Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for BATSIRAI-22 in Madagascar on 27 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22

in Madagascar

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC
Primary source
WMO-RSMC La Réunion
Beta version

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Glide number:	TC-2022-000160-MDG
Exposed countries	Madagascar
Exposed population	2.9 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	231 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.1 m (01 Jan 02:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	102 km/h	0.1 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	231 km/h	0.1 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

TOP

Wind

102 km/h Current Max.

Up to 45000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
	1	27 Jan 2022 00:00	102	40 thousand	No people	Mauritius

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)
1	27 Jan 2022 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	-16.4, 83.7
1	27 Jan 2022 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	-17.5, 80.6
1	28 Jan 2022 00:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	-18.2, 77.5
1	28 Jan 2022 12:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	-18.7, 75.3
1	29 Jan 2022 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	-19.2, 72.4
1	30 Jan 2022 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	-19.4, 69.4
1	31 Jan 2022 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	45000 people	-19.2, 66.5
1	01 Feb 2022 00:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	-19.2, 63.2

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Mauritius

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Mauritius	Mauritius

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Rodrigues Plaine Corail	RRG	40	Civ.	Paved	Yes	3300

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Port Mathurin		Mauritius

TOP

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

TOP

StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.1m in Port Mathurin, Mauritius. This height is estimated for 01 Jan 2022 02:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (1 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 27 Jan 2022 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	01 Jan 2022 02:00	Port Mathurin	Mauritius	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.