Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LILI-19 in Timor-Leste, Indonesia from 09 May 2019 06:00 UTC to 10 May 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LILI-19

in Timor-Leste, Indonesia

08 May 2019 12 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LILI-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	Indonesia
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	90 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (10 May 03:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	-- (Timor-Leste)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	90 km/h	0.3 m	523 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	79 km/h	0.3 m	517 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

79 km/h

Up to 8 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 May 2019 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Indonesia	8,426

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	08 May 2019 12:00	90	-		-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 May 2019 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	Indonesia, Timor-Leste	127,539	+
	Indonesia	10,228
	Timor-Leste	117,311
100-250 mm	Indonesia, Timor-Leste	484,829	+
	Indonesia	193,940
	Other countries	4,074
	Timor-Leste	286,815
50-100 mm	Indonesia, Timor-Leste	828,611	+
	Indonesia	496,714
	Other countries	1,332
	Timor-Leste	330,565

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	08 May 2019 12:00	523	610 thousand				-	-	-	Indonesia, Other countries, Timor-Leste

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Wickham, Australia. This height is estimated for 10 May 2019 03:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 May 2019 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	10 May 2019 03:15	Wickham	Australia	0.3
	10 May 2019 03:15	Point Samson	Australia	0.3
	10 May 2019 03:15	Cossack	Australia	0.3
	10 May 2019 04:15	Pagatan	Indonesia	0.3
	10 May 2019 04:15	Pematangdoerian	Indonesia	0.3
	10 May 2019 04:15	Semisir	Indonesia	0.3
	10 May 2019 04:15	Tandjungserdang	Indonesia	0.3
	10 May 2019 04:15	Salinau	Indonesia	0.3
	10 May 2019 04:15	Semaras	Indonesia	0.3
	10 May 2019 03:45	Boenati	Indonesia	0.3
	11 May 2019 09:30	Derby	Australia	0.3
	10 May 2019 03:30	Sawarangan	Indonesia	0.3
	10 May 2019 03:00	Kandangan	Indonesia	0.2
	10 May 2019 03:15	Batakam	Indonesia	0.2
	08 May 2019 20:30	Siota	Indonesia	0.2
	08 May 2019 20:30	Klis	Indonesia	0.2
	08 May 2019 20:30	Toenwawang	Indonesia	0.2
	08 May 2019 20:30	Moanga	Indonesia	0.2
	08 May 2019 20:30	Letoda	Indonesia	0.2
	08 May 2019 20:30	Keti	Indonesia	0.2
	08 May 2019 20:30	Sera	Indonesia	0.2
	11 May 2019 04:30	Mardie	Australia	0.2
	10 May 2019 03:30	Tapianbalai	Indonesia	0.2
	11 May 2019 05:45	Dampier	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 05:45	Karratha	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 06:45	Kollan I	Australia	0.2
	10 May 2019 03:30	Okaoka	Indonesia	0.2
	11 May 2019 02:45	Ah Chong I	Australia	0.2
	08 May 2019 16:00	Liwuto	Indonesia	0.2
	08 May 2019 16:00	Tamboeloeroeha	Indonesia	0.2
	08 May 2019 16:00	Tampara	Indonesia	0.2
	08 May 2019 16:00	Ambeua	Indonesia	0.2
	10 May 2019 18:15	The Palms	Australia	0.2
	10 May 2019 18:15	Larrakeyah	Australia	0.2
	10 May 2019 18:15	Fannie Bay	Australia	0.2
	10 May 2019 18:15	Parap	Australia	0.2
	10 May 2019 18:15	Darwin	Australia	0.2
	10 May 2019 18:15	Nightcliff	Australia	0.2
	10 May 2019 18:15	Ludmilla	Australia	0.2
	10 May 2019 18:15	Bagot	Australia	0.2
	10 May 2019 18:15	Knuckeys Lagoon	Australia	0.2
	10 May 2019 18:15	Berrimah	Australia	0.2
	09 May 2019 17:30	Gribble Settlement	Australia	0.2
	08 May 2019 16:30	Nunu	Indonesia	0.2
	08 May 2019 16:30	Kambawogen	Indonesia	0.2
	08 May 2019 16:30	Boeboe	Indonesia	0.2
	08 May 2019 16:30	Ronta	Indonesia	0.2
	08 May 2019 16:30	Latambela	Indonesia	0.2
	08 May 2019 16:30	Latambera	Indonesia	0.2
	08 May 2019 16:30	Ereka	Indonesia	0.2
	08 May 2019 16:30	Rombo	Indonesia	0.2
	10 May 2019 18:30	Leanyer	Australia	0.2
	08 May 2019 19:15	Tandjung Tudpateh	Indonesia	0.2
	08 May 2019 19:15	Noewewan	Indonesia	0.2
	08 May 2019 19:15	Serwaru	Indonesia	0.2
	08 May 2019 19:15	Luhulele	Indonesia	0.2
	08 May 2019 19:15	Wakarleli	Indonesia	0.2
	08 May 2019 19:15	Kaiwatu	Indonesia	0.2
	08 May 2019 19:15	Patti	Indonesia	0.2
	10 May 2019 03:15	Teloekkapalpetjah	Indonesia	0.2
	11 May 2019 06:45	Pender	Australia	0.2
	08 May 2019 22:15	Langadai	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 08:30	Port Hedland	Australia	0.1
	11 May 2019 08:30	Wedgefield	Australia	0.1
	11 May 2019 07:00	East Lewis I	Australia	0.1
	09 May 2019 23:00	Ponta Beaco	Timor-Leste	0.1
	08 May 2019 21:00	Longar	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 21:00	Baimoeh	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 21:00	Gomo Gomo	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 21:00	Masian	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 16:45	Meatil Miarang	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 06:00	Sembelimbingan	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 06:00	Berangas	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 06:00	Soengaibali	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 20:45	Lolotuara	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 20:45	Polau Lakor	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 22:15	Kilbawar	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 22:15	Waru	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 22:15	Kufar	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 23:15	Benteng	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 23:15	Kajuangin	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 23:15	Pekangkang	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 23:15	Udjung	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 16:15	Supe	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 16:15	Asaoede	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 23:45	Haria	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 23:45	Saparua	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 23:45	Latu	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 23:45	Nolot	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 21:00	Uatolari	Timor-Leste	0.1
	09 May 2019 12:00	Tungkaranasam	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 12:00	Sekapoeng	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 17:15	Bahomia	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 17:15	Maiwawa	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 17:15	Djokdjoh	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 17:15	Namasan	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 17:15	Utarom	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 17:15	Kaimana	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 17:15	Moearona	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 20:30	Iliamar	Timor-Leste	0.1
	10 May 2019 08:15	Pipoeloe	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 08:15	Poeloepanda	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 08:15	Kendari	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 08:15	Wawatoe	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 08:15	Sambuli	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 08:15	Toranipa	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 08:15	Laboeanperopa	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 13:15	Minjilang	Australia	0.1
	09 May 2019 00:15	Mboe Eain	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 00:15	Nembrala	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 00:15	Abuan	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 00:15	Ulua	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 00:15	Toedameda	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 00:15	Batutuah	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 00:15	Oeseda	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 00:15	Namodale	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 00:15	Husdale	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 19:15	Paulohi	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 16:15	Sole	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 16:15	Loki	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 21:30	Jarona	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 21:30	Karufa Kembala	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 21:30	Mirobia	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 19:45	Baja	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 19:15	Bonelipu	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 19:15	Mataoleo	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 21:00	Konaweha	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 21:00	Kolaka	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 21:00	Tambea	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 21:00	Poendoei	Indonesia	0.1
	08 May 2019 21:00	Baru	Indonesia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.