Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LILI-19 in Timor-Leste, Indonesia from 09 May 2019 06:00 UTC to 10 May 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LILI-19

in Timor-Leste, Indonesia

09 May 2019 12 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LILI-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	72 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (10 May 05:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	-- (Timor-Leste)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	72 km/h	0.3 m	791 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	79 km/h	0.3 m	517 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

79 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 09 May 2019 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	08 May 2019 12:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	09 May 2019 00:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	09 May 2019 12:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 May 2019 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	Timor-Leste	13
100-250 mm	Timor-Leste, Indonesia	99,162	+
	Indonesia	10,536
	Timor-Leste	88,618
	Other countries	08
50-100 mm	Indonesia, Timor-Leste	275,018	+
	Indonesia	177,177
	Timor-Leste	97,841

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	08 May 2019 12:00	523	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	09 May 2019 00:00	752	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	09 May 2019 12:00	791	100 thousand				-	-	-	Indonesia, Timor-Leste, Other countries

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Wickham, Australia. This height is estimated for 10 May 2019 05:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 May 2019 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	10 May 2019 05:45	Wickham	Australia	0.3
	10 May 2019 05:45	Point Samson	Australia	0.3
	10 May 2019 05:45	Cossack	Australia	0.3
	10 May 2019 04:15	Pagatan	Indonesia	0.3
	10 May 2019 04:15	Pematangdoerian	Indonesia	0.3
	10 May 2019 04:15	Semisir	Indonesia	0.3
	10 May 2019 04:15	Tandjungserdang	Indonesia	0.3
	10 May 2019 04:15	Salinau	Indonesia	0.3
	10 May 2019 04:15	Semaras	Indonesia	0.3
	11 May 2019 10:15	Derby	Australia	0.3
	10 May 2019 03:30	Boenati	Indonesia	0.2
	10 May 2019 03:15	Sawarangan	Indonesia	0.2
	11 May 2019 02:30	Batakam	Indonesia	0.2
	11 May 2019 02:30	Kandangan	Indonesia	0.2
	11 May 2019 08:45	Mardie	Australia	0.2
	10 May 2019 03:15	Tapianbalai	Indonesia	0.2
	10 May 2019 06:45	Dampier	Australia	0.2
	10 May 2019 06:45	Karratha	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 13:15	The Palms	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 13:15	Larrakeyah	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 13:15	Fannie Bay	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 13:15	Parap	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 13:15	Darwin	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 13:15	Nightcliff	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 13:15	Ludmilla	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 13:15	Bagot	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 13:15	Knuckeys Lagoon	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 13:15	Berrimah	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 13:00	Leanyer	Australia	0.2
	12 May 2019 04:30	Kollan I	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 02:00	Ah Chong I	Australia	0.2
	10 May 2019 03:15	Okaoka	Indonesia	0.2
	12 May 2019 05:15	Pender	Australia	0.2
	09 May 2019 20:45	Gribble Settlement	Australia	0.2
	12 May 2019 06:00	Port Hedland	Australia	0.1
	12 May 2019 06:00	Wedgefield	Australia	0.1
	09 May 2019 19:45	Baja	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 18:30	Jarona	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 18:30	Karufa Kembala	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 18:30	Mirobia	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 07:00	East Lewis I	Australia	0.1
	09 May 2019 19:30	Tandjung Tudpateh	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 19:30	Noewewan	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 19:30	Serwaru	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 19:30	Luhulele	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 19:30	Wakarleli	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 19:30	Kaiwatu	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 19:30	Patti	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 15:00	Sembelimbingan	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 15:00	Berangas	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 15:00	Soengaibali	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 00:30	Langadai	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 21:00	Kilbawar	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 21:00	Waru	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 21:00	Kufar	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 14:00	Minjilang	Australia	0.1
	09 May 2019 18:45	Matarape	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 03:15	Teloekkapalpetjah	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 18:30	Belalo	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 18:30	Kokapi	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 04:15	Longar	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 04:15	Baimoeh	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 04:15	Gomo Gomo	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 04:15	Masian	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 03:15	Tungkaranasam	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 03:15	Sekapoeng	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 20:45	Siota	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 20:45	Klis	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 20:45	Toenwawang	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 20:45	Moanga	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 20:45	Letoda	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 20:45	Keti	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 20:45	Sera	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 20:45	Bahomia	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 20:45	Maiwawa	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 20:45	Djokdjoh	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 20:45	Namasan	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 20:45	Utarom	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 20:45	Kaimana	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 20:45	Moearona	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 17:00	Liwuto	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 17:00	Tamboeloeroeha	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 17:00	Tampara	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 17:00	Ambeua	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 18:30	Wawalalindu	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 18:30	Molawe	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 18:30	Tinobu	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 18:30	Molore	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 18:30	Taponggaja	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 13:00	Tioro	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 13:00	Kembano	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 13:00	Tampo	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 13:00	Mabodo	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 13:00	Napabalana	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 13:00	Raha	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 13:00	Bonea	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 13:00	Koroni	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 13:00	Lebo	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 13:00	Nunu	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 13:00	Bangbong	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 08:45	Ibonma	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 12:30	Lohia	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 12:30	Wakarumba	Indonesia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.