Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for AGATHA-22
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone AGATHA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Glide number: TC-2022-000223-MEX
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population 220 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 176 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (31 May 02:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)
Landfall between
30 May 2022 12:00 - 31 May 2022 00:00

in Mexico

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 148 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 1.5
Overall 176 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

148 km/h Current Max.

Up to 470000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Orange 1 28 May 2022 03:00 148 3 million 470 thousand Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 28 May 2022 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 12.8, -97.9
GREEN
1 28 May 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 12.8, -98.6
GREEN
1 29 May 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 13.2, -98.9
GREEN
1 29 May 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 13.7, -98.9
GREEN
1 30 May 2022 00:00 Category 1 130 no people 250000 people 14.2, -98.7
ORANGE
1 30 May 2022 12:00 Category 1 148 150000 people 2.1 million people 14.7, -98.1
ORANGE
1 31 May 2022 00:00 Category 1 148 470000 people 3 million people 15.7, -96.9 Mexico
GREEN
1 01 Jun 2022 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 17.2, -95.1 Mexico
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Mexico

Provinces

Region Province Country
Oaxaca Mexico
Veracruz Mexico

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Pochutla Oaxaca Mexico City 13000 people
Miahuatlan Oaxaca Mexico City 17000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Puerto Escondido PXM 88 Civ. Paved Yes 7500
Pochutla PUH unknown 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Puerto Angel Mexico
Punta Escondida Mexico

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Coyote, Mexico. This height is estimated for 31 May 2022 02:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (31 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 28 May 2022 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
31 May 2022 02:00 Coyote Mexico  0.3
31 May 2022 02:00 Tlachicon Mexico  0.3
28 May 2022 17:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.3
28 May 2022 17:00 El Roble Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 02:00 La Redonda Mexico  0.2
30 May 2022 23:00 Paso Hondo Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 05:00 Bajo de Arenal Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 02:00 Puerto Escondido Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 02:00 Chagues Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 03:00 Loma Larga Mexico  0.1
28 May 2022 14:00 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
28 May 2022 14:00 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.1
28 May 2022 14:00 Union Hidalgo Mexico  0.1
28 May 2022 14:00 Chicapa Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
28 May 2022 14:00 El Tulate Guatemala  0.1
28 May 2022 15:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
28 May 2022 13:00 La Verde Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2022 02:00 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 17:00 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
30 May 2022 22:00 Bajos de Chila Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 00:00 Puerto Angel Mexico  0.1
28 May 2022 14:00 Puerto de San Benito Mexico  0.1
28 May 2022 14:00 Tecojate Guatemala  0.1
28 May 2022 15:00 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 16:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
28 May 2022 13:00 Tahuesco Guatemala  0.1
28 May 2022 16:00 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 02:00 Mirador Mexico  0.1
28 May 2022 14:00 Champerico Guatemala  0.1
28 May 2022 14:00 Barra Madre Vieja Guatemala  0.1