Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KARL-22
in Mexico
12 Oct 2022 15 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone KARL-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Mexico
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 93 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (13 Oct 15:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)
    Landfall between
    15 Oct 2022 00:00 - 15 Oct 2022 12:00
    in Mexico

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 74 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 93 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      74 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 2.5 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 11 Oct 2022 21:00 83 2.7 million No people Mexico
        Green 2 12 Oct 2022 03:00 83 5.1 million No people Mexico
        Green 3 12 Oct 2022 09:00 83 2.7 million No people Mexico
        Green 4 12 Oct 2022 15:00 74 2.5 million No people Mexico

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 11 Oct 2022 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 19.6, -94.4
          GREEN
          		 2 12 Oct 2022 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 12000 people 20.5, -94.9
          GREEN
          		 3 12 Oct 2022 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 21.1, -94.9
          GREEN
          		 4 12 Oct 2022 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 21.7, -94.7
          GREEN
          		 4 13 Oct 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 22, -94.8
          GREEN
          		 4 13 Oct 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 21.6, -94.8
          GREEN
          		 4 14 Oct 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 20.9, -94.6
          GREEN
          		 4 14 Oct 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 22000 people 20, -94.5
          GREEN
          		 4 15 Oct 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 930000 people 19.1, -94.8
          GREEN
          		 4 15 Oct 2022 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 18.1, -95.4 Mexico
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
          Mexico 2.4 million people

          Provinces

          Region Province Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
          Veracruz Mexico 2.1 million people
          Tabasco Mexico 210000 people
          Oaxaca Mexico 38000 people

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Veracruz Veracruz Mexico Major city 560000 people
          Alvarado Veracruz Mexico City 21000 people
          Tiacotalpan Veracruz Mexico City -
          Catemaco Veracruz Mexico City 24000 people
          San Andrés Tuxtla Veracruz Mexico City -
          Santiago Tuxtla Veracruz Mexico City 16000 people
          Cosamaloapan Veracruz Mexico City 29000 people
          Coatzacoalcos Veracruz Mexico City 230000 people
          Cosoleacaque Veracruz Mexico City 20000 people
          Minatitlán Veracruz Mexico City 150000 people
          Loma Bonita Oaxaca Mexico City 30000 people
          Acayucan Veracruz Mexico City 47000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Lerdo de Tejada 40 0
          Carlos A Carrillo 38 0
          Minatitlan MTT 40 Civ. Paved Yes 6800
          Minatitlan Old 27 0
          El Mendozal 69 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Vera Cruz MXVER Mexico
          Alvarado MXAVD Mexico
          Dos Bocas MXDBT Mexico
          Rabon Grande Mexico
          Coatzacoalcos MXCOA Mexico
          Nanchital MXNAN Mexico
          Minatitlan MXMTT Mexico

          Nuclear plants

          Name Country Reactors
          LAGUNA VERDE MEXICO 2
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          0.7 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Kopernik Shores, United States. This height is estimated for 13 Oct 2022 15:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (206 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 4 of 12 Oct 2022 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          13 Oct 2022 15:00 Kopernik Shores United States  0.7
          13 Oct 2022 16:00 Boca Chica United States  0.6
          13 Oct 2022 13:00 South Padre Island United States  0.6
          13 Oct 2022 10:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.5
          13 Oct 2022 10:00 Palacios United States  0.5
          13 Oct 2022 12:00 Holly Beach United States  0.5
          13 Oct 2022 12:00 Laguna Vista United States  0.5
          13 Oct 2022 12:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.5
          13 Oct 2022 12:00 Port Isabel United States  0.5
          13 Oct 2022 11:00 Nadeau United States  0.5
          13 Oct 2022 11:00 Texas City Junction United States  0.5
          13 Oct 2022 11:00 Bayou Vista United States  0.5
          13 Oct 2022 11:00 Texas City United States  0.5
          13 Oct 2022 11:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.5
          13 Oct 2022 11:00 Virginia Point United States  0.5
          13 Oct 2022 11:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.5
          13 Oct 2022 11:00 Fort Travis United States  0.5
          13 Oct 2022 11:00 Flake United States  0.5
          13 Oct 2022 11:00 Elmgrove United States  0.5
          13 Oct 2022 11:00 Crystal Beach United States  0.5
          13 Oct 2022 23:00 Los Ebanos Mexico  0.5
          13 Oct 2022 23:00 El Porvenir Mexico  0.5
          13 Oct 2022 10:00 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.5
          13 Oct 2022 23:00 San Jose de los Leones Mexico  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 14:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 15:00 Galveston United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 13:00 Spanish Village United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 10:00 Valasco Heights United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 10:00 Freeport United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 10:00 Hoskins United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 10:00 Mims United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 10:00 Port Morris United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 10:00 Hoskins United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 01:00 Champoton Mexico  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 01:00 Haltunchen Mexico  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 01:00 Seybaplaya Mexico  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 15:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 15:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 15:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 15:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 15:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 15:00 Aransas Pass United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 15:00 Estes United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 15:00 Shell Ridge United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 09:00 Quintana United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 09:00 Surfside United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 09:00 Surfside Beach United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 15:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 14:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.4
          14 Oct 2022 09:00 Majahual Mexico  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 02:00 Balantanche Mexico  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 14:00 Sea Isle United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 11:00 Patton United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 12:00 Fraccionamiento Nuevo Leon Mexico  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 10:00 Jamaica Beach United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 15:00 Rockport United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 15:00 Copano Village United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 15:00 Fulton United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 10:00 High Island United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 15:00 Mustang Beach United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 15:00 Port Aransas United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 13:00 Matagorda United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 13:00 Chinquapin United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 09:00 Gulf Park United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 13:00 Yarborough United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 11:00 Caplen United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 11:00 Gilchrist United States  0.4
          12 Oct 2022 07:00 Arista Mexico  0.4
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 La Pesca Mexico  0.4
          14 Oct 2022 03:00 Tamiahua Mexico  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 03:00 El Naranjal Mexico  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 12:00 Agua Dulce Mexico  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 13:00 Bryan Beach United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 11:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 11:00 Constance Beach United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 11:00 Peveto Beach United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 16:00 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 15:00 La Mata Mexico  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 11:00 Holly Beach United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 23:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 11:00 Cameron United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 08:00 Calderas Mexico  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 09:00 Los Pericos Mexico  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 17:00 El Tular Mexico  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 01:00 Hoquel Mexico  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 08:00 Dos Hermanas Mexico  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 15:00 Grand Chenier United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 09:00 Rancho Nuevo Mexico  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 11:00 Oak Grove United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 12:00 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 12:00 Primero de Mayo Mexico  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 10:00 La Presita Mexico  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 12:00 Tampico Alta Mexico  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 12:00 Santeneja Belize  0.3
          12 Oct 2022 07:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 07:00 La Majada Mexico  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 14:00 Bassa Bassa United States  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 07:00 San Pedro Mexico  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 04:00 Sabancuy Mexico  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 04:00 Noham Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 05:00 Xcalak Mexico  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 12:00 Cheniere Au Tigre United States  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 02:00 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 02:00 Chenkan Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 12:00 Gulf Park Estates United States  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 13:00 West Point United States  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 08:00 Rancho de Piedra Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 23:00 Celestum Mexico  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 13:00 Grand Ecaille United States  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 14:00 Breton United States  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 14:00 Leeville United States  0.2
          15 Oct 2022 01:00 Eden Isle United States  0.2
          15 Oct 2022 01:00 Howze Beach United States  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 07:00 El Roble Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 06:00 Buenavista Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 07:00 Boqueron Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 07:00 Tepeguahe Mexico  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 04:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 12:00 Hilda United States  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 12:00 Gautier United States  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 08:00 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 08:00 Barrancones Honduras  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 08:00 Condega Honduras  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 08:00 Cedeno Honduras  0.2
          11 Oct 2022 23:00 Tonala Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 07:00 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 12:00 Pascagoula United States  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 13:00 Cheniere Caminada United States  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 13:00 Grand Isle United States  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 13:00 Sunrise United States  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 13:00 Buras United States  0.2
          11 Oct 2022 23:00 Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
          11 Oct 2022 23:00 Alvarado Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 05:00 Nautla Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 05:00 El Laurel Mexico  0.2
          11 Oct 2022 23:00 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 06:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 13:00 Laja Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 00:00 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 07:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 12:00 Chetumal Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 12:00 Calderita Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 08:00 El Carmen Nicaragua  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 08:00 Gualora Honduras  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 09:00 Santo Tomas Nicaragua  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 09:00 Mangle Alto Nicaragua  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 20:00 Ostrica United States  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 14:00 Neptune United States  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 12:00 Tecolutla Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 08:00 Conchaguita El Salvador  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 16:00 Bacalar Chico Belize  0.1
          11 Oct 2022 23:00 Las Barrillas Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 00:00 Hidalgo Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 00:00 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 12:00 La Concepion Mexico  0.1
          13 Oct 2022 01:00 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 10:00 Tupilco Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Bayou La Batre United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Coden United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Nelson United States  0.1
          13 Oct 2022 20:00 Fort Jackson United States  0.1
          13 Oct 2022 20:00 Boothville United States  0.1
          15 Oct 2022 04:00 Montepio Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 10:00 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
          11 Oct 2022 23:00 Sanchez Magallanes Mexico  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 12:00 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 07:00 Puerto de San Benito Mexico  0.1
          13 Oct 2022 04:00 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.1
          13 Oct 2022 20:00 Dauphin Island United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Heron Bay United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Alabama Port United States  0.1
          13 Oct 2022 20:00 Fort Gaines United States  0.1
          13 Oct 2022 20:00 Duvic United States  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 15:00 Veracruz Mexico  0.1
          11 Oct 2022 23:00 Salinas Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 07:00 Tahuesco Guatemala  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 07:00 Nueva Venecia Guatemala  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 08:00 Guerrero El Salvador  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 06:00 Tenixtepec Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 05:00 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 12:00 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
          15 Oct 2022 01:00 Sisal Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Swift United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Romar Beach United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Miffin United States  0.1
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Fort Morgan United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Cedar Grove United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Magnolia Springs United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Oyster Bay United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Bon Secaur United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Oak United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Gulf Shores United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 08:00 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 05:00 Vega de Alatorre Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 05:00 Emilio Carranza Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 00:00 Chiltepec Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 05:00 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.1
          13 Oct 2022 03:00 Paso Real Mexico  0.1
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Gulf Highlands United States  0.1
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Gasque United States  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 01:00 Vigia Chico Mexico  0.1
          13 Oct 2022 10:00 Port Fourchon United States  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 15:00 Conejo Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 07:00 El Tulate Guatemala  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 07:00 Huitzitzil Guatemala  0.1