Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for GRACE-21
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GRACE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Glide number: TC-2021-000122-MEX
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population 7.7 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 194 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1 m (20 Aug 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)
Landfall between
21 Aug 2021 03:00 - 21 Aug 2021 09:00

in Mexico

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 37 km/h 1.0 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 194 km/h 1.0 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

37 km/h Current Max.

Up to 63.5 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Orange 1 13 Aug 2021 15:00 83 18.8 million No people Guadeloupe, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Virgin Islands U.S., Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Bahamas, Cuba
Orange 2 13 Aug 2021 21:00 74 20.4 million No people Guadeloupe, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Virgin Islands U.S., Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Bahamas, Cuba
Green 3 14 Aug 2021 03:00 83 8.4 million No people Guadeloupe, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Virgin Islands British, Virgin Islands U.S., Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Bahamas
Green 4 14 Aug 2021 09:00 83 14.8 million No people Guadeloupe, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Virgin Islands U.S., Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Bahamas
Orange 5 14 Aug 2021 15:00 93 29.8 million No people Guadeloupe, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Virgin Islands British, Virgin Islands U.S., Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Bahamas, Cuba, United States
Orange 6 14 Aug 2021 21:00 93 31.7 million No people Guadeloupe, Dominica, Montserrat, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Cuba, United States
Orange 7 15 Aug 2021 03:00 83 28.8 million No people Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Antigua and Barbuda, Guadeloupe, Virgin Islands U.S., Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Bahamas, Cuba, United States
Orange 8 15 Aug 2021 09:00 83 31.3 million No people Saint Kitts and Nevis, Puerto Rico, Montserrat, Antigua and Barbuda, Guadeloupe, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Bahamas, Cuba, United States
Orange 9 15 Aug 2021 15:00 83 24.1 million No people Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Antigua and Barbuda, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Bahamas, Cuba, United States
Green 10 15 Aug 2021 21:00 83 450 thousand No people Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Antigua and Barbuda, Guadeloupe
Green 11 16 Aug 2021 03:00 83 450 thousand No people Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Antigua and Barbuda, Guadeloupe
Green 12 16 Aug 2021 09:00 93 9.1 million No people Cuba, Jamaica, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Antigua and Barbuda, Guadeloupe, Cayman Islands, Mexico
Green 13 16 Aug 2021 15:00 111 13.9 million No people Cuba, Jamaica, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Antigua and Barbuda, Guadeloupe, Cayman Islands, Mexico
Green 14 16 Aug 2021 21:00 120 15.5 million No people Cuba, Jamaica, Cayman Islands, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Antigua and Barbuda, Guadeloupe, Mexico
Green 15 17 Aug 2021 03:00 120 14.5 million No people Jamaica, Cuba, Cayman Islands, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Antigua and Barbuda, Guadeloupe, Mexico
Green 16 17 Aug 2021 09:00 111 18.8 million No people Jamaica, Cayman Islands, Mexico, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Antigua and Barbuda, Guadeloupe
Orange 17 17 Aug 2021 15:00 120 38 million 400 thousand Mexico
Orange 18 17 Aug 2021 21:00 139 29.9 million 340 thousand Mexico
Orange 19 18 Aug 2021 03:00 148 36.4 million 390 thousand Mexico
Orange 20 18 Aug 2021 09:00 139 52.3 million 210 thousand Mexico
Orange 21 18 Aug 2021 15:00 139 62.9 million 1.5 million Mexico
Orange 22 18 Aug 2021 21:00 139 53.2 million 4 million Mexico
Orange 23 19 Aug 2021 03:00 139 30.4 million 3.2 million Mexico
Orange 24 19 Aug 2021 09:00 130 54.4 million 1 million Mexico
Orange 25 19 Aug 2021 15:00 139 54 million 2.3 million Mexico
Orange 26 19 Aug 2021 21:00 139 51.9 million 9.4 million Mexico
Orange 27 20 Aug 2021 03:00 139 52.8 million 1.7 million Mexico
Orange 28 20 Aug 2021 09:00 139 59.3 million 4.4 million Mexico
Orange 29 20 Aug 2021 15:00 167 58.3 million 2.1 million Mexico
Orange 30 20 Aug 2021 21:00 167 56.6 million 2.6 million Mexico
Red 31 21 Aug 2021 03:00 194 57.3 million 3.7 million Mexico
Orange 32 21 Aug 2021 09:00 176 61.7 million 3.7 million Mexico
Green 33 21 Aug 2021 15:00 111 65.5 million 7.7 million Mexico
Green 34 21 Aug 2021 21:00 37 63.5 million 7.7 million Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 13 Aug 2021 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 15.3, -49.3
GREEN
2 13 Aug 2021 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 15.4, -51.8
GREEN
3 14 Aug 2021 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 15.5, -53.8
GREEN
4 14 Aug 2021 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 15.8, -55.6
GREEN
5 14 Aug 2021 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 16.2, -57.9
GREEN
6 14 Aug 2021 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 430000 people 15.9, -60.7
GREEN
7 15 Aug 2021 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 110000 people 16.8, -62.4 Montserrat
GREEN
8 15 Aug 2021 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 510000 people 16.9, -64.4
GREEN
9 15 Aug 2021 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 400000 people 17.2, -66
GREEN
10 15 Aug 2021 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 17, -67.3
GREEN
11 16 Aug 2021 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 17.3, -68.6
GREEN
12 16 Aug 2021 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 17.4, -70.2
GREEN
13 16 Aug 2021 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 17.7, -71.4 Dominican Republic
GREEN
14 16 Aug 2021 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 17.9, -72.4
GREEN
15 17 Aug 2021 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people 280000 people 18.2, -73.8 Haiti
GREEN
16 17 Aug 2021 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 2.8 million people 18.2, -75.4
GREEN
17 17 Aug 2021 15:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 3 million people 18.3, -76.8 Jamaica
GREEN
18 17 Aug 2021 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 2.8 million people 18.4, -77.9 Jamaica
GREEN
19 18 Aug 2021 03:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 920000 people 18.4, -79.2
GREEN
20 18 Aug 2021 09:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 57000 people 18.8, -80.9
GREEN
21 18 Aug 2021 15:00 Category 1 120 no people 55000 people 19.4, -82.2
GREEN
22 18 Aug 2021 21:00 Category 1 130 no people 1.3 million people 19.7, -83.7
GREEN
23 19 Aug 2021 03:00 Category 1 130 92000 people 3.8 million people 19.8, -85.6
ORANGE
24 19 Aug 2021 09:00 Category 1 130 420000 people 4.3 million people 20, -87.2
GREEN
25 19 Aug 2021 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 3.5 million people 20.2, -88.8 Mexico
GREEN
26 19 Aug 2021 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 3.1 million people 20.6, -90.2 Mexico
GREEN
27 20 Aug 2021 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 2.3 million people 20.8, -91.8
GREEN
28 20 Aug 2021 09:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 3.9 million people 20.7, -93.3
GREEN
29 20 Aug 2021 15:00 Category 1 139 no people 11.3 million people 20.6, -94.3
GREEN
30 20 Aug 2021 21:00 Category 1 148 26000 people 17.1 million people 20.5, -95.1
RED
31 21 Aug 2021 03:00 Category 3 194 1.2 million people 19.7 million people 20.7, -96.3
ORANGE
32 21 Aug 2021 09:00 Category 2 176 3 million people 45.8 million people 20.5, -97.8 Mexico
GREEN
33 21 Aug 2021 15:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 50.5 million people 19.7, -98.9 Mexico
GREEN
34 21 Aug 2021 21:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 19.6, -100.1 Mexico
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Mexico
Belize
Cuba
Cayman Is.
Jamaica
St. Kitts & Nevis
Montserrat
Antigua & Barbuda
Guadeloupe

Provinces

Region Province Country
Mexico Mexico
Michoacan Mexico
Queretaro Mexico
Guanajuato Mexico
Hidalgo Mexico
Distrito Federal Mexico
Guerrero Mexico
Morelos Mexico
Tlaxcala Mexico
Puebla Mexico
Veracruz Mexico
San Luis Potosi Mexico
Oaxaca Mexico
Tamaulipas Mexico
Tabasco Mexico
Campeche Mexico
Yucatan Mexico
Quintana Roo Mexico
Orange Walk Belize
Corozal Belize
Isla de la Juventud Cuba
Cayman Is. Cayman Islands
Westmoreland Jamaica
Hanover Jamaica
Saint James Jamaica
Saint Elizabeth Jamaica
Trelawny Jamaica
Manchester Jamaica
Saint Ann Jamaica
Clarendon Jamaica
Saint Catherine Jamaica
Saint Mary Jamaica
Saint Andrew Jamaica
Kingston Jamaica
Portland Jamaica
Saint Thomas Jamaica
St. Kitts & Nevis Saint Kitts and Nevis
Montserrat Montserrat
Antigua & Barbuda Antigua and Barbuda
Guadeloupe Guadeloupe

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
El Oro México Mexico City 6700 people
Zitácuaro Michoacán de Ocampo Mexico City 76000 people
Toluca México Mexico Major city 500000 people
Polotitlan México Mexico City -
Tenango de Arista México Mexico City 21000 people
Tenancingo Mexico Mexico City 34000 people
Acámbaro Guanajuato Mexico City 55000 people
Tepeji Hidalgo Mexico City 33000 people
San Juan Del Rio Hidalgo Mexico City 110000 people
Tula Hidalgo Mexico City -
Tlalnepantla México Mexico City 710000 people
Ciudad de México Distrito Federal Mexico Capital 8.5 million people
Tarimoro Guanajuato Mexico City 13000 people
Coacalco México Mexico City 310000 people
Zumpango México Mexico City 47000 people
Salvatierra Guanajuato Mexico City 33000 people
Querétaro Querétaro de Arteaga Mexico Major city 560000 people
Morelia Michoacán de Ocampo Mexico Major city 590000 people
Cuernavaca Morelos Mexico Major city 340000 people
Apasfo El Grande Guanajuato Mexico City -
Celaya Guanajuato Mexico City 300000 people
Tepoztlán Morelos Mexico City 15000 people
Taxco Guerrero Mexico City 53000 people
Chalico Mexico Mexico City -
Cortazar Guanajuato Mexico City 55000 people
Yautepec Morelos Mexico City 41000 people
Teloloapan Guerrero Mexico City 21000 people
Actopan Hidalgo Mexico City 26000 people
Tlalmanalco México Mexico City 15000 people
Cuautla Morelos Mexico City 140000 people
Iguala Guerrero Mexico City 110000 people
Amecameca México Mexico City 31000 people
Pachuca Hidalgo Mexico Major city 320000 people
San Miguel de Allende Guanajuato Mexico City -
Huitzuco Guerrero Mexico City 16000 people
Tierra Blanca Guanajuato Mexico City -
Tepalcingo Morelos Mexico City 12000 people
Apan Hidalgo Mexico City 26000 people
Chiautzingo Puebla Mexico City 7100 people
Tochimizolco Puebla Mexico City -
Texmelucan Puebla Mexico City 75000 people
Huejotzingo Puebla Mexico City 22000 people
Atlixco Puebla Mexico City 85000 people
Tlaxcala Tlaxcala Mexico Major city 83000 people
Cholula Puebla Mexico City 150000 people
Huactzinco Tlaxcala Mexico City -
Izúcar de Matamoros Puebla Mexico City -
Apizaco Tlaxcala Mexico City 46000 people
Puebla Puebla Mexico Major city 1.4 million people
Chignahuapan Puebla Mexico City 16000 people
Zacatlán Puebla Mexico City 30000 people
Huamantla Tlaxcala Mexico City 45000 people
Xiocotepec de Juarez Puebla Mexico City -
Rafael Lara Grajales Puebla Mexico City 11000 people
Libres Puebla Mexico City 13000 people
Platón Sánchez Veracruz Mexico City 10000 people
San Slavador El Seco Puebla Mexico City -
Acatlán Puebla Mexico City 16000 people
Tepeyahualco Puebla Mexico City -
Atenco Puebla Mexico City -
Tempoal Veracruz Mexico City 12000 people
Tlachichuca Puebla Mexico City 7100 people
Ciudad Serdán Puebla Mexico City -
Ciudad Valles San Luis Potosí Mexico City 110000 people
Teziutlán Puebla Mexico City 60000 people
Álamo Veracruz Mexico City 23000 people
Poza Rica Veracruz Mexico City 170000 people
Perote Veracruz Mexico City 32000 people
Tlapacoyan Veracruz Mexico City 33000 people
Papantla Veracruz Mexico City 47000 people
Tehuacán Puebla Mexico City 220000 people
Huajuapan de León Oaxaca Mexico City -
Tuxpan Veracruz Mexico City -
Nogales Veracruz Mexico City 20000 people
San Gabriel Chilac Puebla Mexico City -
Coscomatepec Veracruz Mexico City 13000 people
Orizaba Veracruz Mexico City 120000 people
Teocelo Veracruz Mexico City 9200 people
Coatepec Veracruz Mexico City 48000 people
Jalapa Veracruz Mexico Major city -
Huatuxco Veracruz Mexico City -
Pánuco Veracruz Mexico City 34000 people
Córdoba Veracruz Mexico City 130000 people
Misantla Veracruz Mexico City 23000 people
Tampico Tamaulipas Mexico Major city 310000 people
Cuauhtemoc Tamaulipas Mexico City 5600 people
Tierra Blanca Veracruz Mexico City 45000 people
Veracruz Veracruz Mexico Major city 560000 people
Tuxtepec Oaxaca Mexico City 90000 people
Alvarado Veracruz Mexico City 21000 people
Cosamaloapan Veracruz Mexico City 29000 people
Loma Bonita Oaxaca Mexico City 30000 people
Tiacotalpan Veracruz Mexico City -
Santiago Tuxtla Veracruz Mexico City 16000 people
San Andrés Tuxtla Veracruz Mexico City -
Catemaco Veracruz Mexico City 24000 people
Acayucan Veracruz Mexico City 47000 people
Cosoleacaque Veracruz Mexico City 20000 people
Minatitlán Veracruz Mexico City 150000 people
Coatzacoalcos Veracruz Mexico City 230000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Uruapan TLC 2575 Civ. Paved Yes 13700
Atizapan AZP 2475 0
General Francisco J Mujica MLM 0 Civ. Paved Yes 11100
Juarez International MEX 2238 Civ. Paved Yes 12900
Santa Lucia NLU 2240 0
Morelia 1833 0
Intercontinental de Queretaro QRO 1969 Civ. Paved Yes 6200
Cuernavaca CVJ 1280 Civ. Paved Yes 9000
Tizayuca 2316 0
Ixmiquilpan 1700 0
Celaya 1740 Civ. Paved No 6300
Pachuca 2316 Civ. Paved No 5900
Santa Barbara 299 0
Iguala 865 0
Huejotsingo PBC 2241 Civ. Paved Yes 11800
Tlaxcala 2500 0
Cementos Mexicanos 92 0
Tajin PAZ 138 Civ. Paved Yes 5900
Cerro Azul 137 0
Tamuin TSL 50 Civ. Paved Yes 4500
Tehuacan TCN 1679 Civ. Paved No 5500
San Ricardo Ranch 329 0
Fausto Vega Santander 3 0
Ebano 50 0
Cordoba 911 0
El Lencero JAL 875 Civ. Paved No 5500
Cabo Roja 7 0
Gen Francisco J Mina International TAM 24 Civ. Paved Yes 8300
Las Bajadas VER 29 Civ. Paved Yes 7800
Ciudad Aleman 61 0
Carlos A Carrillo 38 0
El Mendozal 69 0
Lerdo de Tejada 40 0
Minatitlan MTT 40 Civ. Paved Yes 6800
Minatitlan Old 27 0
Ciudad del Carmen CME 2 Civ. Paved Yes 7200
Campeche International CPE 10 Civ. Paved Yes 8200
Lic M Crecencio Rejon International MID 10 Civ. Paved Yes 8800
24 0
Chichen Itza CZA 31 0
Santa Cruz STU unknown 0
Corozal Municipal CZH unknown 0
Chetumal International CTM 12 Civ. Paved Yes 7200
Sartaneja SJX unknown 0
Cupul TZM 17 0
Carrillo Puerto 61 0
Tulum TUY 2 0
Playa Del Carmen PCM unknown 0
Cozumel International CZM 5 Civ. Paved Yes 8800
Cancun International CUN 5 Civ. Paved Yes 11400
Puerto Juarez PJZ unknown 0
Isla Mujeres ISJ 2 Civ. Paved No 3900
Owen Roberts International GCM 2 Civ. Paved Yes 7000
Little Cayman LYB unknown 0
Gerrard Smith CYB 2 Civ. Paved Yes 6000
Negril NEG unknown 0
Sangster International MBJ 1 Civ. Paved Yes 8700
Mandeville Marlbrough MVJ unknown 0
Kirkvine 366 0
Boscobel OCJ 27 Civ. Paved No 3000
Tinson Pen 5 Civ. Paved No 3000
Norman Manley International KIN 3 Civ. Paved Yes 8900
Ken Jones POT 2 Civ. Paved No 3400
Golden Rock SKB 52 Civ. Paved Yes 8000
Newcastle NEV 8 Civ. Paved No 4000
Montserrat Blackburne MNI unknown 0
W H Bramble (Abandoned) 12 0
Basse-Terre Baillif BBR unknown 0
Terre-de-Bas HTB unknown 0
Le Raizet PTP 11 Civ. Paved Yes 11400
Terre de Haut LSS unknown 0
St. Francois SFC unknown 0
Marie Galante GBJ 5 Civ. Paved Yes 4000
La Desirade Les Galets DSD unknown 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Tuxpan MXTUX Mexico
Tampico MXTAM Mexico
Ciudad Madero Mexico
Altamira Mexico
Vera Cruz MXVER Mexico
Alvarado MXAVD Mexico
Minatitlan MXMTT Mexico
Coatzacoalcos MXCOA Mexico
Rabon Grande Mexico
Nanchital MXNAN Mexico
Dos Bocas MXDBT Mexico
Frontera MXFRN Mexico
Cayo Arcas Terminal MXCAT Mexico
Ciudad Del Carmen MXCME Mexico
Campeche Mexico
Sisal Mexico
Progreso MXPGO Mexico
Corozal Belize
Chetumal MXCTM Mexico
El Cuyo Mexico
Herrero Point Mexico
Cozumel MXCZM Mexico
Puerto Morelas Mexico
Georgetown, Grand Cayman KYGGT Cayman Islands
Georgetown KYGGT Cayman Islands
Cayman Brac Cayman Islands
Lucea Jamaica
Savanna la Mar JMSLM Jamaica
Bluefields Jamaica
Montego Bay JMMBJ Jamaica
Black River JMBLR Jamaica
Falmouth Jamaica
Port Kaiser JMPKS Jamaica
Rio Bueno Jamaica
Port Rhoades JMPRH Jamaica
Saint Anns Bay Jamaica
Ocho Rios JMOCJ Jamaica
Salt River JMSRI Jamaica
Port Esquivel JMPEV Jamaica
Oracabessa Jamaica
Port Maria Bay Jamaica
Annotto Bay Jamaica
Kingston JMKIN Jamaica
Port Antonio JMPOT Jamaica
Morant Bay Jamaica
Port Morant JMPMO Jamaica
Manchioneal Jamaica
Basseterre KNBAS Saint Kitts and Nevis
Charlestown KNNEV Saint Kitts and Nevis
Plymouth Montserrat
Basse Terre GPBBR Guadeloupe
Port Louis Guadeloupe
Pointe-a-Pitre GPPTP Guadeloupe
Bourg Des Saintes Guadeloupe
Saint Louis Guadeloupe
Grand Bourg Guadeloupe

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Tepetitlan Tepetitlan 1964
Villa Victoria Malacatepec 1944
Ignacio Ramirez La Gavia 1966
El Bosque Zitacuaro 1954
Valle de Bravo Valle de Bravo 1944
Tepuxtepec Lerma 1935
Solis Lerma 1949
Taxhimay San Luis 1934
Madin Tlalnepantla 1976
Guadalupe Cuautitla 1968
Const. de 1917 El Caracol 1969
Endho Tula 1951
El Cubo Tarimoro 1978
El Gallo Cutzamala 1985
Vicente Aguirre Alfajayucan 1950
Zimapan Moctezuma 1994
Vicente Guerrero Poliutla 1968
Ignacio Allende La Laja 1968
Carlos Ramirez Ulloa Balsas 1986
San Jose Atlangatepec Zahuapan 1959
Manuel Avila Camacho Atoyac 1946
Necaxa Necaxa 1909
Tenango Coacuila 1910
La Soledad Apulco 1962
Chicayan Chicayan 1976
Animas Guayalejo 1978
Presa Miguel Aleman Presidente Aleman Temascal Rio Tonto 1955

Nuclear plants

Name Country Reactors
LAGUNA VERDE MEXICO 2

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.0m in Balantanche, Mexico. This height is estimated for 20 Aug 2021 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (606 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 33 of 21 Aug 2021 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
20 Aug 2021 00:00 Balantanche Mexico  1.0
20 Aug 2021 00:00 Noham Mexico  0.8
20 Aug 2021 00:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.8
20 Aug 2021 00:00 Sabancuy Mexico  0.8
21 Aug 2021 06:00 Tenixtepec Mexico  0.8
19 Aug 2021 23:00 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.8
19 Aug 2021 23:00 Chenkan Mexico  0.8
19 Aug 2021 23:00 Champoton Mexico  0.7
19 Aug 2021 23:00 Haltunchen Mexico  0.7
19 Aug 2021 23:00 Seybaplaya Mexico  0.7
19 Aug 2021 23:00 Hoquel Mexico  0.7
21 Aug 2021 07:00 Tamiahua Mexico  0.7
21 Aug 2021 07:00 Laja Mexico  0.7
19 Aug 2021 23:00 Paso Real Mexico  0.6
21 Aug 2021 07:00 El Naranjal Mexico  0.5
19 Aug 2021 23:00 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.5
19 Aug 2021 23:00 Celestum Mexico  0.4
21 Aug 2021 06:00 Tecolutla Mexico  0.4
19 Aug 2021 23:00 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.4
19 Aug 2021 10:00 Chacalal Mexico  0.4
20 Aug 2021 00:00 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.4
20 Aug 2021 00:00 Majana Cuba  0.3
20 Aug 2021 09:00 Majahual Mexico  0.3
20 Aug 2021 00:00 Guanimar Cuba  0.3
20 Aug 2021 00:00 Guasimal Cuba  0.3
21 Aug 2021 16:00 Los Ebanos Mexico  0.3
18 Aug 2021 12:00 Bodden Town Cayman Islands  0.3
18 Aug 2021 12:00 Half Way Pond Cayman Islands  0.3
18 Aug 2021 12:00 Battle Ground Cayman Islands  0.3
18 Aug 2021 12:00 George Town Cayman Islands  0.3
18 Aug 2021 12:00 Brinkleys Cayman Islands  0.3
20 Aug 2021 03:00 Calderas Mexico  0.3
19 Aug 2021 12:00 Vigia Chico Mexico  0.3
19 Aug 2021 22:00 San Pedro Mexico  0.3
21 Aug 2021 10:00 El Tular Mexico  0.3
21 Aug 2021 15:00 El Porvenir Mexico  0.3
21 Aug 2021 15:00 San Jose de los Leones Mexico  0.3
20 Aug 2021 10:00 La Presita Mexico  0.3
19 Aug 2021 21:00 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.3
20 Aug 2021 16:00 Rancho Nuevo Mexico  0.3
20 Aug 2021 09:00 Nadeau United States  0.3
20 Aug 2021 09:00 Texas City Junction United States  0.3
20 Aug 2021 09:00 Bayou Vista United States  0.3
20 Aug 2021 09:00 Texas City United States  0.3
20 Aug 2021 09:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.3
20 Aug 2021 09:00 Virginia Point United States  0.3
20 Aug 2021 09:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.3
20 Aug 2021 09:00 Fort Travis United States  0.3
20 Aug 2021 09:00 Flake United States  0.3
20 Aug 2021 09:00 Elmgrove United States  0.3
20 Aug 2021 09:00 Crystal Beach United States  0.3
20 Aug 2021 09:00 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.3
20 Aug 2021 09:00 Dos Hermanas Mexico  0.3
19 Aug 2021 10:00 Tulum Mexico  0.3
20 Aug 2021 10:00 South Padre Island United States  0.3
20 Aug 2021 10:00 Boca Chica United States  0.3
19 Aug 2021 21:00 Almacen Cuba  0.3
20 Aug 2021 01:00 Surgidero de Batabano Cuba  0.2
20 Aug 2021 01:00 Batabano Cuba  0.2
18 Aug 2021 12:00 Breakers Cayman Islands  0.2
20 Aug 2021 04:00 Xcalak Mexico  0.2
19 Aug 2021 11:00 Xelha Mexico  0.2
20 Aug 2021 04:00 Los Pericos Mexico  0.2
20 Aug 2021 13:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.2
20 Aug 2021 13:00 Palacios United States  0.2
17 Aug 2021 15:00 Annotto Bay Jamaica  0.2
17 Aug 2021 14:00 Charles Town Jamaica  0.2
19 Aug 2021 21:00 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.2
19 Aug 2021 21:00 Barrancones Honduras  0.2
19 Aug 2021 21:00 Condega Honduras  0.2
19 Aug 2021 21:00 Cedeno Honduras  0.2
21 Aug 2021 08:00 Agua Dulce Mexico  0.2
20 Aug 2021 11:00 Holly Beach United States  0.2
20 Aug 2021 11:00 Laguna Vista United States  0.2
20 Aug 2021 11:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.2
20 Aug 2021 11:00 Port Isabel United States  0.2
20 Aug 2021 22:00 La Pesca Mexico  0.2
19 Aug 2021 22:00 Punta de Fisga Cuba  0.2
20 Aug 2021 02:00 Playa Caimito Cuba  0.2
19 Aug 2021 23:00 Gualora Honduras  0.2
21 Aug 2021 15:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.2
20 Aug 2021 16:00 Hoskins United States  0.2
20 Aug 2021 16:00 Valasco Heights United States  0.2
20 Aug 2021 16:00 Freeport United States  0.2
20 Aug 2021 16:00 Mims United States  0.2
20 Aug 2021 16:00 Hoskins United States  0.2
20 Aug 2021 16:00 Port Morris United States  0.2
20 Aug 2021 08:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.2
20 Aug 2021 08:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.2
20 Aug 2021 08:00 Sea Isle United States  0.2
20 Aug 2021 08:00 Patton United States  0.2
20 Aug 2021 08:00 High Island United States  0.2
17 Aug 2021 13:00 Port Antonio Jamaica  0.2
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20 Aug 2021 03:00 Playa de Tasajera Cuba  0.2
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21 Aug 2021 09:00 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  0.2
21 Aug 2021 09:00 Primero de Mayo Mexico  0.2
21 Aug 2021 09:00 Tampico Alta Mexico  0.2
20 Aug 2021 11:00 Kopernik Shores United States  0.2
21 Aug 2021 05:00 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.2
20 Aug 2021 03:00 Arista Mexico  0.2
20 Aug 2021 08:00 Jamaica Beach United States  0.2
20 Aug 2021 08:00 Caplen United States  0.2
20 Aug 2021 08:00 Gilchrist United States  0.2
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20 Aug 2021 13:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
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18 Aug 2021 11:00 Gun Bay Cayman Islands  0.2
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20 Aug 2021 03:00 El Placer Mexico  0.2
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19 Aug 2021 07:00 Cancun Mexico  0.2
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20 Aug 2021 03:00 Calderita Mexico  0.2
20 Aug 2021 03:00 Santeneja Belize  0.2
19 Aug 2021 13:00 Pixoy Mexico  0.2
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17 Aug 2021 06:00 Anse-d'Hainault Haiti  0.2
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20 Aug 2021 06:00 Elfers United States  0.2
21 Aug 2021 16:00 La Majada Mexico  0.2
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20 Aug 2021 00:00 Conchaguita El Salvador  0.1
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15 Aug 2021 04:00 Newton Ground St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
15 Aug 2021 04:00 Fig Tree St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
15 Aug 2021 04:00 Sandy Point St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
15 Aug 2021 04:00 Half Way Tree St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
15 Aug 2021 04:00 Middle Island St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
15 Aug 2021 16:00 Patillas Puerto Rico  0.1
15 Aug 2021 16:00 Palo Seco Puerto Rico  0.1
15 Aug 2021 16:00 Maunabo Puerto Rico  0.1
15 Aug 2021 16:00 Emajagua Puerto Rico  0.1
15 Aug 2021 16:00 Yabucoa Puerto Rico  0.1
15 Aug 2021 16:00 El Negro Puerto Rico  0.1
15 Aug 2021 16:00 Comunas Puerto Rico  0.1
15 Aug 2021 16:00 Playa de Guayanes Puerto Rico  0.1
17 Aug 2021 05:00 Port-a-Piment Haiti  0.1
17 Aug 2021 04:00 Coteaux Haiti  0.1
18 Aug 2021 11:00 Guayabal Cuba  0.1
18 Aug 2021 11:00 El Junco Cuba  0.1
18 Aug 2021 23:00 Playa Santa Maria Cuba  0.1
18 Aug 2021 11:00 Macareno Cuba  0.1
18 Aug 2021 11:00 Manopla Cuba  0.1
18 Aug 2021 11:00 Santa Cruz del Sur Cuba  0.1
20 Aug 2021 11:00 Wulfert United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 11:00 Sanibel United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 11:00 Saint James City United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 11:00 Ybel United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 11:00 Fort Myers Beach United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 11:00 Punta Rassa United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 11:00 Forest Island Park United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 11:00 Coconut United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 11:00 Bonita Shores United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 11:00 Estero United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 11:00 Naples Park United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 11:00 Gulf Harbor United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 06:00 Naples United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 11:00 North Naples United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 11:00 Pelican Bay United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 11:00 Council United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 06:00 Port Royal United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 06:00 East Naples United States  0.1
19 Aug 2021 10:00 Puerto Morelos Mexico  0.1
19 Aug 2021 23:00 El Cacao El Salvador  0.1
19 Aug 2021 22:00 Boqueron Mexico  0.1
20 Aug 2021 11:00 Vega de Alatorre Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2021 02:00 Emilio Carranza Mexico  0.1
20 Aug 2021 02:00 Bayou La Batre United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 02:00 Coden United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 02:00 Nelson United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 02:00 Dauphin Island United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 02:00 Heron Bay United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 02:00 Alabama Port United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 04:00 Port Fourchon United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 04:00 Englewood United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 04:00 Manasota Key United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 04:00 Grove City United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 04:00 Mobile Gardens United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 10:00 Cape Haze United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 10:00 Rotonda United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 10:00 Gasparilla United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 04:00 Tarpon Point United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 04:00 Warm Mineral Springs United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 10:00 Placida United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 04:00 Charlotte Beach United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 04:00 El Jobean United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 10:00 Boca Grande United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 11:00 Captiva United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 10:00 Bokeelia United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 10:00 Murdock United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 10:00 Pineland United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 10:00 Pine Island Center United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 11:00 Flamingo Bay United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 10:00 Matlacha United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 10:00 Burnt Store Marina United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 10:00 Pirate Harbor United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 10:00 Acline United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 11:00 Iona United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 11:00 Harlem Heights United States  0.1
20 Aug 2021 11:00 McGregor United States  0.1