Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for JAWAD-21
Off-shore
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone JAWAD-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
Maximum storm surge n.a.
Vulnerability --
Landfall between
05 Dec 2021 12:00 - 06 Dec 2021 12:00

in India

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 74 km/h n.a. n.a. 1.5
Overall 65 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

74 km/h Current Max.

Up to 49.5 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Orange 1 03 Dec 2021 00:00 93 114.9 million No people India, Bangladesh
Orange 2 03 Dec 2021 06:00 83 104.8 million No people India, Bangladesh
Orange 3 03 Dec 2021 12:00 74 49.5 million No people India, Bangladesh

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 03 Dec 2021 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 14, 86.1
GREEN
2 03 Dec 2021 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 14.2, 85.2
GREEN
3 03 Dec 2021 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 14.8, 85.3
GREEN
3 04 Dec 2021 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 1 million people 16.1, 84.8
GREEN
3 04 Dec 2021 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 5.6 million people 17.4, 84.8
ORANGE
3 05 Dec 2021 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 17 million people 18.5, 85.3
ORANGE
3 05 Dec 2021 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 46.3 million people 19.5, 86
GREEN
3 06 Dec 2021 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 21.5, 88.1 India
GREEN
3 07 Dec 2021 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 23.7, 90.6 Bangladesh
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
India
Bangladesh

Provinces

Region Province Country
Andhra Pradesh India
Orissa India
West Bengal India
Khulna Bangladesh

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Srikakulam Andhra Pradesh India City 110000 people
Parlakimidi Andhra Pradesh India City 44000 people
Mandasa Andhra Pradesh India City 9300 people
Ichchapuram Andhra Pradesh India City 33000 people
Berhampur Orissa India City -
Chatrapur Orissa India City 21000 people
Puri Orissa India City 170000 people
Bhubaneshwar Orissa India City -
Cuttack Orissa India City -
Bhadrakh Orissa India City -
Balasore Orissa India City -
Kanthi West Bengal India City -
Kharagpur West Bengal India City 220000 people
Rajpur West Bengal India City 340000 people
Maheshtala West Bengal India City 440000 people
Rajarhat Gopalpur West Bengal India City 330000 people
Kolkata West Bengal India Major city 4.6 million people
Haora West Bengal India City 990000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Bhubaneswar BBI 45 Civ. Paved Yes 7300
Cuttack 42 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Kalingapatnam India
Baruva India
Gopalpore India
Puri INPUR India
Paradip INPRT India
Baleshwar India
Balasore India
Haldia INHAL India
Budge-Budge INBUD India
Port Canning India
Calcutta INCCU India
Howrah India

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Salia Salia 1980
Budhabudiani Budhabudiani 1967
Remal Remal 1985
Salandi Salandi 1972

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.