Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for JAWAD-21
Off-shore
03 Dec 2021 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone JAWAD-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
    Maximum storm surge n.a.
    Vulnerability --
    Landfall between
    05 Dec 2021 18:00 - 06 Dec 2021 18:00
    in India

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 65 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
    Overall 65 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      65 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 4.7 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Orange 1 03 Dec 2021 00:00 93 114.9 million No people India, Bangladesh
        Orange 2 03 Dec 2021 06:00 83 104.8 million No people India, Bangladesh
        Orange 3 03 Dec 2021 12:00 74 49.5 million No people India, Bangladesh
        Green 4 03 Dec 2021 18:00 65 4.7 million No people India

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 03 Dec 2021 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 14, 86.1
          GREEN
          		 2 03 Dec 2021 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 14.2, 85.2
          GREEN
          		 3 03 Dec 2021 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 14.8, 85.3
          GREEN
          		 4 03 Dec 2021 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 14.8, 84.9
          GREEN
          		 4 04 Dec 2021 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 4.8 million people 16.1, 84.7
          GREEN
          		 4 04 Dec 2021 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 17.3, 85
          GREEN
          		 4 05 Dec 2021 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 18.2, 85.4
          GREEN
          		 4 05 Dec 2021 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 19.3, 86.1
          GREEN
          		 4 06 Dec 2021 18:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 21.5, 88.4 India
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          India

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Andhra Pradesh India
          Orissa India

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Vishakhapatnam Andhra Pradesh India Major city -
          Bhogapuram Andhra Pradesh India City -
          Srikakulam Andhra Pradesh India City 110000 people
          Parlakimidi Andhra Pradesh India City 44000 people
          Mandasa Andhra Pradesh India City 9300 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Vishakhapatnam VTZ 4 Civ. Paved No 6000

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Vishakhapatnam INVTZ India
          Bheemunipatnam INBHM India
          Kalingapatnam India
          Baruva India
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.