Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for THREE-19 Off-shore from 15 Mar 2019 00:00 UTC to 18 Mar 2019 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for THREE-19

Off-shore

16 Mar 2019 12 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone THREE-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	Philippines
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	90 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (16 Mar 16:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	90 km/h	0.2 m	216 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	58 km/h	0.2 m	257 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

58 km/h

Up to 20 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Philippines	24,590

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	14 Mar 2019 12:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	15 Mar 2019 00:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	15 Mar 2019 12:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	16 Mar 2019 00:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	16 Mar 2019 12:00	90	-		-	-	-	-	-	Philippines

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Philippines	2,518,445	+
	Philippines	2,518,444
	Other countries	01
50-100 mm	Philippines	10,896,347	+
	Philippines	10,896,295
	Other countries	52

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	14 Mar 2019 12:00	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	15 Mar 2019 00:00	202	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	15 Mar 2019 12:00	205	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	16 Mar 2019 00:00	277	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	16 Mar 2019 12:00	216	2.5 million			-	-	-	-	Philippines, Other countries

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Calaya, Philippines. This height is estimated for 16 Mar 2019 16:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	16 Mar 2019 16:15	Calaya	Philippines	0.2
	16 Mar 2019 16:15	Barcelona	Philippines	0.2
	16 Mar 2019 16:15	Valencia	Philippines	0.2
	16 Mar 2019 16:15	Pulupandan	Philippines	0.2
	16 Mar 2019 16:15	Pontevedra	Philippines	0.2
	16 Mar 2019 16:15	Sum-ag	Philippines	0.2
	16 Mar 2019 16:15	Jaro	Philippines	0.2
	16 Mar 2019 16:15	Avila	Philippines	0.2
	16 Mar 2019 16:15	Bacolod	Philippines	0.2
	16 Mar 2019 16:15	Talisay	Philippines	0.2
	16 Mar 2019 16:15	Silay	Philippines	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 10:00	Kampong Kolapis	Malaysia	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 10:00	Kampong Samawang	Malaysia	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 10:00	Kampong Dandulit	Malaysia	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 09:45	Beluran	Malaysia	0.1
	16 Mar 2019 16:30	Saravia	Philippines	0.1
	16 Mar 2019 16:15	Talisay	Philippines	0.1
	16 Mar 2019 18:15	Kuala Balingian	Malaysia	0.1
	16 Mar 2019 18:15	Kuala Tatau	Malaysia	0.1
	16 Mar 2019 16:45	Anilao	Philippines	0.1
	16 Mar 2019 16:45	Banate	Philippines	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 09:30	Kampong Kaniogan	Malaysia	0.1
	16 Mar 2019 18:15	Bintulu	Malaysia	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 10:00	Djoeata	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 10:00	Lingkas	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 10:00	Tarakan	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 10:00	Peningki	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Mar 2019 16:45	Barotac Viejo	Philippines	0.1
	16 Mar 2019 16:45	Culasi	Philippines	0.1
	17 Mar 2019 09:30	Nunukan	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Mar 2019 09:30	Mentadak	Malaysia	0.1
	17 Mar 2019 09:30	Kpg Sungai Pendak	Malaysia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.