Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LILI-19
in Timor-Leste, Indonesia
10 May 2019 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LILI-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (10 May 00:45 UTC)
Vulnerability -- (Timor-Leste)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 79 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 86 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

86 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 May 2019 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAustralia08 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 09 May 2019 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 09 May 2019 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 09 May 2019 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 10 May 2019 00:00 79 -
- - - - - Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 10 May 2019 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 09 May 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 09 May 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 09 May 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 10 May 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Wickham, Australia. This height is estimated for 10 May 2019 00:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 May 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10 May 2019 00:45 Wickham Australia  0.5
10 May 2019 00:45 Point Samson Australia  0.5
10 May 2019 00:45 Cossack Australia  0.5
10 May 2019 07:00 Pagatan Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 07:00 Pematangdoerian Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 07:00 Semisir Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 07:00 Tandjungserdang Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 07:00 Salinau Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 05:00 Kandangan Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 05:00 Sawarangan Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 14:15 Dampier Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 14:15 Karratha Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 08:15 Thangoo Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 08:15 Broome Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 01:30 Mardie Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 09:15 Sembelimbingan Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 09:15 Berangas Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 09:15 Soengaibali Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 06:45 Semaras Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 09:45 Langadai Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 05:30 Batakam Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 06:00 Boenati Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 06:15 Tapianbalai Indonesia  0.2
12 May 2019 04:15 Derby Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 08:00 Kollan I Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 01:00 Gribble Settlement Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 06:30 Port Hedland Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 06:30 Wedgefield Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 08:00 Waterbank Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 00:45 Ah Chong I Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 08:45 Pender Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 06:45 Okaoka Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 07:00 Teloekkapalpetjah Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 07:45 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.1
10 May 2019 06:45 Tungkaranasam Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 06:45 Sekapoeng Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 05:45 Bahomia Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 05:45 Maiwawa Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 05:45 Djokdjoh Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 05:45 Namasan Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 05:45 Utarom Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 05:45 Kaimana Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 05:45 Moearona Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 07:30 East Lewis I Australia  0.1
10 May 2019 16:00 Longar Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 16:00 Baimoeh Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 16:00 Gomo Gomo Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 16:00 Masian Indonesia  0.1