Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CALVIN-17
in Mexico
13 Jun 2017 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CALVIN-17 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 63 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.1 m (13 Jun 08:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 63 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 63 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

63 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Jun 2017 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico06 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 11 Jun 2017 18:00 110 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 12 Jun 2017 00:00 70 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 12 Jun 2017 06:00 64 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 12 Jun 2017 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 13 Jun 2017 00:00 63 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 13 Jun 2017 06:00 63 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 13 Jun 2017 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 11 Jun 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 12 Jun 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 12 Jun 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 12 Jun 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 13 Jun 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 13 Jun 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.1m in Las Guayabas, Mexico. This height is estimated for 13 Jun 2017 08:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Jun 2017 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
13 Jun 2017 08:45 Las Guayabas Mexico  0.1
13 Jun 2017 20:45 Chetumal Mexico  0.1
13 Jun 2017 20:45 Calderita Mexico  0.1
13 Jun 2017 20:45 Santeneja Belize  0.1
13 Jun 2017 20:45 Dos Hermanas Mexico  0.1
13 Jun 2017 07:30 Boqueron Mexico  0.1
13 Jun 2017 07:30 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
13 Jun 2017 10:30 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
13 Jun 2017 09:30 Chiltepec Mexico  0.1
13 Jun 2017 09:30 Hidalgo Mexico  0.1
13 Jun 2017 21:30 Calderas Mexico  0.1
13 Jun 2017 18:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
13 Jun 2017 18:15 Arista Mexico  0.1
13 Jun 2017 17:15 Cabeza de Vaca Guatemala  0.1
13 Jun 2017 17:15 Baranca Belize  0.1
13 Jun 2017 17:15 San Juan Guatemala  0.1
13 Jun 2017 17:15 Cocoli Guatemala  0.1
13 Jun 2017 17:15 Buena Vista Guatemala  0.1
13 Jun 2017 17:15 Livingston Guatemala  0.1