090900.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2109 LUPIT (2109) 990 HPA
AT 30.9N 129.5E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 082100UTC AT 34.5N 132.4E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090900UTC AT 36.9N 135.1E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 080900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 080900UTC 30.9N 129.5E FAIR
MOVE NE 20KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 270NM SOUTHEAST 150NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 090900UTC 36.9N 135.1E 65NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 080900
WARNING ATCG MIL 13W NWP 210808070533
2021080806 13W LUPIT 023 02 050 17 SATL RADR SYNP 020
T000 304N 1284E 045 R034 090 NE QD 150 SE QD 165 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 335N 1314E 045 R034 150 NE QD 230 SE QD 100 SW QD 120 NW QD
T024 362N 1340E 050 R050 030 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 190 SE QD 130 SW QD 240 NW QD
T036 387N 1373E 045 R034 310 NE QD 240 SE QD 170 SW QD 280 NW QD
T048 401N 1407E 040 R034 310 NE QD 220 SE QD 180 SW QD 260 NW QD
T072 424N 1498E 035 R034 300 NE QD 200 SE QD 200 SW QD 180 NW QD
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 023
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 023
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
080600Z --- NEAR 30.4N 128.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 30.4N 128.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 33.5N 131.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 36.2N 134.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 38.7N 137.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
280 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 40.1N 140.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 42.4N 149.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
080900Z POSITION NEAR 31.2N 129.2E.
08AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 175 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 17
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
080600Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z, 082100Z, 090300Z AND
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
1321080118 207N1087E 15
1321080200 207N1096E 15
1321080206 207N1104E 15
1321080212 210N1117E 20
1321080218 211N1130E 25
1321080300 213N1134E 25
1321080306 215N1138E 30
1321080312 211N1143E 30
1321080318 210N1148E 35
1321080400 213N1156E 35
1321080406 214N1159E 35
1321080412 218N1164E 35
1321080418 224N1168E 40
1321080500 231N1169E 45
1321080506 234N1170E 45
1321080512 237N1172E 40
1321080518 241N1176E 35
1321080600 245N1181E 35
1321080606 247N1189E 35
1321080612 249N1193E 35
1321080618 249N1198E 40
1321080700 247N1207E 40
1321080706 256N1228E 35
1321080712 272N1246E 35
1321080718 284N1260E 35
1321080800 293N1269E 40
1321080806 304N1284E 45
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 080900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 023//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 023
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
080600Z --- NEAR 30.4N 128.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 30.4N 128.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 33.5N 131.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 36.2N 134.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 38.7N 137.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
280 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 40.1N 140.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 42.4N 149.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
080900Z POSITION NEAR 31.2N 129.2E.
08AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 175 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 17
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
080600Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z, 082100Z, 090300Z AND
090900Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 14W (MIRINAE) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 080600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.22 FOR TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS LUPIT IS LOCATED AT 30.1N, 127.7E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND RADAR IMAGERY. POSITIONAL
ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 40KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS AND
DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER
THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED
ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO INTERACTION WITH A
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS GATHERING
AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF
ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE
SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 IN A STATE OF EXTRATROPICAL
TRANSITION. THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL
CYCLONE BY FT24. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF
GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 080600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 080600UTC 30.1N 127.7E FAIR
MOVE NE 16KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 270NM SOUTHEAST 150NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 081800UTC 33.7N 131.9E 45NM 70%
MOVE NE 25KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 090600UTC 36.5N 134.3E 65NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 080600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 080600UTC 30.1N 127.7E FAIR
MOVE NE 16KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 270NM SOUTHEAST 150NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 090600UTC 36.5N 134.3E 65NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 080600
WARNING 080600.
WARNING VALID 090600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2109 LUPIT (2109) 990 HPA
AT 30.1N 127.7E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHEAST 16 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 081800UTC AT 33.7N 131.9E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090600UTC AT 36.5N 134.3E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 080300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 080300UTC 29.8N 127.1E FAIR
MOVE NNE 17KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 250NM SOUTH 150NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 081500UTC 32.8N 130.9E 45NM 70%
MOVE NE 22KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 090300UTC 36.2N 133.5E 65NM 70%
MOVE NNE 20KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 100000UTC 40.2N 138.4E 90NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 080300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 080300UTC 29.8N 127.1E FAIR
MOVE NNE 17KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 250NM SOUTH 150NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 090300UTC 36.2N 133.5E 65NM 70%
MOVE NNE 20KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 100000UTC 40.2N 138.4E 90NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 080300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 022//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 022
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
080000Z --- NEAR 29.3N 126.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 29.3N 126.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 32.1N 129.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 35.3N 132.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 37.8N 135.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
290 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 39.8N 138.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
290 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 42.2N 146.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
080300Z POSITION NEAR 30.0N 127.6E.
08AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 269 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 12
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 080900Z, 081500Z, 082100Z AND 090300Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 14W (MIRINAE) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 15W (NIDA) WARNINGS
(WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 080000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.21 FOR TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS LUPIT IS LOCATED AT 29.5N, 126.5E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR.
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE
CENTER ARE 40KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS
CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO INTERACTION WITH A
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS GATHERING
AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF
ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE
CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT48. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 IN A STATE OF EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION.
THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT48.
THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 080000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 080000UTC 29.5N 126.5E FAIR
MOVE NNE 17KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 250NM SOUTH 150NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 081200UTC 31.9N 130.2E 35NM 70%
MOVE NE 20KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 090000UTC 35.6N 132.8E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNE 21KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 100000UTC 40.2N 138.4E 90NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 080000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 080000UTC 29.5N 126.5E FAIR
MOVE NNE 17KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 250NM SOUTH 150NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 090000UTC 35.6N 132.8E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNE 21KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 100000UTC 40.2N 138.4E 90NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 080000
WARNING 080000.
WARNING VALID 090000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2109 LUPIT (2109) 990 HPA
AT 29.5N 126.5E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 17 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 081200UTC AT 31.9N 130.2E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090000UTC AT 35.6N 132.8E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100000UTC AT 40.2N 138.4E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 072100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 072100UTC 28.3N 126.1E FAIR
MOVE NNE 17KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 250NM SOUTH 150NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 080900UTC 31.0N 129.2E 40NM 70%
MOVE NE 19KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 082100UTC 34.8N 131.9E 57NM 70%
MOVE NNE 22KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 091800UTC 39.2N 136.4E 105NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 072100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 072100UTC 28.3N 126.1E FAIR
MOVE NNE 17KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 250NM SOUTH 150NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 082100UTC 34.8N 131.9E 57NM 70%
MOVE NNE 22KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 091800UTC 39.2N 136.4E 105NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 072100
WARNING ATCG MIL 13W NWP 210807204641
2021080718 13W LUPIT 021 02 045 17 SATL RADR 060
T000 284N 1260E 035 R034 100 NE QD 150 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 308N 1288E 040 R034 130 NE QD 260 SE QD 110 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 339N 1318E 045 R034 170 NE QD 290 SE QD 130 SW QD 150 NW QD
T036 370N 1346E 050 R050 020 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 250 NE QD 240 SE QD 150 SW QD 260 NW QD
T048 391N 1374E 050 R050 030 NE QD 080 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 300 NE QD 240 SE QD 190 SW QD 290 NW QD
T072 421N 1447E 045 R034 290 NE QD 180 SE QD 190 SW QD 230 NW QD
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 021
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 021
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
071800Z --- NEAR 28.4N 126.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 28.4N 126.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 30.8N 128.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 33.9N 131.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 37.0N 134.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 39.1N 137.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
290 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 42.1N 144.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
072100Z POSITION NEAR 29.0N 126.7E.
07AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 149 NM
NORTHWEST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 080300Z, 080900Z, 081500Z AND 082100Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
1321080118 207N1087E 15
1321080200 207N1096E 15
1321080206 207N1104E 15
1321080212 210N1117E 20
1321080218 211N1130E 25
1321080300 213N1134E 25
1321080306 215N1138E 30
1321080312 211N1143E 30
1321080318 210N1148E 35
1321080400 213N1156E 35
1321080406 214N1159E 35
1321080412 218N1164E 35
1321080418 224N1168E 40
1321080500 231N1169E 45
1321080506 234N1170E 45
1321080512 237N1172E 40
1321080518 241N1176E 35
1321080600 245N1181E 35
1321080606 247N1189E 35
1321080612 249N1193E 35
1321080618 249N1198E 40
1321080700 247N1207E 40
1321080706 256N1228E 35
1321080712 272N1246E 35
1321080718 284N1260E 35
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 072100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 021//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 021
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
071800Z --- NEAR 28.4N 126.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 28.4N 126.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 30.8N 128.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 33.9N 131.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 37.0N 134.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 39.1N 137.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
290 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 42.1N 144.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
072100Z POSITION NEAR 29.0N 126.7E.
07AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 149 NM
NORTHWEST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 080300Z, 080900Z, 081500Z AND 082100Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 14W (MIRINAE) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 071800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.20 FOR TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS LUPIT IS LOCATED AT 27.5N, 125.5E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND ANIMATED MSI.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, LOW
TCHP AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS
INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO INTERACTION WITH A
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS ARE SCATTERED
AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF
ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS
THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL
HIT JAPAN BY FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS,
AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 IN A STATE OF EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION.
THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 071800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 16
NAME 2109 LUPIT
ANALYSIS
POSITION 071800UTC 28.0N 125.6E
MOVEMENT E 15KT
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 41KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 080600UTC 29.9N 127.4E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 45KT
24HR
POSITION 081800UTC 33.1N 130.9E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
36HR
POSITION 090600UTC 36.3N 134.6E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
48HR
POSITION 091800UTC 39.0N 137.2E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 071800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 071800UTC 27.5N 125.5E FAIR
MOVE NE 15KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 250NM SOUTH 150NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 080600UTC 29.6N 127.7E 40NM 70%
MOVE NE 14KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 081800UTC 33.7N 130.8E 57NM 70%
MOVE NNE 24KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 091800UTC 39.2N 136.4E 105NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 071800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 071800UTC 27.5N 125.5E FAIR
MOVE NE 15KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 250NM SOUTH 150NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 081800UTC 33.7N 130.8E 57NM 70%
MOVE NNE 24KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 091800UTC 39.2N 136.4E 105NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 071800
WARNING 071800.
WARNING VALID 081800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2109 LUPIT (2109) 992 HPA
AT 27.5N 125.5E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 080600UTC AT 29.6N 127.7E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 081800UTC AT 33.7N 130.8E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091800UTC AT 39.2N 136.4E WITH 105 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
984 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 071645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 071500 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION LUPIT (2109) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (27.5
N) ONE TWO FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (124.6 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 18 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 081500 UTC
THREE TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (32.4 N)
ONE THREE ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (130.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 091500 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 071500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 071500UTC 27.0N 124.9E FAIR
MOVE ENE 18KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 250NM SOUTH 150NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 080300UTC 28.9N 128.0E 45NM 70%
MOVE ENE 16KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 081500UTC 31.8N 130.6E 65NM 70%
MOVE NE 18KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 091200UTC 37.7N 135.1E 170NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 071500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 071500UTC 27.0N 124.9E FAIR
MOVE ENE 18KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 250NM SOUTH 150NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 081500UTC 31.8N 130.6E 65NM 70%
MOVE NE 18KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 091200UTC 37.7N 135.1E 170NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 071200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.19 FOR TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS LUPIT IS LOCATED AT 26.5N, 124.2E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND RADAR IMAGERY.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, GOOD
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW TCHP AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. NOAA-19/MHS 85 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE
CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL
HIT JAPAN BY FT36. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS,
AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW,
LOW TCHP AND DRY AIR. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 IN A
STATE OF EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO
AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT48. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED
ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 071500
WARNING ATCG MIL 13W NWP 210807131439
2021080712 13W LUPIT 020 02 050 18 SATL SYNP 020
T000 268N 1243E 040 R034 000 NE QD 060 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 287N 1271E 045 R034 080 NE QD 180 SE QD 110 SW QD 050 NW QD
T024 312N 1301E 045 R034 130 NE QD 230 SE QD 130 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 346N 1333E 045 R034 190 NE QD 240 SE QD 140 SW QD 170 NW QD
T048 375N 1365E 045 R034 280 NE QD 230 SE QD 160 SW QD 290 NW QD
T072 409N 1434E 040 R034 260 NE QD 160 SE QD 210 SW QD 260 NW QD
T096 433N 1518E 045 R034 290 NE QD 210 SE QD 230 SW QD 180 NW QD
AMP
072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
096HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 020
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 020
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
071200Z --- NEAR 26.8N 124.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 26.8N 124.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 28.7N 127.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 31.2N 130.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 34.6N 133.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 37.5N 136.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
290 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 40.9N 143.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 43.3N 151.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
071500Z POSITION NEAR 27.3N 125.0E.
07AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 189 NM
WEST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT
18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
071200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z, 080300Z, 080900Z AND
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
1321080118 207N1087E 15
1321080200 207N1096E 15
1321080206 207N1104E 15
1321080212 210N1117E 20
1321080218 211N1130E 25
1321080300 213N1134E 25
1321080306 215N1138E 30
1321080312 211N1143E 30
1321080318 210N1148E 35
1321080400 213N1156E 35
1321080406 214N1159E 35
1321080412 218N1164E 35
1321080418 224N1168E 40
1321080500 231N1169E 45
1321080506 234N1170E 45
1321080512 237N1172E 40
1321080518 241N1176E 35
1321080600 245N1181E 35
1321080606 247N1189E 35
1321080612 249N1193E 35
1321080618 249N1198E 40
1321080700 247N1207E 40
1321080706 256N1228E 35
1321080712 268N1243E 40
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 071500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 020//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 020
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
071200Z --- NEAR 26.8N 124.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 26.8N 124.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 28.7N 127.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 31.2N 130.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 34.6N 133.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 37.5N 136.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
290 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 40.9N 143.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 43.3N 151.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
071500Z POSITION NEAR 27.3N 125.0E.
07AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 189 NM
WEST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT
18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
071200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z, 080300Z, 080900Z AND
081500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 14W (MIRINAE) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 071345

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 071200 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION LUPIT (2109) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (26.8
N) ONE TWO FOUR POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (124.1 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 15 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 081200 UTC
THREE ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (31.4 N)
ONE TWO NINE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (129.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 091200 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 071200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 071200UTC 26.5N 124.2E FAIR
MOVE NE 15KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 250NM SOUTH 150NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 080000UTC 27.8N 126.3E 75NM 70%
MOVE NE 11KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 081200UTC 30.6N 129.5E 100NM 70%
MOVE NE 20KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 091200UTC 37.7N 135.1E 170NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 071200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 071200UTC 26.5N 124.2E FAIR
MOVE NE 15KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 250NM SOUTH 150NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 081200UTC 30.6N 129.5E 100NM 70%
MOVE NE 20KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 091200UTC 37.7N 135.1E 170NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 071200
WARNING 071200.
WARNING VALID 081200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2109 LUPIT (2109) 994 HPA
AT 26.5N 124.2E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 080000UTC AT 27.8N 126.3E WITH 75 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 081200UTC AT 30.6N 129.5E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 37.7N 135.1E WITH 170 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 071045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 070900 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION LUPIT (2109) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO SIX POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (26.2 N)
ONE TWO THREE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (123.2 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 15 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080900 UTC
THREE ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (30.6 N)
ONE TWO EIGHT POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (128.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090900 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 070900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 070900UTC 26.0N 123.2E FAIR
MOVE ENE 18KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 250NM SOUTH 150NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 072100UTC 28.0N 125.7E 45NM 70%
MOVE NE 15KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 080900UTC 30.6N 128.5E 65NM 70%
MOVE NE 18KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 090600UTC 36.9N 133.7E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 22KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 100600UTC 39.6N 141.2E 180NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 070900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 070900UTC 26.0N 123.2E FAIR
MOVE ENE 18KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 250NM SOUTH 150NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 080900UTC 30.6N 128.5E 65NM 70%
MOVE NE 18KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 090600UTC 36.9N 133.7E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 22KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 100600UTC 39.6N 141.2E 180NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 070900
WARNING ATCG MIL 13W NWP 210807074151
2021080706 13W LUPIT 019 03 065 21 SATL RADR SYNP 015
T000 256N 1228E 035 R034 040 NE QD 155 SE QD 080 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 272N 1257E 040 R034 090 NE QD 200 SE QD 200 SW QD 030 NW QD
T024 296N 1286E 045 R034 120 NE QD 220 SE QD 130 SW QD 060 NW QD
T036 327N 1317E 045 R034 170 NE QD 280 SE QD 150 SW QD 130 NW QD
T048 359N 1348E 045 R034 250 NE QD 270 SE QD 160 SW QD 240 NW QD
T072 401N 1421E 040 R034 270 NE QD 200 SE QD 240 SW QD 250 NW QD
T096 430N 1520E 040 R034 290 NE QD 160 SE QD 210 SW QD 200 NW QD
AMP
072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
096HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 019
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 019
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
070600Z --- NEAR 25.6N 122.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 21 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.6N 122.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 27.2N 125.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 29.6N 128.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 32.7N 131.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 35.9N 134.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 40.1N 142.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 43.0N 152.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
070900Z POSITION NEAR 26.0N 123.5E.
07AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 77 NM
EAST-NORTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD
AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 070600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z, 072100Z,
080300Z AND 080900Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 14W (MIRINAE) WARNINGS
1321080118 207N1087E 15
1321080200 207N1096E 15
1321080206 207N1104E 15
1321080212 210N1117E 20
1321080218 211N1130E 25
1321080300 213N1134E 25
1321080306 215N1138E 30
1321080312 211N1143E 30
1321080318 210N1148E 35
1321080400 213N1156E 35
1321080406 214N1159E 35
1321080412 218N1164E 35
1321080418 224N1168E 40
1321080500 231N1169E 45
1321080506 234N1170E 45
1321080512 237N1172E 40
1321080518 241N1176E 35
1321080600 245N1181E 35
1321080606 247N1189E 35
1321080612 249N1193E 35
1321080618 249N1198E 40
1321080700 247N1207E 40
1321080706 256N1228E 35
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 070900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 019//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 019
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
070600Z --- NEAR 25.6N 122.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 21 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.6N 122.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 27.2N 125.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 29.6N 128.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 32.7N 131.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 35.9N 134.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 40.1N 142.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 43.0N 152.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
070900Z POSITION NEAR 26.0N 123.5E.
07AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 77 NM
EAST-NORTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD
AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 070600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z, 072100Z,
080300Z AND 080900Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 14W (MIRINAE) WARNINGS
(WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 15W
(NIDA) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 070600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.18 FOR TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS LUPIT IS LOCATED AT 25.5N, 122.9E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND RADAR IMAGERY. POSITIONAL
ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 40KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF GOOD
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, DRY AIR AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM
TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON
THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS HAVE GATHERED AROUND THE CSC.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC
OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE
CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL
FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT JAPAN BY
FT36. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW
DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND INCREASED VWS. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 IN A STATE OF EXTRATROPICAL
TRANSITION. THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL
CYCLONE BY FT72. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 070745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 070600 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION LUPIT (2109) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (25.8
N) ONE TWO TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (122.8 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 15 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080600 UTC
TWO NINE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (29.5 N)
ONE TWO SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (127.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090600 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 070600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 070600UTC 25.5N 122.9E FAIR
MOVE ENE 16KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 250NM SOUTH 150NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 071800UTC 27.2N 125.2E 45NM 70%
MOVE NE 13KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 080600UTC 29.8N 127.7E 65NM 70%
MOVE NE 17KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 090600UTC 36.9N 133.7E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 22KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 100600UTC 39.6N 141.2E 180NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 070600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 070600UTC 25.5N 122.9E FAIR
MOVE ENE 16KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 250NM SOUTH 150NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 080600UTC 29.8N 127.7E 65NM 70%
MOVE NE 17KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 090600UTC 36.9N 133.7E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 22KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 100600UTC 39.6N 141.2E 180NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 070600
WARNING 070600.
WARNING VALID 080600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2109 LUPIT (2109) 994 HPA
AT 25.5N 122.9E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 16 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 071800UTC AT 27.2N 125.2E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 080600UTC AT 29.8N 127.7E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090600UTC AT 36.9N 133.7E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100600UTC AT 39.6N 141.2E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 070300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 070300UTC 25.1N 122.5E FAIR
MOVE E 15KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 250NM SOUTH 150NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 071500UTC 27.1N 124.5E 45NM 70%
MOVE NE 13KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 080300UTC 29.4N 127.1E 65NM 70%
MOVE NE 16KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 090000UTC 34.7N 132.4E 120NM 70%
MOVE NE 18KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
69HF 100000UTC 38.9N 139.3E 180NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 070300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 070300UTC 25.1N 122.5E FAIR
MOVE E 15KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 250NM SOUTH 150NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 080300UTC 29.4N 127.1E 65NM 70%
MOVE NE 16KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 090000UTC 34.7N 132.4E 120NM 70%
MOVE NE 18KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
69HF 100000UTC 38.9N 139.3E 180NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 070300
WARNING ATCG MIL 13W NWP 210807020054
2021080700 13W LUPIT 018 03 105 08 SATL RADR 060
T000 247N 1207E 040 R034 050 NE QD 080 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 254N 1230E 040 R034 080 NE QD 160 SE QD 130 SW QD 000 NW QD
T024 270N 1255E 045 R034 100 NE QD 220 SE QD 120 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 300N 1287E 050 R050 000 NE QD 000 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 280 SE QD 110 SW QD 100 NW QD
T048 330N 1314E 050 R050 010 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 280 SE QD 120 SW QD 190 NW QD
T072 368N 1377E 040 R034 290 NE QD 230 SE QD 200 SW QD 280 NW QD
T096 400N 1485E 040 R034 260 NE QD 110 SE QD 180 SW QD 160 NW QD
AMP
072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
096HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 018
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 018
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
070000Z --- NEAR 24.7N 120.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 105 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 24.7N 120.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 25.4N 123.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 27.0N 125.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 21 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 30.0N 128.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 33.0N 131.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 36.8N 137.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
280 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 40.0N 148.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
070300Z POSITION NEAR 24.9N 121.3E.
07AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 50 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD
AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 070900Z, 071500Z, 072100Z AND 080300Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
1321080118 207N1087E 15
1321080200 207N1096E 15
1321080206 207N1104E 15
1321080212 210N1117E 20
1321080218 211N1130E 25
1321080300 213N1134E 25
1321080306 215N1138E 30
1321080312 211N1143E 30
1321080318 210N1148E 35
1321080400 213N1156E 35
1321080406 214N1159E 35
1321080412 218N1164E 35
1321080418 224N1168E 40
1321080500 231N1169E 45
1321080506 234N1170E 45
1321080512 237N1172E 40
1321080518 241N1176E 35
1321080600 245N1181E 35
1321080606 247N1189E 35
1321080612 249N1193E 35
1321080618 249N1198E 40
1321080700 247N1207E 40
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 070300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 018//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 018
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
070000Z --- NEAR 24.7N 120.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 105 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 24.7N 120.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 25.4N 123.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 27.0N 125.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 21 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 30.0N 128.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 33.0N 131.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 36.8N 137.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
280 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 40.0N 148.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
070300Z POSITION NEAR 24.9N 121.3E.
07AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 50 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD
AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 070000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z, 071500Z, 072100Z AND
080300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 14W (MIRINAE) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 15W (NIDA) WARNINGS
(WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 070000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.17 FOR TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS LUPIT IS LOCATED AT 24.8N, 120.6E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON RADAR IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF GOOD
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EASTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS ARE SCATTERED AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI
SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL
FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT72. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON
GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND INCREASED VWS. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 IN A STATE OF EXTRATROPICAL
TRANSITION. THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL
CYCLONE BY FT72. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 070145

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 070000 UTC, TROPICAL STORM LUPIT (2109) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 992 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO FOUR POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (24.9 N) ONE TWO
ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (120.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE EAST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080000 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 070000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 070000UTC 24.8N 120.6E FAIR
MOVE E 11KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
12HF 071200UTC 26.3N 123.8E 45NM 70%
MOVE ENE 16KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 080000UTC 29.3N 126.7E 65NM 70%
MOVE NE 20KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 090000UTC 34.7N 132.4E 120NM 70%
MOVE NE 18KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
72HF 100000UTC 38.9N 139.3E 180NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 070000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 070000UTC 24.8N 120.6E FAIR
MOVE E 11KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 080000UTC 29.3N 126.7E 65NM 70%
MOVE NE 20KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 090000UTC 34.7N 132.4E 120NM 70%
MOVE NE 18KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
72HF 100000UTC 38.9N 139.3E 180NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 070000
WARNING 070000.
WARNING VALID 080000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2109 LUPIT (2109) 992 HPA
AT 24.8N 120.6E TAIWAN STRAIT MOVING EAST 11 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 071200UTC AT 26.3N 123.8E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 080000UTC AT 29.3N 126.7E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090000UTC AT 34.7N 132.4E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100000UTC AT 38.9N 139.3E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 070000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 13
NAME 2109 LUPIT
ANALYSIS
POSITION 070000UTC 25.1N 120.5E
MOVEMENT SSE 7KT
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 33KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 071200UTC 25.6N 122.5E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 33KT
24HR
POSITION 080000UTC 26.4N 124.4E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 33KT
36HR
POSITION 081200UTC 28.2N 127.0E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 35KT
48HR
POSITION 090000UTC 30.3N 129.9E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 35KT
72HR
POSITION 100000UTC 35.4N 137.0E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 35KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 062245

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 062100 UTC, TROPICAL STORM LUPIT (2109) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 992 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO FIVE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (25.1 N) ONE TWO
ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (120.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE EAST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 30 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 072100 UTC
TWO SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (27.5 N)
ONE TWO FIVE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (125.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 082100 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 062100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 062100UTC 24.6N 119.6E FAIR
MOVE E SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 072100UTC 24.6N 121.4E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 062100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 062100UTC 24.6N 119.6E FAIR
MOVE E SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 072100UTC 24.6N 121.4E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 062100
WARNING ATCG MIL 13W NWP 210806201837
2021080618 13W LUPIT 017 04 080 06 SATL RADR 060
T000 250N 1200E 040 R034 050 NE QD 080 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 252N 1218E 045 R034 040 NE QD 150 SE QD 090 SW QD 050 NW QD
T024 262N 1246E 045 R034 080 NE QD 140 SE QD 120 SW QD 030 NW QD
T036 282N 1273E 050 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 180 SE QD 100 SW QD 030 NW QD
T048 320N 1309E 050 R050 020 NE QD 050 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 230 SE QD 100 SW QD 080 NW QD
T072 365N 1366E 040 R034 230 NE QD 210 SE QD 170 SW QD 170 NW QD
T096 398N 1464E 035 R034 170 NE QD 070 SE QD 190 SW QD 190 NW QD
AMP
072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
096HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 017
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 017
04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
061800Z --- NEAR 25.0N 120.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.0N 120.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 25.2N 121.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 26.2N 124.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 28.2N 127.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 25 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 32.0N 130.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 36.5N 136.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 21 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 39.8N 146.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
062100Z POSITION NEAR 25.1N 120.5E.
06AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 82 NM
WEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 070300Z, 070900Z, 071500Z AND 072100Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
1321080118 207N1087E 15
1321080200 207N1096E 15
1321080206 207N1104E 15
1321080212 210N1117E 20
1321080218 211N1130E 25
1321080300 213N1134E 25
1321080306 215N1138E 30
1321080312 211N1143E 30
1321080318 210N1148E 35
1321080400 213N1156E 35
1321080406 214N1159E 35
1321080412 218N1164E 35
1321080418 224N1168E 40
1321080500 231N1169E 45
1321080506 234N1170E 45
1321080512 237N1172E 40
1321080518 241N1176E 35
1321080600 245N1181E 35
1321080606 247N1189E 35
1321080612 249N1193E 35
1321080618 250N1200E 40
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 062100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 017//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 017
04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
061800Z --- NEAR 25.0N 120.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.0N 120.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 25.2N 121.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 26.2N 124.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 28.2N 127.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 25 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 32.0N 130.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 36.5N 136.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 21 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 39.8N 146.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
062100Z POSITION NEAR 25.1N 120.5E.
06AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 82 NM
WEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z IS 17
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z, 070900Z, 071500Z AND 072100Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12W (TWELVE) WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 14W (MIRINAE)
WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL
STORM 15W (NIDA) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 061800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.16 FOR TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS LUPIT IS LOCATED AT 24.6N, 119.4E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 40KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
WEAK VWS AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS
INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO WEAK
STEERING FLOW.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE EASTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL
FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW
DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL.
THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 061945

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 061800 UTC, TROPICAL STORM LUPIT (2109) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO FIVE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (25.1 N) ONE ONE
NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (119.8 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE EAST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 30 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 071800 UTC
TWO SIX POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (26.3 N)
ONE TWO FOUR POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (124.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 081800 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 061800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 12
NAME 2109 LUPIT
ANALYSIS
POSITION 061800UTC 25.4N 120.2E
MOVEMENT E 2KT
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 33KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 070600UTC 25.7N 121.9E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 33KT
24HR
POSITION 071800UTC 26.0N 123.3E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 33KT
36HR
POSITION 080600UTC 27.1N 125.8E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 35KT
48HR
POSITION 081800UTC 29.4N 128.5E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 35KT
72HR
POSITION 091800UTC 34.2N 134.8E WITHIN 125NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 35KT
96HR
POSITION 101800UTC 38.5N 143.5E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 35KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 061800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 061800UTC 24.6N 119.4E FAIR
MOVE ENE SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 071800UTC 24.7N 121.3E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 061800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 061800UTC 24.6N 119.4E FAIR
MOVE ENE SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 071800UTC 24.7N 121.3E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 061800
WARNING 061800.
WARNING VALID 071800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2109 LUPIT (2109) 992 HPA
AT 24.6N 119.4E TAIWAN STRAIT MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 071800UTC AT 24.7N 121.3E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 061500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 061500UTC 24.6N 119.3E FAIR
MOVE E SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 071500UTC 24.6N 120.5E 65NM 70%
MOVE E SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 081200UTC 24.7N 121.8E 170NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 061500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 061500UTC 24.6N 119.3E FAIR
MOVE E SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 071500UTC 24.6N 120.5E 65NM 70%
MOVE E SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 081200UTC 24.7N 121.8E 170NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 061500
WARNING ATCG MIL 13W NWP 210806135706
2021080612 13W LUPIT 016 04 060 08 SATL RADR 025
T000 251N 1196E 035 R034 140 NE QD 160 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 253N 1211E 035 R034 030 NE QD 160 SE QD 060 SW QD 020 NW QD
T024 259N 1234E 035 R034 000 NE QD 140 SE QD 140 SW QD 010 NW QD
T036 274N 1263E 040 R034 070 NE QD 140 SE QD 130 SW QD 010 NW QD
T048 295N 1287E 040 R034 120 NE QD 180 SE QD 090 SW QD 010 NW QD
T072 349N 1344E 035 R034 180 NE QD 200 SE QD 080 SW QD 090 NW QD
T096 397N 1440E 035 R034 180 NE QD 130 SE QD 150 SW QD 130 NW QD
AMP
072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
096HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 016
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 016
04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
061200Z --- NEAR 25.1N 119.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.1N 119.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 25.3N 121.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 25.9N 123.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 27.4N 126.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 29.5N 128.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 34.9N 134.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 39.7N 144.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
061500Z POSITION NEAR 25.1N 120.0E.
06AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 103 NM
WEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 08
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 062100Z, 070300Z, 070900Z AND 071500Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
1321080118 207N1087E 15
1321080200 207N1096E 15
1321080206 207N1104E 15
1321080212 210N1117E 20
1321080218 211N1130E 25
1321080300 213N1134E 25
1321080306 215N1138E 30
1321080312 211N1143E 30
1321080318 210N1148E 35
1321080400 213N1156E 35
1321080406 214N1159E 35
1321080412 218N1164E 35
1321080418 224N1168E 40
1321080500 231N1169E 45
1321080506 234N1170E 45
1321080512 237N1172E 40
1321080518 241N1176E 35
1321080600 245N1181E 35
1321080606 247N1189E 35
1321080612 251N1196E 35
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 061500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 016//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 016
04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
061200Z --- NEAR 25.1N 119.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.1N 119.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 25.3N 121.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 25.9N 123.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 27.4N 126.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 29.5N 128.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 34.9N 134.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 39.7N 144.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
061500Z POSITION NEAR 25.1N 120.0E.
06AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 103 NM
WEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 08
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 062100Z, 070300Z, 070900Z AND 071500Z.
REFER TO REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W (TWELVE) (WTPN34 PGTW)
FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 14W (MIRINAE) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 15W (NIDA) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 061200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.15 FOR TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS LUPIT IS LOCATED AT 24.6N, 119.2E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS AND
LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER
THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED
ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO WEAK
STEERING FLOW. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE
CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC
OUTFLOW. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM
HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE EASTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL
FT48. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW
DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF LAND.
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT48. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 061345

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 061200 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION LUPIT (2109) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO FIVE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (25.0
N) ONE ONE NINE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (119.5 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE EAST-NORTHEAST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 071200 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (25.5 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (121.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 081200 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (28.8 N)
ONE TWO SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (127.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 091200 UTC
THREE FOUR POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (34.7 N)
ONE THREE THREE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (133.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 101200 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 061200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 11
NAME 2109 LUPIT
ANALYSIS
POSITION 061200UTC 25.1N 119.7E
MOVEMENT NE 8KT
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 33KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 070000UTC 25.1N 120.4E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 33KT
24HR
POSITION 071200UTC 25.4N 121.4E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 33KT
36HR
POSITION 080000UTC 26.3N 124.5E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 35KT
48HR
POSITION 081200UTC 28.4N 127.4E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 35KT
72HR
POSITION 091200UTC 33.1N 133.0E WITHIN 125NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 35KT
96HR
POSITION 101200UTC 37.4N 140.9E WITHIN 165NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 35KT
120HR
POSITION 111200UTC 39.6N 148.1E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 998HPA 35KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 061200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 061200UTC 24.6N 119.2E FAIR
MOVE ENE SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 300NM SOUTHWEST 150NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 071200UTC 24.6N 120.3E 100NM 70%
MOVE E SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 081200UTC 24.7N 121.8E 170NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 061200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 061200UTC 24.6N 119.2E FAIR
MOVE ENE SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 300NM SOUTHWEST 150NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 071200UTC 24.6N 120.3E 100NM 70%
MOVE E SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 081200UTC 24.7N 121.8E 170NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 061200
WARNING 061200.
WARNING VALID 071200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2109 LUPIT (2109) 992 HPA
AT 24.6N 119.2E TAIWAN STRAIT MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 071200UTC AT 24.6N 120.3E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 081200UTC AT 24.7N 121.8E WITH 170 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 061045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 060900 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION LUPIT (2109) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO FOUR POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (24.8
N) ONE ONE NINE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (119.2 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE EAST-NORTHEAST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 070900 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (25.3 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (121.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080900 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (28.0 N)
ONE TWO SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (126.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090900 UTC
THREE FOUR POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (34.1 N)
ONE THREE TWO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (132.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100900 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 060900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 060900UTC 24.5N 118.8E FAIR
MOVE ENE SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 300NM SOUTHWEST 150NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 070900UTC 24.6N 120.2E 100NM 70%
MOVE E SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 080600UTC 24.6N 121.2E 120NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 060900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 060900UTC 24.5N 118.8E FAIR
MOVE ENE SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 300NM SOUTHWEST 150NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 070900UTC 24.6N 120.2E 100NM 70%
MOVE E SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 080600UTC 24.6N 121.2E 120NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 060900
WARNING ATCG MIL 13W NWP 210806082414
2021080606 13W LUPIT 015 04 075 08 SATL RADR 020
T000 247N 1189E 035 R034 140 NE QD 160 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 250N 1198E 040 R034 070 NE QD 150 SE QD 060 SW QD 010 NW QD
T024 250N 1213E 035 R034 000 NE QD 170 SE QD 110 SW QD 030 NW QD
T036 256N 1233E 035
T048 272N 1257E 040 R034 080 NE QD 120 SE QD 080 SW QD 000 NW QD
T072 321N 1313E 040 R034 080 NE QD 140 SE QD 090 SW QD 050 NW QD
T096 367N 1399E 035 R034 120 NE QD 140 SE QD 130 SW QD 110 NW QD
T120 402N 1479E 030
AMP
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 015
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 015
04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
060600Z --- NEAR 24.7N 118.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 24.7N 118.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 25.0N 119.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 25.0N 121.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 25.6N 123.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 27.2N 125.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 32.1N 131.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 21 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 36.7N 139.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 40.2N 147.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
060900Z POSITION NEAR 24.8N 119.1E.
06AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 144 NM
WEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 08
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 061500Z, 062100Z, 070300Z AND 070900Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
1321080118 207N1087E 15
1321080200 207N1096E 15
1321080206 207N1104E 15
1321080212 210N1117E 20
1321080218 211N1130E 25
1321080300 213N1134E 25
1321080306 215N1138E 30
1321080312 211N1143E 30
1321080318 210N1148E 35
1321080400 213N1156E 35
1321080406 214N1159E 35
1321080412 218N1164E 35
1321080418 224N1168E 40
1321080500 231N1169E 45
1321080506 234N1170E 45
1321080512 237N1172E 40
1321080518 241N1176E 35
1321080600 245N1181E 35
1321080606 247N1189E 35
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 060900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 015//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 015
04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
060600Z --- NEAR 24.7N 118.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 24.7N 118.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 25.0N 119.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 25.0N 121.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 25.6N 123.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 27.2N 125.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 32.1N 131.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 21 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 36.7N 139.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 40.2N 147.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
060900Z POSITION NEAR 24.8N 119.1E.
06AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 144 NM
WEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 08
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 061500Z, 062100Z, 070300Z AND 070900Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W (TWELVE) WARNING (WTPN34 PGTW)
FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 14W (MIRINAE) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 15W (NIDA) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 060600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.14 FOR TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS LUPIT IS LOCATED AT 24.4N, 118.6E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS AND
LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER
THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED
ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SEPARATION OF ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC.
GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE
CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE EASTWARD UNTIL FT48. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG
NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT48. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 060600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 10
NAME 2109 LUPIT
ANALYSIS
POSITION 060600UTC 24.7N 118.8E
MOVEMENT ENE 8KT
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 33KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 061800UTC 24.8N 119.4E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 33KT
24HR
POSITION 070600UTC 25.0N 120.4E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 33KT
36HR
POSITION 071800UTC 25.9N 122.5E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 33KT
48HR
POSITION 080600UTC 27.4N 124.5E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 35KT
72HR
POSITION 090600UTC 31.3N 129.5E WITHIN 125NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 35KT
96HR
POSITION 100600UTC 34.9N 135.5E WITHIN 165NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 35KT
120HR
POSITION 110600UTC 38.1N 143.7E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 998HPA 37KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 060600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 060600UTC 24.4N 118.6E FAIR
MOVE E SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 300NM SOUTHWEST 150NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 070600UTC 24.6N 119.8E 65NM 70%
MOVE E SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 080600UTC 24.6N 121.2E 120NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 060600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 060600UTC 24.4N 118.6E FAIR
MOVE E SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 300NM SOUTHWEST 150NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 070600UTC 24.6N 119.8E 65NM 70%
MOVE E SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 080600UTC 24.6N 121.2E 120NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 060600
WARNING 060600.
WARNING VALID 070600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2109 LUPIT (2109) 992 HPA
AT 24.4N 118.6E TAIWAN STRAIT MOVING EAST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 070600UTC AT 24.6N 119.8E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 080600UTC AT 24.6N 121.2E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 060300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 060300UTC 24.2N 118.4E FAIR
MOVE E SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 300NM SOUTHWEST 150NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 070300UTC 25.0N 119.1E 65NM 70%
MOVE NE SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 080000UTC 25.4N 119.9E 120NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 060300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 060300UTC 24.2N 118.4E FAIR
MOVE E SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 300NM SOUTHWEST 150NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 070300UTC 25.0N 119.1E 65NM 70%
MOVE NE SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 080000UTC 25.4N 119.9E 120NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 060000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.13 FOR TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS LUPIT IS LOCATED AT 24.2N, 118.1E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS AND
LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER
THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED
ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO WEAK
STEERING FLOW. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SEPARATION OF ACTIVE
CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN ALMOST STATIONARY UNTIL FT48. THE TRACK
FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP
MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT
DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT48. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 060145 CCA

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 060000 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION LUPIT (2109) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO FOUR POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (24.4
N) ONE ONE EIGHT POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (118.2 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 070000 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (25.2 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (119.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080000 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (25.8 N)
ONE TWO THREE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (123.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090000 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (28.4 N)
ONE TWO SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (127.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100000 UTC
THREE THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (33.0 N)
ONE THREE TWO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (132.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110000 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 060300
WARNING ATCG MIL 13W NWP 210806014245
2021080600 13W LUPIT 014 04 050 06 SATL RADR 040
T000 245N 1181E 035 R034 090 NE QD 095 SE QD 095 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 249N 1187E 035 R034 070 NE QD 150 SE QD 070 SW QD 000 NW QD
T024 250N 1196E 030
T036 251N 1209E 030
T048 256N 1224E 035 R034 040 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 010 NW QD
T072 288N 1262E 045 R034 110 NE QD 160 SE QD 130 SW QD 000 NW QD
T096 327N 1316E 040 R034 130 NE QD 160 SE QD 100 SW QD 050 NW QD
T120 364N 1386E 035 R034 200 NE QD 110 SE QD 070 SW QD 200 NW QD
AMP
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 014
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 014
04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
060000Z --- NEAR 24.5N 118.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 24.5N 118.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 24.9N 118.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 25.0N 119.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 25.1N 120.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 25.6N 122.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 28.8N 126.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 32.7N 131.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 36.4N 138.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
060300Z POSITION NEAR 24.6N 118.2E.
06AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
798 NM SOUTHWEST OF SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD
AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z, 061500Z,
062100Z AND 070300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W (TWELVE)
FINAL SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
1321080118 207N1087E 15
1321080200 207N1096E 15
1321080206 207N1104E 15
1321080212 210N1117E 20
1321080218 211N1130E 25
1321080300 213N1134E 25
1321080306 215N1138E 30
1321080312 211N1143E 30
1321080318 210N1148E 35
1321080400 213N1156E 35
1321080406 214N1159E 35
1321080412 218N1164E 35
1321080418 224N1168E 40
1321080500 231N1169E 45
1321080506 234N1170E 45
1321080512 237N1172E 40
1321080518 241N1176E 35
1321080600 245N1181E 35
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 060000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 9
NAME 2109 LUPIT
ANALYSIS
POSITION 060000UTC 24.5N 118.1E
MOVEMENT ENE 11KT
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 33KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 061200UTC 24.9N 118.3E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 33KT
24HR
POSITION 070000UTC 25.2N 118.8E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 33KT
36HR
POSITION 071200UTC 25.5N 119.5E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 33KT
48HR
POSITION 080000UTC 26.0N 121.1E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 35KT
72HR
POSITION 090000UTC 28.0N 124.6E WITHIN 125NM
PRES/VMAX 998HPA 35KT
96HR
POSITION 100000UTC 32.0N 129.5E WITHIN 165NM
PRES/VMAX 998HPA 35KT
120HR
POSITION 110000UTC 37.5N 137.9E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 998HPA 35KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 060000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 060000UTC 24.2N 118.1E FAIR
MOVE ENE SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 070000UTC 24.9N 119.0E 65NM 70%
MOVE NE SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 080000UTC 25.4N 119.9E 120NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 060000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 060000UTC 24.2N 118.1E FAIR
MOVE ENE SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 070000UTC 24.9N 119.0E 65NM 70%
MOVE NE SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 080000UTC 25.4N 119.9E 120NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 060000
WARNING 060000.
WARNING VALID 070000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2109 LUPIT (2109) 992 HPA
AT 24.2N 118.1E TAIWAN STRAIT MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 070000UTC AT 24.9N 119.0E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 080000UTC AT 25.4N 119.9E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 052100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 052100UTC 24.2N 117.7E FAIR
MOVE ENE SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 062100UTC 25.2N 118.9E 65NM 70%
MOVE NE SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 071800UTC 25.4N 121.1E 120NM 70%
MOVE E 06KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
69HF 081800UTC 27.2N 122.8E 180NM 70%
MOVE NE 06KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
93HF 091800UTC 30.5N 126.6E 260NM 70%
MOVE NE 12KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
117HF 101800UTC 35.9N 134.2E 360NM 70%
MOVE NE 21KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 052100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 052100UTC 24.2N 117.7E FAIR
MOVE ENE SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 062100UTC 25.2N 118.9E 65NM 70%
MOVE NE SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 071800UTC 25.4N 121.1E 120NM 70%
MOVE E 06KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
69HF 081800UTC 27.2N 122.8E 180NM 70%
MOVE NE 06KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 052100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 013//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 013
04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
051800Z --- NEAR 24.0N 117.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 24.0N 117.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 24.3N 117.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 24.7N 118.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 24.9N 119.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 25.4N 121.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 27.5N 124.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 31.2N 129.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 35.7N 135.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
052100Z POSITION NEAR 24.1N 117.3E.
05AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 850 NM SOUTHWEST OF SASEBO, JAPAN,
HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
051800Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z, 060900Z,
061500Z AND 062100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W
(TWELVE) WARNINGS(WTPN34 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 14W (MIRINAE) WARNINGS (WTPN31
PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM
15W (NIDA) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 051800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.12 FOR TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS LUPIT IS LOCATED ON LAND AT 24.0N, 117.5E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
992HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 40KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF WEAK VWS AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO WEAK
STEERING FLOW. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SHORTENING OF A BAND WITH
CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW
UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH
UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR
UNTIL FT24 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG
NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF LAND.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH WEAK VWS AND DRY AIR. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 051800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 8
NAME 2109 LUPIT
ANALYSIS
POSITION 051800UTC 24.1N 117.2E
MOVEMENT W 2KT
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 35KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 060600UTC 24.6N 117.5E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 33KT
24HR
POSITION 061800UTC 24.9N 118.0E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 33KT
36HR
POSITION 070600UTC 25.2N 119.0E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 33KT
48HR
POSITION 071800UTC 25.9N 120.4E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 35KT
72HR
POSITION 081800UTC 27.4N 123.4E WITHIN 125NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 35KT
96HR
POSITION 091800UTC 30.9N 127.7E WITHIN 165NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 35KT
120HR
POSITION 101800UTC 35.9N 135.0E WITHIN 230NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 33KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 051800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 051800UTC 24.0N 117.5E FAIR
MOVE ENE SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 061800UTC 25.2N 118.6E 50NM 70%
MOVE NE SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 071800UTC 25.4N 121.1E 120NM 70%
MOVE E 06KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 081800UTC 27.2N 122.8E 180NM 70%
MOVE NE 06KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
96HF 091800UTC 30.5N 126.6E 260NM 70%
MOVE NE 12KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
120HF 101800UTC 35.9N 134.2E 360NM 70%
MOVE NE 21KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 051800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 051800UTC 24.0N 117.5E FAIR
MOVE ENE SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 061800UTC 25.2N 118.6E 50NM 70%
MOVE NE SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 071800UTC 25.4N 121.1E 120NM 70%
MOVE E 06KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 081800UTC 27.2N 122.8E 180NM 70%
MOVE NE 06KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 051800
WARNING 051800.
WARNING VALID 061800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2109 LUPIT (2109) 992 HPA
AT 24.0N 117.5E SOUTH CHINA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 061800UTC AT 25.2N 118.6E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 071800UTC AT 25.4N 121.1E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 081800UTC AT 27.2N 122.8E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091800UTC AT 30.5N 126.6E WITH 260 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101800UTC AT 35.9N 134.2E WITH 360 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 051645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 051500 UTC, TROPICAL STORM LUPIT (2109) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO THREE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (23.9 N) ONE
ONE SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (117.3 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 061500 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (24.7 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (117.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 071500 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (25.3 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (120.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 081500 UTC
TWO SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (27.2 N)
ONE TWO FOUR POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (124.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 091500 UTC
THREE ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (30.8 N)
ONE TWO EIGHT POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (128.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 101500 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 051500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 051500UTC 23.8N 117.2E FAIR
MOVE NE SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 061500UTC 24.7N 117.8E 65NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 071200UTC 25.5N 120.2E 120NM 70%
MOVE ENE 06KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
69HF 081200UTC 26.5N 122.8E 180NM 70%
MOVE ENE 06KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
93HF 091200UTC 29.2N 126.6E 260NM 70%
MOVE NE 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
117HF 101200UTC 34.8N 133.6E 360NM 70%
MOVE NE 20KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 051500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 051500UTC 23.8N 117.2E FAIR
MOVE NE SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 061500UTC 24.7N 117.8E 65NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 071200UTC 25.5N 120.2E 120NM 70%
MOVE ENE 06KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
69HF 081200UTC 26.5N 122.8E 180NM 70%
MOVE ENE 06KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 051500
WARNING ATCG MIL 13W NWP 210805142441
2021080512 13W LUPIT 012 04 040 04 SATL 060
T000 237N 1172E 040 R034 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 241N 1175E 035 R034 040 NE QD 120 SE QD 110 SW QD 000 NW QD
T024 245N 1180E 030
T036 247N 1191E 030
T048 249N 1204E 035 R034 040 NE QD 180 SE QD 090 SW QD 010 NW QD
T072 265N 1231E 040 R034 060 NE QD 090 SE QD 040 SW QD 000 NW QD
T096 299N 1277E 045 R034 080 NE QD 140 SE QD 080 SW QD 030 NW QD
T120 345N 1341E 050 R050 000 NE QD 080 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 170 SE QD 110 SW QD 080 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 012
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 012
04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
051200Z --- NEAR 23.7N 117.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.7N 117.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 24.1N 117.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 24.5N 118.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 24.7N 119.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 24.9N 120.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 26.5N 123.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 29.9N 127.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 34.5N 134.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
051500Z POSITION NEAR 23.8N 117.3E.
05AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 04
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 052100Z, 060300Z, 060900Z AND 061500Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
1321080118 207N1087E 15
1321080200 207N1096E 15
1321080206 207N1104E 15
1321080212 210N1117E 20
1321080218 211N1130E 25
1321080300 213N1134E 25
1321080306 215N1138E 30
1321080312 211N1143E 30
1321080318 210N1148E 35
1321080400 213N1156E 35
1321080406 214N1159E 35
1321080412 218N1164E 35
1321080418 224N1168E 40
1321080500 231N1169E 45
1321080506 234N1169E 45
1321080512 237N1172E 40
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 051500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 012 //
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 012
04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
051200Z --- NEAR 23.7N 117.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.7N 117.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 24.1N 117.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 24.5N 118.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 24.7N 119.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 24.9N 120.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 26.5N 123.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 29.9N 127.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 34.5N 134.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
051500Z POSITION NEAR 23.8N 117.3E.
05AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 04
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 052100Z, 060300Z, 060900Z AND 061500Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W (TWELVE) WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 14W (MIRINAE) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 15W (NIDA) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 051200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.11 FOR TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS LUPIT IS LOCATED ON LAND AT 23.9N, 117.2E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
990HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A
NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF WEAK
VWS AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY
OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS
BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING
FLOW. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SHORTENING OF A BAND WITH CURVATURE
SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS
OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. GPM/GMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS
THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN ALMOST STATIONARY DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW
UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH
UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW
DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH WEAK VWS AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND DRY AIR. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS
BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 050900
WARNING ATCG MIL 13W NWP 210805083305
2021080506 13W LUPIT 011 04 360 03 SATL RADR 020
T000 234N 1169E 045 R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 241N 1172E 040 R034 020 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 000 NW QD
T024 245N 1175E 035 R034 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 000 NW QD
T036 248N 1179E 030
T048 252N 1186E 030
T072 264N 1216E 035 R034 070 NE QD 120 SE QD 120 SW QD 000 NW QD
T096 289N 1258E 045 R034 080 NE QD 160 SE QD 080 SW QD 040 NW QD
T120 337N 1321E 045 R034 160 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 100 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 011
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 011
04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
050600Z --- NEAR 23.4N 116.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.4N 116.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 24.1N 117.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 24.5N 117.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 24.8N 117.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 25.2N 118.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 26.4N 121.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 28.9N 125.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 33.7N 132.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
050900Z POSITION NEAR 23.6N 117.0E.
05AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 272 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 03
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 051500Z, 052100Z, 060300Z AND 060900Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
1321080118 207N1087E 15
1321080200 207N1096E 15
1321080206 207N1104E 15
1321080212 210N1117E 20
1321080218 211N1130E 25
1321080300 213N1134E 25
1321080306 215N1138E 30
1321080312 211N1143E 30
1321080318 210N1148E 35
1321080400 213N1156E 35
1321080406 214N1159E 35
1321080412 218N1164E 35
1321080418 224N1168E 40
1321080500 231N1169E 45
1321080506 234N1169E 45
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 051345

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 051200 UTC, TROPICAL STORM LUPIT (2109) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (23.8 N) ONE
ONE SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (117.3 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 061200 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (24.6 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (117.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 071200 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (25.2 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (119.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 081200 UTC
TWO SIX POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (26.9 N)
ONE TWO THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (123.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 091200 UTC
THREE ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (30.2 N)
ONE TWO EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (128.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 101200 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 051200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 7
NAME 2109 LUPIT
ANALYSIS
POSITION 051200UTC 24.0N 117.2E
MOVEMENT NNE 7KT
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 35KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 060000UTC 24.3N 117.4E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 35KT
24HR
POSITION 061200UTC 24.8N 117.7E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 33KT
36HR
POSITION 070000UTC 25.1N 118.2E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 33KT
48HR
POSITION 071200UTC 25.9N 119.2E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 33KT
72HR
POSITION 081200UTC 27.3N 122.3E WITHIN 125NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 35KT
96HR
POSITION 091200UTC 30.3N 126.7E WITHIN 165NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 37KT
120HR
POSITION 101200UTC 34.8N 133.0E WITHIN 230NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 37KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 051200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 051200UTC 23.9N 117.2E FAIR
MOVE NE SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 061200UTC 24.7N 117.6E 65NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 071200UTC 25.5N 120.2E 120NM 70%
MOVE ENE 06KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
72HF 081200UTC 26.5N 122.8E 180NM 70%
MOVE ENE 06KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
96HF 091200UTC 29.2N 126.6E 260NM 70%
MOVE NE 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
120HF 101200UTC 34.8N 133.6E 360NM 70%
MOVE NE 20KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 051200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 051200UTC 23.9N 117.2E FAIR
MOVE NE SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 061200UTC 24.7N 117.6E 65NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 071200UTC 25.5N 120.2E 120NM 70%
MOVE ENE 06KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
72HF 081200UTC 26.5N 122.8E 180NM 70%
MOVE ENE 06KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 051200
WARNING 051200.
WARNING VALID 061200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2109 LUPIT (2109) 990 HPA
AT 23.9N 117.2E SOUTH CHINA MOVING NORTHEAST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 061200UTC AT 24.7N 117.6E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 071200UTC AT 25.5N 120.2E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 081200UTC AT 26.5N 122.8E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 29.2N 126.6E WITH 260 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 34.8N 133.6E WITH 360 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 051045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 050900 UTC, TROPICAL STORM LUPIT (2109) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 986 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO THREE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (23.6 N) ONE ONE
SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (117.2 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTH SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 060900 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (24.5 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (117.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 070900 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (25.2 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (119.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080900 UTC
TWO SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (26.6 N)
ONE TWO THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (123.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090900 UTC
TWO NINE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (29.6 N)
ONE TWO SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (127.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100900 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 050900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 050900UTC 23.8N 116.7E FAIR
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 060900UTC 24.7N 117.2E 65NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 070600UTC 25.4N 118.4E 120NM 70%
MOVE ENE SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
69HF 080600UTC 26.7N 120.8E 180NM 70%
MOVE ENE 06KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
93HF 090600UTC 29.0N 124.2E 260NM 70%
MOVE NE 09KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
117HF 100600UTC 34.7N 131.3E 360NM 70%
MOVE NE 21KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 050900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 050900UTC 23.8N 116.7E FAIR
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 060900UTC 24.7N 117.2E 65NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 070600UTC 25.4N 118.4E 120NM 70%
MOVE ENE SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
69HF 080600UTC 26.7N 120.8E 180NM 70%
MOVE ENE 06KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 050900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 011//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 011
04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
050600Z --- NEAR 23.4N 116.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.4N 116.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 24.1N 117.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 24.5N 117.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 24.8N 117.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 25.2N 118.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 26.4N 121.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 28.9N 125.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 33.7N 132.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
050900Z POSITION NEAR 23.6N 117.0E.
05AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 272 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 03
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
050600Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z, 052100Z, 060300Z AND
060900Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W (TWELVE) WARNINGS (WTPN34
PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W
(MIRINAE) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 15W (NIDA) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 050600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.10 FOR TS 2109 LUPIT (2109)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS LUPIT IS LOCATED ON LAND AT 23.6N, 116.8E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
990HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 40KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF WEAK VWS AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS
GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE
CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY
ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST
IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS.
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES
AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH WEAK VWS AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF
GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 050745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 050600 UTC, TROPICAL STORM LUPIT (2109) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (23.4 N) ONE
ONE SIX POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (116.9 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE NORTH SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 060600 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (24.3 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (116.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 070600 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (25.2 N)
ONE ONE EIGHT POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (118.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080600 UTC
TWO SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (26.5 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (121.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090600 UTC
TWO NINE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (29.1 N)
ONE TWO FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (125.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100600 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 050600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 6
NAME 2109 LUPIT
ANALYSIS
POSITION 050600UTC 23.5N 117.0E
MOVEMENT NNE 6KT
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 41KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 051800UTC 24.1N 117.3E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 35KT
24HR
POSITION 060600UTC 24.8N 117.8E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 33KT
36HR
POSITION 061800UTC 25.4N 118.5E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 33KT
48HR
POSITION 070600UTC 25.9N 119.4E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 33KT
72HR
POSITION 080600UTC 27.1N 121.7E WITHIN 125NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 35KT
96HR
POSITION 090600UTC 29.3N 125.2E WITHIN 165NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 37KT
120HR
POSITION 100600UTC 33.2N 130.0E WITHIN 230NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 39KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 050600
WARNING 050600.
WARNING VALID 060600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2109 LUPIT (2109) 990 HPA
AT 23.6N 116.8E SOUTH CHINA MOVING NORTH 08 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 060600UTC AT 24.6N 117.0E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 070600UTC AT 25.4N 118.4E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 080600UTC AT 26.7N 120.8E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090600UTC AT 29.0N 124.2E WITH 260 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100600UTC AT 34.7N 131.3E WITH 360 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 050445

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 050300 UTC, TROPICAL STORM LUPIT (2109) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO THREE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (23.3 N) ONE
ONE SIX POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (116.9 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 060300 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (24.2 N)
ONE ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (115.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 070300 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (24.7 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (117.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080300 UTC
TWO SIX POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (26.2 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (119.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090300 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (28.4 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (122.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100300 UTC
THREE TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (32.7 N)
ONE TWO SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (127.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 050300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 010//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 010
04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
050000Z --- NEAR 23.1N 116.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 005 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.1N 116.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 23.8N 116.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 24.3N 117.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 24.7N 117.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 25.1N 117.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 26.2N 119.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
050300Z POSITION NEAR 23.3N 116.9E.
05AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
157 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD
AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050900Z,
051500Z, 052100Z AND 060300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W
(TWELVE) WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (FOURTEEN) WARNINGS (WTPN31
PGTW)FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 15W
(FIFTEEN) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 050145

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 050000 UTC, TROPICAL STORM LUPIT (2109) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO THREE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (23.1 N) ONE ONE
SIX POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (116.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 060000 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (24.2 N)
ONE ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (115.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 070000 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (24.6 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (116.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080000 UTC
TWO SIX POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (26.1 N)
ONE ONE EIGHT POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (118.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090000 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (28.0 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (122.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100000 UTC
THREE TWO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (32.1 N)
ONE TWO SIX POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (126.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 050000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 5
NAME 2109 LUPIT
ANALYSIS
POSITION 050000UTC 22.9N 116.9E
MOVEMENT N 4KT
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 41KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 051200UTC 23.8N 117.2E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 37KT
24HR
POSITION 060000UTC 24.4N 117.6E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 35KT
36HR
POSITION 061200UTC 25.1N 118.3E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 35KT
48HR
POSITION 070000UTC 25.7N 119.0E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 35KT
72HR
POSITION 080000UTC 26.8N 121.0E WITHIN 125NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 37KT
96HR
POSITION 090000UTC 28.3N 123.9E WITHIN 165NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 37KT
120HR
POSITION 100000UTC 32.8N 128.5E WITHIN 230NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 39KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 042245

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 042100 UTC, TROPICAL STORM LUPIT (2109) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (22.8 N) ONE ONE
SIX POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (116.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 052100 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (24.1 N)
ONE ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (115.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 062100 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (24.5 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (116.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 072100 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (25.9 N)
ONE ONE EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (118.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 082100 UTC
TWO SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (27.7 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (121.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 092100 UTC
THREE ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (31.5 N)
ONE TWO SIX POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (126.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 042000
WARNING ATCG MIL 13W NWP 210804192836
2021080418 13W LUPIT 009 03 030 07 SATL RADR SYNP 030
T000 224N 1168E 040 R034 000 NE QD 085 SE QD 055 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 234N 1171E 040 R034 040 NE QD 110 SE QD 110 SW QD 060 NW QD
T024 240N 1172E 035 R034 050 NE QD 150 SE QD 100 SW QD 000 NW QD
T036 245N 1175E 030
T048 250N 1180E 025
T072 259N 1199E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 009
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 009
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
041800Z --- NEAR 22.4N 116.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.4N 116.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 23.4N 117.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 24.0N 117.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 24.5N 117.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 25.0N 118.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 25.9N 119.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
042100Z POSITION NEAR 22.7N 116.9E.
04AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 305 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 041800Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z, 050900Z,
051500Z AND 052100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (FOURTEEN)
UPDATES.//
1321080118 207N1087E 15
1321080200 207N1096E 15
1321080206 207N1104E 15
1321080212 210N1117E 20
1321080218 211N1130E 25
1321080300 213N1134E 25
1321080306 215N1138E 30
1321080312 211N1143E 30
1321080318 210N1148E 35
1321080400 213N1156E 35
1321080406 214N1159E 35
1321080412 218N1164E 35
1321080418 224N1168E 40
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 042000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 009//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 009
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
041800Z --- NEAR 22.4N 116.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.4N 116.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 23.4N 117.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 24.0N 117.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 24.5N 117.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 25.0N 118.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 25.9N 119.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
042100Z POSITION NEAR 22.7N 116.9E.
04AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 305 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 041800Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z, 050900Z,
051500Z AND 052100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (FOURTEEN)
WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL
DEPRESSION 15W (FIFTEEN) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 042100
WARNING ATCG MIL 13W NWP 210804192836
2021080418 13W LUPIT 009 03 030 07 SATL RADR SYNP 030
T000 224N 1168E 040 R034 000 NE QD 085 SE QD 055 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 234N 1171E 040 R034 040 NE QD 110 SE QD 110 SW QD 060 NW QD
T024 240N 1172E 035 R034 050 NE QD 150 SE QD 100 SW QD 000 NW QD
T036 245N 1175E 030
T048 250N 1180E 025
T072 259N 1199E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 009
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 009
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
041800Z --- NEAR 22.4N 116.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.4N 116.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 23.4N 117.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 24.0N 117.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 24.5N 117.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 25.0N 118.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 25.9N 119.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
042100Z POSITION NEAR 22.7N 116.9E.
04AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 305 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 041800Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z, 050900Z,
051500Z AND 052100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (FOURTEEN)
UPDATES.//
1321080118 207N1087E 15
1321080200 207N1096E 15
1321080206 207N1104E 15
1321080212 210N1117E 20
1321080218 211N1130E 25
1321080300 213N1134E 25
1321080306 215N1138E 30
1321080312 211N1143E 30
1321080318 210N1148E 35
1321080400 213N1156E 35
1321080406 214N1159E 35
1321080412 218N1164E 35
1321080418 224N1168E 40
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 042100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 009//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 009
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
041800Z --- NEAR 22.4N 116.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.4N 116.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 23.4N 117.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 24.0N 117.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 24.5N 117.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 25.0N 118.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 25.9N 119.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
042100Z POSITION NEAR 22.7N 116.9E.
04AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 305 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 041800Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z, 050900Z,
051500Z AND 052100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (FOURTEEN)
WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL
DEPRESSION 15W (FIFTEEN) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 041945

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 041800 UTC, TROPICAL STORM LUPIT (2109) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (22.4 N) ONE ONE
SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (116.8 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051800 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (24.0 N)
ONE ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (115.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 061800 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (24.4 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (116.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 071800 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (25.7 N)
ONE ONE EIGHT POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (118.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 081800 UTC
TWO SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (27.3 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (121.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 091800 UTC
THREE ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (30.9 N)
ONE TWO FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (125.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 041800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 4
NAME 2109 LUPIT
ANALYSIS
POSITION 041800UTC 22.4N 116.9E
MOVEMENT NNE 5KT
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 41KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 050600UTC 23.3N 117.2E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 41KT
24HR
POSITION 051800UTC 24.0N 117.5E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 37KT
36HR
POSITION 060600UTC 24.6N 118.1E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 37KT
48HR
POSITION 061800UTC 25.3N 118.8E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 37KT
72HR
POSITION 071800UTC 26.4N 120.4E WITHIN 125NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 41KT
96HR
POSITION 081800UTC 28.0N 123.4E WITHIN 165NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 45KT
120HR
POSITION 091800UTC 31.1N 128.4E WITHIN 230NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 45KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 041645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 041500 UTC, TROPICAL STORM LUPIT (2109) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (22.0 N) ONE ONE
SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (116.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTHEAST OR NORTH-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051500 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (24.1 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (117.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 061500 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (24.8 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (117.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 071500 UTC
TWO SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (26.0 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (119.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 081500 UTC
TWO SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (26.8 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (122.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 091500 UTC
THREE ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (30.7 N)
ONE TWO SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (127.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 041500
WARNING ATCG MIL 13W NWP 210804131715
2021080412 13W LUPIT 008 04 050 05 SATL RADR SYNP 020
T000 217N 1163E 035 R034 000 NE QD 110 SE QD 040 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 227N 1169E 035 R034 020 NE QD 120 SE QD 100 SW QD 000 NW QD
T024 235N 1172E 035 R034 010 NE QD 120 SE QD 060 SW QD 000 NW QD
T036 240N 1174E 030
T048 247N 1179E 030
T072 259N 1195E 025
T096 281N 1208E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 008
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 008
04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
041200Z --- NEAR 21.7N 116.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.7N 116.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 22.7N 116.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 23.5N 117.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 24.0N 117.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 24.7N 117.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 25.9N 119.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 28.1N 120.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
041500Z POSITION NEAR 22.0N 116.4E.
04AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 122 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z
IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042100Z, 050300Z, 050900Z AND 051500Z.
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (FOURTEEN)
1321080118 207N1087E 15
1321080200 207N1096E 15
1321080206 207N1104E 15
1321080212 210N1117E 20
1321080218 211N1130E 25
1321080300 213N1134E 25
1321080306 215N1138E 30
1321080312 211N1143E 30
1321080318 210N1148E 35
1321080400 213N1156E 35
1321080406 214N1159E 35
1321080412 217N1163E 35
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 041500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 008//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 008
04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
041200Z --- NEAR 21.7N 116.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.7N 116.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 22.7N 116.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 23.5N 117.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 24.0N 117.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 24.7N 117.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 25.9N 119.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 28.1N 120.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
041500Z POSITION NEAR 22.0N 116.4E.
04AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 122 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z
IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042100Z, 050300Z, 050900Z AND 051500Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12W (TWELVE) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (FOURTEEN)
WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL
CYCLONE 15W (FIFTEEN) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 041345

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 041200 UTC, TROPICAL STORM LUPIT (2109) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO ONE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (21.7 N) ONE ONE
SIX POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (116.2 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTHEAST OR NORTH-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051200 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (24.1 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (117.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 061200 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (24.8 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (117.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 071200 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (25.8 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (119.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 081200 UTC
TWO SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (26.8 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (122.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 091200 UTC
TWO NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (29.8 N)
ONE TWO SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (126.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 041200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 3
NAME 2109 LUPIT
ANALYSIS
POSITION 041200UTC 21.7N 116.2E
MOVEMENT ENE 11KT
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 41KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 050000UTC 22.9N 116.8E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 41KT
24HR
POSITION 051200UTC 23.6N 117.3E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 39KT
36HR
POSITION 060000UTC 24.3N 117.9E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 37KT
48HR
POSITION 061200UTC 25.2N 118.9E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 37KT
72HR
POSITION 071200UTC 27.0N 121.4E WITHIN 125NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 39KT
96HR
POSITION 081200UTC 28.8N 124.8E WITHIN 165NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 45KT
120HR
POSITION 091200UTC 30.5N 127.6E WITHIN 230NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 45KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 040900
WARNING ATCG MIL 13W NWP 210804073610
2021080406 13W LUPIT 007 03 070 03 SATL RADR SYNP 015
T000 214N 1159E 035 R034 025 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 224N 1169E 035 R034 020 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 000 NW QD
T024 234N 1172E 035 R034 020 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 010 NW QD
T036 241N 1173E 030
T048 247N 1177E 030
T072 257N 1191E 025
T096 272N 1204E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 007
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 007
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
040600Z --- NEAR 21.4N 115.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.4N 115.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 22.4N 116.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 23.4N 117.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 24.1N 117.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 24.7N 117.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 25.7N 119.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 27.2N 120.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
040900Z POSITION NEAR 21.7N 116.2E.
04AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 109 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 03
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
040600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z, 042100Z, 050300Z AND
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (FOURTEEN)
1321080118 207N1087E 15
1321080200 207N1096E 15
1321080206 207N1104E 15
1321080212 210N1117E 20
1321080218 211N1130E 25
1321080300 213N1134E 25
1321080306 215N1138E 30
1321080312 211N1143E 30
1321080318 210N1148E 35
1321080400 213N1156E 35
1321080406 214N1159E 35
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 040900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 007//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 007
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
040600Z --- NEAR 21.4N 115.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.4N 115.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 22.4N 116.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 23.4N 117.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 24.1N 117.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 24.7N 117.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 25.7N 119.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 27.2N 120.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
040900Z POSITION NEAR 21.7N 116.2E.
04AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 109 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 03
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
040600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z, 042100Z, 050300Z AND
050900Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12W (TWELVE) WARNINGS (WTPN31
PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W
(FOURTEEN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 040600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 2
NAME 2109 LUPIT
ANALYSIS
POSITION 040600UTC 21.5N 115.6E
MOVEMENT NNE 4KT
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 35KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 041800UTC 22.3N 116.2E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 37KT
24HR
POSITION 050600UTC 23.2N 116.9E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 37KT
36HR
POSITION 051800UTC 23.9N 117.6E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 37KT
48HR
POSITION 060600UTC 24.8N 118.5E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 37KT
72HR
POSITION 070600UTC 26.6N 120.7E WITHIN 125NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 35KT
96HR
POSITION 080600UTC 28.3N 123.9E WITHIN 165NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 37KT
120HR
POSITION 090600UTC 30.2N 127.1E WITHIN 230NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 39KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 040300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 006
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
040000Z --- NEAR 21.3N 115.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.3N 115.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 22.0N 116.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 22.8N 117.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 24.1N 117.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 24.8N 117.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 26.2N 119.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 27.7N 122.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 30.4N 125.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
040300Z POSITION NEAR 21.5N 115.9E.
04AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 98
NM SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 08
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
040000Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z, 041500Z, 042100Z AND
050300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12W (TWELVE) WARNINGS (WTPN31
PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 040300
WARNING ATCG MIL 13W NWP 210804014258
2021080400 13W THIRTEEN 006 02 070 08 SATL RADR 060
T000 213N 1156E 035 R034 025 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 015 NW QD
T012 220N 1167E 040 R034 000 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 000 NW QD
T024 228N 1174E 045 R034 000 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 000 NW QD
T036 241N 1176E 040 R034 000 NE QD 055 SE QD 045 SW QD 010 NW QD
T048 248N 1179E 035
T072 262N 1197E 030
T096 277N 1225E 030
T120 304N 1257E 040 R034 045 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 006
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 006
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
040000Z --- NEAR 21.3N 115.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.3N 115.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 22.0N 116.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 22.8N 117.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 24.1N 117.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 24.8N 117.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 26.2N 119.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 27.7N 122.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 30.4N 125.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
040300Z POSITION NEAR 21.5N 115.9E.
04AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 98
NM SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 08
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 040900Z, 041500Z, 042100Z AND 050300Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
1321080118 207N1087E 15
1321080200 207N1096E 15
1321080206 207N1104E 15
1321080212 210N1117E 20
1321080218 211N1130E 25
1321080300 213N1134E 25
1321080306 215N1138E 30
1321080312 211N1143E 30
1321080318 210N1148E 35
1321080400 213N1156E 35
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 040000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 1
NAME 2109 LUPIT
ANALYSIS
POSITION 040000UTC 21.2N 115.4E
MOVEMENT NE 5KT
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 35KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 041200UTC 21.8N 115.8E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 37KT
24HR
POSITION 050000UTC 22.8N 116.6E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 37KT
36HR
POSITION 051200UTC 23.6N 117.4E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 37KT
48HR
POSITION 060000UTC 24.4N 118.1E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 35KT
72HR
POSITION 070000UTC 26.0N 120.1E WITHIN 125NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 35KT
96HR
POSITION 080000UTC 27.7N 123.2E WITHIN 165NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 37KT
120HR
POSITION 090000UTC 29.9N 126.6E WITHIN 230NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 39KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 032100
WARNING ATCG MIL 13W NWP 210803191853
2021080318 13W THIRTEEN 005 02 100 05 SATL 030
T000 210N 1148E 035 R034 025 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 015 NW QD
T012 214N 1158E 040 R034 000 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 000 NW QD
T024 223N 1168E 040 R034 000 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 000 NW QD
T036 232N 1174E 040 R034 000 NE QD 055 SE QD 045 SW QD 010 NW QD
T048 245N 1179E 030
T072 255N 1191E 025
T096 269N 1220E 030
T120 297N 1260E 035 R034 045 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 13W (THIRTEEN) WARNING NR 005
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (THIRTEEN) WARNING NR 005
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031800Z --- NEAR 21.0N 114.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 100 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.0N 114.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 21.4N 115.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 22.3N 116.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 23.2N 117.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 24.5N 117.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 25.5N 119.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 26.9N 122.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 29.7N 126.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
032100Z POSITION NEAR 21.1N 115.1E.
03AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (THIRTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 85
NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 040300Z, 040900Z, 041500Z AND 042100Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
1321080118 207N1087E 15
1321080200 207N1096E 15
1321080206 207N1104E 15
1321080212 210N1117E 20
1321080218 211N1130E 25
1321080300 213N1134E 25
1321080306 215N1138E 30
1321080312 211N1143E 30
1321080318 210N1148E 35
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 032100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 13W (THIRTEEN) WARNING NR 005//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (THIRTEEN) WARNING NR 005
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031800Z --- NEAR 21.0N 114.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 100 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.0N 114.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 21.4N 115.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 22.3N 116.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 23.2N 117.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 24.5N 117.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 25.5N 119.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 26.9N 122.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 29.7N 126.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
032100Z POSITION NEAR 21.1N 115.1E.
03AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 13W (THIRTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 85
NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 040300Z, 040900Z, 041500Z AND 042100Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12W (TWELVE) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 031500
WARNING ATCG MIL 13W NWP 210803130917
2021080312 13W THIRTEEN 004 02 130 06 SATL RADR 010
T000 211N 1143E 030
T012 211N 1153E 035 R034 010 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 010 NW QD
T024 217N 1165E 040 R034 010 NE QD 100 SE QD 050 SW QD 010 NW QD
T036 225N 1175E 040 R034 000 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 010 NW QD
T048 236N 1180E 035 R034 010 NE QD 080 SE QD 050 SW QD 010 NW QD
T072 253N 1192E 035 R034 020 NE QD 150 SE QD 070 SW QD 010 NW QD
T096 271N 1214E 040 R034 030 NE QD 160 SE QD 080 SW QD 020 NW QD
T120 297N 1246E 040 R034 030 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW QD 020 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (THIRTEEN) WARNING NR 004
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (THIRTEEN) WARNING NR 004
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031200Z --- NEAR 21.1N 114.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N 114.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 21.1N 115.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 21.7N 116.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 22.5N 117.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 23.6N 118.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 25.3N 119.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 27.1N 121.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 29.7N 124.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
031500Z POSITION NEAR 21.1N 114.6E.
03AUG21. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (THIRTEEN), LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 72 NM SOUTH OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD
AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 031200Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z, 040300Z,
040900Z AND 041500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12W (TWELVE)
1321080118 207N1087E 15
1321080200 207N1096E 15
1321080206 207N1104E 15
1321080212 210N1117E 20
1321080218 211N1130E 25
1321080300 213N1134E 25
1321080306 215N1138E 30
1321080312 211N1143E 30
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 031500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (THIRTEEN) WARNING NR 004//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (THIRTEEN) WARNING NR 004
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031200Z --- NEAR 21.1N 114.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N 114.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 21.1N 115.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 21.7N 116.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 22.5N 117.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 23.6N 118.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 25.3N 119.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 27.1N 121.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 29.7N 124.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
031500Z POSITION NEAR 21.1N 114.6E.
03AUG21. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (THIRTEEN), LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 72 NM SOUTH OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD
AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 031200Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z, 040300Z,
040900Z AND 041500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12W (TWELVE)
WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 030900
WARNING ATCG MIL 13W NWP 210803072713
2021080306 13W THIRTEEN 003 02 060 04 SATL RADR 015
T000 215N 1138E 030
T012 217N 1146E 035 R034 010 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 010 NW QD
T024 219N 1154E 040 R034 040 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 020 NW QD
T036 224N 1162E 040 R034 060 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 010 NW QD
T048 232N 1171E 035 R034 030 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 010 NW QD
T072 248N 1184E 035 R034 020 NE QD 130 SE QD 070 SW QD 010 NW QD
T096 262N 1198E 035 R034 010 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 000 NW QD
T120 279N 1222E 040 R034 030 NE QD 080 SE QD 110 SW QD 010 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (THIRTEEN) WARNING NR 003
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (THIRTEEN) WARNING NR 003
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030600Z --- NEAR 21.5N 113.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 21.5N 113.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 21.7N 114.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 21.9N 115.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 22.4N 116.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 23.2N 117.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 24.8N 118.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 26.2N 119.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 27.9N 122.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
030900Z POSITION NEAR 21.6N 114.0E.
03AUG21. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (THIRTEEN), LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 53 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 031500Z, 032100Z, 040300Z AND 040900Z. REFER TO
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
1321080118 207N1087E 15
1321080200 207N1096E 15
1321080206 207N1104E 15
1321080212 210N1117E 20
1321080218 211N1130E 25
1321080300 213N1134E 25
1321080306 215N1138E 30
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 030900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (THIRTEEN) WARNING NR 003//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (THIRTEEN) WARNING NR 003
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030600Z --- NEAR 21.5N 113.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 21.5N 113.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 21.7N 114.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 21.9N 115.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 22.4N 116.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 23.2N 117.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 24.8N 118.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 26.2N 119.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 27.9N 122.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
030900Z POSITION NEAR 21.6N 114.0E.
03AUG21. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (THIRTEEN), LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 53 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 031500Z, 032100Z, 040300Z AND 040900Z. REFER TO
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W (TWELVE) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 030300
WARNING ATCG MIL 13W NWP 210803014747
2021080300 13W THIRTEEN 002 02 060 04 SATL 025
T000 213N 1134E 025
T012 213N 1146E 030
T024 213N 1152E 035 R034 000 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 010 NW QD
T036 219N 1162E 040 R034 020 NE QD 110 SE QD 050 SW QD 010 NW QD
T048 228N 1174E 040 R034 020 NE QD 105 SE QD 090 SW QD 010 NW QD
T072 246N 1188E 040 R034 000 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 020 NW QD
T096 254N 1195E 035 R034 040 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 020 NW QD
T120 275N 1224E 035 R034 130 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 030 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (THIRTEEN) WARNING NR 002
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (THIRTEEN) WARNING NR 002
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030000Z --- NEAR 21.3N 113.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 21.3N 113.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 21.3N 114.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 21.3N 115.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 21.9N 116.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 22.8N 117.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 24.6N 118.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 25.4N 119.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 27.5N 122.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
030300Z POSITION NEAR 21.3N 113.7E.
03AUG21. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (THIRTEEN), LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 75 NM SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED EAST-
NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 030900Z, 031500Z, 032100Z AND 040300Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
1321080118 207N1087E 15
1321080200 207N1096E 15
1321080206 207N1104E 15
1321080212 210N1117E 20
1321080218 211N1130E 25
1321080300 213N1134E 25
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 030300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (THIRTEEN) WARNING NR 002//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (THIRTEEN) WARNING NR 002
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030000Z --- NEAR 21.3N 113.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 21.3N 113.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 21.3N 114.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 21.3N 115.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 21.9N 116.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 22.8N 117.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 24.6N 118.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 25.4N 119.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 27.5N 122.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
030300Z POSITION NEAR 21.3N 113.7E.
03AUG21. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (THIRTEEN), LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 75 NM SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED EAST-
NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 030900Z, 031500Z, 032100Z AND 040300Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W (TWELVE) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

>