Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for VAYU-19
in , India, Pakistan

Impact

Tropical Cyclone VAYU-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Pakistan, India
Exposed population 1.5 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 191 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.5 m (14 Jun 09:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 191 km/h 1.5 m 998 mm 2.5
HWRF Overall 191 km/h 1.5 m 1628 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

191 km/h

Up to 1.5 million in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Jun 2019 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 2India2,059 
CAT. 1India1,511,885 
Tropical StormPakistan, India9,451,603
+
Pakistan1,418,126 
India8,033,477 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
ORANGE 1 10 Jun 2019 12:00 155 - - - - - - -
RED 2 10 Jun 2019 18:00 205 - - - - - - -
RED 3 11 Jun 2019 00:00 202 - - - - - - -
RED 4 11 Jun 2019 06:00 202 - - - - - - -
RED 5 11 Jun 2019 12:00 216 - - - - - - -
RED 6 11 Jun 2019 18:00 191 1.5 million
- - - Pakistan, India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Jun 2019 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
750-1000 mmIndia298,648 
500-750 mmIndia201,430 
250-500 mmIndia1,117,718 
100-250 mmPakistan, India5,522,040
+
Pakistan18,914 
India5,503,126 
50-100 mmPakistan, India6,593,116
+
Pakistan210,056 
India6,383,060 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 10 Jun 2019 12:00 362 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 10 Jun 2019 18:00 616 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 11 Jun 2019 00:00 273 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 11 Jun 2019 06:00 295 -
- - - - - India
Blue 5 11 Jun 2019 12:00 361 -
- - - - - India
Blue 6 11 Jun 2019 18:00 998 7.1 million
- Pakistan, India




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

1.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.5m in New Kandla, India. This height is estimated for 14 Jun 2019 09:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Jun 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Jun 2019 09:00 New Kandla India  1.5
14 Jun 2019 09:00 Tuna India  1.5
14 Jun 2019 09:30 Navlakhi India  1.5
14 Jun 2019 09:00 Jodiya India  1.4
14 Jun 2019 09:30 Mundra India  1.4
14 Jun 2019 09:00 Jambura India  1.3
12 Jun 2019 18:30 Kambhat India  1.3
12 Jun 2019 18:30 Kavi India  1.3
12 Jun 2019 18:30 Sarod India  1.3
12 Jun 2019 18:30 Wadgam India  1.3
14 Jun 2019 09:15 Navinal India  1.3
14 Jun 2019 09:15 Sika India  1.2
14 Jun 2019 09:00 Bhadia India  1.2
14 Jun 2019 09:15 Mandvi India  1.2
13 Jun 2019 12:30 Porbandar India  1.2
13 Jun 2019 12:30 Adodar India  1.2
12 Jun 2019 17:15 Asarsa India  1.2
13 Jun 2019 12:30 Ratia India  1.1
14 Jun 2019 09:15 Jhankhar India  1.1
14 Jun 2019 09:15 Chudeswar India  1.1
14 Jun 2019 09:30 Suthri India  1.1
12 Jun 2019 16:15 Harinagar India  1.1
13 Jun 2019 12:30 Gorser India  1.1
12 Jun 2019 16:15 Tankari India  1.1
12 Jun 2019 16:15 Muler India  1.1
12 Jun 2019 16:15 Ghogha India  1.1
14 Jun 2019 10:15 Salaya India  1.1
12 Jun 2019 16:00 Dahej India  1.0
12 Jun 2019 14:30 Bhagva India  1.0
12 Jun 2019 14:30 Olpad India  1.0
12 Jun 2019 14:30 Hansot India  1.0
12 Jun 2019 14:15 Damka India  1.0
13 Jun 2019 06:30 Mangrol India  1.0
13 Jun 2019 06:30 Chorwad India  1.0
13 Jun 2019 06:30 Veraval India  1.0
13 Jun 2019 06:30 Somnath India  1.0
14 Jun 2019 10:15 Aramda India  0.9
13 Jun 2019 06:45 Shil India  0.9
12 Jun 2019 14:00 Kotada India  0.9
13 Jun 2019 19:00 Gadechi India  0.9
13 Jun 2019 19:00 Okha India  0.9
13 Jun 2019 15:45 Miyani India  0.9
13 Jun 2019 15:30 Lamba India  0.9
13 Jun 2019 07:00 Sutrapada India  0.9
12 Jun 2019 19:00 Jafarabad India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 19:00 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 12:45 Surat India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 19:30 Mahuva India  0.8
13 Jun 2019 17:45 Bhogat India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 12:45 Jalalpur India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 12:45 Mahuver India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 19:45 Dharabandar India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 19:45 Rohisa India  0.8
13 Jun 2019 06:15 Lodhwa India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 18:45 Delvada India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 18:45 Nawabandar India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 13:00 Nausari India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 13:00 Navsari India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 13:00 Dharasana India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 13:00 Bilimora India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 12:00 Valsad India  0.8
13 Jun 2019 18:15 Madhi India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 12:00 Udvada India  0.7
12 Jun 2019 19:30 Dangarvadi India  0.7
13 Jun 2019 02:00 Kodinar India  0.7
14 Jun 2019 03:30 Dwarka India  0.7
12 Jun 2019 12:00 Daman India  0.7
12 Jun 2019 19:15 Kotra Nes India  0.7
12 Jun 2019 11:15 Maroli India  0.7
12 Jun 2019 11:15 Bordi India  0.7
12 Jun 2019 11:15 Umbargam India  0.7
12 Jun 2019 10:45 Gholvad India  0.7
12 Jun 2019 11:00 Malyan India  0.6
12 Jun 2019 10:30 Tarapur India  0.6
12 Jun 2019 10:30 Sakhare India  0.6
12 Jun 2019 10:00 Palghar India  0.6
12 Jun 2019 10:00 Mahim India  0.6
12 Jun 2019 10:00 Nalasopara India  0.6
12 Jun 2019 10:00 Agashi India  0.6
12 Jun 2019 10:00 Vasai India  0.6
12 Jun 2019 10:45 Boisar India  0.6
12 Jun 2019 10:00 Shirgaon India  0.6
12 Jun 2019 09:45 Dongri India  0.6
12 Jun 2019 09:45 Mira Bhayandar India  0.6
12 Jun 2019 09:30 Malad India  0.6
12 Jun 2019 03:00 Mumbai India  0.6
12 Jun 2019 03:00 Asumumbay India  0.6
12 Jun 2019 03:00 Uran India  0.6
12 Jun 2019 03:00 Trombay India  0.6
12 Jun 2019 09:30 Mandve India  0.5
12 Jun 2019 09:00 Alibag India  0.5
12 Jun 2019 08:30 Revadanda India  0.5
12 Jun 2019 01:30 Srivardhan India  0.4
12 Jun 2019 01:30 Bankot India  0.4
12 Jun 2019 01:30 Kelshi India  0.4
12 Jun 2019 07:15 Murud India  0.4
12 Jun 2019 07:00 Agar Panchaitan India  0.4
14 Jun 2019 18:00 Akri India  0.4
12 Jun 2019 01:30 Anjanwel India  0.4
11 Jun 2019 18:30 Kavutarimunai Sri Lanka  0.4
11 Jun 2019 18:30 Nawaladi Sri Lanka  0.4
11 Jun 2019 18:30 Pooneryn Sri Lanka  0.4
12 Jun 2019 01:15 Boria India  0.4
12 Jun 2019 01:15 Guhagar India  0.4
12 Jun 2019 01:15 Jaigarh India  0.4
11 Jun 2019 18:00 Lakhpat India  0.4
11 Jun 2019 19:00 Aliavalai Sri Lanka  0.4
12 Jun 2019 17:30 Filim Oman  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:30 Karwar India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:30 Belekeri India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:30 Ankola India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:30 Gokarn India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:45 Mirya India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:45 Ratnagiri India  0.3
11 Jun 2019 19:45 Purangad India  0.3
11 Jun 2019 19:45 Purnagad India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 17:45 Al Khaluf Oman  0.3
11 Jun 2019 19:15 Kumta India  0.3
11 Jun 2019 19:15 Honavar India  0.3
11 Jun 2019 19:15 Manki India  0.3
11 Jun 2019 20:00 Adiura India  0.3
11 Jun 2019 20:45 Idaikkadu Sri Lanka  0.3
11 Jun 2019 20:45 Ampan Sri Lanka  0.3
11 Jun 2019 19:30 Mavalli India  0.3
11 Jun 2019 19:30 Shirali India  0.3
11 Jun 2019 19:30 Bhatkal India  0.3
11 Jun 2019 19:30 Bainduru India  0.3
11 Jun 2019 19:30 Sadashivgarh India  0.3
11 Jun 2019 19:15 Majali India  0.3
11 Jun 2019 21:45 Ghuar Mota India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:15 Anjuna India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:15 Marmagao India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:15 Vasco Da Gama India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:15 Panaji India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:15 Agacaim India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:15 Madgaon India  0.3
11 Jun 2019 19:15 Advota India  0.3
11 Jun 2019 19:15 Chaudi India  0.3
11 Jun 2019 19:15 Devgarh India  0.3
11 Jun 2019 19:15 Pural India  0.3
11 Jun 2019 19:15 Achra India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:00 Vijayadurg India  0.3
11 Jun 2019 19:15 Chopdem India  0.3
11 Jun 2019 19:30 Vengurla India  0.3
11 Jun 2019 19:30 Terekhol India  0.3
11 Jun 2019 18:15 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.3
11 Jun 2019 18:15 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.3
11 Jun 2019 19:15 Malvan India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 05:00 Chittadi India  0.2
11 Jun 2019 18:45 Bada Pakistan  0.2
11 Jun 2019 18:45 Cheru Pakistan  0.2
11 Jun 2019 18:45 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.2
12 Jun 2019 05:30 Kundapura India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 05:30 Udipi India  0.2
11 Jun 2019 21:15 Talaimannar Sri Lanka  0.2
11 Jun 2019 21:15 Chiruttoppu Sri Lanka  0.2
11 Jun 2019 21:15 Mannar Sri Lanka  0.2
11 Jun 2019 21:15 Periyavilankuli Sri Lanka  0.2
14 Jun 2019 17:45 Jaffna Sri Lanka  0.2
11 Jun 2019 18:15 Jhol Pakistan  0.2
11 Jun 2019 18:15 Keti Pakistan  0.2
12 Jun 2019 00:45 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.2
12 Jun 2019 00:45 Al Jumaylah Oman  0.2
12 Jun 2019 00:15 Ormara Pakistan  0.2
12 Jun 2019 00:15 Balaru Pakistan  0.2
11 Jun 2019 18:00 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.2
11 Jun 2019 18:00 Gadani Pakistan  0.2
12 Jun 2019 09:00 Ormara Raik Pakistan  0.2
11 Jun 2019 18:00 Brar Pakistan  0.2
11 Jun 2019 18:00 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.2
11 Jun 2019 18:00 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.2
11 Jun 2019 18:00 Isa Pakistan  0.2
11 Jun 2019 18:00 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.2
12 Jun 2019 00:45 Konarak Iran  0.2
12 Jun 2019 00:45 Tis Iran  0.2
12 Jun 2019 00:45 Chah Bahar Iran  0.2
12 Jun 2019 00:45 Ahmadizeh Iran  0.2
11 Jun 2019 18:00 As Sifah Oman  0.2
12 Jun 2019 05:15 Mulki India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 00:30 Ra's ar Ru'ays Oman  0.2
13 Jun 2019 10:30 Pasni Pakistan  0.2
13 Jun 2019 10:30 Miski Pakistan  0.2
13 Jun 2019 10:30 Rumra Pakistan  0.2
12 Jun 2019 01:00 Malan Pakistan  0.2
14 Jun 2019 17:45 Kiranchi Sri Lanka  0.2
11 Jun 2019 21:00 Silavatturai Sri Lanka  0.2
12 Jun 2019 09:30 Pishukan Pakistan  0.2
12 Jun 2019 09:30 Akara Pakistan  0.2
12 Jun 2019 01:00 Sam Iran  0.2
12 Jun 2019 01:00 Beris Iran  0.2
12 Jun 2019 01:30 Pozm Tiab Iran  0.2
12 Jun 2019 01:30 Machan Iran  0.2
12 Jun 2019 08:45 Dorri Iran  0.2
12 Jun 2019 08:45 Kalat Pakistan  0.2
12 Jun 2019 09:45 Gwadar Pakistan  0.2
12 Jun 2019 10:00 As Sirab Oman  0.2
12 Jun 2019 08:00 Gurdim Iran  0.2
12 Jun 2019 08:00 Guraim Iran  0.2
13 Jun 2019 18:15 Al Kalban Oman  0.2
13 Jun 2019 18:15 Sur Masirah Oman  0.2
13 Jun 2019 18:15 'Urf Oman  0.2
11 Jun 2019 18:00 Nizampatam India  0.2
11 Jun 2019 18:00 Kottapalem India  0.2
11 Jun 2019 18:00 Lankavanidibba India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 08:30 Barka Oman  0.2
12 Jun 2019 08:30 Manumah Oman  0.2
12 Jun 2019 08:30 Sib Oman  0.2
12 Jun 2019 16:45 Masqat Oman  0.2
12 Jun 2019 16:45 Al Bustan Oman  0.2
12 Jun 2019 16:45 Yiti Oman  0.2
12 Jun 2019 00:15 Masnaah Oman  0.2
12 Jun 2019 00:15 Bu 'Abali Oman  0.2
12 Jun 2019 00:15 Abu 'Abali Oman  0.2
12 Jun 2019 00:15 Suwadi al Batsa' Oman  0.2
12 Jun 2019 00:15 Billa Oman  0.2
12 Jun 2019 00:15 Murayjat Oman  0.2
12 Jun 2019 09:30 Pudimadaka India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 09:30 Chipurupalle India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 01:30 Kereti Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 01:30 Khowr Rapch Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:15 Kakinada India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 08:45 Vanak Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 05:30 Mangaluru India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 05:30 Manjeshwaram India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:00 Venkatapuram India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:00 Pata Polvaram India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 01:00 Kachow Iran  0.1
11 Jun 2019 21:15 Anaippapan Sri Lanka  0.1
14 Jun 2019 18:00 Vellankulam Sri Lanka  0.1
12 Jun 2019 08:15 Karap Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 01:15 Bi'r Bira' Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 01:15 Bilad as Sur Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 01:15 Sur Oman  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:15 Pentakota India  0.1
13 Jun 2019 19:00 Mursays Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 19:00 Hiql Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 19:00 Dawwah Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 19:00 Maghilah Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 00:45 Mina' al Fahl Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 00:45 Matrah Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 00:00 Kamshahr Iran  0.1
11 Jun 2019 18:30 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
11 Jun 2019 18:30 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1
11 Jun 2019 18:30 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 02:00 Mawalis Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 02:00 Azaiba Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 01:15 Bayahi Iran  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:45 Had Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 08:30 Baghan Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 08:30 Jask-e Kohneh Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 08:30 Jask Iran  0.1
11 Jun 2019 18:45 Barambah Pakistan  0.1
12 Jun 2019 01:15 Ramlah Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 01:15 Quryat Oman  0.1
11 Jun 2019 18:00 Derangu Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 01:15 Pusht Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 01:15 Pesabandar Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 01:15 Ramin Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 01:15 Baleh Sar Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 01:15 Kizhdab Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 01:15 Guran Kosh-E Pa'in Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 00:45 Jiwani Pakistan  0.1
11 Jun 2019 18:00 Bir Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 08:00 Qalhat Oman  0.1
11 Jun 2019 18:15 Ghalat Oman  0.1
11 Jun 2019 18:15 Sharkh Oman  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:00 Peddapatnam India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:00 Gollapalem India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 09:15 Duqm Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 09:15 Nafun Oman  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:15 Kayts Sri Lanka  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:15 Antarvedi India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:15 Kottapatnam India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:00 Bandamurlanka India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:00 Kurichchikadu Sri Lanka  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:45 Daghmar Oman  0.1
11 Jun 2019 18:00 Dibab Oman  0.1
11 Jun 2019 18:00 Bimmah Oman  0.1
11 Jun 2019 18:00 Fins Oman  0.1
14 Jun 2019 18:00 Attimoddai Sri Lanka  0.1
11 Jun 2019 20:00 Pamban India  0.1
11 Jun 2019 20:00 Rameswaram India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:45 Tiwi Oman  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:00 Pakala India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 09:45 Ullapalem India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:00 Durgarajupatnam India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:00 Kodur India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:30 Govundlapalem India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Kumbla India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:15 Chakicherla India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:00 Therunattam India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:00 Ennore India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:00 Vatturupallepalem India  0.1