Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for GOMBE-22 in Madagascar from 07 Mar 2022 18:00 UTC to 08 Mar 2022 22:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for GOMBE-22

in Madagascar

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC
Primary source
WMO-RSMC La Réunion
10 min - 1 min
Beta version

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact
10 min
1 min

Tropical Cyclone GOMBE-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France
Glide number:	TC-2022-000182-MDG
Exposed countries	Mozambique
Exposed population	380 thousand in Tropical Cyclone or higher
Maximum wind speed	167 km/h (10-min*)
Maximum storm surge	1 m (11 Mar 20:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Madagascar)
Landfall	between 11 Mar 2022 10:00 - 11 Mar 2022 22:00 in Mozambique
* GDACS: 1-min sustained winds; WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France: 10-min average

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind (10-min*)	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	167 km/h	1.0 m	n.a.	1.5
Overall	167 km/h	1.0 m	n.a.	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: latest forecast, Overall: entire TC track) based on WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France impact

Joint Pilot Activity: EC-JRC,WMO/RSMC La Réunion-Meteo France

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Wind
10 min
1 min

Impact Timeline
10 min
1 min

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h) (10-min*)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	07 Mar 2022 16:00	139	1.3 million	110 thousand	Mozambique
2	07 Mar 2022 22:00	65	630 thousand	No people	Madagascar
3	08 Mar 2022 04:00	65	340 thousand	No people	Madagascar
4	08 Mar 2022 10:00	148	3.8 million	400 thousand	Mozambique
5	08 Mar 2022 16:00	157	4.6 million	200 thousand	Mozambique
6	08 Mar 2022 22:00	167	4.5 million	380 thousand	Mozambique

Bulletin Timeline
10 min
1 min

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h) (10-min*)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	07 Mar 2022 16:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	15000 people	-15.5, 51.7
2	07 Mar 2022 22:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	630000 people	-15.7, 51
3	08 Mar 2022 04:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	340000 people	-15.5, 50.1	Madagascar
4	08 Mar 2022 10:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-15.3, 49.4	Madagascar
5	08 Mar 2022 16:00	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	-14.9, 48.3	Madagascar
6	08 Mar 2022 22:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	20000 people	-14.9, 47.6	Madagascar
6	09 Mar 2022 10:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	16000 people	-14.9, 46.7
6	09 Mar 2022 22:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	-15, 45.4
6	10 Mar 2022 10:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	-15.2, 44.2
6	10 Mar 2022 22:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	-15.5, 43.1
6	11 Mar 2022 10:00	Category 1	139	140000 people	1.1 million people	-15.6, 41.8
6	11 Mar 2022 22:00	Category 2	167	360000 people	3.4 million people	-15.6, 40.4	Mozambique
6	12 Mar 2022 10:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	3.1 million people	-15.4, 39.3	Mozambique
6	12 Mar 2022 22:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-15.4, 38.9	Mozambique
6	13 Mar 2022 10:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	780000 people	-15.9, 38.9	Mozambique
6	13 Mar 2022 22:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	-17.3, 40.1

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Mozambique

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Nampula	Mozambique

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Quinga		Mozambique

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 1.0m in Barroa, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 11 Mar 2022 20:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

The storm surge calculations have been performed using 1 min atmospheric wind forcing

Locations affected by Storm surge (142 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 6 of 08 Mar 2022 22:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	11 Mar 2022 20:00	Barroa	Mozambique	1.0
	11 Mar 2022 22:00	Metopa	Mozambique	0.8
	11 Mar 2022 21:00	Momade	Mozambique	0.5
	11 Mar 2022 22:00	Quinga	Mozambique	0.5
	11 Mar 2022 22:00	Metula	Mozambique	0.5
	12 Mar 2022 13:00	Chamba	Mozambique	0.5
	12 Mar 2022 13:00	Beira	Mozambique	0.5
	12 Mar 2022 13:00	Damiao	Mozambique	0.5
	12 Mar 2022 13:00	Nhangau	Mozambique	0.5
	09 Mar 2022 01:00	Ankinganomby	Madagascar	0.5
	09 Mar 2022 01:00	Antonibe	Madagascar	0.5
	12 Mar 2022 00:00	Muaco	Mozambique	0.4
	09 Mar 2022 01:00	Ambalatsingy	Madagascar	0.4
	11 Mar 2022 19:00	Ali	Mozambique	0.4
	09 Mar 2022 00:00	Anjiajia	Madagascar	0.4
	12 Mar 2022 13:00	Manica	Mozambique	0.4
	12 Mar 2022 22:00	Maconharumo	Mozambique	0.4
	12 Mar 2022 13:00	Chofandicho	Mozambique	0.4
	09 Mar 2022 01:00	Ambodibonara	Madagascar	0.4
	09 Mar 2022 01:00	Tsaratanana	Madagascar	0.4
	11 Mar 2022 20:00	Coluvelane	Mozambique	0.3
	11 Mar 2022 19:00	Terrene	Mozambique	0.3
	08 Mar 2022 06:00	Maroantsetra	Madagascar	0.3
	08 Mar 2022 06:00	Andranofotsy	Madagascar	0.3
	12 Mar 2022 14:00	Chimuaza	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2022 14:00	Vila do Chinde	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2022 13:00	Panaca	Mozambique	0.3
	08 Mar 2022 05:00	Mahalevona	Madagascar	0.3
	12 Mar 2022 14:00	Mulia	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2022 12:00	Tama	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2022 12:00	Jonja	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2022 22:00	Machesse	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2022 13:00	Nova Sofala	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2022 22:00	Amado	Mozambique	0.3
	08 Mar 2022 06:00	Anantoraka	Madagascar	0.3
	12 Mar 2022 11:00	Nhamatamanga	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2022 14:00	Ocone	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2022 12:00	Rupia	Mozambique	0.3
	08 Mar 2022 06:00	Manambia	Madagascar	0.3
	11 Mar 2022 18:00	Calajulo	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2022 12:00	Bingue	Mozambique	0.3
	09 Mar 2022 01:00	Ampasindava	Madagascar	0.3
	08 Mar 2022 07:00	Voloina	Madagascar	0.3
	11 Mar 2022 19:00	Lunga	Mozambique	0.3
	11 Mar 2022 19:00	Injaca	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Quelimane do Sal	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Inhangulue	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Magromane	Mozambique	0.3
	09 Mar 2022 01:00	Antaribao	Madagascar	0.3
	12 Mar 2022 14:00	Barra	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2022 03:00	Namuali	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2022 01:00	Nantapa	Mozambique	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 01:00	Ankinganifahatelo	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 05:00	Namacoto	Mozambique	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 05:00	Ambanizana	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 09:00	Mocareja	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 14:00	Mendozo	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 10:00	Metapa	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 13:00	Tomodo	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 13:00	Mutiba	Mozambique	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 07:00	Rantabe	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 04:00	Benjana	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 13:00	Caliua	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 10:00	Raraga	Mozambique	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 00:00	Ananalava	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 02:00	Anjanozana	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 09:00	Caramaca	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 10:00	Morrua	Mozambique	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 01:00	Antetikireja	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 11:00	Boanamary	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 02:00	Anaovandrano	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 02:00	Ampanavoana	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 12:00	Ambato	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 13:00	Chiloane	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 12:00	Anjiabe	Madagascar	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 17:00	Mocambique	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 18:00	Lumbo	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 18:00	Mosengeri	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 09:00	Murrumuana	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 09:00	Chululu	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 13:00	Carramali	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 13:00	Bajone	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 10:00	Pebane	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 11:00	Ampombilava	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 11:00	Andriana	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 11:00	Antanamazava	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 12:00	Manehoko	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 06:00	Natiquinde	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 11:00	Katsepy	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 12:00	Nosy Faly	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 13:00	Ambatomainty	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 13:00	Antanimandry	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 13:00	Ambodibonara	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 13:00	Tanambao	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 13:00	Anjabe	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 13:00	Andranomena	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 17:00	Ankazobe	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 00:00	Analalava	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 10:00	Mahabo	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 02:00	Antanjokatafana	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 06:00	Maintimbato	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 05:00	Tampolo	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 02:00	Maniroka	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 05:00	Anjajavy	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 09:00	Mutadua	Mozambique	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 11:00	Kamendriky	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 12:00	Ambatoxavavy	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 11:00	Ampasitsilavitra	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 08:00	Napito	Mozambique	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 03:00	Marovoha	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 09:00	Moebase	Mozambique	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 12:00	Andrafia	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 12:00	Ambaramidada	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 05:00	Coropoa	Mozambique	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 05:00	Larde	Mozambique	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 11:00	Majunga	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 01:00	Ampitily	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 05:00	Ankaranakatra	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 09:00	Namorre	Mozambique	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 02:00	Ratsianarana	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 02:00	Ambodivato	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 06:00	Fananehana	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 04:00	Antalavia	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 11:00	Ankerefo	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 11:00	Ambalabao	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 11:00	Bevatry	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 20:00	Tambohorano	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 20:00	Ambatomilahy	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 22:00	Andemba	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 22:00	Ampanihy	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 22:00	Reharaka	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 00:00	Ampasibe	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 05:00	Anoromby	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 05:00	Rantranavona	Madagascar	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 17:00	Cabaceira	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 18:00	Mossuril	Mozambique	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 22:00	Maintirano	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 20:00	Ankirijibe	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 20:00	Manampea	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 22:00	Belailay	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 03:00	Fampotabe	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 02:00	Vinanivao	Madagascar	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.

Impact 10 min1 min