Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for MINDULLE-21 in Japan, Russian Federation, Guam from 22 Sep 2021 12:00 UTC to 01 Oct 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for MINDULLE-21

in Japan, Russian Federation, Guam

01 Oct 2021 18 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MINDULLE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Japan, Russian Federation, Guam
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	269 km/h
Maximum storm surge	n.a.
Vulnerability	Medium (Guam)

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	102 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	269 km/h	0.8 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

102 km/h Current Max.

Up to 69.3 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	22 Sep 2021 12:00	222	220 thousand	No people	Guam, Northern Mariana Islands
2	22 Sep 2021 18:00	241	170 thousand	No people	Guam, Northern Mariana Islands
3	23 Sep 2021 00:00	231	170 thousand	No people	Guam
4	23 Sep 2021 06:00	231	160 thousand	1 thousand	Guam
5	23 Sep 2021 12:00	231	170 thousand	No people	Guam
6	23 Sep 2021 18:00	231	170 thousand	No people	Guam
7	24 Sep 2021 00:00	241	170 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
8	24 Sep 2021 06:00	241	170 thousand	No people	Guam
9	24 Sep 2021 12:00	241	170 thousand	No people	Guam
10	24 Sep 2021 18:00	241	170 thousand	No people	Guam
11	25 Sep 2021 00:00	241	170 thousand	No people	Guam
12	25 Sep 2021 06:00	241	170 thousand	No people	Guam
13	25 Sep 2021 12:00	241	630 thousand	No people	Guam, Japan
14	25 Sep 2021 18:00	241	64.5 million	Few people	Guam, Japan
15	26 Sep 2021 00:00	259	61.6 million	10 thousand	Guam, Japan
16	26 Sep 2021 06:00	269	71.7 million	280 thousand	Japan
17	26 Sep 2021 12:00	241	67.3 million	9 thousand	Guam, Japan
18	26 Sep 2021 18:00	222	58.9 million	8 thousand	Guam, Japan
19	27 Sep 2021 00:00	213	57 million	8 thousand	Guam, Japan
20	27 Sep 2021 06:00	204	48.8 million	8 thousand	Guam, Japan
21	27 Sep 2021 12:00	204	45.8 million	Few people	Guam, Japan
22	27 Sep 2021 18:00	204	43.9 million	Few people	Guam, Japan, Russian Federation
23	28 Sep 2021 00:00	204	43.5 million	Few people	Guam, Japan, Russian Federation
24	28 Sep 2021 06:00	213	47.7 million	8 thousand	Guam, Japan
25	28 Sep 2021 12:00	213	42.1 million	Few people	Guam, Japan
26	28 Sep 2021 18:00	213	40.1 million	Few people	Japan, Guam
27	29 Sep 2021 00:00	213	42.2 million	Few people	Japan, Guam, Russian Federation
28	29 Sep 2021 06:00	213	48.9 million	Few people	Japan, Guam
29	29 Sep 2021 12:00	213	48.5 million	Few people	Japan, Guam
30	29 Sep 2021 18:00	204	49.1 million	Few people	Japan, Guam, Russian Federation
31	30 Sep 2021 00:00	185	49.3 million	Few people	Japan, Guam, Russian Federation
32	30 Sep 2021 06:00	167	46.8 million	Few people	Japan, Guam, Russian Federation
33	30 Sep 2021 12:00	148	52.6 million	Few people	Japan, Russian Federation, Guam
34	30 Sep 2021 18:00	148	52.8 million	3 thousand	Japan, Russian Federation, Guam
35	01 Oct 2021 00:00	148	61.1 million	8 thousand	Japan, Russian Federation, Guam
36	01 Oct 2021 06:00	139	66.9 million	8 thousand	Japan, Russian Federation, Guam
37	01 Oct 2021 12:00	120	No people	No people
38	01 Oct 2021 18:00	102	69.3 million	8 thousand	Japan, Russian Federation, Guam

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)
1	22 Sep 2021 12:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	11.2, 148.6
2	22 Sep 2021 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	170000 people	11.8, 147.5
3	23 Sep 2021 00:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	170000 people	12.3, 146
4	23 Sep 2021 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	160000 people	13, 144.7
5	23 Sep 2021 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	170000 people	13.8, 142.8
6	23 Sep 2021 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	14.1, 141.8
7	24 Sep 2021 00:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	14.6, 140.9
8	24 Sep 2021 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	15.4, 140.3
9	24 Sep 2021 12:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	16.1, 139.2
10	24 Sep 2021 18:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	16.7, 138.5
11	25 Sep 2021 00:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	16.9, 138.2
12	25 Sep 2021 06:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	17.6, 137.6
13	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Category 4	213	no people	no people	18.1, 137.4
14	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Category 3	194	no people	no people	18.5, 137
15	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Category 5	259	no people	no people	18.6, 136.9
16	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Category 5	269	no people	no people	18.8, 136.7
17	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Category 4	241	no people	no people	19, 136.7
18	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	19.4, 136.7
19	27 Sep 2021 00:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	19.6, 136.7
20	27 Sep 2021 06:00	Category 2	176	no people	no people	19.9, 136.6
21	27 Sep 2021 12:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	20.1, 136.4
22	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	20.5, 136.3
23	28 Sep 2021 00:00	Category 2	176	no people	no people	21, 136.2
24	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Category 2	176	no people	no people	21.7, 135.7
25	28 Sep 2021 12:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	22, 135.5
26	28 Sep 2021 18:00	Category 3	194	no people	no people	22.6, 135.6
27	29 Sep 2021 00:00	Category 4	213	no people	no people	23.3, 135.4
28	29 Sep 2021 06:00	Category 4	213	no people	2100 people	24.2, 135.4
29	29 Sep 2021 12:00	Category 4	213	no people	2100 people	24.9, 135.5
30	29 Sep 2021 18:00	Category 3	204	no people	2100 people	25.8, 135.9
31	30 Sep 2021 00:00	Category 3	185	no people	2400 people	26.7, 136.4
32	30 Sep 2021 06:00	Category 2	167	<1000 people	15000 people	28, 137.3
33	30 Sep 2021 12:00	Category 1	148	<1000 people	40.1 million people	29.2, 138.3
34	30 Sep 2021 18:00	Category 1	148	3100 people	50 million people	30.4, 139.3
35	01 Oct 2021 00:00	Category 1	148	8300 people	60.9 million people	32.1, 141.1
36	01 Oct 2021 06:00	Category 1	139	no people	57.1 million people	34.1, 143.1
37	01 Oct 2021 12:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	35.8, 144.3
38	01 Oct 2021 18:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	18.6 million people	37.4, 145.6
38	02 Oct 2021 06:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	180000 people	41.6, 149.9
38	02 Oct 2021 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	46.4, 155.1

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Source: GADM and GHSL

Provinces

Source: GADM and GHSL

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Disclaimer - Copyright
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.