Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for HAIYAN-13
in China, Viet Nam, Philippines, Palau
GDACS
Impact Single TC
HWRF
ECMWF
GFS
Impact all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HAIYAN-13 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries China, Viet Nam, Philippines, Palau
Exposed population 13.7 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 315 km/h
Maximum storm surge 2.3 m (08 Nov 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (China)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 241 km/h 1.9 m n.a. 2.5
GDACS Overall 315 km/h 2.3 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

241 km/h Current Max.

Up to 6.6 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 03 Nov 2013 06:00 222 No people No people Philippines, Palau
Red 2 03 Nov 2013 12:00 222 No people 2.8 million Philippines
Red 3 03 Nov 2013 18:00 222 No people 7.1 million Philippines
Red 4 04 Nov 2013 00:00 232 No people 6.4 million Philippines
Red 5 04 Nov 2013 06:00 222 No people 6.3 million Philippines
Red 6 04 Nov 2013 12:00 222 No people 6 million Philippines
Red 7 04 Nov 2013 18:00 241 No people 5.3 million Philippines
Red 8 05 Nov 2013 00:00 241 No people 6.7 million Philippines

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
green
1 11/3/2013 6:00:00 AM Tropical depression 47 no people no people 6.4, 156
green
2 11/3/2013 12:00:00 PM Tropical depression 56 no people no people 6.4, 154.3
green
3 11/3/2013 6:00:00 PM Tropical depression 56 no people no people 6.4, 152.7
green
4 11/4/2013 Tropical storm 64 no people no people 6, 151.6
green
4 11/4/2013 Tropical storm 64 no people no people 6, 151.6
green
5 11/4/2013 6:00:00 AM Tropical storm 74 no people no people 6, 150.2
green
6 11/4/2013 12:00:00 PM Tropical storm 84 no people no people 6.1, 148.3
green
7 11/4/2013 6:00:00 PM Tropical storm 101 no people no people 6.5, 147.3
green
8 11/5/2013 Category 1 121 no people no people 6.4, 145.9
green
8 11/5/2013 12:00:00 PM Category 1 148 no people no people 6.6, 143.2
green
8 11/6/2013 Category 2 175 no people no people 7.3, 140.2
green
8 11/6/2013 12:00:00 PM Category 3 204 30000 people no people 8.1, 137.3 Palau
red
8 11/7/2013 Category 4 222 5 million people 130000 people 9.1, 133.8 Philippines
red
8 11/8/2013 Category 4 241 27.6 million people 6.6 million people 10.9, 126.2 Philippines
green
8 11/9/2013 Category 4 212 48000 people no people 12.9, 118.6 Philippines
green
8 11/10/2013 Category 3 195 no people no people 15.1, 111.1
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Provinces

Country Region Province Population
Philippines Central Visayas 4.5 million people
Philippines Western Visayas 5.3 million people
Philippines Bicol 3.9 million people
Philippines Southern Tagalog 8.2 million people
Philippines Eastern Visayas 3 million people
Philippines Northern Mindanao 3.5 million people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Calbayog Eastern Visayas Philippines City 67000 people
Kalibo Western Visayas Philippines City 56000 people
Roxas Western Visayas Philippines City 100000 people
Babatñgon Leyte Philippines City -
Barugo Leyte Philippines City 6500 people
Carigara Leyte Philippines City 17000 people
Palo Eastern Visayas Philippines City 17000 people
Bogo Central Visayas Philippines City 23000 people
Ormoc Eastern Visayas Philippines City 90000 people
Burauen Eastern Visayas Philippines City 14000 people
Cadiz Western Visayas Philippines City 120000 people
Tacloban Tacloban City Philippines City 180000 people
Tanauan Eastern Visayas Philippines City 16000 people
Guiuan Eastern Visayas Philippines City 11000 people
Dulag Eastern Visayas Philippines City 9900 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
San Jose SJI 3 Civ. Paved No 6000
Romblon TBH 3 Civ. Paved No 3900
Calbayog CYP 3 Civ. Paved No 4800
Kalib0 KLO 6 Civ. Paved No 6000
Roxas RXS 3 Civ. Paved No 6200
Ormoc OMC 25 Civ. Paved No 3900
Daniel Z Romualdez TAC 2 Civ. Paved Yes 7000
Guiuan 2 Civ. Paved No 7000
Philphos 5
Borongan 2
Culion CUJ unknown
Sicogon Island ICO unknown
Caticlan Malay MPH unknown
Busuanga USU 45 Civ. Paved No 3900
Coron XCN unknown
Wasig 5
Biliran Natl 89
Catbalogan 15

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Borongan PHBGV Philippines
Catbalogan PHCTS Philippines
Culion PHCUJ Philippines
Isabel PHISL Philippines
Romblon Island PHRLN Philippines
Tacloban PHTAC Philippines
Caminawit Philippines
Odiongan Philippines
Gen Macarthur Philippines
Guiuan Philippines
Talalora Philippines
Leyte Philippines
Lagome Philippines
Baybay Philippines
Pilar Philippines
Ormoc Philippines
Merida Philippines
Palompon Philippines
Villaba Philippines
Arevalo Philippines
Calubian Philippines
Bogo Philippines
Borbon Philippines
Sogod Bay Philippines
Santa Fe Philippines
Cadiz Philippines
Port Capiz Philippines
Pandan Philippines
Coron Philippines
Basuanga Philippines
Port Bello Philippines
San Isidro Philippines
Tanauan Philippines
Semirara Island Philippines
Calbayog Philippines
Bongabong Philippines
Sablayan Philippines

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

No locations affected by storm surge > 10 cm

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (839 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 31 of 10 Nov 2013 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

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