Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for CALVIN-17 in Mexico from 11 Jun 2017 21:00 UTC to 13 Jun 2017 12:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CALVIN-17

in Mexico

12 Jun 2017 12 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CALVIN-17 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	52 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.1 m (12 Jun 22:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	52 km/h	0.1 m	n.a.	0.5
ECMWF Overall	30 km/h	0.1 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

30 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 12 Jun 2017 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	11 Jun 2017 00:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	11 Jun 2017 12:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	12 Jun 2017 00:00	55	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	12 Jun 2017 12:00	52	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 12 Jun 2017 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	11 Jun 2017 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	11 Jun 2017 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	12 Jun 2017 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	12 Jun 2017 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.1m in Chetumal, Mexico. This height is estimated for 12 Jun 2017 22:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 Jun 2017 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	12 Jun 2017 22:15	Chetumal	Mexico	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 22:15	Calderita	Mexico	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 22:15	Santeneja	Belize	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 22:15	Dos Hermanas	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jun 2017 20:30	Calderas	Mexico	0.1
	15 Jun 2017 07:15	Las Pozas	Nicaragua	0.1
	15 Jun 2017 07:15	La Chacara	Nicaragua	0.1
	15 Jun 2017 07:15	El Capulin	Nicaragua	0.1
	15 Jun 2017 07:15	Condega	Honduras	0.1
	15 Jun 2017 07:15	Mangle Alto	Nicaragua	0.1
	14 Jun 2017 21:30	Canoguero	El Salvador	0.1
	14 Jun 2017 21:30	El Cacao	El Salvador	0.1
	14 Jun 2017 21:30	Conchaguita	El Salvador	0.1
	14 Jun 2017 21:30	Guerrero	El Salvador	0.1
	15 Jun 2017 07:15	Cedeno	Honduras	0.1
	15 Jun 2017 07:15	Albania	Honduras	0.1
	15 Jun 2017 09:45	El Mogotillo	El Salvador	0.1
	15 Jun 2017 09:45	La Union	El Salvador	0.1
	15 Jun 2017 09:45	Murucagua	Honduras	0.1
	15 Jun 2017 09:45	El Capulin	Honduras	0.1
	15 Jun 2017 09:45	El Zapote	Honduras	0.1
	15 Jun 2017 09:45	El Ajustillo	Honduras	0.1
	15 Jun 2017 09:45	Puerto Grande	Honduras	0.1
	15 Jun 2017 09:45	El Volcancillo	Honduras	0.1
	15 Jun 2017 09:45	Gualora	Honduras	0.1
	15 Jun 2017 09:45	Las Piletas	Honduras	0.1
	15 Jun 2017 09:45	El Moray	Honduras	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 14:15	Huajapan	Mexico	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 14:15	El Roble	Mexico	0.1
	13 Jun 2017 19:15	Hacienda Santa Elena	Costa Rica	0.1
	13 Jun 2017 19:15	El Ostional	Nicaragua	0.1
	13 Jun 2017 19:15	El Jobo	Costa Rica	0.1
	13 Jun 2017 19:15	Hacienda Murcielago	Costa Rica	0.1
	13 Jun 2017 19:15	Cuatro Caminos	Nicaragua	0.1
	13 Jun 2017 19:15	Murcielago	Costa Rica	0.1
	13 Jun 2017 19:15	Puerto Soleo	Costa Rica	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 14:00	La Majada	Mexico	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 14:15	Cachimba	Mexico	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 17:00	Buenavista	Mexico	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 13:45	Pesqueria	Mexico	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 13:45	San Dionisio del Mar	Mexico	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 13:45	San Francisco del Mar	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jun 2017 21:45	Balantanche	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jun 2017 21:45	Neyac	Mexico	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 20:15	Puerto Madero	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.