Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for THREE-19 Off-shore from 15 Mar 2019 00:00 UTC to 18 Mar 2019 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for THREE-19

Off-shore

18 Mar 2019 00 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone THREE-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	50 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (20 Mar 11:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	50 km/h	0.2 m	528 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	58 km/h	0.2 m	257 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

58 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 18 Mar 2019 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	14 Mar 2019 12:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	15 Mar 2019 00:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	15 Mar 2019 12:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	16 Mar 2019 00:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	16 Mar 2019 12:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	17 Mar 2019 00:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	17 Mar 2019 12:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	18 Mar 2019 00:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Mar 2019 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Philippines	357,705
50-100 mm	Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia	4,896,984	+
	Philippines	4,892,730
	Other countries	32
	Malaysia	3,215
	Indonesia	1,007

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	14 Mar 2019 12:00	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	15 Mar 2019 00:00	202	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	15 Mar 2019 12:00	205	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	16 Mar 2019 00:00	277	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	16 Mar 2019 12:00	216	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	17 Mar 2019 00:00	279	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	17 Mar 2019 12:00	175	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	18 Mar 2019 00:00	528	360 thousand			-	-	-	-	Philippines, Other countries, Malaysia, Indonesia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Kuala Balingian, Malaysia. This height is estimated for 20 Mar 2019 11:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Mar 2019 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	20 Mar 2019 11:15	Kuala Balingian	Malaysia	0.2
	20 Mar 2019 11:15	Kuala Tatau	Malaysia	0.2
	18 Mar 2019 15:00	Calaya	Philippines	0.1
	18 Mar 2019 15:00	Barcelona	Philippines	0.1
	18 Mar 2019 15:00	Valencia	Philippines	0.1
	18 Mar 2019 15:00	Pulupandan	Philippines	0.1
	18 Mar 2019 15:00	Pontevedra	Philippines	0.1
	18 Mar 2019 15:00	Sum-ag	Philippines	0.1
	18 Mar 2019 15:00	Jaro	Philippines	0.1
	18 Mar 2019 15:00	Avila	Philippines	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 10:45	Bintulu	Malaysia	0.1
	18 Mar 2019 15:00	Bacolod	Philippines	0.1
	18 Mar 2019 15:00	Talisay	Philippines	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 08:30	Narandong	Malaysia	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 08:30	Taburan	Malaysia	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 11:15	Beluran	Malaysia	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 11:15	Kampong Kolapis	Malaysia	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 11:15	Kampong Samawang	Malaysia	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 10:30	Kampong Dandulit	Malaysia	0.1
	18 Mar 2019 15:00	Silay	Philippines	0.1
	18 Mar 2019 09:45	Nunukan	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Mar 2019 10:15	Mentadak	Malaysia	0.1
	18 Mar 2019 10:15	Kpg Sungai Pendak	Malaysia	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 08:15	Jambongan	Malaysia	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 10:45	Kampong Kaniogan	Malaysia	0.1
	18 Mar 2019 15:15	Saravia	Philippines	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 10:15	Djoeata	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 10:15	Lingkas	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 10:15	Tarakan	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 10:15	Peningki	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Mar 2019 14:45	Talisay	Philippines	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 09:45	Kampong Tabanka	Malaysia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.